College Betting Recap - Week 8
By Daniel Dobish
VegasInsider.com
The largest underdog to cash: Ball State (+10.5, ML +300) at Central Michigan, 32-29
The largest favorite to cash: Marshall (-21) at Florida International, 45-13 and Oregon (-21) vs Washington, 45-20
Top 25 Notes
The upset bug reached up and bit Baylor, as they left burning Morgantown with a 41-27 loss, falling from the ranks of the unbeaten against red hot Clint Trickett and West Virginia. It was even more shocking since the Mountaineers were 4-2 SU and had failed to cover in three straight entering play.
The game of the day, and perhaps the season, was down in Tallahassee. Florida State failed to cover yet again, but found a way to come back and top Notre Dame 31-27. FSU might be 7-0, but they're just 1-6 ATS.
Top 10 teams ended up 6-2 SU/ATS, with one of the losses coming from the Irish in a battle of Top 5 teams.
Ohio State rolled over Rutgers 56-17 for an easy cover. Since their setback to Virginia Tech back on Sept. 6, the Buckeyes are 4-0 SU/ATS, and the 'over' has hit in five straight.
And bettors continue to yell, "Hotty Toddy!" Mississippi started extremely slow, but kicked it into high gear and buried Tennessee, 34-3. The Rebels are 7-0 SU and 6-0-1 ATS, while the 'under' has connected in six of their seven games.
Big Five Conference Report (ACC, Big 10, Big 12, Pac-12, SEC)
It was a low-scoring weekend in the ACC, as the 'under' cashed in six of the seven games. Of course, the exception was in Chapel Hill, where North Carolina outlasted Georgia Tech 48-43. UNC has allowed 34 or more points in five straight games, and 27 or more points in each of their seven games. ... Duke continues to roll, stopping Virginia 20-13. The Blue Devils have covered four of the past five overall, and they are 4-0 SU and 3-0-1 ATS at home. The 'under is also 5-1 in their past six. ... Wake Forest is a terrible offensive club. They were dropped 30-7 by Syracuse, and they have a total of just 20 points in the past three weeks. The 'under' is 6-1 for the Deacs this season.
The Big 12 had a difficult weekend, as its top ranked teams Baylor and Oklahoma each suffered straight-up losses. ... Texas Christian might be the best team in the Big 12 right now, as they routed Oklahoma State by a 42-9 score. The Cowboys had scored 20 or more points in 58 consecutive games.
How about Minnesota? Sure, they did not cover, and barely won, against Purdue, but they moved to 6-1. It was their first non-cover since their only setback Sept. 13 against a good TCU team. ... Nebraska continues to be a friend to bettors, topping Northwestern 38-17. The Huskers have covered five straight. They'll host Rutgers next Saturday. ... Michigan State has had some trouble finishing games lately, but they had no problem putting away Indiana, 56-17. Defense was a hallmark for Sparty last season, but the 'over' is 6-1 through seven games this season.
Stanford continues to tumble in the Pac-12. The Cardinals are a great defensive team, but their offense is abysmal. They held the high-flying Arizona State offense to 'just' 26, but scrounged up just 10 points in a loss. The Cardinal are just 1-3 ATS in the past four. Not surprisingly, the 'under' is a perfect 6-0 for Stanford this season. ... Oregon has covered back-to-back games since their loss to Arizona, rolling 45-20 against Washington. The total, well...see the bad beat section below. ... UCLA outlasted California in a tight one. The home team has now cashed in five straight meetings in this series.
In the SEC, Alabama embarrassed Texas A&M by a 59-0 count. The Tide rolled up 35 points in the second quarter, their most in a single quarter in program history. It was also Kevin Sumlin's first shutout defeat in seven seasons in College Station. ... Is this the end for Will Muschamp in Gainesville? Missouri manhandled Florida 42-13 in 'The Swamp'. ... Georgia blasted Arkansas 45-32 for their fifth straight win. They have also covered back-to-back games for the first time this season. The 'over' is 6-1 for the 'Dawgs. ... Auburn and Mississippi State were on byes.
Mid-Major Report
If you really like to dig deep and follow the Sun Belt, one of the most shocking results of the day was New Mexico State-Idaho. The Vandals covered 29-17, which was whatever. But the total was set at 67.5, and fell three touchdowns short. The 'over' was 6-0 in the past six for the Aggies entering play, and the over was 4-1-1 in six games for the Vandals entering the day. ... South Alabama has won three straight, but Georgia State covered in their matchup. The Panthers are now 4-1 ATS over the past five.
In the Mountain West, Hawaii was traveling to the mainland for the third time in less than a month. Perhaps all of the travel has them tired. They're 0-3 SU/ATS in trips in the contiguous 48, and 2-2 SU and 4-0 ATS in four games in the islands. ... San Jose State is showing signs of life lately, winning and covering back-to-back game for the first time this season. ... Wyoming started out 3-1 SU and 2-1 ATS. However, they have dropped three in a row straight-up, and four straight against the spread. The 'under' was 4-0 in the first four for the Cowboys, but the under is 3-0 in their past three.
In Conference USA, Florida Atlantic continues to be tough at home. They outscored Western Kentucky 17-0 in the fourth quarter, winning 45-38. The Owls are now 3-0 SU/ATS at home, and 0-4 SU and 2-2 ATS on the road. They head to Marshall next week. ... Speaking of the Herd, they thrashed Florida International 45-13 to stay unbeaten at 7-0, and they have now covered six in a row.
In Mid-American action, Northern Illinois failed to cover for the fourth consecutive game. ... Kent State picked up its first win of the season, crushing Army 39-17. The Golden Flashes are 2-1 ATS over the past three after starting out 0-4 ATS. ... Massachusetts was awful last season, and they started out 0-6 SU this year. But they have won back-to-back games, covered four straight and six of the past seven. Don't sleep on the Minutemen. Win or lose, their games have been exciting.
Bad Beats
Bad beats were aplenty, especially in the early games if you like MAC totals. Eastern Michigan-UMass (63.5) had 44 total points at halftime, but just six points in the third quarter and none in the fourth. ... Ball State-Central Michigan had 11 points in the final 2:22, turning an 'under' into an 'over' in a hurry.
The game between OK State and TCU (62) had 51 total points through the first 42:19, but zero points in the final 17:41.
If you had Notre Dame on the moneyline (+290), salutations. They appeared to score the go-ahead touchdown in the waning moments, but a rare offensive pass interference call wiped out the play, forcing them backwards 15 yards. FSU hung on for a 31-27 win. Depending on when you got in on the total, it could have been an 'under', 'push' or 'over'. If you had over 60, the closing number, it was another bitter pill to swallow.
Kansas-Texas Tech (57.5) appeared to be headed for an 'over', but seven total points in the fourth quarter put the brakes on that. There was no scoring in the final 13:21 of the game.
It wasn't the worst bad beat, but Miami-Ohio did score a touchdown with 2:36 left, picking up a backdoor cover at NIU.
By Daniel Dobish
VegasInsider.com
The largest underdog to cash: Ball State (+10.5, ML +300) at Central Michigan, 32-29
The largest favorite to cash: Marshall (-21) at Florida International, 45-13 and Oregon (-21) vs Washington, 45-20
Top 25 Notes
The upset bug reached up and bit Baylor, as they left burning Morgantown with a 41-27 loss, falling from the ranks of the unbeaten against red hot Clint Trickett and West Virginia. It was even more shocking since the Mountaineers were 4-2 SU and had failed to cover in three straight entering play.
The game of the day, and perhaps the season, was down in Tallahassee. Florida State failed to cover yet again, but found a way to come back and top Notre Dame 31-27. FSU might be 7-0, but they're just 1-6 ATS.
Top 10 teams ended up 6-2 SU/ATS, with one of the losses coming from the Irish in a battle of Top 5 teams.
Ohio State rolled over Rutgers 56-17 for an easy cover. Since their setback to Virginia Tech back on Sept. 6, the Buckeyes are 4-0 SU/ATS, and the 'over' has hit in five straight.
And bettors continue to yell, "Hotty Toddy!" Mississippi started extremely slow, but kicked it into high gear and buried Tennessee, 34-3. The Rebels are 7-0 SU and 6-0-1 ATS, while the 'under' has connected in six of their seven games.
Big Five Conference Report (ACC, Big 10, Big 12, Pac-12, SEC)
It was a low-scoring weekend in the ACC, as the 'under' cashed in six of the seven games. Of course, the exception was in Chapel Hill, where North Carolina outlasted Georgia Tech 48-43. UNC has allowed 34 or more points in five straight games, and 27 or more points in each of their seven games. ... Duke continues to roll, stopping Virginia 20-13. The Blue Devils have covered four of the past five overall, and they are 4-0 SU and 3-0-1 ATS at home. The 'under is also 5-1 in their past six. ... Wake Forest is a terrible offensive club. They were dropped 30-7 by Syracuse, and they have a total of just 20 points in the past three weeks. The 'under' is 6-1 for the Deacs this season.
The Big 12 had a difficult weekend, as its top ranked teams Baylor and Oklahoma each suffered straight-up losses. ... Texas Christian might be the best team in the Big 12 right now, as they routed Oklahoma State by a 42-9 score. The Cowboys had scored 20 or more points in 58 consecutive games.
How about Minnesota? Sure, they did not cover, and barely won, against Purdue, but they moved to 6-1. It was their first non-cover since their only setback Sept. 13 against a good TCU team. ... Nebraska continues to be a friend to bettors, topping Northwestern 38-17. The Huskers have covered five straight. They'll host Rutgers next Saturday. ... Michigan State has had some trouble finishing games lately, but they had no problem putting away Indiana, 56-17. Defense was a hallmark for Sparty last season, but the 'over' is 6-1 through seven games this season.
Stanford continues to tumble in the Pac-12. The Cardinals are a great defensive team, but their offense is abysmal. They held the high-flying Arizona State offense to 'just' 26, but scrounged up just 10 points in a loss. The Cardinal are just 1-3 ATS in the past four. Not surprisingly, the 'under' is a perfect 6-0 for Stanford this season. ... Oregon has covered back-to-back games since their loss to Arizona, rolling 45-20 against Washington. The total, well...see the bad beat section below. ... UCLA outlasted California in a tight one. The home team has now cashed in five straight meetings in this series.
In the SEC, Alabama embarrassed Texas A&M by a 59-0 count. The Tide rolled up 35 points in the second quarter, their most in a single quarter in program history. It was also Kevin Sumlin's first shutout defeat in seven seasons in College Station. ... Is this the end for Will Muschamp in Gainesville? Missouri manhandled Florida 42-13 in 'The Swamp'. ... Georgia blasted Arkansas 45-32 for their fifth straight win. They have also covered back-to-back games for the first time this season. The 'over' is 6-1 for the 'Dawgs. ... Auburn and Mississippi State were on byes.
Mid-Major Report
If you really like to dig deep and follow the Sun Belt, one of the most shocking results of the day was New Mexico State-Idaho. The Vandals covered 29-17, which was whatever. But the total was set at 67.5, and fell three touchdowns short. The 'over' was 6-0 in the past six for the Aggies entering play, and the over was 4-1-1 in six games for the Vandals entering the day. ... South Alabama has won three straight, but Georgia State covered in their matchup. The Panthers are now 4-1 ATS over the past five.
In the Mountain West, Hawaii was traveling to the mainland for the third time in less than a month. Perhaps all of the travel has them tired. They're 0-3 SU/ATS in trips in the contiguous 48, and 2-2 SU and 4-0 ATS in four games in the islands. ... San Jose State is showing signs of life lately, winning and covering back-to-back game for the first time this season. ... Wyoming started out 3-1 SU and 2-1 ATS. However, they have dropped three in a row straight-up, and four straight against the spread. The 'under' was 4-0 in the first four for the Cowboys, but the under is 3-0 in their past three.
In Conference USA, Florida Atlantic continues to be tough at home. They outscored Western Kentucky 17-0 in the fourth quarter, winning 45-38. The Owls are now 3-0 SU/ATS at home, and 0-4 SU and 2-2 ATS on the road. They head to Marshall next week. ... Speaking of the Herd, they thrashed Florida International 45-13 to stay unbeaten at 7-0, and they have now covered six in a row.
In Mid-American action, Northern Illinois failed to cover for the fourth consecutive game. ... Kent State picked up its first win of the season, crushing Army 39-17. The Golden Flashes are 2-1 ATS over the past three after starting out 0-4 ATS. ... Massachusetts was awful last season, and they started out 0-6 SU this year. But they have won back-to-back games, covered four straight and six of the past seven. Don't sleep on the Minutemen. Win or lose, their games have been exciting.
Bad Beats
Bad beats were aplenty, especially in the early games if you like MAC totals. Eastern Michigan-UMass (63.5) had 44 total points at halftime, but just six points in the third quarter and none in the fourth. ... Ball State-Central Michigan had 11 points in the final 2:22, turning an 'under' into an 'over' in a hurry.
The game between OK State and TCU (62) had 51 total points through the first 42:19, but zero points in the final 17:41.
If you had Notre Dame on the moneyline (+290), salutations. They appeared to score the go-ahead touchdown in the waning moments, but a rare offensive pass interference call wiped out the play, forcing them backwards 15 yards. FSU hung on for a 31-27 win. Depending on when you got in on the total, it could have been an 'under', 'push' or 'over'. If you had over 60, the closing number, it was another bitter pill to swallow.
Kansas-Texas Tech (57.5) appeared to be headed for an 'over', but seven total points in the fourth quarter put the brakes on that. There was no scoring in the final 13:21 of the game.
It wasn't the worst bad beat, but Miami-Ohio did score a touchdown with 2:36 left, picking up a backdoor cover at NIU.
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