Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

12/31 and beyond bowl trends..

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • 12/31 and beyond bowl trends..

    Teams with an ATS win pct of 75% or more are 25-36 ATS (41%) over the last decade.
    • Teams: Kansas State

    Teams with a SU and ATS win pct of 75% or more are 14-21 ATS (40%) over the last decade.
    • Teams: Troy, Kansas St, Tulane

    Teams with 60%+ tickets that have won three consecutive games SU are 34-63-3 ATS (35.1%) in bowl season since 2005.

    Teams to win 11+ games the previous season have actually performed well playing in December bowls the following year vs. January bowls.
    • In December: 34-26 ATS(Alabama, Michigan, Georgia)

    When trailing at the half of bowl games, Iowa head coach Kirk Ferentz is 7-1 against the second-half spread.

    During bowl season, nobody dominates first halves like Nick Saban, who is 14-7 against the first-half spread since 2005, the most profitable coach 1H ATS in that span.
    • Since 2016, unders are 25-14 in bowl games involving the Big 12.
    • Between 2004 and 2019, the Big 12 went 12-26 ATS in January bowl games. Since 2020, it’s 4-0 ATS.
    Since 2014, unranked teams(unranked Kentucky Today) are actually just 22-31 ATS vs. ranked teams in bowl season, failing to cover the spread by 2.2 points per game.


    James Franklin (Penn State) has coached in 10 bowl games. The over is 8-2, going over the total by 11.1 PPG

    The outright winners in College Football Playoff games are 20-4 ATS. Alabama has accounted for all four ATS losses. Excluding the Crimson Tide, outright winners are 15-0 ATS in College Football Playoff history (8-0 ATS as a favorite).

    Of the 24 games in CFP history, favorites are 17-7 SU.

    The only two teams to pull an upset in the CFP? Clemson four times and Ohio State three times.


    Biggest Public Side in College Football Playoff History
    • 81%: Georgia (-6.5) over OSU ?
    • 67%: Clemson (-7) over OSU, ’20-’21 Sugar — OSU 49-28
    • 63%: Alabama (-3.5) over UGA, ’17-’18 Title — ALA 26-23
    • 63%: Alabama (-12.5) over WAS, ’16-’17 Peach — ALA 24-7

    SEC underdogs are 3-5 ATS in bowl games since 2020. Between 2005-19, they were 28-17 ATS.

    As underdogs of four points or more, the SEC is 11-11 SU and 15-7 ATS in bowl games since 2005



    Between 2004 and 2017, Utah was 11-1 SU and 9-3 ATS in bowl games under Kyle Whittingham. Since 2018, it’s 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS.

    In bowl season, teams that allow 24 PPG or more as favorites are 94-125-3 ATS (42.9%) since 2005 for a -16.3% ROI.


  • #2
    THanks.!!!! Good info !!

    Comment

    Working...
    X