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  • #1

    Sat SDQL

    Navy at home with more than regular (6 days) rest in a game neither team is favored by >10, opponent did not just allow >52 points = OVER

    avg score has been a 37-30 Navy win (Navy vs USF over 54)
    10-6-0 (7.94, 62.5%)
    9-6-1 (5.47, 60.0%) avg line: -2.5
    15-0-1 (12.12, 100.0%) avg total: 54.8
    Last edited by rolltide; 09-30-2023, 07:48 AM.
    Tags: None
  • #2
    teams like Colorado in a high total game off their 1st loss of the season blown out by 15+ points and opponent failed to cover by more than 2 TD plays UNDER (and they rarely cover, avg just 19 ppg)

    COL/USC u74
    7-10-0 (-1.06, 41.2%)
    3-13-1 (-4.32, 18.8%) avg line: -3.3 +6: 8-8-1 (50.0%) -6: 2-15-0 (11.8%) +10: 14-2-1 (87.5%) -10: 1-16-0 (5.9%)
    0-17-0 (-17.88, 0.0%) avg total: 57.4

    Comment

    • #3
      Pitt away fav not off a 1 point loss

      14-0-0 (19.86, 100.0%)
      14-0-0 (12.86, 100.0%) avg line: -7.0 +6: 14-0-0 (100.0%) -6: 9-5-0 (64.3%) +10: 14-0-0 (100.0%) -10: 8-6-0 (57.1%)
      7-7-0 (0.18, 50.0%) avg total: 54.2 +6: 4-10-0 (28.6%) -6: 9-5-0 (64.3%) +10: 4-10-0 (28.6%) -10: 10-4-0 (71.4%)
      42.6 181.3 32.1 257.3 20.9 0.8 9.6 12.9 7.2 7.5 37.1
      31.9 82.1 33.5 210.6 17.8 2.2 6.2 3.4 4.6 3.1 17.3
      Sep 30, 2023 box Saturday 5 2023 PIT VTCH away -2.5 40.5

      Comment

      • #4
        week 3-7
        home
        undefeated
        1.5 pt dog to 2 pt favorite
        opp previous fav 13-35
        1996


        20-2 (9.35)

        https://killersports.com/ncaafb/quer...+S+D+Q+L+%21++


        ky -1
        Last edited by bleeker; 09-30-2023, 09:51 AM.
        _______________________________________________
        ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

        Comment

        • #5
          UK playing ranked opponent and not 30+ dogs

          15 straight unders by 2 TD per game
          7-8-0 (-4.53, 46.7%)
          10-3-2 (5.23, 76.9%) avg line: 9.8 +6: 13-2-0 (86.7%) -6: 6-8-1 (42.9%) +10: 14-1-0 (93.3%) -10: 5-10-0 (33.3%)
          0-15-0 (-12.50, 0.0%) avg total: 49.8 +6: 0-15-0 (0.0%) -6: 4-11-0 (26.7%) +10: 0-15-0 (0.0%) -10: 7-8-0 (46.7%)
          38.6 144.0 24.8 151.5 15.3 1.3 2.9 5.4 3.9 4.2 16.4
          33.5 154.4 27.0 188.7 17.5 1.5 3.7 5.9 6.4 4.9 20.9
          Sep 30, 2023 box Saturday 5 2023 KTKY FLA home -1.0 44.0

          Comment

          • #6
            3<= week <= 6 and 13<= rank <= 23 and HD and losses = 0 and o:rank>=5 and total <=55


            week 3-6
            home dog
            undefeated
            rank 13-23
            opp rank >=5
            total <=55


            0-7 o/u (-17.71)


            3 of the 4 >= 50 totals went under by a minimum of 20 points .. avg of the 3 biggest unders with total over 50 is just shy of 29/game


            https://killersports.com/ncaafb/quer...+S+D+Q+L+%21++



            duke under 52.5

            _______________________________________________
            ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

            Comment

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