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( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
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thanks chamblin..putting up another in a few minutesOriginally posted by Chamblin View Post_______________________________________________
( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
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4 < week < 8 and rank < 9 and A and po:turnover margin = 2 and season > 2009 and -11 > line > -34 and total < 78 and 16 > po:ats margin > -33
week 5-7
top 8 team
away
previous opp had 2 more turnovers
previous opp didn't lose to spread by >33
previous opp didn't beat spread >16
line range -11.5/-33.5
total <78
2010
9-0 (22.89) huge
clemson -20.5
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( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
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thanks chamblinOriginally posted by bleeker View Post
here's the query
https://killersports.com/ncaafb/quer...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
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( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
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some systems for Sat
PLAY ON elite team off huge away win scoring 42+ vs opp off loss allowing 36+ (51-11 = on ALA)
PLAY ON home conf fav>=4 seeking revenge for loss as 10+ fav LY (35-6 = on ALA)
OPPOSE terrible home dog >12 off away dog 15+ vs opp off conf fav game (6-44 = on WASH)
OPPOSE favs or tiny dogs off a loss as a fav of >20 points (4-27 = on VT, UNC)
OPPOSE 5-0 road fav off home fav game and beat this team h2h last meeting (10-39 = on BC, UL Monroe)
PLAY ON 5-0 dog vs opp just scored 43+ (19-4 = on Kansas)
OPPOSE home off b2b2b games with <280 yards (19-52 = on Liberty)
tons of systems/trends playing against 5-0 teams especially if they're not 3 TD+ favs. BC, ULM, WSU, and VANDY show up a lot. The one below is against 5-0 favs of less than 19 off a fav game and beat opponent h2h as fav or small dog last meeting
63-37-1 (5.53, 63.0%) 28-70-3 (-4.00, 28.6%) avg line: -9.5 +6: 54-46-1 (54.0%) -6: 16-83-2 (16.2%) +10: 70-25-6 (73.7%) -10: 11-90-0 (10.9%) 25-32-0 (2.24, 43.9%) avg total: 55.9 +6: 21-36-0 (36.8%) -6: 37-19-1 (66.1%) +10: 17-40-0 (29.8%) -10: 39-17-1 (69.6%) 38.7 180.5 32.7 264.7 20.0 1.6 6.6 9.1 7.3 9.2 30.4 38.3 143.3 31.8 212.1 17.5 1.6 6.9 7.9 5.3 5.6 24.9 Oct 08, 2022 Saturday 6 2022 CSTC LMON away -13.0 58.0 Oct 08, 2022 Saturday 6 2022 USC WAST home -12.5 65.0 Oct 08, 2022 Saturday 6 2022 MIS VAN away -17.0 61.0 Comment
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and you can tighten this one by only opposing teams that aren't ranked in the top 20. It highlights Coastal Carolina as the play against 5-0 fav today in a 10-38 ATS spotOriginally posted by rolltide View PostComment
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good over spot when two teams that scored 108+ combined in last meeting play with a total of 64+ when they are YTD combined <94 ppg. Home team is avg nearly 45ppg and game averages 83 ppg
17-7-0 (5.58, 70.8%) 13-10-1 (-0.67, 56.5%) avg line: -6.2 +6: 16-8-0 (66.7%) -6: 7-17-0 (29.2%) +10: 18-6-0 (75.0%) -10: 5-19-0 (20.8%) 22-2-0 (11.85, 91.7%) avg total: 71.2 +6: 17-7-0 (70.8%) -6: 22-2-0 (91.7%) +10: 17-7-0 (70.8%) -10: 22-2-0 (91.7%) 41.3 220.1 33.1 327.0 21.6 1.6 12.1 14.1 10.3 7.4 44.3 37.9 183.0 38.6 306.6 24.2 1.6 8.4 10.7 10.5 8.9 38.8 Oct 08, 2022 Saturday 6 2022 WAKE ARMY home -16.5 65.5 Comment
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like these rolltide
going Bama and the 3 (fade) from the 28-70 system
bol today_______________________________________________
( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
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saw this posted on the KS Discord Channel and messed around with the parameters a bit. tremendous 4+ year record including 9-22 ou this season as SJST under squeaked in last night. Has to do with playing UNDER with larger home favs when away team has poor time of possession and total is <59 pts.180-42-0 (13.73, 81.1%) 104-115-3 (-0.86, 47.5%) avg line: -14.6 +6: 135-85-2 (61.4%) -6: 70-152-0 (31.5%) +10: 165-54-3 (75.3%) -10: 51-167-4 (23.4%) 59-159-4 (-4.70, 27.1%) avg total: 51.7 +6: 39-183-0 (17.6%) -6: 108-110-4 (49.5%) +10: 31-191-0 (14.0%) -10: 139-77-6 (64.4%) 39.7 188.2 29.3 227.7 18.5 1.2 7.3 8.9 6.8 7.0 30.4 35.6 117.9 31.5 193.2 17.6 1.6 3.3 5.2 3.6 4.3 16.6 Oct 08, 2022 Saturday 6 2022 SDSU HAW home -23.5 48.5 Oct 08, 2022 Saturday 6 2022 BOIS FRES home -7.5 45.5 Oct 08, 2022 Saturday 6 2022 ALA TXAM home -24.0 48.0 Oct 08, 2022 Saturday 6 2022 TROY SMIS home -6.5 44.0 Oct 08, 2022 Saturday 6 2022 CIN SFL home -27.0 58.5 Oct 08, 2022 Saturday 6 2022 FLA MIZ home -11.0 53.5 Oct 07, 2022 box Friday 6 2022 SJST UNLV home 7-0 16-0 10-7 7-0 40-7 -6.5 51.5 33 26.5 -4.5 11.0 -15.5 W W U
season >= 2018 and week < 11 and not 22.85 < otA(time of possession/60) < 27.08 and H and -33.5 < line < -6 and total < 59 and tA(time of possession/60) < 30.1Comment
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great stuff.. like the way you cut out that time of possession block.. looks like you get about another 8 out of 9 unders that way_______________________________________________
( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
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friday **nebraska/rutgers
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