College Football Week 10 Betting Info.

[TheGame]

College Football Betting Preview: Georgia vs. Florida
By Brian Edwards
Sportsmemo.com

Georgia vs. Florida
Saturday, 12:30 pm PT - CBS
CRIS Opener: Georgia -2.5 O/U 47
CRIS Current: Georgia -3 (-105) O/U 47
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Georgia -0.5
Brain Edwards' Recommendation: Georgia

Thanks to South Carolina’s improbable comeback victory at Missouri, Georgia and Florida have something to play for when they collide along the St. John’s River in Jacksonville on Saturday afternoon. Despite disappointing seasons brought on by a rash of injuries, both schools remain alive in the SEC East race.

As of Friday morning, most betting shops had Georgia (4-3 straight up, 1-5-1 against the spread) listed as a three-point favorite with a total of 47 or 47.5. Gamblers can take the Gators on the money line for a +130 return (risk $100 to win $130).

Florida (4-3 SU, 2-5 ATS) has dropped back-to-back games at LSU (17-6) and at Missouri (36-17. The Gators were without a pair of key starters on defense against the Tigers. DE Ronald Powell (ankle) and DT Damien Jacobs (head) didn’t dress out, but both players were upgraded to ‘probable’ on Thursday.

UF has had eight players go down to season-ending injuries this year and now it must face UGA without starting offensive tackle D.J. Humphries, who is going to miss the next 2-4 weeks with an MCL injury.

Georgia has also lost back-to-back games to Missouri (41-26) at home and at Vanderbilt (31-27), but the Bulldogs will have a different look against UF. That’s because RB Todd Gurley will return after missing three consecutive games. Gurley, who rushed for 450 yards and five touchdowns in the first 3.5 games, sprained his ankle in the first half of a 44-41 win over LSU on Sept. 28.

Mark Richt’s team will also get starting safety Tray Matthews back in the lineup for the first time since he strained his hamstring in a 34-31 overtime win at Tennessee on Oct .5. WR Michael Bennett suffered a knee injury at UT and might return this week. Bennett is listed as ‘questionable’ at this point, so check his status early Saturday.

Florida’s offense has been downright atrocious in 2013. The Gators haven’t scored more than 31 points in a game and they average a pedestrian 21.1 points per contest.

In an attempt to spark the offense, UF head coach Will Muschamp is going to start Kelvin ‘Baby Fred’ Taylor at tailback. The true freshman is the son of Fred, a Gator legend, and wears No. 21 just like his father.

With increased playing time in the last two games, Taylor has looked explosive. He has rushed for 172 yards and one TD on 28 carries for a 6.1 yards-per-carry average.

UF quarterback Tyler Murphy suffered a shoulder injury in the loss at LSU and it was clearly bothering him against Missouri. Murphy didn’t throw at all during the bye week and rested the shoulder until Tuesday’s practice.

The over is 6-1 overall for UGA, which has seen its combined scores average 69.3 points per game. Every total for the Bulldogs has been in the 60s except for a Week 2 win over South Carolina. In that contest, UGA won a 41-30 decision and the 71 combined point sailed ‘over’ the 55-point tally.

The under is 4-2-1 overall for the Gators, who have watched their games play to a combined average score of 37.4 PPG.

Muschamp is winless in six appearances in this rivalry. As a safety at Georgia in the 1990s, Florida beat the Bulldogs all four times. In Muschamp’s first two trips to Jacksonville as coach of the Gators, UGA has prevailed both times, including last year’s 17-9 victory.

Until winning the last two meetings, Georgia had not beaten UF in back-to-back games since the 1980s.

I think Georgia is the play in this spot. The return of Gurley is going to be huge and as bad as UGA is defensively, UF is even worse on offense. The Florida defense will keep it in the game the entire way, but I think the Bulldogs win by a touchdown.

[TheGame]

College Football Betting Preview: Miami (FL) at Florida State
By Rob Veno
Sportsmemo.com

Miami (FL) at Florida State
Saturday, 5 pm PT - ABC
CRIS Opener: Florida State -21 O/U 61
CRIS Current: Florida State -21 O/U 61.5
Rob Veno's Power Rating: Florida State -15.5
Rob Veno's Recommendation: Miami

Extremely high number shows how far Florida State has jumped in oddsmakers’ and bettors’ eyes since October 19th (just 13 days ago) when they closed a short -4.5 at then undefeated Clemson. Maybe an even better comparison is the fact that at home in Tallahassee the week before (just 20 days ago) FSU was only -17.5 against Maryland. The Seminoles’ 51-14 shellacking of Clemson followed by last week’s 49-17 destruction of North Carolina State has the nation talking Florida State as a legitimate BCS Championship threat. The lower side of this game’s equation is how underwhelming Miami has been in its last three games. Since marching into Chapel Hill as a respected 9-point favorite on Thursday night three weeks ago, the Hurricanes have proceeded to squeak out a pair of extremely late comeback victories against North Carolina and Wake Forest. The latter is most concerning since it came on the heels of a bye week with Miami closing -26. So, what we have colliding here this week is a classic matchup of “what we saw last” really affecting the pointspread. Miami is a 7-0 team, ranked in the top 10, playing an in-state rival and getting over three touchdowns. Al Golden was used to being this heavy an underdog a few years back when he was the head man at Temple so he likely knows how to get his team in the right mindset for this.

Fundamentally, one of the unheard potential explanations for Miami’s sudden point scoring struggles is the loss of WR Phillip Dorsett. Personally, I haven’t heard one mention all week about his loss having anything to do with Miami averaging just 25.5 points per game over their last two contests but it is a large loss. Dorsett was the WR corps top home run threat and vertical field stretcher. Remember, before he got hurt in the first half of the UNC game, he already had 68-yard reception which added to the 55, 52 and 40 yarders that he already posted this season leading to his 20.7 yards per game average. That added threat in the passing game was lacking last week against Wake Forest and it would have really benefitted Miami to have him here giving FSU multiple threats plus RB Duke Johnson’s running to worry about. Still, if Stephen Morris can avoid the mistakes and poor decisions that have plagued him, Miami has enough firepower. The offensive line will face their toughest challenge to date but so far they’ve been terrific leading the way to 5.6 yards per carry and allowing only six sacks. Meanwhile, Miami figures to have their hands full with the FSU offense which is loaded in all aspects and clicking on all cylinders. The multi-dimensional, depth laden unit is averaging 8.2 yards per play, converting 52.2% of their third downs and they’ve scored 38-of-39 times inside the red zone (97.4%). There are no flaws and Miami’s overall defensive numbers are a bit skewed by games against Florida Atlantic, Savannah State and South Florida. In those games, the ‘Canes only allowed an average 240 typg and 11.3 points. Versus their three league opponents thus far and Florida, those numbers rise to 418.8 typg and 22.5 ppg.

Florida State has everything going for them right now including perhaps the most popular college player and now potential Heisman candidate Jameis Winston. While the fundamentals and current form suggest a possible rout on the horizon, it’s hard to believe Miami won’t enter this one feeling overlooked and subsequently be fully focused and ready. Pulling off the upset is probably far-fetched but covering as +21 (as high as +22 in Las Vegas) doesn’t seem to be. My power ratings made Florida State -15.5 and all things considered, I’ll take a lean toward the game ending closer to that number.

[TheGame]

Line Moves - Week 10
By Chris David
VegasInsider.com

Week 9 Recap

Favorites: 2-5 ATS (7-0 SU)
Underdogs: 0-7 ATS (0-7 SU)
Totals: 0-2

Three straight weeks and counting, the early college football bets have been more than welcomed at the betting counter. If you faded the line moves last week, you would’ve went 14-2 (88%). I doubt we’ll see anything close to that percentage again this season but it does tell you that the oddsmakers have done a very good job with their opening numbers.

Week 10 Line Moves

CRIS, one of the biggest offshore sportsbooks, opened up their college football lines for Week 10 last Sunday. Below are all of the moves of at least “Three Points” or more off the opening line from CRIS.

Favorites

Marshall vs. Southern Miss
Open: Thundering Herd -28 ½
Friday: Thundering Herd -31 ½

UCLA vs. Colorado
Open: Bruins -24
Friday: Bruins -28

Utah State vs. Hawaii
Open: Aggies -21
Friday: Aggies -24

Louisiana-Lafayette vs. New Mexico State
Open: Rajin’ Cajuns -27
Friday: Rajin’ Cajuns -31 ½

East Carolina at Florida International
Open: Pirates -20
Friday: Pirates -26

Underdogs

Tennessee at Missouri
Open: Volunteers +13
Friday: Volunteers +10

Navy at Notre Dame
Open: Midshipmen +17
Friday: Midshipmen +14

Arkansas vs. Auburn
Open: Razorbacks +10
Friday: Razorbacks +7

Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
Open: Cowboys -2½
Friday: Red Raiders -1

Colorado State vs. Boise State
Open: Rams +10
Friday: Rams +7

New Mexico vs. San Diego State
Open: Lobos +17
Friday: Lobos +14

Week 10 Total Moves

CRIS opened their ‘over/under’ numbers on Monday. Only one game saw significant movement and they're listed below.

Army at Air Force
Open: 57½
Friday: 54

[TheGame]

Saturday's NCAAF Line Moves
By Covers.com

The odds for Week 10 of the college football season have been on the move since hitting the boards last weekend. We talk to oddsmakers about the biggest adjustments to this Saturday’s spreads.

Miami Hurricanes at Florida State Seminoles - Open: -22, Move: -21

Florida State is playing some of the best football in the country and Heisman-hopeful Jameis Winston and his talented group of WRs will look to cause fits for the 'Canes secondary. Money had been coming in on The U, and for good reason. Miami is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings at Florida State.

"All stats lead to Florida State, but rivalry games like this can often have strange things happen," says Aron Black of Bet365. "Some of these kids often act differently when the big stage comes against in-state rivals, but action so far is liking the plus points by about 2-to-1, however its coming back on the Seminoles -21."

Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles at Marshall Thundering Herd - Open: -28.5, Move: -31.5

Action here has been all Marshall, all the time. Southern Miss is one of the worst FBS schools around, sporting an 0-7 SU record and 1-6 ATS record. The Golden Eagles have been double-digit dogs in six-straight games.

"Heavy majority of our players are betting on the Thundering Herd, so on Thursday we moved to the current number of -31.5," says Mike Perry, an oddsmaker with Sportsbook.ag. "Eighty-eight percent of the cash is on Marshall."

Navy Midshipmen at Notre Dame Fighting Irish - Open: -17, Move: -14.5

The Middies have a very respectable 5-2 ATS record on the season and Sharps instantly jumped on the large opening line. They have covered in back-to-back games heading into this weekend's tilt and boast the 10th most per-game rushing yards at 289.1.

"Navy can cause problems with the run, and if they can do that, can at least lengthen their possessions," claims Black. "Although they probably don’t have enough to fully upset, it's that kind of aspect that has sharps eating up the early plus-point lines."

North Carolina Tar Heels at North Carolina State Wolfpack - Open: +3.5, Move: +5.5

Wiseguy action had this line on the move from the get go, despite the Heels being a paltry 1-8 ATS in their last nine road games, as well as 1-5 ATS in their last six meetings with their in-state rivals.

"Friday afternoon, shortly after noon ET, we got huge wiseguy play at -3.5 and made a 2-point line move to -5.5," Perry tells Covers. "We are split almost right down middle as 51 percent of money is on the Tar Heels."

Georgia Bulldogs v Florida Gators - Open: -2.5, Move: -3.5

This game normally has something bigger at stake, but both of these programs are currently unranked for the second time in four years after at least one was ranked in each season since 1979.

"Monday got a sharp play on Georgia -2.5 and then today, moved number to -3.5 as 86 percent of money is on the Bulldogs," Perry tells Covers.

"Action is pretty split on this one," says Black. "Georgia is seeing about 1.5-to-1 against the spread action to Florida."

East Carolina Pirates at Florida International Golden Panthers - Open: -21, Move: -25.5

This matchup has seen the biggest movement of the week at Sportsbook.ag. FIU is in the midst of a dismal campaign, going 1-6 SU and just 2-5 ATS. The Pirates are coming off a bye week

"Despite not involving a BCS team or national television, this will be one of our 10 biggest decisions in college football," Perry said. "Ninety-six percent of money is on the Pirates."