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Re: College Football Betting Info. Week 7
College Football Top 25 Betting Cheat Sheet: Week 7
By Covers.com
(1) Florida State Seminoles at Syracuse Orange (+23.5, 54)
Rashad Greene, Florida State's leading wide receiver, is in danger of missing this game. The senior wideout, who leads the Seminoles with 38 catches and 576 yards, suffered a concussion versus Wake Forest last week.
Not be outdone in injury news, however, is Syracuse. The Orange will now be without starting quarterback Terrel Hunt for 4-6 weeks after suffering a broken calf bone last week.
(2) Auburn Tigers at (6) Mississippi State Bulldogs (+3, 64)
According to ESPN, the Auburn Tigers have four games remaining with just a 60 percent chance of winning, including this Week 7 matchup.
Auburn coach Gus Malzahn compared MSU QB Dak Prescott to his former signal caller, Cam Newton. "He's got some similarities. He's a big, physical guy. A lot of times in short yardage, he'll find a way to get it."
(12) TCU Horned Frogs at (3) Baylor Bears (-8, 67.5)
There are a few teams left (Virginia, Baylor, Memphis, Ole Miss) that haven't lost against the spread, but have one push this season. But only one unblemished ATS record is left. That belongs to the TCU Horned Frogs who are the best bet in the land at 4-0 ATS.
The Baylor Bears are 21-1 straight up in their last 22 home games (19-2 against the spread). Their only SU loss during that stretch? That came as a 6-point fave against the TCU Horned Frogs in 2012 (49-21).
(4) Ole Miss Rebels at (14) Texas A&M Aggies (-2.5, 65)
Perhaps it's best to not look at Ole Miss for a letdown spot this week. Saturday was the third time this century that the Rebels defeated Alabama (2003, 2001). In both occasions, they won SU and ATS the following week.
Myles Garrett broke the Texas A&M freshman sacks record last week and his 6.5 sacks rank second in the SEC.
North Carolina Tar Heels at (5) Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-16.5, 54.5)
There are two programs left that are winless against the spread this season and the Tar Heels are one of them. North Carolina heads into Week 7 0-5 ATS (UConn is the other).
The Irish, ever looking more like a playoff threat, were one of the biggest movers in Championship futures this week, going from 18/1 to 8/1.
(7) Alabama Crimson Tide at Arkansas Razorbacks (+8.5, 56)
The Crimson Tide don't take defeat very well. In their last 15 losses, the Tide are just 3-12 against the spread in the following game.
At his press conference Wednesday, Alabama head coach Nick Saban cited the Razorbacks as the most improved team the Tide will face: "I think Arkansas is the most improved team that I've seen that we play so far this year. This is a really good football team," he said.
(8) Michigan State Spartans at Purdue Boilermakers (+21, 51)
Is the Spartans' defense clapping to disrupt opponents' snap counts? Nebraska's Bo Pelini thinks so and claims it's "Something that I'll talk to the league office about". Nebraska was called for three pre-snap pelanties in the loss to the Spartans.
Purdue quarterback Austin Appleby used a win over Illinois to claim that the Boilermakers were about to go on a streak. "This is just one win, we're gonna put a couple together now," he said after a 38-27 win over the Illini. He'll be quarterbacking a team that is a 21-point home dog Saturday.
Texas Longhorns vs. (9) Oklahoma Sooners (-14.5, 47)
A loss to the Sooners in the Red River Rivalry and the Longhorns will have a record of 2-4 straight up, their worst start since 1956 (1-5).
The Sooners are perfect examples of an NCAA powerhouse that responds well for bettors after a loss. The Sooners are 23-7 against the spread coming off a defeat. Oklahoma is a 14.5-point fave over Texas one week removed from a loss to TCU.
(10) Georgia Bulldogs at (24) Missouri Tigers (+3, 59)
Georgia star running back and Heisman frontrunner RB Todd Gurley is suspended indefinitely pending a NCAA investigation. Oddsmakers priced Gurley's worth to the UGA spread between 1.5 and three points. The Bulldogs opened as 3-point road favorites but after news of Gurley's suspension spread, books took Saturday's game off the board and then reopened at a pick'em.
The Tigers boast one of the top pass-rushing duos in the nation in defensive ends Shane Ray (SEC-best eight sacks) and Markus Golden (four sacks).
(11) Oregon Ducks at (17) UCLA Bruins (+2.5, 71)
Oregon has certainly found contributions from some unexpected places. The Ducks have 30 offensive touchdowns this season, 13 of which have come from freshman (43 percent). Freshman WR Devon Allen (6) and RB Royce Freeman (5) are first and second in end zone visits.
If there's one place UCLA needs to improve defensively it's on third downs. The Bruins have allowed 7.6 third-down conversions per game this season, which has them ranked No.114 in the nation in that category.
USC Trojans at (13) Arizona Wildcats (+2.5, 68)
To say that the Trojans are a first-quarter team may be an understatement. Southern Cal has outscored opponents 52-7 in the first quarter this season.
Despite Arizona facing an unranked team, they are the underdogs according to oddsmakers. “I’m glad we’re the underdogs," Will Parks said. That just keeps all the guys focused for the task at hand."
(18) Oklahoma State Cowboys at Kansas Jayhawks (+21, 50.5)
Despite the Cowboys sporting a 4-1 record, coach Mike Gundy has yet to really turn his team loose. "We're basic vanilla for the most part," Gundy said. "Until we improve in some areas, it’s difficult to really get out of our box."
If there is one part of the game the Jayhawks are excelling in, it's recovering fumbles. Through five games, Kansas has a Big 12-high five fumble recoveries.
(19) East Carolina Pirates at South Florida Bulls (+16, 58)
In East Carolina's impressive offensive numbers, the defense has been neglected. The Pirates have only allowed 106.4 rushing yards per game (17 in FBS) and have held three of their opponents this season to less than a 2.9 yards per rush average.
The Bulls know what they are up against Saturday and defensive coordinator Chuck Bresnahan has an interesting analogy for it. “This is a game played in space. For this it’s basketball played on grass. The ability to make the open field tackle and swarm to the football is huge.”
Duke Blue Devils at (23) Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (-3, 58)
The key for the Blue Devils has long been allowing few points. In each of Duke's four wins this season it held its opponent to fewer than 20 points, which has improved the squads record to 20-3 under David Cutcliffe when accomplishing that feat.
The Yellow Jackets triple-option attack has been shredding teams so far this season. Georgia Tech is No.11 in the nation in rushing yards per game and has amassed 297.2 rushing yards per game.
Louisville Cardinals at (25) Clemson Tigers (-9.5, 47.5)
Louisville may be sporting the top up-and-coming running back nobody is talking about it in Brandon Radcliff. The sophomore has 230 yards on the ground and four touchdowns in his last two games.
There may be no better freshman quarterback than Deshaun Watson. In Watson's past two games he has racked up 702 yards in the air with an 8-to-1 touch to interception ratio.
College Football Top 25 Betting Cheat Sheet: Week 7
By Covers.com
(1) Florida State Seminoles at Syracuse Orange (+23.5, 54)
Rashad Greene, Florida State's leading wide receiver, is in danger of missing this game. The senior wideout, who leads the Seminoles with 38 catches and 576 yards, suffered a concussion versus Wake Forest last week.
Not be outdone in injury news, however, is Syracuse. The Orange will now be without starting quarterback Terrel Hunt for 4-6 weeks after suffering a broken calf bone last week.
(2) Auburn Tigers at (6) Mississippi State Bulldogs (+3, 64)
According to ESPN, the Auburn Tigers have four games remaining with just a 60 percent chance of winning, including this Week 7 matchup.
Auburn coach Gus Malzahn compared MSU QB Dak Prescott to his former signal caller, Cam Newton. "He's got some similarities. He's a big, physical guy. A lot of times in short yardage, he'll find a way to get it."
(12) TCU Horned Frogs at (3) Baylor Bears (-8, 67.5)
There are a few teams left (Virginia, Baylor, Memphis, Ole Miss) that haven't lost against the spread, but have one push this season. But only one unblemished ATS record is left. That belongs to the TCU Horned Frogs who are the best bet in the land at 4-0 ATS.
The Baylor Bears are 21-1 straight up in their last 22 home games (19-2 against the spread). Their only SU loss during that stretch? That came as a 6-point fave against the TCU Horned Frogs in 2012 (49-21).
(4) Ole Miss Rebels at (14) Texas A&M Aggies (-2.5, 65)
Perhaps it's best to not look at Ole Miss for a letdown spot this week. Saturday was the third time this century that the Rebels defeated Alabama (2003, 2001). In both occasions, they won SU and ATS the following week.
Myles Garrett broke the Texas A&M freshman sacks record last week and his 6.5 sacks rank second in the SEC.
North Carolina Tar Heels at (5) Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-16.5, 54.5)
There are two programs left that are winless against the spread this season and the Tar Heels are one of them. North Carolina heads into Week 7 0-5 ATS (UConn is the other).
The Irish, ever looking more like a playoff threat, were one of the biggest movers in Championship futures this week, going from 18/1 to 8/1.
(7) Alabama Crimson Tide at Arkansas Razorbacks (+8.5, 56)
The Crimson Tide don't take defeat very well. In their last 15 losses, the Tide are just 3-12 against the spread in the following game.
At his press conference Wednesday, Alabama head coach Nick Saban cited the Razorbacks as the most improved team the Tide will face: "I think Arkansas is the most improved team that I've seen that we play so far this year. This is a really good football team," he said.
(8) Michigan State Spartans at Purdue Boilermakers (+21, 51)
Is the Spartans' defense clapping to disrupt opponents' snap counts? Nebraska's Bo Pelini thinks so and claims it's "Something that I'll talk to the league office about". Nebraska was called for three pre-snap pelanties in the loss to the Spartans.
Purdue quarterback Austin Appleby used a win over Illinois to claim that the Boilermakers were about to go on a streak. "This is just one win, we're gonna put a couple together now," he said after a 38-27 win over the Illini. He'll be quarterbacking a team that is a 21-point home dog Saturday.
Texas Longhorns vs. (9) Oklahoma Sooners (-14.5, 47)
A loss to the Sooners in the Red River Rivalry and the Longhorns will have a record of 2-4 straight up, their worst start since 1956 (1-5).
The Sooners are perfect examples of an NCAA powerhouse that responds well for bettors after a loss. The Sooners are 23-7 against the spread coming off a defeat. Oklahoma is a 14.5-point fave over Texas one week removed from a loss to TCU.
(10) Georgia Bulldogs at (24) Missouri Tigers (+3, 59)
Georgia star running back and Heisman frontrunner RB Todd Gurley is suspended indefinitely pending a NCAA investigation. Oddsmakers priced Gurley's worth to the UGA spread between 1.5 and three points. The Bulldogs opened as 3-point road favorites but after news of Gurley's suspension spread, books took Saturday's game off the board and then reopened at a pick'em.
The Tigers boast one of the top pass-rushing duos in the nation in defensive ends Shane Ray (SEC-best eight sacks) and Markus Golden (four sacks).
(11) Oregon Ducks at (17) UCLA Bruins (+2.5, 71)
Oregon has certainly found contributions from some unexpected places. The Ducks have 30 offensive touchdowns this season, 13 of which have come from freshman (43 percent). Freshman WR Devon Allen (6) and RB Royce Freeman (5) are first and second in end zone visits.
If there's one place UCLA needs to improve defensively it's on third downs. The Bruins have allowed 7.6 third-down conversions per game this season, which has them ranked No.114 in the nation in that category.
USC Trojans at (13) Arizona Wildcats (+2.5, 68)
To say that the Trojans are a first-quarter team may be an understatement. Southern Cal has outscored opponents 52-7 in the first quarter this season.
Despite Arizona facing an unranked team, they are the underdogs according to oddsmakers. “I’m glad we’re the underdogs," Will Parks said. That just keeps all the guys focused for the task at hand."
(18) Oklahoma State Cowboys at Kansas Jayhawks (+21, 50.5)
Despite the Cowboys sporting a 4-1 record, coach Mike Gundy has yet to really turn his team loose. "We're basic vanilla for the most part," Gundy said. "Until we improve in some areas, it’s difficult to really get out of our box."
If there is one part of the game the Jayhawks are excelling in, it's recovering fumbles. Through five games, Kansas has a Big 12-high five fumble recoveries.
(19) East Carolina Pirates at South Florida Bulls (+16, 58)
In East Carolina's impressive offensive numbers, the defense has been neglected. The Pirates have only allowed 106.4 rushing yards per game (17 in FBS) and have held three of their opponents this season to less than a 2.9 yards per rush average.
The Bulls know what they are up against Saturday and defensive coordinator Chuck Bresnahan has an interesting analogy for it. “This is a game played in space. For this it’s basketball played on grass. The ability to make the open field tackle and swarm to the football is huge.”
Duke Blue Devils at (23) Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (-3, 58)
The key for the Blue Devils has long been allowing few points. In each of Duke's four wins this season it held its opponent to fewer than 20 points, which has improved the squads record to 20-3 under David Cutcliffe when accomplishing that feat.
The Yellow Jackets triple-option attack has been shredding teams so far this season. Georgia Tech is No.11 in the nation in rushing yards per game and has amassed 297.2 rushing yards per game.
Louisville Cardinals at (25) Clemson Tigers (-9.5, 47.5)
Louisville may be sporting the top up-and-coming running back nobody is talking about it in Brandon Radcliff. The sophomore has 230 yards on the ground and four touchdowns in his last two games.
There may be no better freshman quarterback than Deshaun Watson. In Watson's past two games he has racked up 702 yards in the air with an 8-to-1 touch to interception ratio.
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