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**TheGame** · 10-14-2013, 08:44 PM

College Football Betting News and Notes - Week 7
By Andrew Lange
Sportsmemo.com

Three weeks, three total meltdowns for Air Force in the second half. The end result for the Falcons was 0-3 SU/1-2 ATS.

at Nevada - AFA had a 35-24 lead heading into the fourth quarter. Nevada scored back-to-back touchdowns with six minutes remaining to win 45-42.

at Navy - AFA led 10-7 at half but was outscored 21-0 after the break and not only lost straight up but failed to cover +13.5.

vs. San Diego State - Catching +3.5, AFA was all but handed a pointspread cover with a 20-6 lead heading into the fourth quarter. Three SDSU touchdowns later the final score read 27-20.

It was only one game, and against a porous Arizona defense, but USC looked a lot more aggressive following the departure of Lane Kiffin. Cody Kessler averaged nearly 10 yards per attempt and the Trojans ran 75 plays and racked up 546 yards. Also note that after feasting on a handful of sub-par offenses, USC's defense allowed both Arizona State and Arizona to move the ball will relative ease (1,120 yards, 7.6 ypp combined). It'll be interesting to see what stop unit shows up this weekend in South Bend. In theory, the Irish should be the type of offense the Trojans can contain.

I don't think I've ever seen a play differential like this one: South Carolina ran 89 offensive plays while Arkansas ran only 37. Despite losing 52-7, the Razorbacks actually averaged 0.7 ypp more than the Gamecocks. Arkansas' biggest problem right now is an inability to throw the football. Saturday will mark the one month anniversary of the last time UA had a game in which they completed more than 50% of its passes.

Marshall's string of UNDERS (in regulation) continued with a 24-23 (O/U 56) win at Florida Atlantic. The Thundering Herd are now 1-5 O/U overall – the lone over coming in overtime vs. Virginia Tech. I’ll compare this transformation to that of the New Orleans Saints. For years the Saints churned out high scoring affairs thanks to a potent offense and horrific defense. This year's stop unit has been much improved and for the most part the Saints have been a dead nuts UNDER team. Same deal with Marshall who quietly ranks 10th nationally in total defense (298.2 ypg allowed). Now all of a sudden in-game decisions are being made based on the defense’s ability to make stops. Who would have ever thought Florida Atlantic would outgain Marshall in a game?

This is a conservative estimate but both Michigan and Penn State should have won the game at least four times apiece prior to it being decided after four overtimes – the highlight of course being five missed field goals. For the Wolverines it marked their first loss of the season but there appears to be plenty more looming on the horizon: vs. Indiana, at Michigan State, vs. Nebraska, at Northwestern, at Iowa, vs. Ohio State. I'd be shocked if Big Blue didn't lose at least three of those games.

What a season it has been for Utah with games decided by 4, 3, 7, 7, and 6. The Utes could be 2-4 or 6-0 based on just a couple of plays. I think their true record of 4-2 is about right and there was nothing fraudulent about the win over Stanford. This team certainly doesn't "wow" you visually, nor does their statistical profile of 31st total offense, 73rd total defense, and a -3 TO margin. Note that the Utes have yet to get on a plane with five home games and a quick trip to Provo to face rival BYU. Four out of their next five are on the highway starting this weekend in Tucson.

Been a rough go of it for Georgia Tech after three straight losses. I'm going to try to give this group some benefit of the doubt – Virginia Tech and Miami are pretty good and there isn't much point to a mid-season trip to BYU. I think the next three weeks set up well with ACC/option newbies Syracuse and Pitt at home and a trip to Virginia.

Don't look now but South Florida is tied atop the AAC standings at 2-0 following wins over Cincinnati and UConn. How that occurred is somewhat smoke and mirrors considering USF was outgained 656-469. The remaining schedule for the Bulls is brutal with Louisville, Memphis, SMU, Houston, UCF, and Rutgers.

I keep reading on Twitter how bad PAC-12 refs have been this season. Not sure if there is a connection but in terms of penalty yards per game I see the following: Oregon State (78th nationally), Colorado (93rd), USC (97th), Oregon (114th), California (119th), UCLA (124th), and Washington (125th).

**TheGame** · 10-14-2013, 08:44 PM

Top 25 Betting Recap - Week 7
By Mike Rose
VegasInsider.com

Week 7 of the 2013 NCAA football betting season is in the books, and today, we're going to be taking a look at each of the Top 25 teams in the land and see how they fared from an ATS perspective in this go around this past week.

(Results in parentheses represent SU Result-ATS Result)

1: Alabama (W-W vs. Kentucky 48-7)
Bama has now put up two straight great games, and it is starting to look like that game against LSU is the only one that could prove problematic this year.

2: Oregon (W-W vs. Washington 45-24)
The offense was slow at the start, but the Ducks got the job done to seize control of the Pac-12 North.

3: Clemson (W-L vs. Boston College 24-14)
The Tigers were pushed right off the bat, but they scored 14 in the fourth to avoid the upset against BC on the eve of the FSU game.

4: Ohio State (Bye)
In a week of carnage, the Buckeyes were off, and they have to be happy about that.

5: Stanford (L-L vs. Utah 27-21)
The Cardinal were always warned to be on upset alert, and they couldn't figure out how to beat the Utes in what probably will ruin their National Championship hopes.

6: Florida State (Bye)
The Noles probably learned a lot about Clemson watching Boston College challenge it for the full 60 minutes.

7: Georgia (L-L vs. Missouri 41-26)
In what might be the biggest shock of the weekend, the Dawgs were busted by Mizzou.

8: Louisville (W-L vs. Rutgers 24-10)
The Cards were really never figured to cover against the Scarlet Knights, but they had to be encouraged by all of the Top 25 losses around them.

9: Texas A&M (W-L vs. Ole Miss 41-38)
The Aggies had to hold on with everything that they had to stop the Rebs in Oxford.

10: LSU (W-W vs. Florida 17-6)
That LSU defense finally put forth a tremendous game, and if this unit can match the productivity of the offense, this team is a legit National Championship contender.

11: UCLA (W-W vs. Cal 37-10)
The Bruins defense deserves a lot of credit for holding the Golden Bears to just 10 points.

12: Oklahoma (L-L vs. Texas 36-20)
The Sooners were the only team that probably could have saved Mack Brown's job. They succeeded by losing by 16 as 14-point favorites.

13: Miami (Bye)
Thursday's game against North Carolina is one of the biggest in the ACC Coastal Division this year.

14: South Carolina (W-W vs. Arkansas 52-7)
In a week where SEC teams struggled big time, the Gamecocks figured out how to destroy Arkansas.

15: Baylor (W-L vs. Kansas State 35-25)
Baylor didn't figure out how to cover KSU, but at least it won the game on the road, something that a lot of teams weren't good enough to do this week.

16: Washington (L-L vs. Oregon 45-24)
U-Dub is still one of the best 25 teams in the land as we see it, but it isn't good enough to stick with Oregon or Stanford.

17: Florida (L-L vs. LSU 17-6)
The Gators lost to LSU this week, and they have games against Mizzou, Georgia, Vandy, South Carolina, and FSU still left. This could barely be a bowl team this year!

18: Michigan (L-L vs. Penn State 43-40)
It's amazing that it took four overtimes, but in the end, Michigan lost its perfect season against Penn State.

19: Northwestern (L-L vs. Wisconsin 35-6)
There's a reason that the Wildcats were double digit dogs on the road at Camp Randall.

20: Texas Tech (W-L vs. Iowa State 42-35)
The Red Raiders never trailed, but they were never covering against Iowa State either.

21: Fresno State (Bye)
No team did better with a bye this week than Fresno State, which really needs a lot of teams to lose in front of it to get into the BCS this year.

22: Oklahoma State (Bye)
The Pokes had a chance to get their feet back under them with a bye week, and the OU loss really puts the Big XII title right back into play.

23: Northern Illinois (W-L vs. Akron)
The Huskies were lucky to survive against the Zips, who have now challenged a pair of Top 25 teams this year.

24: Virginia Tech (W-W vs. Pittsburgh 19-9)
With six straight wins, the Hokies are once again in a position to win the ACC Coastal Division this year.

25: Missouri Tigers (W-W vs. Georgia 41-26)
The 'Zou is going to be wild next week when the Tigers get back home after the upset of Georgia, but losing QB James Franklin is going to hurt.

**TheGame** · 10-14-2013, 08:47 PM

NCAAF line watch: Florida State backers sit tight
By BRUCE MARSHALL

Each week during the college football season, renowned Las Vegas wiseguy and Covers Expert Bruce Marshall looks at the NCAAF odds and tells you which spread to bet now, which one to bet later, and which total to watch as the week plays out.

Spread to bet now

Connecticut Huskies at Cincinnati Bearcats (-14)

There are a handful of games each week in which the only moves in one particular direction are going to come at the outset. Such as last week’s Hawaii-UNLV game, when the “sharps” moved the initial price in the Rebels’ direction, then watched as the public gradually shoved the line the other way the rest of the week.

This week’s example of a team “only the sharps could love” is troubled and winless UConn, which surprisingly generated enough early action at +16 for this Saturday’s American clash at Cincinnati that the price quickly dipped as low as 14 at many Nevada wagering outlets.

In truth, however, the burst of early Huskies’ money was probably more of a reaction to perceived overvalue on the part of Tommy Tuberville’s Cincy, which has dropped four of its last five against the spread after opening with a lopsided win over Purdue, a result that in retrospect perhaps distorted the perception of the Bearcats.

But Cincy’s failure to cover in three straight versus teams all winless at the time (Miami-Ohio, South Florida, and Temple) has understandably soured the marketplace (and, apparently, the sharp money) on the Bearcats.

We suspect the early move on this Saturday’s game was almost completely due to the growing anti-Cincinnati sentiment among the sharps.

The public money, however, might not share the same degree of misgiving about the Bearcats, and is instead more likely to react to the negative news surrounding UConn, which has not only changed coaches in midstream (Paul Pasqualoni out, o.c. T.J. Weist promoted to interim HC), but has also switched QBs.

Indeed, Weist’s first move was benching incumbent starter Chandler Whitmer and replacing him with true frosh Tim Boyle, who proceeded to complete only 15 of his 43 pass attempts in his first start last Saturday against USF.

Series trends between these sides also heavily favor the home team, which has covered seven of the last eight meetings.

The bottom line is that we foresee no further money moves in UConn’s direction. There are enough 14s currently posted at Las Vegas books for Cincy-inclined backers to take advantage ASAP at the current reduced price before the spread inevitably moves above that key number later in the week.

Spread to wait on

Florida State Seminoles (-3) at Clemson Tigers

It has been a while since the nation has been as transfixed upon an ACC gridiron battle as it will for this Saturday’s FSU at Clemson tussle. Expect action to be brisk at the Las Vegas sports books for this clash with not only ACC, but BCS and even Heisman Trophy ramifications.

Early movement in this price was hard to detect, but it’s what we didn’t see that caught our attention. Specifically, there was not enough appetite for the Seminoles among the sharps or the first wave of public money to move the price above the key number of FSU -3. In fact, for a short while there were a few stray 2.5s popping up in the marketplace, but for the most part there has been no early movement off of the key number of 3.

All of this is illuminating, suggesting the Tigers have earned a degree of respect in the marketplace. While Clemson’s spread form has been indifferent in recent weeks, and the Tigers were involved in an unexpected scrap last Saturday vs. Boston College, most of the public money will be recalling Clemson’s rousing opener against SEC rep Georgia, a game in which the Tigers prevailed in exciting fashion. Along with the Chick-fil-A Bowl win over LSU last New Year’s Eve, Dabo Swinney’s squad has been making a positive impression in recent high-profile games.

Indicators are that Seminole backers probably don’t have to worry about the price at Death Valley to rise above the key number of 3. But there figures to be ample opportunity to lay less than 3 as the week progresses, so we suggest that FSU backers ought to sit tight and wait for opportunities to play this game beneath a very key number later in the week.

Total to watch

Central Florida Knights at Louisville Cardinals

Though the totals market is generally a bit thinner than the straight-bet board, oddsmakers are nonetheless sensitive to those Over and Under trends as well. Most definitely, the books do not want to continue getting beat by the same totals trends, which the sharp money can ruthlessly capitalize upon.

Which is why the oddsmakers no longer waste any time with “soft totals” that can be moved quickly in one direction. The books usually have an idea in which direction the totals money is likely to flow, so they will adjust the prices almost from the outset.

Posting Oregon and Baylor totals into the stratosphere from the outset are examples this season of the books proactively protecting themselves from too much exposure on one side of the total wagers which are more likely to be exploited by sharp money.

Along that line of thought, oddsmakers know totals results patterns as well as pointspread result trends, and while we have not seen as many pronounced totals trends yet this season, a couple of the primo Under teams do get together on Friday night at Papa John’s Cardinal Stadium as Louisville plays host to UCF in an American showdown.

No one needs to remind the books that the Cardinals are Under 5-1 this season, and the Knights are 4-1 to the Under as well.

Knowing that such trends can develop a quick following, don’t be surprised if the first total you see on ‘Ville-UCF is a bit lower than might be expected.

**TheGame** · 10-14-2013, 08:47 PM

College football odds: Week 8 opening line report

Week 8 of the NCAA football schedule brings us a dream matchup in the ACC as the Clemson Tigers (6-0 SU, 3-3 ATS) host the Florida State Seminoles (5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS).

Both teams are undefeated and feature quarterbacks who find themselves in the thick of the Heisman race.

'Noles QB Jameis Winston has been sensational all season and is second in the country with a 213.9 QB rating.

Florida State will be fresh off a bye week as they head to South Carolina and absolutely hammered Maryland 63-0 in their last effort.

Clemson has its own Heisman hopeful in QB Tajh Boyd. The Tigers defeated Boston College 24-14 to improve to a perfect 6-0 Saturday.

According to Peter Korner, founder of the Nevada-based odds service The Sports Club, he and his team of oddsmakers sent out Florida State as the fave but he believes the home team is the team to beat here.

"We put out Florida State -1.5 but I'm not so sure they should be the favorite," Korner told Covers. "Clemson will show up and being at home, there's no reason they can't win this one straight up. Initial offshore money was on FSU that drove this to -3 but we're not convinced of that. We started lower and expect the money to come our way."

Auburn Tigers at Texas A&M Aggies (-15)

Johnny Manziel and the Texas A&M Aggies (5-1 SU, 3-3 ATS) just keep on rolling. But while the Aggies' defense leaves plenty to be desired, offense is the name of the game at College Station.

The Aggies are fourth in the country averaging 47.8 points per game on offense and face an Auburn Tigers (5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS) team that features a very stingy defense and potent rushing attack.

"With A&M and Manziel, I usually go with whoever has the highest number but after they squeaked by in their last game, we may not have to," Korner said. "Fortunately, we were all close in this one with a low of -14 and a high of -15.5. We made it -15 and hope Auburn will keep up."

Florida Gators at Missouri Tigers (+2.5)

It has been a spectacular season for the SEC East leading Missouri Tigers (6-0 SU, 5-0-1 ATS).

The Tigers 41-26 victory at No. 7 Georgia should be what everyone is talking about. But it's the injury to senior-QB James Franklin that is stealing headlines.

Franklin will reportedly miss at least six weeks after he left the game with a shoulder injury in the fourth quarter Saturday.

Korner states that Mizzou would be the fave with Franklin in the lineup, but had to give the edge to the visiting Gators (4-2 SU, 2-4 ATS) for this SEC matchup.

"Franklin is out and that's pretty big so this week's line is a test of who can figure out how much he's worth," says Korner. "With him in, Missouri is definitely a small favorite but we switched it up and made Florida the -2.5 point favorite. Have to roll the dice in this one."

UCLA Bruins at Stanford Cardinal (-4)

A very interesting battle in the Pac-12 that would have been even more interesting if Utah didn't burst Stanford's bubble Saturday.

The Cardinal (5-1 SU, 2-4 ATS) dropped their first game by a score of 27-21 to the Utes but still open as faves with the visiting UCLA Bruins (5-0 SU, 5-0 ATS) in town.

The Bruins sit first the South division of the Pac-12 and have an unblemished 5-0 ATS mark on the season.

Korner and his team were unanimous on this one with the Cardinal getting the edge.

"Didn't have much to discuss in this one as everyone had Stanford -4," confirmed Korner. "We'll see how Stanford reacts after their upset loss at Utah."

**TheGame** · 10-15-2013, 11:02 AM

MIAMI (5 - 0) at N CAROLINA (1 - 4) - 10/17/2013, 7:30 PM

Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 2-0 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 1-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

MIAMI vs. NORTH CAROLINA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
North Carolina is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
North Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

**TheGame** · 10-15-2013, 11:02 AM

UCF (4 - 1) at LOUISVILLE (6 - 0) - 10/18/2013, 8:00 PM

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CENTRAL FLORIDA vs. LOUISVILLE
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Central Florida's last 14 games on the road
Central Florida is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Louisville is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
Louisville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

**TheGame** · 10-16-2013, 07:37 AM

2-Minute Handicap
Playbook.com

Thursday, Oct 17th

Miami-Fla SERIES: 3-0 L3… 5-0 w/ conf revenge… 4-1 w/ rest… 0-4 as conf RF’s 7 > pts… 1-4 Weekdays
N CAROLINA 4-0 as HD’s 7 > pts… 3-1 Weekdays… 5-2 aft Va Tech… 5-2 off DD conf loss… 1-4 w/ rest

Friday, Oct 18th

C Florida 5-0 Weekdays… 5-1 as dogs 8 > pts… 3-1 in 2nd of BB RG… 2-11 Game Six… 3-9 w/ rest
LOUISVILLE 3-0-1 in 2nd of BB HG… 5-1 bef S Florida… 4-1 aft Rutgers… 4-1 Game Six home… 1-7-1 Weekday HG

Saturday, Oct 19th

Purdue 3-1 Game Seven
MICHIGAN ST SERIES: 7-2 L9 home

Florida St 4-1 away vs undef opp (Gm 5 >)… 7-3 off shutout win… 5-2 bef NC State… 1-8 off SU win 35 > pts… 1-6 away w/ rest
CLEMSON SERIES: 4-0 L4… 5-0 home w/ rest… 4-0 Game Seven… 6-1 w/ conf revenge… 5-2 in 2nd of BB HG… 1-4 vs undef opp (Gm 5 >)

Texas Tech 4-0 Game Seven… 4-0 away vs revenge… 5-1 in 1st of BB RG… 5-2 aft Iowa St… 3-7 vs opp w/ rest
W VIRGINIA 4-1 as HD’s > 6 pts… 9-3 off SU loss 21 > pts… 0-4 Game Seven… 0-3 w/ rest

Auburn 9-2 Game Seven… 2-7 away w/ conf revenge… 2-7 as DD conf dogs… 1-3 away off BB HG
TEXAS A&M SERIES: 2-0 L2… 5-0 as conf HF’s 13 > pts… 4-1 home off BB RG… 0-2 aft Ole Miss… 2-10 Game Seven home

Wash St SERIES: Visitor 3-0 L3… 7-0 as dogs 23 > pts… 4-0 Game Eight… 4-1 away vs undef opp (Gm 6 >)… 1-4 aft Oreg St
OREGON 4-0 Game Seven… 5-1 aft Wash… 5-1 as conf HF’s 22 > pts… 1-5 home off BB RG

Indiana SERIES: 2-0 L2… 3-1 aft Mich St… 1-6 Game Seven away… 2-7 as DD conf RD’s… 3-8 in 2nd of BB RG
MICHIGAN 5-0 as DD conf HF’s… 7-3 bef RG vs Mich St… 0-4 Game Seven… 0-4 aft Penn St

Iowa 8-2 aft Mich St… 6-2 as conf dogs 15 > pts… 0-3 Game Seven… 1-3 off DD SU home loss… 3-8 w/ rest
OHIO ST SERIES: 7-2-1 L10 / 5-1 home… 4-0 w/ rest… 7-1 off DD conf road win… 5-1 as conf favs 20 > pts… 0-3 in 1st of BB HG… 1-4 Game Seven

Arkansas 3-1 aft S Carolina… 3-1 vs undef opp (Gm 7 >)… 7-3 away w/ conf revenge… 1-4 as dogs 17 > pts
ALABAMA SERIES: 4-1 L5… 4-1 off SU road win 20 > pts… 1-5 in 1st of 3+ HG… 2-8 aft Kentucky… 2-6 bef Tenn… 2-6 Game Seven

S Carolina SERIES: 6-2 L8 away… 5-0 as favs in 2nd of BB RG… 3-0 aft Arkansas… 5-1 vs opp w/ rest… 4-1 Game Seven
TENNESSEE SERIES: 3-1 L4… 5-2 w/ rest… 0-3 aft Georgia… 1-4 off SU loss / ATS win… 1-4in 3rd straight HG… 2-7 Game Seven

Washington 6-0 as conf dogs 6 < pts… 4-0 bef Cal… 4-1 aft Oreg… 0-7 Game Seven… 1-10 away bef BB HG
ARIZONA ST SERIES: 7-0 L7… 4-1 as conf favs 6 < pts… 0-4 at Colo… 0-4-1 Game Seven… 1-5 in 2nd of BB HG

Florida 9-3-1 in 2nd of BB RG… 1-3 Game Seven… 1-3 aft Lsu… 2-5 L7 as conf dogs
MISSOURI 1-7 in 1st of 3+ HG… 1-4 Game Seven… 4-11 w/ conf revenge

LSU SERIES: Visitor 5-0… 3-1 Game Eight… 3-1 aft Florida… 5-2 as RF’s 6 > pts… 1-4 as favs 7 > pts vs conf revenge
MISSISSIPPI 12-0 in 2nd of 3+ HG… 2-0 aft Tex A&M… 6-1 Game Seven… 2-6 as HD’s 10 < pts

Iowa St 6-1 as dogs 18 > pts… 3-1 in 2nd of BB RG… 0-3-1 bef Okla St… 1-8 aft Tex Tech… 1-4-2 Game Six
BAYLOR SERIES: Host 4-0… 5-0 as conf HF’s 15 > pts… 4-1 aft Kan St… 3-8 Game Six

Oklahoma SERIES: 5-2 L7… 3-1 aft Texas… 1-5 Game Seven… 2-8 bef Tex Tech… 2-5 as conf RF’s 21 > pts
KANSAS 8-1 bef Baylor… 4-1 Game Six home… 1-8 vs undef opp (Gm 6 >)… 1-4 in 1st of BB HG… *3-7 as HD’s 21 > pts

TCU 5-1 w/ conf revenge… 7-2 as conf RD’s 8 < pts… 2-5 Game Seven… 3-8 bef Texas
OKLAHOMA ST SERIES: 3-1 L4… 7-0 Game Six… 7-1 as HF’s 8 < pts… 0-3 w/ rest… 2-6 vs conf revenge

UCLA 0-3 bef Oregon… 1-10 Game Six… 1-5 aft Cal… 1-4 as dogs in 1st of BB RG
STANFORD SERIES: 4-1 L5… 6-0 vs undef opp (Gm 6 >)… 8-0-1 bef Oreg St… 7-3 Game Seven

USC 3-0 Game Seven… 5-1 as non-conf dogs 4 > pts… 4-1 away w/ revenge… 3-1 off Weekday gm
NOTRE DAME SERIES: 3-1 L4… 4-1 w/ rest… 0-3-1 Game Seven… 1-5 aft score 35 > pts… 2-7-1 as HF’s 10 < pts

Wisconsin 7-0 aft N’Western… 5-1 as favs vs conf revenge… 1-4 as conf RF’s 7 > pts… 1-3 Game Seven away
ILLINOIS SERIES: Host 4-0… 5-0 as conf HD’s 7 > pts… 2-0 aft Nebraska… 1-8 off SU road loss 20 > pts… 1-4 Game Six… 1-3 w/ rest

Georgia SERIES: 3-1 L4… 2-8 Game Seven… 3-7 bef Florida
VANDERBILT 5-0 in 3rd straight HG… 0-4 off SU home loss 14 > pts… 1-3 Game Seven… 1-3 w/ rest

Utah SERIES: Visitor 4-0… 2-7 away vs Pac 12
ARIZONA SERIES: 5-2 L7… 1-4 L5 as conf HF’s

ABBREVIATIONS LEGEND: For the most part, results are presented in this order: Series, Good Results, Bad Results, Over/Under Totals and Coaches Results. All team and coaches results are Against The Spread and pertain to preseason - unless noted otherwise. (NOTE: * = Check earlier result this season for similar situation and/or line in this game). ATS = Against The Spread, SU = Straight Up, A = Away, H = Home, Dog = Underdog, Fav = Favorite, L = Last, N = Neutral. OVER/UNDER results in Over (first) / Under (second) sequence. Site Numbers (Home One, Home Two; Away One, Away Two) designate 1st or 2nd home or road games of preseason. Dual team or coaches results - Straight-Up and Against The Spread - are separated with a ' / '. Asterisk * = check team previous game for possible similar result.

**TheGame** · 10-16-2013, 07:37 AM

12:00 PM
TCU vs. OKLAHOMA STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of TCU's last 10 games
TCU is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Oklahoma State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma State's last 6 games at home

12:00 PM
SOUTHERN MISS vs. EAST CAROLINA
Southern Miss is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Southern Miss is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
East Carolina is 4-12-1 ATS in its last 17 games when playing Southern Miss
East Carolina is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing Southern Miss

12:00 PM
SOUTH CAROLINA vs. TENNESSEE
South Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee
South Carolina is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games
Tennessee is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games at home

12:00 PM
CONNECTICUT vs. CINCINNATI
Connecticut is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Connecticut's last 6 games
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Connecticut
Cincinnati is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games

12:00 PM
GEORGIA vs. VANDERBILT
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Georgia's last 5 games
Georgia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Vanderbilt is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Georgia
Vanderbilt is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Georgia

12:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. NORTHWESTERN
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Northwestern is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Northwestern is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

12:00 PM
NAVY vs. TOLEDO
Navy is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Navy is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toledo's last 5 games at home
Toledo is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

12:00 PM
TEXAS TECH vs. WEST VIRGINIA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas Tech's last 5 games on the road
Texas Tech is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of West Virginia's last 9 games
West Virginia is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games

12:00 PM
PURDUE vs. MICHIGAN STATE
Purdue is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Michigan State
Purdue is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Michigan State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Purdue
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan State's last 6 games when playing at home against Purdue

12:00 PM
SOUTHERN METHODIST vs. MEMPHIS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern Methodist's last 5 games
Southern Methodist is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Memphis is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games

12:21 PM
FLORIDA vs. MISSOURI
Florida is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Missouri's last 9 games
Missouri is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

12:30 PM
SYRACUSE vs. GEORGIA TECH
Syracuse is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Syracuse's last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Georgia Tech's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Georgia Tech's last 5 games at home

1:00 PM
AKRON vs. MIAMI (OHIO)
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Akron's last 14 games
Akron is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Miami (Ohio) is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Akron
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami (Ohio)'s last 5 games when playing Akron

1:00 PM
ARMY vs. TEMPLE
Army is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games on the road
Army is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Temple is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Army
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Temple's last 5 games when playing Army

1:00 PM
OHIO vs. EASTERN MICHIGAN
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ohio's last 5 games
Ohio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Eastern Michigan is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ohio
Eastern Michigan is 1-7-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Ohio

2:00 PM
COLORADO STATE vs. WYOMING
Colorado State is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games
Colorado State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Wyoming is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Wyoming is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

2:00 PM
BALL STATE vs. WESTERN MICHIGAN
Ball State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Western Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Ball State's last 9 games when playing Western Michigan
Western Michigan is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Ball State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Western Michigan's last 9 games when playing Ball State

3:00 PM
KENT STATE vs. SOUTH ALABAMA
Kent State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kent State's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of South Alabama's last 6 games at home
South Alabama is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

3:00 PM
NORTHERN ILLINOIS vs. CENTRAL MICHIGAN
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Northern Illinois's last 6 games
Northern Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Central Michigan is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Central Michigan's last 6 games

3:30 PM
AUBURN vs. TEXAS A&M
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Auburn's last 6 games
Auburn is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Texas A&M is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Texas A&M is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games

3:30 PM
INDIANA vs. MICHIGAN
Indiana is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Indiana's last 11 games on the road
Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Michigan's last 6 games at home

3:30 PM
MASSACHUSETTS vs. BUFFALO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Massachusetts's last 5 games
Massachusetts is 2-23 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games
Buffalo is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

3:30 PM
BYU vs. HOUSTON
BYU is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of BYU's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

3:30 PM
OKLAHOMA vs. KANSAS
Oklahoma is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas
Oklahoma is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas's last 6 games
Kansas is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games

3:30 PM
NORTH TEXAS vs. LOUISIANA TECH
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Texas's last 7 games
North Texas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Louisiana Tech is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Louisiana Tech's last 14 games at home

3:30 PM
MARYLAND vs. WAKE FOREST
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Maryland's last 8 games
Maryland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Wake Forest is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Maryland
Wake Forest is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing Maryland

3:30 PM
IOWA vs. OHIO STATE
Iowa is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Ohio State
Iowa is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Ohio State
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ohio State's last 6 games

3:30 PM
DUKE vs. VIRGINIA
Duke is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Duke's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Virginia's last 8 games when playing Duke
Virginia is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing Duke

TBA
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN vs. COLORADO
Charleston Southern is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Charleston Southern is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Colorado is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home
Colorado is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home

TBA
UCLA vs. STANFORD
UCLA is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Stanford
UCLA is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Stanford
Stanford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Stanford is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

6:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. ARIZONA STATE
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Arizona State's last 8 games
Arizona State is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games

7:00 PM
IOWA STATE vs. BAYLOR
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Iowa State's last 5 games when playing Baylor
Iowa State is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Baylor
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baylor's last 5 games
Baylor is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

7:00 PM
LSU vs. MISSISSIPPI
LSU is 8-3-1 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
LSU is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Mississippi's last 10 games
Mississippi is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing LSU

7:00 PM
GEORGIA STATE vs. TEXAS STATE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia State's last 6 games
Georgia State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Texas State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas State's last 6 games

7:00 PM
ARKANSAS vs. ALABAMA
Arkansas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Alabama
Arkansas is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Alabama
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Alabama's last 7 games when playing at home against Arkansas
Alabama is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Arkansas

7:00 PM
OLD DOMINION vs. PITTSBURGH
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games at home
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:30 PM
SOUTHERN CAL vs. NOTRE DAME
Southern Cal is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Southern Cal's last 10 games on the road
Notre Dame is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Southern Cal
Notre Dame is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Southern Cal

8:00 PM
FLORIDA STATE vs. CLEMSON
Florida State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida State's last 5 games
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Florida State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Clemson's last 6 games when playing at home against Florida State

8:00 PM
NEVADA vs. BOISE STATE
Nevada is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games when playing Boise State
Nevada is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boise State's last 5 games
Boise State is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games

8:00 PM
RICE vs. NEW MEXICO STATE
Rice is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Rice's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Mexico State's last 5 games at home
New Mexico State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
WISCONSIN vs. ILLINOIS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wisconsin's last 7 games on the road
Wisconsin is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Illinois's last 6 games
Illinois is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games

9:00 PM
UTAH STATE vs. NEW MEXICO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah State's last 7 games on the road
Utah State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
New Mexico is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Mexico's last 5 games

10:00 PM
UTAH vs. ARIZONA
Utah is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 6 games when playing Arizona
Arizona is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

10:00 PM
UNLV vs. FRESNO STATE
UNLV is 4-19-1 ATS in its last 24 games on the road
UNLV is 1-23 SU in its last 24 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Fresno State's last 5 games
Fresno State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

10:00 PM
WASHINGTON STATE vs. OREGON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington State's last 5 games when playing Oregon
Washington State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oregon
Oregon is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oregon's last 5 games when playing Washington State

10:30 PM
OREGON STATE vs. CALIFORNIA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oregon State's last 5 games on the road
Oregon State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
California is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games
California is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games

**Pivotpoint** · 10-16-2013, 11:36 AM

Nice sticky, game. Good reading and good luck this weekend.

**TheGame** · 10-16-2013, 12:00 PM

Originally posted by Pivotpoint View Post

Nice sticky, game. Good reading and good luck this weekend.

Thanks. Glad somebody likes it. Good luck to you as well.

**TheGame** · 10-16-2013, 12:00 PM

Injuries to Watch – Week 8
By Brian Edwards
VegasInsider.com

Before the loss to Texas last week, Oklahoma found out it would be missing senior LB Corey Nelson for the rest of the season due to a pectoral injury. The news got worse earlier this week when starting defensive tackle Jordan Phillips was lost for the rest of the year. Phillips will underdog surgery soon to relieve chronic back pain. Without Nelson and Phillips, the OU defense gave up 36 points and 255 rushing yards to the Longhorns. The Sooners had previously been allowing only 113.2 yards per game and 13.0 PPG, so obviously Nelson and Phillips are already being missed.

Ole Miss will be without freshman sensation Robert Nkemdiche for the next three games due to a pulled hamstring suffered in last week’s gut-wrenching loss to Texas A&M. The Rebels might also be sans their other starting defensive end, C.J. Johnson, for Saturday’s home tussle vs. LSU. Johnson was downgraded to ‘doubtful’ after missing Tuesday’s practice with a sprained ankle. The offense is hurting, too, as one of its top weapons is ‘doubtful.’ That would be leading rusher and special-teams dynamo Jeff Scott (thigh), who is averaging 8.2 yards per carry and had a punt return for a touchdown in a blowout win at Texas.

Missouri QB James Franklin is out for at least the next 3-5 weeks with a shoulder separation sustained in last week’s 41-26 win at Georgia as a seven-point underdog. This injury is such a shame because Franklin’s 2012 campaign was mired by multiple injuries and as he returned to 100 percent this year, he was lighting up opponents. Maty Mauk is the new No. 1 QB and Corbin Berkstresser is his back-up. Mauk, a sophomore, completed all three of his pass attempts in Athens for 23 yards after Franklin left the game. Mauk also had three carries for 12 yards. Berkstresser got substantial playing time last season, throwing for 1,059 yards with a 5/7 touchdown-to-interception ratio.

Nebraska OG Spencer Long was a second-team All-American selection in 2012. The three-year starter and senior co-captain will underdog season-ending surgery Thursday.

Florida has lost five starters to season-ending injuries with Matt Jones now out for the year with a torn meniscus. Mack Brown will continue to get a lot of touches and look for increased playing time for Kelvin ‘Baby Fred’ Taylor, who had 10 carries for 52 yards at LSU. Starting DE Ronald Powell didn’t practice Monday or Tuesday (ankle) but was expected to try to go full speed at Wednesday’s practice. The Gators play Saturday at Missouri.

Georgia RB Todd Gurley and starting safety Tray Matthews didn’t practice Tuesday to receive treatment on their respective injuries. Both are still considered ‘questionable’ at Vanderbilt.

Oregon RB De’Anthony Thomas told the media earlier this week that he “was nowhere close” to being ready to play in Saturday’s 45-24 win at Washington. With the Ducks facing Washington St. at home this week, I wouldn’t expect to see Thomas on the field. Mark Helfrich would love to have him back for an Oct. 26 home game vs. UCLA. He sprained his ankle in a Sept. 28 win over California. Oregon is the nation’s only 6-0 ATS team.

UCLA’s leading rusher Jordon James didn’t play in last week’s win over Cal due to a sprained ankle. He is ‘doubtful’ for Saturday’s crucial Pac-12 showdown at Stanford. James has rushed for 463 yards and five TDs, averaging 6.3 yards per carry.

North Carolina St. starting safety Jarvis Byrd is out for the season with a torn ACL. This is the third ACL tear of Byrd’s collegiate career.

Michigan sophomore DT Ondre Pipkins is out for the rest of 2013 with a leg injury. Pipkins was a five-star recruit and key player on the Wolverines’ defensive front. LB Jake Ryan made his season debut in the loss at Penn St, seeing action on about 30 plays.

Northwestern might face Minnesota without two of its best offensive players. RB Venric Mark (leg) and QB/WR Kain Colter (ankle) are both question marks.

South Carolina sophomore WR Shaq Roland will return from a three-game suspension Saturday at Tennessee. In the Gamecocks’ first three games, Roland had eight receptions for 161 yards and one TD. Back-up RB Brandon Wilds (elbow) has missed back-to-back games and is ‘questionable’ this week.

North Carolina QB Bryn Renner will start Thursday vs. Miami after missing a loss at Va. Tech two weeks ago with a foot injury. Renner has a 7/3 TD-INT ratio this year.

Maryland QB C.J. Brown will start Saturday at Wake Forest after missing a 27-26 non-covering home win over Virginia. Brown sustained a concussion two weeks ago at FSU. He led the Terps to a 4-0 start both straight up and against the spread by throwing for seven TDs compared to one interception and also rushing for six scores.

After missing last week’s home win over Arizona, Southern Cal All-American WR Marquise Lee (ankle) has been upgraded to ‘probable’ Saturday at Notre Dame. DE Morgan Breslin also missed the win over the Wildcats. The Trojans’ best pass rusher is a question mark against the Fighting Irish.

Auburn QB Nick Marshall will start Saturday at Texas A&M. Marshall sat out a 62-3 home win over Western Carolina to rest a sore knee.

In all likelihood, New Mexico is going to have to start third-string QB David Vega vs. Utah St. The Lobos’ starter Cole Gautsche injured his knee in last week’s 38-31 loss at Wyoming. Gautsche has a 4/1 TD-INT ratio and has rushed for 516 yards and six TDs. Vega has only completed one pass in two attempts this season, but it was a 23-yard TD strike. Back-up QB Clayton Mitchem (concussion) and Gautsche are both listed as ‘doubtful.’

Kent St. QB Colin Reardon is ‘doubtful’ at South Alabama due to a leg injury suffered in last week’s 27-24 loss at Ball St. Reardon has a 10/4 TD-INT ratio and one rushing score. Senior back-up David Fisher will probably get the starting nod.

After missing three consecutive games with a broken collarbone, Duke QB Anthony Boone returned to the field to lead the Blue Devils to a 35-7 win over Navy as a four-point home ‘chalk.’ Boone garnered ACC Offensive Player of the Week honors when he connected on 31-of-38 throws for 295 yards and three TDs without an interception.

**TheGame** · 10-16-2013, 12:00 PM

Games to Watch - Week 8
By Brian Edwards
VegasInsider.com

Florida at Missouri

As of Tuesday, most books had Florida (4-2 straight up, 2-4 against the spread) listed as a 3½-point favorite with a total of 44 or 44.5. Gamblers can take the Tigers on the money line for a +145 return (risk $100 to win $145). The Gators, who are 3-2 ATS as road favorites on Will Muschamp’s watch, are coming off a 17-6 loss at LSU as seven-point underdogs. UF lost starting RB Matt Jones to a torn meniscus. He becomes the fifth starter to go down with a season-ending injury. Look for true freshman Kelvin ‘Baby Fred’ Taylor to get more touches.

Missouri (6-0 SU, 5-0-1 ATS) picked up a monster win last week at Georgia. Gary Pinkel’s squad raced out to a 28-10 lead, withstood 16 unanswered points from UGA and then finished the deal in a 41-26 triumph as a seven-point road underdog. The victory was bittersweet, however, because star senior quarterback James Franklin was lost for the next 3-5 weeks with a separated shoulder. Since 2003, Mizzou is 5-6 ATS in 11 games as a home underdog.

The ‘under’ is 4-1-1 overall for the Gators, 3-0 in their road assignments. They have held 13 consecutive SEC opponents to 20 points or less. The ‘over’ has hit at a 4-2 overall clip for the Tigers, but they have seen the ‘under’ go 2-1 in their three home outings. This game will come off the board at 12:20 p.m. Eastern and is part of the ESPN Game Plan package.

Auburn at Texas A&M

As of Tuesday, most betting shops had Texas A&M (5-1 SU, 3-3 ATS) installed as a 13½-point favorite with a total of 72. Auburn (5-1 SU, 3-3 ATS) is available for a +400 payout if it wins outright. Kevin Sumlin’s team captured a 41-38 win last week at Ole Miss thanks to a Josh Lambo 33-yard field goal on the game’s final play. The Aggies failed to cover the number as 6½-point road ‘chalk.’ Johnny Manziel ran for a team-high 113 rushing yards and two TDs, including a seven-yard scamper from one side of the field to the other pylon to tie things up with 3:07 remaining. Manziel completed 31-of-39 passes for 346 yards. For the season, the former Heisman winner has 14/5 touchdown-to-interception ratio and five rushing scores.

Gus Malzahn’s team is off a 62-3 clubbing of Western Carolina as a 41½-point home favorite. Starting QB Nick Marshall sat out against the Catamounts to rest a sore knee, but he is 100 percent now and will start Saturday. Marshall has a 4/4 TD-INT ratio, but he has run for 288 yards and a pair of scores. Tre Mason leads AU in rushing with 515 yards and seven TDs, averaging 5.6 yards per carry. The ‘over’ is 5-1 overall for the Aggies, 3-1 in their four home contests. The ‘under’ is 4-2 overall for Auburn, but the ‘over’ cashed in its lone road game this year.

When these schools met on The Plains in 2012, Texas A&M dealt out a 63-21 shellacking as a 14-point road favorite. Manziel had 350 yards (260 passing, 90 rushing) of total offense and five TDs (two passing three rushing). CBS will have the telecast at 3:30 p.m. Eastern.

UCLA at Stanford

As of Tuesday, most spots had Stanford (5-1 SU, 2-4 ATS) favored by six with a total of 54. The Bruins were +190 on the money line. David Shaw’s team lost a 27-21 decision at Utah as a 7½-point road ‘chalk’ last weekend. The Cardinal got into the red zone in the final minute but ran out of downs at the Utes’ six yard line with 47 ticks remaining. UCLA (5-0 SU, 5-0 ATS) smashed California 37-10 Saturday to take the cash as a 26½-point home favorite. Brett Hundley threw for 410 yards and three TDs while playing turnover-free football. The sophomore signal caller has a 12/4 TD-INT ratio, 1,469 passing yards, 260 yards on the ground and three rushing scores.

Stanford QB Kevin Hogan has a 12/4 TD-INT ratio. His favorite target is Ty Montgomery, who has a team-high 31 receptions for 514 yards and five TDs. Montgomery is an explosive special-teams player who has 1,179 all-purpose yards. Stanford has won five in a row in this rivalry, going 4-1 ATS.

When these teams met in the Pac-12 Championship Game last season, the Cardinal won 27-24 but failed to cover as a 9½-point home favorite. The ‘over’ has connected in three straight head-to-head meetings. Gamblers should check the status of UCLA’s leading rusher Jordon James, who didn’t play vs. Cal and was listed as ‘questionable.’ Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. Eastern on ABC.

Washington at Arizona State

As of Tuesday, most books had Arizona St. (4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS) listed as a three-point favorite with a total of 65.5. Washington (4-2 SU, 4-2 ATS) has lost back-to-back games against two of the nation’s elite programs. UW took the cash as a nine-point underdog but lost 31-28 at Stanford two weeks ago. Then at home last weekend, the Huskies lost 45-24 to Oregon as 12½-point home underdogs. During Steve Sarkisian’s tenure, UW is 8-11 ATS as a road underdog.

Todd Graham’s team destroyed Colorado 54-13 as a 28½-point home favorite this past Saturday. Taylor Kelly threw two TD passes and had one rushing score. For the season, Kelly has a 16/6 TD-INT ratio. ASU running back Marion Grice leads the nation in TDs with 15 (10 rushing, five receiving). The Sun Devils are 6-2 ATS in eight games as a home favorite under Graham.

ASU has dominated this rivalry with seven consecutive wins over UW both SU and ATS, including last year’s 24-14 triumph as a one-point road puppy. The Pac-12 Network will provide television coverage at 6:00 p.m. Eastern.

LSU at Ole Miss

As of Tuesday, most books had LSU (6-1 SU, 4-2-1 ATS) installed as an eight-point favorite with a total of 60. The Rebels were +270 on the money line. Ole Miss (3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS) is 2-1 ATS in three games as a home underdog since Hugh Freeze took over in Oxford. Freeze’s bunch will be without starting DE Robert Nkemdiche vs. LSU due to a hamstring injury. The Rebels’ other starting DE, C.J. Johnson, is ‘questionable.’ QB Bo Wallace is sporting a 9/3 TD-INT ratio and also has three rushing TDs. He has a pair of WRs destined to play on Sundays in Donte Moncrief and Laquon Treadwell. Jeff Scott leads Ole Miss in rushing with 434 yards and two TDs while averaging 8.2 YPC.

LSU’s Zach Mettenberger has solidified his status as a future first-round pick every game this year. Mettenberger currently has a 15/2 TD-INT ratio and he might also have the country’s best combo of WRs in Jarvis Landry and Odell Beckham Jr. Jeremy Hill lead the Tigers in rushing with 715 yards and nine TDs, averaging 7.3 YPC. The ‘over’ is 6-1 overall for LSU, 2-0 in its road outings.

Totals have been a wash both overall (3-3) and at home (1-1) for the Rebels. LSU has won the last three head-to-head encounters, but Ole Miss has covered the spread in seven of the last 10 meetings. This rivalry has seen four consecutive winners from the ‘over.’ ESPN will have the telecast at 7:00 p.m. Eastern.

**TheGame** · 10-17-2013, 05:52 AM

Miami at North Carolina: What Bettors Need to Know
By Covers.com

Miami Hurricanes at North Carolina Tar Heels (+9.5, 64.5)

Miami takes its No. 11 ranking and seven-game winning streak to North Carolina for a prime-time ACC matchup with the Tar Heels on Thursday night. North Carolina will have Bryn Renner back under center after he sat out a 27-17 loss at No. 20 Virginia Tech with a foot injury, but the Tar Heels will be hard-pressed to get the air game going against Miami's stiff pass defense. The Tar Heels haven't beaten a ranked team since knocking off No. 24 Florida State in 2010.

The Hurricanes are facing their first big road test and expect a hostile environment under the lights, regardless of North Carolina's early struggles. "We're going to be facing a great challenge and an excellent team on Thursday night," Miami coach Al Golden told reporters. "Records really don't matter. Records are talking about the past. We know what type of team we're going to see." The Tar Heels have won four of the past six meetings, including an 18-14 victory last year in Miami.

LINE: Miami opened as an 8-point favorite and has been bet up to -9.5. The total opened at 63.5 and moved to 64.5.

WEATHER: Temperatures in the mid 60s with a 24 percent chances of rain and winds blow WSW at 4 mph.

ABOUT MIAMI (5-0, 1-0 ACC Coastal, 4-1 ATS): The Hurricanes boast one of the best pass defenses in the nation as they have allowed only two passing touchdowns - the fewest in the country - and have recorded 18 sacks. The offense has been equally impressive recently as Miami has put up 40 or more points in three straight games and looks to make it four straight for the first time since 1987. The Hurricanes have been balanced with Stephen Morris (950 pass yards, nine touchdowns, four interceptions) and Duke Johnson (572 rushing yards, four TDs) leading the way.

ABOUT NORTH CAROLINA (1-4, 0-2, 1-4 ATS): The Tar Heels have struggled on both sides of the ball in coach Larry Fedora's second season, dropping three straight since a 40-20 victory over Middle Tennessee. North Carolina has gained at least 400 total yards in 14 of 17 games under Fedora but only two of five games this season. The offense is still loaded with potential, though, with tight end Eric Ebron (23 catches, 333 yards, two touchdowns) and receiver Quinshad Davis (19 catches, 298 yards, four TDs) giving Renner a pair of terrific targets.

TRENDS:

* Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings in North Carolina.
* Underdog is 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine meetings.
* Hurricanes are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games overall.
* Tar Heels are 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Miami is 15-3 all-time in Thursday night games on ESPN while North Carolina is 6-5, including a 27-10 season-opening loss at South Carolina this year.

2. North Carolina has made 189 consecutive extra-point attempts - the second-longest active streak in the nation (Texas Tech, 239) - over a span of 55 games.

3. Morris needs 184 yards to become the sixth 6,000-yard passer in school history and 243 yards to pass Vinny Testaverde (6,058) for fourth on Miami's all-time list.

**TheGame** · 10-17-2013, 05:52 AM

Miami at North Carolina
By Joe Nelson
VegasInsider.com

This week's Thursday night ESPN game features an intriguing ACC game between Miami and North Carolina, two teams that have had polar opposite starts to the season despite both teams being tied for the 2012 ACC Coastal Division title. Due to NCAA infractions, Miami and North Carolina conceded the ACC title game spot to Georgia Tech and it was expected to be a very competitive race again this season, although Virginia Tech has stormed out to a 3-0 start to lead in the early going. Take a look at tonight's key game that will have a big impact on the ACC picture.

Match-up: Miami Hurricanes at North Carolina Tar Heels
Venue: Kenan Memorial Stadium, Chapel Hill, North Carolina (grass)
Date: Thursday, October 17, 2013
Time/TV: 7:30 PM ET, ESPN
Line: Miami -8½, Over/Under 63½
Last Meeting: 2012 at Miami, North Carolina (-7½) 18-14

North Carolina opened the college football season on national television against South Carolina and the Tar Heels were a popular upset pick in that game. It did not work out, but after a solid win over Middle Tennessee State, season goals in the ACC season were still in place. The Tar Heels faced a tough set of three games surrounded by bye weeks that figured to define the season. While sweeping those three games would have been difficult, few expected North Carolina would emerge entering this week at 1-4 on the season with three straight losses, already featuring as many losses as all of last season.

This is the second season for the Tar Heels led by former Southern Mississippi head coach Larry Fedora and while it has been a discouraging start, the schedule the rest of the way is promising and if they can win at home against favored Miami, a 7-0 finish to the season would not be impossible as the Tar Heels will possibly be favored in every remaining game or at worst playing as just a small underdog in one or two games. At this point, that seems unlikely given that the North Carolina defense has allowed 436 yards per game this season and the offense has produced almost 100 fewer yards and more than 14 fewer points per game so far compared with last season's numbers.

Starting quarterback Bryn Renner is one of the more accomplished quarterbacks in the ACC, now in his third season as the starter after passing for over 3,000 yards each of the last two seasons. He was injured in the 55-31 loss to East Carolina and he sat out the most recent loss to Virginia Tech. His numbers are down this season with less than 60 percent completions, but for his career he has 60 touchdowns and just 23 interceptions. The schedule has not been easy with three strong major conference defenses and an East Carolina squad that has looked greatly improved defensively at this point in the season. North Carolina actually out-gained Virginia Tech in the 27-17 loss two weeks ago with back-up quarterback Marquise Williams and this offense still has the potential to be very productive.

While North Carolina has struggled, Miami is one of the few remaining undefeated teams. While the Florida State/Clemson game this week will get all the attention for the ACC, the Hurricanes have quietly climbed into the top 10 in the AP Poll and should be in the top 15 of the BCS rankings when they come out. Miami has home wins over Florida and Georgia Tech, but this will be just the second road game of the season and the schedule will stiffen significantly in November for the Hurricanes, including playing Florida State and Virginia Tech in back-to-back weeks. While the Hurricanes appear to have all the pieces to put together a great season, there are certainly some doubts for a program that has lost at least five games six of the last seven seasons.

Most suspicious on the resume is the biggest win, a 21-16 win at home over Florida. The Gators had a nearly 2:1 edge in total yardage in the game as Miami rushed for just 50 yards and had just 212 total yards for the game with only 10 first downs. Florida has an excellent defense, but it was not an inspiring performance as the defense also had issues containing a Florida offense that has struggled in most games. Miami only had one drive longer than 50 yards in the game and just three drives longer than four yards, punting nine times in the game and going backwards on five separate possessions. Miami also allowed over 400 yards against Georgia Tech, able to overcome an early deficit with a few big plays. Miami took the lead in the third quarter with a 69-yard pass play and sealed the game with an interception return touchdown as the final 45-30 margin was a bit misleading.

Miami is gaining 7.8 yards per play on offense this season, the seventh-best mark in college football and the Hurricanes are 12th best in yards per play on defense at 4.5 yards per play as the statistics are attractive for Miami in the 5-0 start. Dominant wins over Florida Atlantic, Savannah State, and South Florida skew those numbers however as they had yardage edges of more than 250 yards in each of those wins. This is a showcase opportunity for a couple of deep Heisman Trophy sleepers as quarterback Stephen Morris and running back Duke Johnson have had productive starts and if Miami keeps winning they will get more attention. The Miami defense will start to face more significant tests and after the defense allowed 31 points and 486 yards per game last season, it is not clear that the unit has shown as much improvement as the early season numbers suggest.

As the spread on tonight's game suggests these teams are much closer than the records suggest and the last two meetings have been decided by a total of just 10 points combined. Miami is just 6-6 S/U on the road under Al Golden in two plus seasons, but this is a big opportunity to elevate the program further heading into big national games in the coming weeks. For North Carolina, this is an opportunity to turn the season around with a marquee win and with a favorable late-season schedule, making a run to a bowl spot is certainly still a possibility for a Tar Heels program that just can't seem to get over the hump, stuck in the upper-middle of the ACC.

Last Meeting: Led by two touchdowns from Giovani Bernard, the Tar Heels took a 15-7 lead into halftime last season at Miami in the middle of the season. Miami struck first in the third quarter to get within one and the Tar Heels hit a long field goal to go up 18-14 late in the third quarter. Miami moved into North Carolina territory three times in the fourth quarter, but they opted to punt in the first instance, pinning North Carolina on the one-yard line. Miami failed on two fourth down attempts late in the game as the North Carolina defense held on with a scoreless final quarter.

Series History: These teams have played each of the last nine years with North Carolina holding a 5-4 edge both S/U and ATS, although Miami has covered in three in a row. North Carolina is 3-1 ATS at home in the series and 5-2 ATS as an underdog in the series.

Line Movement: The line opened at -8 and has climbed to -8½ at most outlets. The total has climbed from 63 to 63½.

Miami Historical Trends: The Hurricanes are 9-2 ATS in road games in the past two-plus seasons under Golden, including going 3-0 as a road favorite and 7-2 overall the last nine games as a road favorite. Miami is just 23-44 ATS as a favorite of seven or more since 2002, including just 4-6 ATS since Golden took over.

North Carolina Historical Trends: The Tar Heels have covered in five of the last six instances as a home underdog going back to late in the 2006 season and going 12-5-1 ATS in that role going back to 2003. North Carolina has not been a home underdog since the 2010 season however. Under Fedora, North Carolina is 5-3-1 ATS at home with just two S/U losses.

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College Football Betting Info. Week 8

College Football Betting Info. Week 8

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