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NCAAF Betting Info 10/29

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  • #31
    Re: NCAAF Betting Info 10/29

    'Big 12 Clash'


    West Virginia at Oklahoma State October 29, 12:00 EST


    Oklahoma State (5-2 SU/ATS) off a 44-20 beatdown of Kansas this past weekend as -23.0 point road favorites have won three straight with a 2-1 record against the betting line. Pokes putting up 41.1 points/game on 336 passing, 143.7 rushing yards will have their hands full against visiting West Virginia (6-0, 3-3 ATS). The Mountaineers just shut down TCU’s fast-paced offense en route to a commanding 34-10 win last week and its defense is limiting opponents to just 17.8 point per game this season. Winning on the road is always a challenge, winning on the road against a conference rival an even bigger challenge. However, the road team in this series has won and covered the past two meetings and we see Mountaineers exacting revenge for last years loss in Morgantown. Consider laying the small number (-4.0). as Mountaineers are a profitable 6-2 ATS as road chalk of -4.5 or less while Pokes enter a money-burning 0-8 ATS as home underdogs in the same range, 2-10 ATS overall last twelve taking points in front of the home audience.

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    • #32
      Re: NCAAF Betting Info 10/29

      Tech Trends - Week 9
      By Bruce Marshall


      Saturday, Oct. 29


      MIAMI-OHIO at EASTERN MICHIGAN...EMU big turnaround with six straight covers TY and 7-1 vs. line. Eagles 2-0 as chalk TY after 0-4 mark in role 2012-15. Miami 11-5 vs. line away for Chuck Martin since 2014.


      Slight to EMU, based on recent trends.




      UCONN at EAST CAROLINA...UConn 1-0-2 vs. line away TY. Huskies have covered last two in series. ECU 3-7 as chalk since LY.


      UConn, based on team trends.




      NEW MEXICO STATE at TEXAS A&M... NMSU only 1-3 vs. line on road TY, 5-10 as visitor since 2014. Ags 2-0-1 as home chalk TY after 6-12 mark previous three seasons, but only 7-12 since 2013 laying DD.


      Slight to Texas A&M, based on team trends.




      MTSU at FIU...Golden Panthers have covered last two in series but Stockstill 15-7-1 as road chalk since 2006.


      Slight to MTSU, based on team trends.




      WKU at FAU...FAU has covered last two in series but on 1-7 spread skid since late 2015. Tops 4-2 vs. line last six on C-USA road.


      WKU, based on recent FAU woes.




      CINCINNATI at TEMPLE...Tuberville 1-4 vs. line last 5 TY and 3-8 last 11 on board. Owls have covered six straight TY.


      Temple, based on team trends.




      ARMY at WAKE FOREST...Wake doing most of its spread damage as dog TY, as Clawson only 1-2 as chalk TY and 3-6 in rare role since 2013. Army no covers last two on road after 7-0-2 spread run away from Michie.


      Army, based on team trends.




      MINNESOTA at ILLINOIS...Close wins as dog the past two years for Illini. But Gophers 5-0-1 vs. line last six away from home. Lovie 1-3 vs. spread as host TY and Illini just 3-9 last 12 as dog (1-2 TY).


      Slight to Minnesota, based on team trends.




      TEXAS TECH at TCU...Tech has covered 3 of 4 since TCU joined Big 12, but the loss was an 82-27 bomb job in 2014 at Fort Worth. Tech actually 8-3 last 11 on board and is 5-2 last 7 as visiting dog. Frogs only 1-6 vs. line TY and 0-4 at Amon Carter Stadium.


      Texas Tech, based on team and series trends.




      KANSAS at OKLAHOMA...OU has destroyed KU last two and 3 of last 4 meetings! Total score last two 106-14! Though OU just 5-4 as home chalk since LY, and 2-3 last five laying 30 or more. Jayhawks 0-3 vs. line on road TY and 3-10-1 as visiting dog since 2014.


      Oklahoma, based on team and recent series trends.




      PENN STATE at PURDUE...James Franklin 2-11 vs. spread away form home since 2014. PSU 0-5 as visiting chalk since 2013. But Purdue only 4-15 as Ross-Ade dog since 2012.


      Slight to Purdue, based on PSU road negatives.




      MARYLAND at INDIANA... Road dogs have won thumping decisions past two years. Hoosiers just 1-3 vs. line as host TY, 0-2 as home chalk, 8-11 in role since 2012.


      Slight to Maryland, based on series road trend.




      LOUISVILLE at VIRGINIA...Bronco Mendenhall teams at BYU & UVa 16-10 last 26 as dog (4-3 TY). Cards 2-0 as visiting chalk TY, but Cavs 8-3 last 11 as Charlottesville dog.


      Slight to Virginia, based on team trends.




      GEORGIA STATE at SOUTH ALABAMA... GSU has covered 5 in a row TY, now 17-4 as visiting dog since 2013! Jags 1-5-1 as Mobile chalk since 2014 (0-1 TY).


      Georgia State, based on team trends.




      KENT STATE at CENTRAL MICHIGAN...Flashes 6-9 as road dog since 2014. CMU 8-5 as Mt. Pleasant chalk since 2013 (2-1 TY) and 14-8 overall last 22 on board, though failing to cover 4 of last 5.


      Central Michigan, based on team trends.




      CLEMSON at FLORIDA STATE...Clemson has covered 6 of last 7 meetings though only 3-4 SU in those games. Tigers only 4-7 last 11 as visiting chalk. Jimbo 2-4 last 6 as dog overall.


      Slight to Clemson, based on series trends.




      KANSAS STATE at IOWA STATE...ISU has covered last two meetings though Cyclones haven’t beaten KSU since 2007, when Snyder was resting for a couple of years. Snyder 3-1 last four as road chalk. ISU had covered four straight this season before loss to Texas.


      Slight to Kansas State, based on series trends.




      BOSTON COLLEGE at NC STATE...BC 6-1-1 last eight as visiting dog (0-1 TY). But Addazio just 7-11-1 last 19 on board. Pack 10-3 as chalk since LY.


      N.C. State, based on recent trends.




      WEST VIRGINIA at OKLAHOMA STATE...OSU only 3-6 last nine vs. line as Big 12 host. Teams have split last two years with road dog winning each. Holgorsen was 0-3 as road dog LY, yet to have chance in role TY. Mounties 2-6 vs. spread last 8 away from Morgantown.


      Slight to Oklahoma State, based on team trends.




      MIAMI-FLA. at NOTRE DAME...Richt 0-3 SU and vs. line last three TY after loss at VPI, while Irish just 2-5 SU and vs. spread, 3-8 last 11 on board. Irish 1-4 vs. line last five at South Bend.


      Slight to Miami, based on recent ND woes.




      BAYLOR at TEXAS... Revenge for Baylor after being depleted at QB for season-ending loss vs. Horns LY. Though Bears 0-2 vs. line on road TY and 3-9 last 12 reg.-season games on board. Charlie Strong 3-0 vs. line at home TY, 6-2-2 at Austin since LY.


      Slight to Texas, based on team trends.




      TULSA at MEMPHIS...Tulsa 8-2 vs. line away from home since LY. Memphis only 4-9 vs. line last 13 on board.


      Tulsa, based on team trends.




      WASHINGTON STATE at OREGON STATE...Cougs on 13-4 spread uptick since early LY. Cougs also 8-2 vs. spread last 10 away from Pullman. Beavs have covered last 3 TY but were on 6-21-1 spread skid prior.


      WSU, based on recent trends.




      STANFORD at ARIZONA...Tree has covered 7 of last 9 away from Farm, including last two this season. No SU losses to UA since 2009 (4-0 SU since). Cats on 1-8 spread skid since late 2015, 4-13 last 17 on board.


      Stanford, based on team trends.




      NORTHWESTERN at OHIO STATE...Bucks haven’t lost to Cats since 2004, and that was first loss since ‘71. Urban Meyer 3-1 vs. line at Big Horseshoe TY after 1-6 home chalk mark in 2015. Bucks no covers last 3 this season and Cats have win outright as dog last two on road. Fitz 9-3 last 12 as road dog.


      Slight to Northwestern, based on recent trends.




      NEBRASKA at WISCONSIN... Huskers have won and covered last four away from Lincoln and Riley 7-3-1 vs. number last 11 on board. Badgers have won and covered four of last five meetings and thumped Huskers in three of those. Riley 3-1-1 as dog since LY but Chryst on 8-1 spread uptick.


      Slight to Wisconsin, based on series trends.




      MARSHALL at SOUTHERN MISS...Herd has headed south, only 2-5 SU and vs. line TY. Marshall has owned this series lately, however, winning and covering last five. USM only 2-5 vs. line for Jay Hopson.


      Slight to Marshall, based on series trends.




      DUKE at GEORGIA TECH...Duke has won and covered the past two meetings after Paul Johnson had beaten Cutcliffe 6 in a row SU prior. GT covering some numbers again (last two) after extended downtick (2-12 previous 14). Cutcliffe 14-5 last 19 as dog.


      Duke, based on recent team and series trends.




      GEORGIA vs. FLORIDA (at Jacksonville)...Gators have won and covered last two and 2-0-1 vs. line in series. UGa just 6-10 vs. line last 16 reg.-season games, though McElwain just 4-8 last 12 on board.


      Slight to Florida, based on recent series trends.




      AUBURN at OLE MISS... Malzahn 2-1 SU and vs. line against Freeze, with Ole Miss win LY. Auburn recuperating vs. number TY, now 6-1 last seven in 2016. Tigers have covered three straight away from Jordan-Hare. Freeze only 3-4 vs. line TY after several big spread years in past.


      Auburn, based on recent trends.




      TENNESSEE at SOUTH CAROLINA...Butch Jones had covered 6 of 7 away from Knoxville into this season but has covered just one of first three away TY. Last four in series decided by three or fewer, and dog covering last four. Muschamp just 2-3 as dog TY but was 8-3-1 as dog in his last four years with Florida.


      South Carolina, based on series trends.




      UCF at HOUSTON...UCF 5-2 vs. line for Scott Frost TY after the debacle of last season. Knights had won two previous games vs. Cougs before LY’s 59-10 loss. UH no covers last 4 TY and 0-2-1 vs. line at TDECU Stadium, just 3-6-1 at home since LY vs. line, 5-11-1 as home chalk since 2014.


      UCF, based on recent trends.




      RICE at LA TECH...LT has destroyed Rice by combined 118-48 past two seasons. Owls 3-7-1 as visiting dog since 2014. Skip Holtz 3-12 vs. spread since 2014.


      La Tech, based on recent team and series trends.




      BOISE STATE at WYOMING...Boise has rolled Wyo past two seasons though could not cover as 35-point chalk LY. In winning six straight vs. Cowboys, Broncos have never prevailed by fewer than 20 points. Broncs 5-0-1 vs. line last six away from blue carpet. Bohl 8-4 last 12 as dog.


      Boise State, based on series trends.




      NORTH TEXAS at UTSA...UNT 5-0-1 vs. line last six TY, Mean Green now 9-4-1 vs. spread since McCarney fired midway thru LY. UTSA only 3-10 as chalk since 2014 (0-2TY).


      North Texas, based on team trends.




      KENTUCKY at MISSOURI... UK broke 3-game SU and spread losing streak vs. Mizzou LY. Stoops rallying with four covers in a row TY. Tigers on 5-13 spread skid since LY (2-4 for Odom).


      Kentucky, based on recent trends.




      ULM at ARKANSAS STATE...Red Wolves have won and covered last six vs. ULM and ASU is 10-5 vs. line at home past two seasons. No covers last three TY for Warhawks.


      Slight to Arkansas Sate, based on series trends.




      OLD DOMINION at UTEP.. Miners lost at Norfolk LY and just 8-12-2 last 22 on board since late 2014. No more Sun Bowl magic for UTEP, which has dropped last three vs. spread at home.


      Old Dominion, based on recent trends.




      MICHIGAN at MICHIGAN STATE...Wolves last won SU vs. Spartans in 2012 but no covers last 9 in series vs. MSU. Spartans 1-6 vs. line in 2016 and now 3-8 vs. number last 11 at East Lansing. Dantonio still 11-2 last 13 as dog (1-0 TY).


      Slight to Michigan State, based on series trends.




      WASHINGTON at UTAH...Utes won at Seattle LY. Huskies 1-1 vs. line away TY and only 3-3- last six in role, though Petersen on 8-2 spread surge since late LY. Whittingham 6-2 last 8 as dog.


      Slight to Washington, based on recent trends.




      ARIZONA STATE at OREGON...Ducks now on 5-game SU losing streak after Cal loss, and 0-5-2 vs. line TY. Ducks just 2-9 vs. spread last 11 at Autzen Stadium. ASU however 0-3 vs. line away TY as home team has covered last seven Sun Devils games.


      Slight to ASU, based on recent Duck woes.




      UNLV at SAN JOSE STATE...SJSU 3-0 SU and vs. line against Rebs since joining MW. Rebs only 2-5 vs. line last 7 away for Sanchez, though Spartans only 2-5 vs. line in 2016..


      Slight to SJSU, based on series trends.




      NEW MEXICO at HAWAII...Bows only 2-7 vs. line last 9 at Aloha and no covers last five as home chalk. Though Hawaii is 5-2 vs. line TY in Rolo debut. Lobos 12-7-1 vs. line away since 2014.


      Slight to New Mexico, based on team trends.

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      • #33
        Re: NCAAF Betting Info 10/29

        StatFox Super Situations


        CFB*|*NEW MEXICO*at*HAWAII
        Play On - Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW MEXICO) excellent offensive team - scoring 35 or more points/game, after a win by 17 or more points
        41-15*over the last 5 seasons.**(*73.2%*|*24.5 units*)
        4-4*this year.**(*50.0%*|*-0.4 units*)


        CFB*|*MIAMI OHIO*at*E MICHIGAN
        Play On - A home team vs. the money line (E MICHIGAN) good offensive team (390 to 440 YPG) against an average offensive team (330 to 390 YPG), after allowing 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game
        35-14*over the last 10 seasons.**(*71.4%*|*0.0 units*)
        0-1*this year.**(*0.0%*|*0.0 units*)


        CFB*|*RICE*at*LOUISIANA TECH
        Play On - Home favorites of 12 or more points vs. the 1rst half line (LOUISIANA TECH) after having won 4 out of their last 5 games, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a losing record
        46-18*over the last 10 seasons.**(*71.9%*|*26.2 units*)
        0-1*this year.**(*0.0%*|*-1.1 units*)


        CFB*|*UCF*at*HOUSTON
        Play Against - Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (HOUSTON) with an excellent rushing D - allowing 100 or less rushing yards/game, after gaining 2 or less rushing yards/attempt last game
        41-15*since 1997.**(*73.2%*|*24.5 units*)


        CFB*|*MIDDLE TENN ST*at*FLA INTERNATIONAL
        Play Over - All teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 after gaining 450 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games, with 5 defensive starters returning
        46-18*over the last 10 seasons.**(*71.9%*|*26.2 units*)
        1-5*this year.**(*16.7%*|*-4.5 units*)

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