Final Four Betting Info

[NYK]

Since 2005 ... no favorite has received less than 43% of spread bets in the Final Four ... Villanova (-2) currently receiving 42%.

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Syracuse (+9) is currently receiving 43% of spread bets against North Carolina.

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Since the start of the tournament, Syracuse's odds of winning the championship have moved from 200/1 to 8/1

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From CG Technology ...


OU vs. Villanova (-2) ... 56% of bets are on the Sooners, but 74% of the money is on the Wildcats at this point.

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Last 20 college hoops games inside NRG Stadium ... teams combined for average of 126.8 pts versus an average total of 133.65


6-14 Over/Under

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Sharp Final Four money on Sooners, books brace for big UNC action



No. 2 Oklahoma Sooners vs. No. 2 Villanova Wildcats – Open: -1, Move: -2.5, Move: -2

A pair of No. 2 seeds butt heads in Houston, with the high-powered offense of Oklahoma colliding with the lockdown defense of Villanova. Oddsmakers opened this pointspread as low as Villanova -1 and action on the Wildcats tacked on an extra point and a half at some books, which has now settled at two.

According to John Lester, lines manager for online market Bookmaker.eu, the early money on the chalk dictated the adjustment to the spread but there is push back from the public as tipoff on Saturday draws closer.

“Still somewhat of a divide here as the sharper players are on Villanova while the public loves Buddy Hield's Sooners,” says Lester. “The public has brought the line back to -2 and we have around 60 percent of the wagers on that side, but the total handle is slightly favoring the Wildcats.”

In Las Vegas, MGM sportsbooks opened Villanova -1.5 and watched that line grow to -2.5 before sharp money bought back the Sooners with the half-point hook. That settled the line to -2, where they expect it to stay until game time.

“They’ve sort of established the parameters that this number is going to bounce within,” Jay Rood, vice president of race and sports for MGM Resorts, tells Covers. “I think the public is going to be on Nova quite a bit.”

At fellow Las Vegas sportsbook operator CG Technology, the Wildcats opened as 2-point favorites and have stayed there throughout the week. “We’ve taken mainly Nova bets but have not moved the number,” Jason Simbal, vice president of risk management for CG Technology, tells Covers.

The total for the early Final Four game opened around 150 points and got as high as 150.5 at some online markets before money on the Under dropped the number to as low as 144.5 as of Thursday. In Las Vegas, the Over/Under opened around 146 and has also been bet down.




No. 10 Syracuse Orange vs. No. 1 North Carolina Tar Heels – Open: -10, Move: -9

Syracuse’s improbable run to the Final Four has garnered a bulky spread for the national semifinals, opening as big as 10-point underdogs against No. 1 North Carolina. However, despite the oddsmakers opinion the early money has grabbed the Orange and trimmed as much as a point off the line.

“It’s hard to call Syracuse a Cinderella,” says Rood, “but at this point we’re getting a lot of support for them from a parlay and public perspective. But that’s going to change. We’re going to see UNC get their normal backing and we’re going to need (Syracuse coach Jim) Boeheim to stay within the number if not win the game outright.”

The moneyline for this game – odds to win the game outright – have been an interesting dynamic. MGM sportsbooks are predicting plenty of moneyline wagers on North Carolina, which is priced around -550, but over at CG Technology shops (which include The M, Cosmopolitan, and Venetian) the Orange have been the popular play to win outright, with their outright odds paying plus money.

“We’ve taken Cuse moneyline bets but not enough to move the number off +380,” says Simbal.

A similar lean toward the underdog Orange is happening online, where just about all early action is scooping up the pile of points with Syracuse. However, much like in their Nevada counterparts, offshore sites are bracing for big Tar Heel support come Saturday.

“As the weekend rolls around, we anticipate booking a ton of action on North Carolina,” says Lester. “The spread percentage is fairly split, with 55 percent of money on the underdog.”

The total for this No. 1 versus No. 1 matchup has also seem interesting action, with the number opening at 147 points and dropping to 144.5 as of Thursday. According to Lester, it’s been all Under money banking on the Syracuse zone to slow up the talent Tar Heels.

“The total has been lopsided with the under garnering almost 70 percent of the action,” he says.

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Buddy Hield needs just 4 points to be the Big 12's all-time leading scorer.

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Here are the 10 officials who will work the Final Four ...

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2016 NCAA Tourney Recap...


Faves: 35-29 ATS


Double-digit faves: 9-5 ATS


<20% bets: 2-0 ATS


Overs: 32-32


Upsets: MTSU +1529, Cuse +374

[NYK]

Re: Final Four Betting Info

North Carolina’s Roy Williams ...

68-22 SU and 50-39-1 ATS in NCAA tournament
191-79 SU and 132-131-7 ATS vs. ACC
21-5 SU and 16-10 ATS vs. Big East
112-32 SU and 72-71-1 ATS vs. Big 12
4-4 SU and 3-5 ATS vs. Boeheim
3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS vs. Kruger
3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS vs. Wright

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Oklahoma’s Lon Kruger ...

16-12 SU and 13-15 ATS in NCAA tournament
9-10 SU and 12-7 ATS vs. ACC
14-7 SU and 12-7 ATS vs. Big East
0-0 SU and 0-0 ATS vs. Boeheim
1-3 SU and 2-2 ATS vs. Williams
1-0 SU and 1-0 ATS vs. Wright

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Syracuse’s Jim Boeheim ...

39-18 SU and 32-23-2 ATS in NCAA tournament
47-29 SU and 34-39-3 ATS vs. ACC
12-6 SU and 12-6 ATS vs. Big 12
294-164 SU and 221-231-5 ATS vs. Big East
0-0 SU and 0-0 ATS vs. Kruger
4-4 SU and 5-3 ATS vs. Williams
9-12 SU and 9-12 ATS vs. Wright

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Villanova’s Jay Wright ...

18-10 SU and 14-14 ATS in NCAA tournament
4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS vs. ACC
2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS vs. Big East
3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS vs. Big 12
12-9 SU and 12-9 ATS vs. Boeheim
0-1 SU and 0-1 ATS vs. Kruger
0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS vs. Williams