Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

SDQL week 9

Collapse
X
Collapse
 
  • Page of 1
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
Previous template Next
  • #1

    SDQL week 9

    3 games fit this week.... teams that don't score 13+ combined in L2 games are 23-3 over when facing an opponent that doesn't have an elite defense and team isn't >15 point dog. One each for THU FRI SAT

    7-19-0 (-8.69, 26.9%)
    7-16-3 (-5.00, 30.4%) avg line: 3.7 +6: 13-13-0 (50.0%) -6: 6-20-0 (23.1%) +10: 15-11-0 (57.7%) -10: 5-21-0 (19.2%)
    23-3-0 (8.46, 88.5%) avg total: 47.0 +6: 14-10-2 (58.3%) -6: 24-2-0 (92.3%) +10: 8-17-1 (32.0%) -10: 25-1-0 (96.2%)
    40.6 173.4 27.5 177.2 15.7 1.8 8.4 5.5 2.9 6.6 23.4
    39.4 178.4 33.0 240.2 19.7 1.2 5.5 10.3 8.7 7.3 32.1
    Oct 28, 2023 box Saturday 9 2023 ARMY MAS home -9.5 48.0
    Oct 27, 2023 box Friday 9 2023 CHAR FATL home 4.0 41.0
    Oct 26, 2023 box Thursday 9 2023 SYR VTCH away 3.0 47.0
    Tags: None
  • #2

    Comment

    • #3
      6<=week <=12 and HF and day = Thursday and line >= -3 and total >= 57 and p:interceptions >= 1 and season >=2010



      thursday
      week 6-12
      ​​​​home fav <=3
      p: interceptions >=1
      total >=57
      2010


      6-0 o/u (26.00)

      a 34 pt overtime so adjusting for that the avg over is still 20+ ppg and more importantly the smallest over is 15.5 so very nice balance

      https://killersports.com/ncaafb/quer...+S+D+Q+L+%21++


      ga-so over 62.5
      _______________________________________________
      ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

      Comment

      • #4
        6<=week <=14 and HF and line >=-3 and day = Thursday and 5>=streak >=-1 and total <=57

        unfortunately I'm on the under with vtech/syr


        2-14 o/u (-10.44)​​​​​​

        https://killersports.com/ncaafb/quer...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
        Last edited by bleeker; 10-26-2023, 03:36 PM.
        _______________________________________________
        ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

        Comment

        • #5

          Comment

          • #6
            off a loss as a 21+ fav and facing a decent opponent you didn't beat by 50+ last matchup (play on the Wreck)

            UNC in 0-10 / 1-13 ATS spot today (1-13 ATS if opponent has at least 1 win on season)

            3-7-0 (-11.10, 30.0%)
            0-10-0 (-17.05, 0.0%) avg line: -6.0 +6: 2-8-0 (20.0%) -6: 0-10-0 (0.0%) +10: 3-7-0 (30.0%) -10: 0-10-0 (0.0%)
            5-5-0 (-1.55, 50.0%) avg total: 52.6 +6: 2-8-0 (20.0%) -6: 6-4-0 (60.0%) +10: 2-8-0 (20.0%) -10: 8-2-0 (80.0%)
            39.6 180.8 31.6 179.4 16.3 1.7 4.4 6.3 5.5 3.5 20.0
            39.8 193.1 27.3 212.4 16.0 1.0 7.3 11.0 4.3 7.9 31.1
            Oct 28, 2023 box Saturday 9 2023 NCAR GTCH away -12.0 65.0

            Comment

            • #7
              reworked this one from Marc Lawrence. Don't trust 3.5+ favs on a winning streak largely all as dogs if opponent off a close game (play on Cincy +7.5 with some ML)

              p:W and (p:D or p:line<-27.5) and pp:W and pp:line>-3 and ppp:DW and line<-3 and -14<op:margin<21
              12-13-0 (-1.80, 48.0%)
              1-24-0 (-10.90, 4.0%) avg line: -9.1 +6: 9-15-1 (37.5%) -6: 0-25-0 (0.0%) +10: 15-10-0 (60.0%) -10: 0-25-0 (0.0%)
              7-4-0 (1.91, 63.6%) avg total: 47.7 +6: 4-7-0 (36.4%) -6: 8-3-0 (72.7%) +10: 3-8-0 (27.3%) -10: 9-2-0 (81.8%)
              35.9 140.0 38.1 234.7 22.2 2.7 5.6 5.8 4.8 6.4 23.7
              34.3 135.7 29.9 212.7 17.0 1.4 7.7 7.6 4.5 7.1 25.5
              Oct 28, 2023 box Saturday 9 2023 OKST CIN home -7.5 53.0

              Comment

              • #8
                Always good info !!!

                Comment

                • #9
                  Great stuff, Rt!! Thanks for sharing. I’m on Cinci already, might jump on GTech too. Good luck!!

                  Comment

                  • #10
                    teams that win as a 3+ TD away dog do not cover the next game if they aren't at home (against UVA)

                    site!=home and p:AW and p:margin<23 and p:line>21 and op:H
                    1-7-1 (-14.33, 12.5%)
                    0-9-0 (-10.28, 0.0%) avg line: 4.1 +6: 5-4-0 (55.6%) -6: 0-9-0 (0.0%) +10: 5-4-0 (55.6%) -10: 0-9-0 (0.0%)
                    2-1-0 (9.50, 66.7%) avg total: 53.5 +6: 2-1-0 (66.7%) -6: 2-1-0 (66.7%) +10: 1-1-1 (50.0%) -10: 2-1-0 (66.7%)
                    32.3 123.7 33.7 285.3 20.0 2.7 7.0 9.3 7.0 0.0 16.2
                    40.0 171.3 35.0 273.7 20.3 0.3 8.0 11.3 2.3 18.0 30.6
                    Oct 28, 2023 box Saturday 9 2023 VIR MIAF away 18.5 48.0

                    Comment

                    • #11

                      Comment

                      Previous template Next
                      Working...
                      X