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**TheGame** · 11-04-2016, 09:34 AM

Re: NCAAF Betting Info 11/4

Preview and Prediction: Temple Owls (6-3; 8-1 ATS; 5-4 O/U) at Connecticut Huskies (3-6; 2-6-1 ATS: 4-5 O/U)
Friday, November 4, 2016 at 7:00pm EST
Line: Temple -10.5
Total: 46

The Connecticut Huskies will host the red hot Temple Owls in an AAC battle Friday night from Easter Hartford, CT. Temple crushed Cincinnati 34-13 last week, and Connecticut was blown out by a 41-3 score to ECU last weekend. Temple defeated Connecticut 27-3 last season.

Trends:

The Temple Owls are:

7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win.
5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in Connecticut.

The Connecticut Huskies are:

1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in November.
7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a straight up loss.
1-9 ATS in their last 10 games against Temple.

I really like Temple in this matchup. Connecticut was awful last week, losing by 38 points to a weak ECU team and I think this one will get ugly fast. Connecticut relies on their passing game to generate offense, and Temple owns the sixth ranked pass defense in the Nation, and things won’t be very easy for Noel Thomas, and if they shut down Noel Thomas they shut down most of the Huskies offense. Also, Connecticut has one of the worst pass defensive units in the Nation, so I expect Temple to have success in the air, and have their usual success on the ground. Temple has the edge in all areas and I think they take this one in a blowout.

Pick: Temple Owls -10.5

**TheGame** · 11-04-2016, 09:35 AM

Re: NCAAF Betting Info 11/4

Preview: Spartans (3-6) at Broncos (7-1)

Date: November 04, 2016 10:15 PM EDT

Boise State has likely seen its opportunity at snatching a Cotton Bowl invitation slide away and has work to do just to reach the Mountain West conference title game.

The No. 24 Broncos were outworked by an upstart Wyoming squad last Saturday to fall from the ranks of the unbeaten. And the 30-28 loss to the Cowboys means Boise State (7-1, 3-1) has to make up two games on Wyoming (6-2, 4-0) just to be the Mountain Division champ and qualify for the conference title game.

The Broncos will begin the task of trying to overtake the Cowboys when they host San Jose State on Friday night (10:15 p.m. ET, ESPN 2). The Spartans (3-6, 2-3) are winless against Boise State in 12 previous meetings.

There's also this tidbit: San Jose State last defeated a ranked team on the road on Nov. 1, 1980 when it upset a No. 10 Baylor squad led by future Hall of Fame linebacker Mike Singletary.

Spartans coach Ron Caragher is well aware of the challenge of duplicating that feat as Boise State has won 100 of its last 106 home games.

"They've got good players across the board, a well-balanced football team," Caragher said at a press conference. "We're going to need to play on a very high level for four quarters."

San Jose State figures to encounter an irritated batch of Broncos still smarting from the loss to Wyoming.

But dwelling on the defeat could prove more harmful and the Boise State players insist they won't have the costly loss on their minds.

"It's time to move on," sophomore defensive end Durrant Miles told reporters. "Obviously, we can't go back and change it, as much as we'd love to, but all we can do is move forward."

Senior weak-side linebacker Ben Weaver echoed similar thoughts as the Broncos try to patch up the issues that led to them allowing a season worst for points.

"All we can do is focus on ourselves and focus on going 1-0 this week with San Jose State," said Weaver, "and correcting this game and doing all we can to win this next game and continue to win."

Boise State also needs to work on its turnover margin -- which is tied for 122nd nationally. The Broncos have committed 13 turnovers and forced only four.

The deciding play in the loss to Wyoming was when quarterback Brett Rypien fumbled and the ball rolled out of the end zone for a safety with 1:25 remaining.

"We just didn't come up with enough plays and we didn't win the turnover battle," Boise State coach Bryan Harsin said. "We've been talking about it's just a matter of time, if you don't do that, you put yourself in a tough position."

Rypien has thrown just six interceptions but three have come in the past two games. He has passed for 2,359 yards and 15 touchdowns with his favorite target being senior receiver Thomas Sperbeck, who has 55 catches for 890 yards and seven touchdowns.

Sperbeck needs one reception to become the fifth player in Boise State history to reach 200 career catches.

Broncos running back Jeremy McNichols leads the nation with 18 total touchdowns (14 rushing, four receiving) and he has scored at least once in 20 consecutive games. The junior rushed for 143 yards and two touchdowns against Wyoming to raise his season total to 1,058 yards -- sixth-most nationally.

Boise State has allowed an average of 26.7 points over its past three games. Weaver matched his career high of 16 tackles against Wyoming and leads the team with 72 tackles, while sophomore defensive tackle David Moa leads Boise State with 6 1/2 sacks.

San Jose State is taking care of the football much better than the Broncos. The Spartans have gone 12 quarters without committing a turnover since a miscue in the fourth quarter against Hawaii on Oct. 8.

"It's no coincidence we've won the turnover battle the last three weeks and won two of those three games," Caragher said. "We always preach to our guys that we need to protect the football. I'll take a sack any day over just throwing the football up for grabs. That's a streak we're going to look to build upon."

Senior quarterback Kenny Potter has passed for 1,544 yards and 11 touchdowns against six interceptions. Senior receiver Tim Crawley has caught 34 passes for 389 yards while sophomore wideout Tre Hartley stretches the field with 33 receptions for 572 yards.

San Jose State's defense allows 35.1 points per game but has received solid play from junior cornerback Andre Chachere (team-leading three interceptions) and senior defensive end Nick Oreglia (team-high 8 1/2 tackles for losses).

**TheGame** · 11-04-2016, 09:35 AM

Re: NCAAF Betting Info 11/4

Friday's Tip Sheet
By Brian Edwards

**Temple at Connecticut**

-- Temple (6-3 straight up, 8-1 against the spread) is in charge in the AAC East and will win the division title if it can win its last three games at UConn, at Tulane and vs. East Carolina. Matt Rhule’s team is on fire for our purposes, covering the spread in eight consecutive games since dropping its season opener by a 28-13 count to Army. Since the regular-season finale in Rhule’s second season, the Owls have compiled a 17-7 SU record while cashing tickets at a 18-6 ATS clip.

-- Temple is 4-1 in league play, leaving it tied with USF atop the standings. However, the Owls own the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Bulls by virtue of their 46-30 win as 6.5-point home underdogs two Fridays ago. Ryquell Armstead led the way against USF by rushing for 210 yards and two TDs on 20 carries. Jahad Thomas added two more TD runs, while P.J. Walker threw for 209 yards and one TD without an interception.

-- Temple won its third straight and fifth in its last six games by beating Cincinnati 34-13 as a 9.5-point home ‘chalk’ last week. The Owls produced 474 yards of total offense and limited the Bearcats to just 186 yards. Walker threw for 199 yards and two TDs without an interception, while Thomas rushed 17 times for 151 yards. Armstead ran for 61 yards and two scores on 18 totes. Ventell Bryant and Adonis Jennings had TD catches.

-- Temple owns a 4-3 spread record as a road favorite on Rhule’s watch.

-- As of Wednesday afternoon, most books had Temple installed as a 10.5-point favorite with a total of 45.5 points. The Huskies were +330 on the money line (risk $100 to win $330).

-- UConn (3-6 SU, 2-6-1 ATS) has lost three consecutive games and five of its last six, including last week’s 41-3 blowout defeat at East Carolina. Bryant Shirreffs completed 16-of-30 passes for 180 yards with two interceptions. The Huskies managed only 89 rushing yards on 31 attempts for an abysmal 2.9 yards-per-carry average.

-- UConn has wins vs. Maine (24-21), vs. Virginia (13-10) and vs. Cincinnati (20-9). The Huskies have lost at Navy (28-24), vs. Syracuse (31-24), at Houston (42-14), at USF (42-27) and vs. UCF (24-16).

-- UConn is 1-1 both SU and ATS as a home underdog this season. The Huskies are 5-6 both SU and ATS in their 11 games as home ‘dogs since Bob Diaco took over.

-- UConn’s defense ranks No. 25 in the country against the rush, limiting foes to 125.3 yards per game on the ground. This unit is led by senior safety Obi Melifonwu, who has a team-high 74 tackles, two interceptions, one tackle for loss, one fumble recovery and three passes broken up. Another standout is junior LB Junior Joseph, who has recorded 60 tackles, four QB hurries, one TFL and one PBU.

-- UConn’s offense averaged 15.5 and 17.2 PPG in Diaco’s first two seasons at the helm. The Huskies have slightly improved to 18.3 PPG, but that number still ranks them No. 126 in the nation out of 128 FBS schools. Shirreffs has completed 58.7 percent of his throws for 2,010 yards with a 7/6 touchdown-to-interception ratio. His favorite target is senior WR Noel Thomas, who has 83 receptions for 1,058 yards and three TDs. Thomas ranks fifth in the country in receiving yards.

-- Junior RB Arkeel Newsome has rushed for a team-best 528 yards and four TDs while averaging 4.5 YPC. Shirreffs has rushed for 326 yards and two scores, while Ron Johnson has four rushing TDs.

-- Temple is 11th in the nation in total defense, giving up only 306.4 YPG. The Owls are sixth in pass defense, allowing only 163.7 YPG. They are giving up 22.7 PPG. This stop unit is led by senior LB Stephaun Marshall, who has produced 43 tackles, 1.5 TFL’s and two PBU.

-- Walker has connected on 57.6 percent of his passes for 1,990 yards with a 13/10 TD-INT ratio. Keith Kirkwood is his favorite target, hauling in 27 catches for 420 yards and three TDs. Bryant has 23 receptions for 412 yards and two TDs.

-- Thomas, a first-team All-AAC selection when he ran for 1,262 yards and 17 TDs in 2015, missed Temple’s first two games. Since then, Thomas has run for 564 yards and nine TDs on 118 carries for a 4.8 YPC average. Armstead has rushed for a team-high 674 yards and 11 TDs on 109 totes. Armstead averages 6.2 YPC. Thomas has 23 catches for 281 yards and three TDs.

-- The ‘over’ is 5-4 overall for the Owls, 2-1 in their road assignments. They’ve seen the ‘over’ go 5-2 in their last seven outings.

-- The ‘under’ is 5-4 overall for UConn, 4-1 in its home games.

-- Kickoff is scheduled for Friday night at 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

-- There are two additional games on Friday’s card, including Central Michigan at Miami (OH.) and San Jose State at Boise State.

-- Boise State (7-1 SU, 2-6 ATS) is off its first loss of the season and it was costly one. BSU went down 30-28 at Wyoming as a 14.5-point road ‘chalk.’ This leaves the Broncos at 3-1 in Mountain West Conference action, while the Cowboys improved to 4-0 in MWC play. This means Bryan Harsin’s club must win out and Wyoming must lose twice in order for Boise St. to get to the MWC Championship Game. The ‘under’ is 6-2 overall for the Broncos, 4-0 in their home games. As of Wednesday, most spots had BSU installed as a 29-point home favorite with a total of 57.5 points. Since Harsin took over, Boise St. has posted a 6-11 spread record in 17 games as a home ‘chalk.’

-- San Jose State (3-6 SU, 3-5 ATS) has seen the ‘under’ cash in four consecutive games. The Spartans have won two of their last three contests, including a 30-24 win over UNLV as three-point home underdogs last weekend. Senior QB Kenny Potter threw for 292 yards and two TDs without an interception against the Rebels. San Jose St. has gone 1-3 ATS in four games as a road underdog this year. Since Ron Caragher took over in 2013, the Spartans are an atrocious 4-13 ATS as road ‘dogs.

-- BSU and San Jose State will kick from Albertsons Stadium on the smurf turf at 10:15 p.m. Eastern on ESPN2.

-- CMU and Miami (OH.) are set for a 6:00 p.m. start on the CBS College Network. As of Wednesday, the Chippewas were favored by 3.5 with a total of 47. CMU has dropped back-to-back games, including a 27-24 loss to Kent St. as a 12-point home favorite this past Saturday. The Chippewas have limped to a 1-5 spread record in their last six outings.

-- Miami (OH.) lost its first six games of the season but has responded with straight victories both SU and ATS. The Redhawks beat Kent St. 18-14 at home before going on the road and winning 40-26 at Bowling Green and 28-15 at Eastern Michigan. They are 2-1 ATS as home ‘dogs this year and 5-4-1 ATS as home puppies on Chuck Martin’s watch.

-- Colorado remains the best ATS team in America with a perfect 8-0 spread record. The next-best ATS squads include Temple (8-1), Auburn (7-1), Western Michigan (8-2) and Eastern Michigan (7-2).

-- The worst ATS squads who are all 1-7 versus the number include Florida Atlantic, Arizona, Nevada, TCU and Georgia Southern. Oregon is 1-6-1 ATS, while Bowling Green is 2-7 ATS.

-- According to multiple reports out of Los Angeles, UCLA sophomore QB Josh Rosen will miss the rest of the season due to a shoulder injury.

--With last week’s spread cover in a 24-20 loss at Ohio St. as a 25.5-point road underdog, Northwestern improved to 25-15 ATS as a road underdog during Pat Fitzgerald’s 11-year tenure. The Wildcats, who have covered the number in four straight outings, also upped their ATS record to 11-5 ATS in their last 16 as double-digit ‘dogs. Northwestern hosts Wisconsin this weekend.

-- Baylor RBs Shock Linwood and Terrence Williams are both ‘questionable’ vs. TCU due to injuries.

**TheGame** · 11-04-2016, 09:35 AM

Re: NCAAF Betting Info 11/4

NCAAF

Friday’s games

Central Michigan won five of last six games with Miami, winning last three by 7-12-14 points; Chippewas won 21-9/38-37 in last two visits here. Underdogs are 4-3 vs spread in last seven series games. Miami won its last three games after an 0-6 start, allowing 18.3 pts/game during its win streak. Redhawks are 4-4-1 as home dogs under Martin. Central is 9-2 in last 11 games as a road favorite, 1-1 this year- they won at Oklahoma State this year, then got upset at Virginia. MAC home underdogs are 4-7 against the spread.

Temple won four of last five games with UConn, with three of four wins by 14+ points. Owls won 36-10/17-14 in last two visits here. Favorites covered last two series games after dogs covered six in row before that. Owls won last three games (by 1-16-21 points), covered last seven; they are 1-2 on road this year, with only win 26-25 at UCF. Temple is 6-5 as road favorite under Rhule. Huskies lost last three games, allowing 35.7 pts/game; they’re 21-10 as home dogs last nine years, 1-1 this year. AAC home underdogs are 6-4 vs spread.

Boise State’s last three games were all decided by 5 or less points; they got upset at Wyoming LW, are 0-4 as home favorites this year, 6-11 under Harsin. Last five years, Boise is 9-3 vs spread in game following a loss. Broncos won last 11 games with San Jose State, covering last five, winning by average score of 42-11. Spartans covered once in last five games on blue turf, losing 45-7/42-7 in last two visits here. Boise ran for 512 yards in last two meetings. Mountain West home favorites are 5-9 vs spread. San Jose is 2-12 in last 14 games as a road underdog.

**TheGame** · 11-04-2016, 09:35 AM

Re: NCAAF Betting Info 11/4

Tech Trends - Week 10
By Bruce Marshall

Friday, November 4

CENTRAL MICHIGAN at MIAMI-OHIO...Ugh! Chuck Martin 15-9 as dog since taking over at Miami in 2013 (4-2 TY). Chips 12-4 vs. spread last 16 as visitor, but no covers 4 of last 5 TY.

Slight to CMU, based on team trends.

TEMPLE at UCONN...Owls have covered last 8 TY and are 18-6 last 24 on board. Rhule 8-3 vs. number last 11 as visitor. Temple has dominated UConn last two years combined 63-13 score. Huskies 5-13 vs. points at home for Diaco since 2014.

Temple, based on team trends.

SAN JOSE STATE at BOISE STATE...Broncos now no covers last 7 as blue carpet chalk though Harsin rolled Spartans at San Jose LY. Caragher 2-12 last 14 as visiting dog.

Slight to Boise State, based on team trends.

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NCAAF Betting Info 11/4

NCAAF Betting Info 11/4

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