NCAAF Betting Info 10/22

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Re: NCAAF Betting Info 10/22

Tech Trends - Week 8
By Bruce Marshall


Saturday, Oct. 21


NORTH TEXAS at ARMY...UNT 4-0-1 vs. line last five for Seth Littrell. Army 2-1 as chalk TY but 5-11 laying points since 2011.


UNT, based on recent trends.




EASTERN MICHIGAN at WESTERN MICHIGAN...EMU covers last 5 and 6 of last 7 TY. But rampaging WMU 6-1 vs. line TY, 8-1 dating to late 2015 Broncos have crushed EMU last two but did lose to Eagles in 2013.


WMU, based on team trends.




SYRACUSE at BOSTON COLLEGE...Home team has won and covered last three in series. But BC just 3-5 last 8 as chalk and 2-5 vs. spread last seven at Chestnut Hill.


Syracuse, based on team trends.




RUTGERS at MINNESOTA...‘Gers now no covers last 8 Big Ten games. Scarlet Knights 3-9 as dog since LY, 3-10 last 13 as DD dog.


Minnesota, based on recent Rutgers negatives.




EAST CAROLINA at CINCINNATI...Tuberville 1-5 vs. line TY, 7-13-1 last 21 on board. Also 2-7-1 vs. line last 10 at Nippert. Pirates were 7-3 L10 as dog entering 2015 but 1-2-1 in role TY.


Slight to ECU, based on Cincy negatives.




TCU at WEST VIRGINIA...Frogs 7-3 as dog since 2013. Holgorsen just 7-14 last 21 vs. line and 10-17 as home chalk since 2011.


TCU, based on team trends.




INDIANA at NORTHWESTERN...Cats 1-3 vs. line at home TY, 8-17 vs. spread at Dyche/Ryan Field since 2013. IU 4-1 last five as dog.


Indiana, based on team trends.




PURDUE at NEBRASKA...Purdue 8-3 in road dog role (1-1 TY) since 2014. Also covered last 2 vs. Huskers and beat Riley LY. Huskers 2-1-1 as home chalk TY but were just 7-12 in role prior three seasons.


Slight to Purdue, based on team trends.




OKLAHOMA STATE at KANSAS...Home team has covered last five in series, which means Gundy couldn’t cover last two at Lawrence. OSU 1-3-1 last five as visiting chalk. Gundy only 5-8 last 13 laying DD. KU just 2-7 last 9 vs. spread in Big 12 but 1-0 as home dog TY.


Slight to Kansas, based on series home trends.




WISCONSIN at IOWA...If Hawks chalk note 9-20 mark in role at Iowa City since 2012. Badgers 5-1 vs. spread last six as visitor for Chryst, who is 7-1 last eight on board. If dog note Wiscy 8-1 last 9 in role.


Wisconsin, especially if dog, based on team trends.




NORTH CAROLINA at VIRGINIA...Bronco Mendenhall, now 16-8 as dog with BYU and UVa since 2011. Cavs 7-2 as home dog since 2014. But Heels have won and covered 5 of last 6 meetings.


Slight to Virginia, based on team trends.




NC STATE at LOUISVILLE...Pack was 0-5 as dog LY, and favored team is 15-4 in NCS games since LY. ‘Ville 6-2 L8 on board .


Louisville, based on recent trends.




CENTRAL MICHIGAN at TOLEDO... Toledo has won SU last six meetings, 5-1 vs. line in those. Rockets 12-4 last 16 on board, though only 2-3 last five as Glass Bowl chalk. CMU 7-1 as visiting dog since 2014.


Slight to Toledo, based on series trends.




AKRON at BALL STATE...Ball 5-2 vs. line for Neu, though Cards just 1-1 at home. Ball 4-10 vs. spread at Muncie since 2014. But Akron just 4-11 vs. line last 15 as visitor.


Slight to Ball State, based on recent trends.




LA TECH at FIU...FIU 3-0 SU for Ron Cooper! LT 13-6 vs. spread last 19 away from home but only 2-3 as road chalk since LY.


Slight to Louisiana Tech, based on team trends.




HAWAII at AIR FORCE...Rolovich 3-1 vs. line away TY. But Force 11-3-1 vs. line at Falcon Stadium since 2014.


Slight to Air Force, based on team trends.




UL-LAFAYETTE at TEXAS STATE...Ugh! ULL has romped last three seasons but Cajuns only 4-5-1 as chalk since LY. TSU on 4-11 spread skid since early LY (2-3 for Withers).


Slight to ULL, based on series trends.




IDAHO at APP STATE... App only 3-5 as Boone chalk since LY, 5-8 in role since 2014. Vandals 8-1 vs. points last nine as Sun Belt visitor! Also 12-3 last 15 as away dog since 2014.


Idaho, based on team trends.




UMASS at SOUTH CAROLINA...Muschamp 1-0 as chalk TY but Cocks 5-9 L14 in role and Mushamp was 8-15 as chalk his last three years at Florida.


Slight to UMass, based on extended SC and Muschamp chalk trends.




CHARLOTTE at MARSHALL...Herd 1-3 vs. line at home TY after 13-4-1 mark previous three seasons as host.


Slight to Charlotte, based on recent trends.




ULM at NEW MEXICO...Davie just 2-4 last six as home chalk. ULM 4-1 as dog since late 2015 (2-1 in role TY for Matt Viator).


ULM, based on recent trends.




BUFFALO at NORTHERN ILLINOIS...Leipold really skidding, Bulls 2-9 vs. spread last 11 on board. No covers last six on road.


NIU, based on UB negatives.




UCF at UCONN...If UConn chalk note 0-15 mark in role dating to Pasqualoni in 2012! Diaco 0-9 as chalk since 2014 though he has won and covered last two vs. UCF! But Huskies covers last three TY.


UCF, especially of dog, based on team trends.




OHIO at KENT STATE...Solich has won and covered last two vs. Kent after failing to cover previous five vs. Golden Flashes. Solich now six straight covers away from home!


Ohio, based on recent trends.




WASHINGTON STATE at ARIZONA STATE...Leach on 13-3 spread uptick last 16 on board! Leach also 8-1 last nine vs. points away from Pullman! Graham just 7-13 as dog since 2012 with Sun Devils (1-2 TY).


WSU, based on team trends.




OKLAHOMA at TEXAS TECH...Sooners 1-3 vs. line last four away from Norman but are 7-3 last 10 as visiting favorite (counts UH game at NRG). Red Raiders 8-3 vs. line last 11 at Lubbock.


Slight to Texas Tech, based on team trends.




ILLINOIS at MICHIGAN...Wolves only 3-2 as home chalk TY, 7-4 since LY. Harbaugh is 3-0 laying 30 or more TY. Illini 6-15 vs. spread away since 2012 (includes 0-5 in 2012).


Michigan and Harbaugh, based on team trends.




HOUSTON at SMU...Cougs 20-3-1 vs. line last 24 away from TDECU Stadium! SMU 2-9 as home dog since 2014.


Houston, based on team trends.




MEMPHIS at NAVY...Mids 9-4 last 13 as dog and 8-1-1 vs. spread last ten at Annapolis. Memphis no covers last 4 on road.


Navy, based on team trends.




WYOMING at NEVADA...Bohl 8-5-1 last 14 on board, but only 1-4 vs. spread away from Laramie. Cowboys haven’t covered as road chalk since 2013 (0-2 since). Polian lost at Wyo LY and just 1-6 vs. line in 2016.


Wyoming, based on recent trends.




TULANE at TULSA...Wave 2-0 vs. line on road for Willie Fritz, whose Ga So and Wave teams are 10-5 vs. points as visitor since 2014. Tulsa 2-7 vs. line as host since LY.


Tulane, based on team trends.




OREGON STATE at WASHINGTON...Huskies 8-3 last 11 as home chalk and 7-2 vs. spread last nine overall since late 2015. U-Dub has also won and covered last four vs. Beavs with routs last three.


Washington, based on team and series trends.




MIAMI-OHIO at BOWLING GREEN...Falcs covers last 2 TY but had failed to cover previous six on board since Babers left before bowl LY. Miami 10-5 vs. line on road for Chuck Martin since 2014.


Miami-Ohio, based on team trends.




MISSISSIPPI STATE at KENTUCKY...Dan Mullen 5-1-1 vs. line against UK since arriving in 2009. Bulldogs 7-2-1 last ten vs. line on SEC road. UK 4-9-1 vs. spread last 14 at Lexington.


Miss State, based on series and team trends.




UTEP at UTSA...Strange series with road dog winning big last three meetings. But Miners 2-6-1 vs. spread last 9 away and UTSA has covered last two at Alamodome TY.


UTSA, based on recent team trends.




ODU at WESTERN KENTUCKY...ODU has covered last three TY and is 7-3 last ten on board. WKU won and covered shootouts past two years. Tops 7-3 as home chalk past two years but 1-4-1 vs. spread last 6 TY.


Slight to ODU, based on recent trends.




TEXAS at KANSAS STATE...Home team has won and covered last four in series, and Snyder has won and covered big last three at home vs. Texas. Charlie 1-5 last six as visiting dog.


Kansas State, based on team and series trends.




COLORADO at STANFORD...CU 7-0 vs. line TY, 12-2 last 14 on board and covers last 4 as dog. Tree 2-4 vs. line last six in Palo Alto.


Colorado, based on recent trends.




MICHIGAN STATE at MARYLAND... Dantonio has won and covered last two vs. Terps but Spartans currently on 1-7 spread skid and 6-14 last 20 on board. MSU 0-5 as road chalk since LY.


Slight to Maryland, based on recent MSU negatives.




MTSU at MISSOURI...Barry Odom 2-0 as chalk (counting Delaware State) TY. MTSU 4-9-1 last 14 as dog away from Murfreesboro.


Mizzou, based on recent trends.




GEORGIA SOUTHERN at NEW MEXICO STATE...GaSo 4-1 as visiting chalk since LY but 1-4 overall vs. line for Summers TY. Home team has covered last two in series. Ags won outright first two as home dog TY.


Slight to NMSU, based on recent trends.




UTAH at UCLA... Mora 2-7 last 9 on board. Bruins 2-8 vs. spread last ten at Rose Bowl. Visiting team has covered last four in series. Utes 11-5 vs. line away since 2014.


Utah, based on team and series road trends.




OLE MISS at LSU...Orgeron 7-3 vs. line as interim since 2013 with SC and LSU. Home team has covered last three in series. Freeze 12-6 as dog for Rebs since 2012. LSU 10-5-1 as Baton Rouge chalk since 2014.


Slight to LSU, based on recent series home trends.




ARKANSAS at AUBURN...Malzahn 5-1 vs. line TY after 3-15 spread skid. Bielema 10-2 previous 12 as dog before A&M & Bama Ls.


Slight to Arkansas, based on team trends.




OHIO STATE at PENN STATE...Urban 4-0 SU, 3-1 vs. line against PSU since 2012. Bucks on 6-2 spread uptick since late 2015. Urban 9-2 vs. spread last ten away from Big Horseshoe. James Franklin 9-18-1 last 28 on board, no covers last two as home dog, 1-6 last seven as dog overall.


Ohio State, based on team and series trends.




TEXAS A&M at ALABAMA... Nick has won last 3 SU and covered last two vs. A&M. Ags 3-6 as visiting dog since 2013 (1-0 TY). Bama just 3-6-1 as home chalk since LY.


Slight to Alabama, based on recent series trends.




COLORADO STATE at UNLV... Rebs 5-9 vs. spread last 14, though 4-3 as chalk since LY. Rams 4-1 vs. line last 4 as visitor.


Slight to Colorado State, based on team trends.




FRESNO STATE at UTAH STATE...FSU 2-9 vs. line last 11 as dog away from home. Utags romped 56-14 LY at Dog House.


Utah State, based on FSU negatives.

[TheGame]

Re: NCAAF Betting Info 10/22

CFB: Scoring at a premium'


Wisconsin Badgers at Iowa Hawkeyes October 22, 12:00 EST


Iowa and Wisconsin are two teams built on defense. Through their first 7 games, Hawkeyes (5-2, 3-4 ATS) have surrendered 19.1 points/game. Wisky (4-2, 5-1 ATS) which has a defense that has to be ranked as one of the best in the nation is allowing 15.2 per/contest. Niether offense is not going to get a lot of points, expect a repeat of last years tussle that saw Iowa nip Badgers 10-6. Hawkeyes 1-4-1 O/U taking points at home, 1-5 O/U scoring 24 or less in front of the friendly crowd at Kinnick Stadium, Badgers 2-9-1 O/U in unfriendly territory consider 'Under'.

[TheGame]

Re: NCAAF Betting Info 10/22

'SEC Showdown'


Texas A&M at Alabama October 22, 3:30 EST


Huge Southeastern Conference Showdow in Tuscaloosa when top-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide (7-0, 5-2 ATS) hosts Texas A&M Aggies (6-0, 4-2 ATS). This past weekend, the Crimson Tide went to Tennessee and spanked Vols 49-10 as a 14-point road favorite recording a 19th consecutive victory with a money-making 12-7 record against the betting line. Aggies off a 'BYE' were last seen taking down those same Volunteers 45-38 in double overtime but failed at the betting window as 7.5 point home chalk. Opening odds had 'Bama' 16.5 point favorites but has since been bumped* to 18.0 across all shops.


Defense the moniker for Crimson Tide allowing a lowly 15.0 points/game on 274.7 total yards along with an unstoppable offense lead by QB Jalen Hurts racking up 504.7 yards/game split between 239 passing, 265.7 rushing yards/game will be difficult to beat in confines of Bryant-Denny Stadium. Tide are on an 23-1 stretch in front of the friendly crowd.


However, you do bet Alabama at some risk as Tide did struggled against the betting line in those twenty-four home games (11-12-1 ATS), have failed to cash in four of the past five hosting an SEC opponent and have dropped the loot in seven of its last ten overall laying 15 or more points.

[TheGame]

Re: NCAAF Betting Info 10/22

StatFox Super Situations


CFB*|*IDAHO*at*APPALACHIAN ST
Play Against - Home favorites (APPALACHIAN ST) after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games against opponent after a win by 21 or more points
41-15*over the last 5 seasons.**(*73.2%*|*24.5 units*)
3-2*this year.**(*60.0%*|*0.8 units*)


CFB*|*WYOMING*at*NEVADA
Play On - Road favorites of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (WYOMING) average passing team (175-230 PY/game) against an average passing defense (175-230 PY/game)
89-45*over the last 10 seasons.**(*66.4%*|*39.5 units*)
3-1*this year.**(*75.0%*|*1.9 units*)


CFB*|*WYOMING*at*NEVADA
Play Against - A home team vs. the money line (NEVADA) off a road loss against a conference rival against opponent off a win against a conference rival
181-87*over the last 5 seasons.**(*67.5%*|*0.0 units*)
14-8*this year.**(*63.6%*|*0.0 units*)


CFB*|*AKRON*at*BALL ST
Play Over - Any team against the total off a home blowout loss by 28 points or more, with a winning record on the season
46-18*over the last 10 seasons.**(*71.9%*|*26.2 units*)
0-2*this year.**(*0.0%*|*-2.2 units*)


CFB*|*WISCONSIN*at*IOWA
Play On - Road favorites of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (WISCONSIN) average passing team (175-230 PY/game) against an average passing defense (175-230 PY/game)
89-45*over the last 10 seasons.**(*66.4%*|*39.5 units*)
3-1*this year.**(*75.0%*|*1.9 units*)


CFB*|*COLORADO*at*STANFORD
Play On - A road team vs. the money line (COLORADO) excellent offensive team (>=6.2 YPP) against a team with a poor defense (5.6 to 6.2 YPP), after allowing 225 or less total yards in their previous game
25-6*over the last 10 seasons.**(*80.6%*|*0.0 units*)
3-1*this year.**(*75.0%*|*0.0 units*)

[TheGame]

Re: NCAAF Betting Info 10/22

NCAA Football Betting Odds: Week 8 Line Movements & Last-Minute News
by Alan Matthews


Now that we are in Week 8 of the college football season, it's a good time to look at some updated Heisman odds because most consider this the start of the second half of the season with almost every team having played at least six of its 12-game regular-season schedule.


The Heisman favorite remains Louisville quarterback Lamar Jackson at -200. And the super sophomore should be the favorite as he has been easily the most electrifying player in the land this season. Jackson has accounted for 30 touchdowns, which is more than 98 FBS teams have scored at this point. The one thing that could hurt Jackson the rest of the way is that Louisville won't get a ton of attention as it plays a really weak schedule other than a trip to No 11 Houston -- and that has lost luster with the Cougars losing to Navy and then nearly losing last week to Tulsa. The No. 7 Cards are -19 this week against a dangerous NC State team.


Ohio State quarterback J.T. Barrett is at +550 and Clemson quarterback Deshaun Watson at +750. Barrett's No. 2 Buckeyes could be tested a bit this week at Penn State, although OSU is a 19.5-point favorite. Ohio State still has marquee games vs. Nebraska, Michigan State (though the Spartans are way down this year) and Michigan. Watson's No. 4 Tigers are off ahead of their season-defining trip to Florida State next week.


I don't think that he will win it, but the best overall player in college football this season has been Michigan do-it-all Jabrill Peppers, who is +1000 to join former Wolverine Charles Woodson as the only defensive players to win the Heisman. Peppers plays defensive back and hybrid linebacker and has 38 tackles, 10 tackles for loss, 2.5 sacks, six quarterback hurries and one forced fumble. He also gets some carries in the backfield (five carries for 98 yards and two scores) and is a very good kick returner (one TD). That guy is going to be a superstar in the NFL. The No. 3 Wolverines are -36 this week against visiting Illinois. Be aware that Illini starting quarterback Wes Lunt is questionable with a back injury.


Here are some news, notes and any major line moves for some of Saturday's games around the country, in no particular order.


Oregon State at No. 5 Washington (-36.5, 54.5): The Huskies are the biggest favorites on the board. And while that's a ton of points to give to a Power 5 Conference rival, you might want to because the Beavers are without their top two quarterbacks and leading rusher -- plus UW is rested off its bye week, although the Huskies could be looking ahead to next week's tough trip to No. 19 Utah. In last week's 19-14 loss to the Utes, OSU starting quarterback Darell Garretson and backup Conor Blount left with injuries in back-to-back possessions. Garretson's season is over with a broken ankle and Blount is out at least this week with a knee issue. So sophomore third-stringer Marcus McMaryion gets the call. He was 5-for-9 for 76 yards off the bench against Utah and did play in seven games last year, starting one. If he gets hurt, the team will have to burn a redshirt it was hoping to use on freshman Mason Moran. Meanwhile, running back Ryan Nall is likely out with a foot injury. He had 221 yards and three TDs two weeks ago in an upset of Cal but aggravated a foot injury on his first carry vs. Utah. Thus it would be a minor miracle if OSU scores Saturday against one of the nation's best defenses.


Colorado at Stanford (-2, 49.5): I didn't think the Cardinal could win at Notre Dame last week without star running back Christian McCaffrey, but they did 17-10 -- although I think that says more about how bad the Irish are this season. McCaffrey is considered questionable for this one with his undisclosed injury. It's too bad he couldn't go pro after last season when his stock was sky high. It has definitely slipped this year. If McCaffrey can't go, Bryce Love would make his second career start and he had 129 yards and the winning touchdown vs. Notre Dame. This game means much more to the Buffs, who are tied for first in the Pac-12 South with Utah. Are you aware that Colorado is the only unbeaten ATS team in the nation at 7-0 ATS?


Texas at Kansas State (-3, 56.5): This total has dropped two points. Here's a Big 12 matchup where I think both coaches will not be on their respective sideline next season. No chance Charlie Strong will be back at Texas, and Bill Snyder is likely to retire (for good this time) at K-State. There was some question earlier this week whether Wildcats starting quarterback Jesse Ertz would be able to start after leaving last week's loss to Oklahoma in the third quarter with an arm injury. It is thought he will go. Ertz is a solid dual-threat QB, but K-State's offense ranks last in the Big 12 and 115th nationally in yards (342.7) and last in the Big 12 and 112th nationally in passing yards (167). KSU has won four straight at home vs. Texas.


No. 23 Ole Miss at No. 25 LSU (-6.5, 60.5): This line has risen two points, and I'm guessing it's because the Tigers are expecting star tailback Leonard Fournette -- another guy who would have benefitted from going pro after last year -- to return from his ankle injury. Fournette has missed three games this season, including the last two, because of a nagging ankle injury he initially suffered in an August scrimmage. He has rushed for at least 100 yards in the three games he has played. Backup Derris Guice performed well enough when Fournette was out that interim LSU coach Ed Orgeron says he will rotate the two backs to keep them fresh. With a win here, LSU is very much in the SEC West race as it still plays co-leaders Alabama and Texas A&M, and one of those two will lose Saturday.


No. 17 Arkansas at No. 21 Auburn (-9.5, 55.5): This line also has risen two points and the SEC clearly owns the weekend as this is the third Top-25 matchup of the weekend along with Ole Miss-LSU and Texas A&M-Alabama. The injury to watch here is to Auburn top tailback Kerryon Johnson. He hurt his ankle on Oct. 8 vs. Mississippi State, but Auburn was on the bye last week and that has improved his chances of playing. Johnson leads the Tigers with 538 yards and six rushing touchdowns on the season, averaging 5.1 yards per carry. Auburn is also very much alive in the SEC West with a win, as like LSU it is 2-1 in the conference. However, Auburn already lost to Texas A&M and has to travel to Alabama to close the season.