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SDQL week 11

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  • #1

    SDQL week 11

    the Tide almost always go UNDER after playing LSU

    team=ALA and po:team=LSU and season>2005
    14-3-0 (19.82, 82.4%)
    8-8-1 (2.32, 50.0%) avg line: -17.5 +6: 13-4-0 (76.5%) -6: 6-11-0 (35.3%) +10: 15-2-0 (88.2%) -10: 5-12-0 (29.4%)
    1-15-1 (-10.12, 6.2%) avg total: 52.5 +6: 0-17-0 (0.0%) -6: 6-11-0 (35.3%) +10: 0-17-0 (0.0%) -10: 9-8-0 (52.9%)
    36.5 181.4 29.0 232.4 18.6 1.4 6.1 13.6 4.6 6.7 31.1
    37.9 104.4 28.1 160.1 14.6 1.4 2.9 3.2 2.6 2.5 11.3
    Nov 11, 2023 box Saturday 11 2023 ALA KTKY away
    Tags: None
    • 1 like
  • #2
    a MAC midweek under system where away team not TD+ fav, 1-1 ou 2023, three fits this midweek and they all fit the 3-15 ou subset with totals <50
    32-49-0 (-5.54, 39.5%)
    45-32-4 (0.83, 58.4%) avg line: 6.4 +6: 62-17-2 (78.5%) -6: 30-48-3 (38.5%) +10: 65-16-0 (80.2%) -10: 25-55-1 (31.2%)
    16-65-0 (-6.10, 19.8%) avg total: 54.9 +6: 10-70-1 (12.5%) -6: 41-39-1 (51.2%) +10: 6-75-0 (7.4%) -10: 52-23-6 (69.3%)
    37.5 154.9 32.3 213.3 18.2 1.5 3.9 6.6 5.5 5.5 21.6
    38.8 179.9 31.1 227.3 18.5 1.6 6.5 8.4 6.1 6.2 27.2
    Nov 08, 2023 box Wednesday 11 2023 EMCH TOL away 19.0 46.5
    Nov 08, 2023 box Wednesday 11 2023 AKRON MIAO away 17.5 43.5
    Nov 07, 2023 box Tuesday 11 2023 BALL NIL away 9.5 43.5

    8-10-0 (-5.39, 44.4%)
    11-6-1 (0.31, 64.7%) avg line: 5.7 +6: 14-4-0 (77.8%) -6: 5-12-1 (29.4%) +10: 14-4-0 (77.8%) -10: 4-14-0 (22.2%)
    3-15-0 (-8.69, 16.7%) avg total: 46.1 +6: 2-16-0 (11.1%) -6: 8-10-0 (44.4%) +10: 0-18-0 (0.0%) -10: 10-6-2 (62.5%)
    39.8 156.5 26.7 160.5 13.9 1.6 2.9 4.8 4.2 4.1 16.0
    35.8 147.4 28.8 185.2 16.8 1.8 5.4 7.1 5.8 3.1 21.4
    Nov 08, 2023 box Wednesday 11 2023 EMCH TOL away 19.0 46.5
    Nov 08, 2023 box Wednesday 11 2023 AKRON MIAO away 17.5 43.5
    Nov 07, 2023 box Tuesday 11 2023 BALL NIL away 9.5 43.5
    Last edited by rolltide; 11-06-2023, 05:13 PM.

    Comment

    • #3



      MAC
      tuesday
      home
      p: away favorite
      p: win between 20-28


      0-3 o/u (-23.67)


      sample is old,small and slightly out of range on the total..avg margin is huge though

      line around this one were the 2 biggest unders


      https://killersports.com/ncaafb/quer...+S+D+Q+L+%21++


      wmu under 58 .. half unit
      Last edited by bleeker; 11-07-2023, 04:22 PM.
      _______________________________________________
      ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

      Comment

      • #4

        Comment

        • #5



          thursday
          home
          week >=10
          not on a >= 4 gm win streak
          sum opponent's points last two gms <=19

          0-5 (-9.70)

          steady margins between 8-11..nice in a small sample..biggest line but not by a tremendous amount..still a small play


          https://killersports.com/ncaafb/quer...+S+D+Q+L+%21++


          vir + 20.5..half unit
          _______________________________________________
          ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

          Comment

          • #6

            Comment

            • #7
              friday
              week 10-12
              home
              favorite 15-28
              opp not on a 6+ losing streak

              8-0 (18.81)

              good chance that 40 total in the last game is the lowest in the sample..first 3 are before they kept track




              has gone up 2 pts today so not the best deal



              https://killersports.com/ncaafb/quer...+S+D+Q+L+%21++



              smu -19.5




              .
              _______________________________________________
              ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

              Comment

              • #8
                Originally posted by bleeker View Post
                friday
                week 10-12
                home
                favorite 15-28
                opp not on a 6+ losing streak

                8-0 (18.81)

                good chance that 40 total in the last game is the lowest in the sample..first 3 are before they kept track




                has gone up 2 pts today so not the best deal



                https://killersports.com/ncaafb/quer...+S+D+Q+L+%21++



                smu -19.5




                .

                not necessary..that eyesore lol 1.5 cover was handily the smallest favorite


                https://killersports.com/ncaafb/quer...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
                _______________________________________________
                ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                Comment

                • #9

                  Comment

                  • #10
                    Originally posted by Chamblin View Post
                    to the minute ..thanks chamblin
                    _______________________________________________
                    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                    Comment

                    • #11
                      friday
                      week 10-12
                      home fav between 1-4
                      opp previous weren't >7 point dog
                      total range 45-53

                      0-5 (-17.00)


                      smallest 11.5


                      https://killersports.com/ncaafb/quer...+S+D+Q+L+%21++



                      wyo +3
                      _______________________________________________
                      ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                      Comment

                      • #12
                        Good stuff, bleeker. Thanks for posting. I’m on the ‘Boys too. Hope we cash!!

                        Comment

                        • #13

                          Comment

                          • #14
                            9 <= week <= 12 and AF and line >= -2.5 and 3 <= rank <= 15 and o:rank = None and total >= 40 and season >= 2007 and p:fumbles <= 3


                            week 9-12
                            away favorite <=2.5
                            rank 3-15
                            o: unranked
                            p: fumbles <=3
                            total >=40
                            2007

                            11-0 o/u (18.32)

                            all double digits
                            no overtimes
                            over 64 subset 5 games (26.3 avg)


                            https://killersports.com/ncaafb/quer...+S+D+Q+L+%21++


                            okst over 65.5 ...2 units
                            _______________________________________________
                            ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                            Comment

                            • #15
                              Originally posted by bleeker View Post
                              9 <= week <= 12 and AF and line >= -2.5 and 3 <= rank <= 15 and o:rank = None and total >= 40 and season >= 2007 and p:fumbles <= 3


                              week 9-12
                              away favorite <=2.5
                              rank 3-15
                              o: unranked
                              p: fumbles <=3
                              total >=40
                              2007

                              11-0 o/u (18.32)

                              all double digits
                              no overtimes
                              over 64 subset 5 games (26.3 avg)


                              https://killersports.com/ncaafb/quer...+S+D+Q+L+%21++


                              okst over 65.5 ...2 units
                              okst was the team (not opponent) once before and they W 70-53 lol..of course the biggest over in the sample even at a total of 77.5 !
                              _______________________________________________
                              ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                              Comment

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