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CBB Betting Info. 3/20

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  • CBB Betting Info. 3/20

    StatFox Super Situations


    CBB | SF AUSTIN ST at NOTRE DAME
    Play Under - Neutral court teams against the total in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (>=36.5%), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game)
    74-36 over the last 5 seasons. ( 67.3% | 34.4 units )
    12-8 this year. ( 60.0% | 3.2 units )


    CBB | GEORGIA at ST MARYS-CA
    Play On - A home team vs. the money line (ST MARYS-CA) after a combined score of 115 points or less against opponent after a combined score of 165 points or more 2 straight games
    69-33 since 1997. ( 67.6% | 30.3 units )


    CBB | VA COMMONWEALTH at OKLAHOMA
    Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 65.5 to 70.5 in a game involving two good free throw shooting teams (69-73%), after a game where a team made 50% of their 3 point shots or better
    243-149 since 1997. ( 62.0% | 79.1 units )
    25-22 this year. ( 53.2% | 0.8 units )

  • #2
    Re: CBB Betting Info. 3/20

    Sunday's Early Tips
    By David Schwab


    South Regional - Barclays Center, Brooklyn NY (CBS, 12:10 p.m. ET)
    No. 7 Iowa Hawkeyes vs. No. 2 Villanova


    Opening Odds: Villanova -6 ½, 145 ½


    Betting Matchup


    The Big Ten’s Iowa Hawkeyes advanced to the second round of this season’s NCAA Tournament with a tight 72-70 overtime victory against the Temple Owls. They failed to cover as seven-point favorites and the total went OVER the 139 ½-point line. Iowa is now a costly 1-8 against the spread in its last nine games and this was just its second straight-up win in its last seven contests.


    The Hawkeyes need a last second bucket by 7-foot-1 center Adam Woodbury to get by the Owls in Friday’s opening round game. Senior forward Jarrod Uthoff scored a team-high 23 points in that game, but Iowa was only able to covert on 34.8 percent of its shots from the field and it went 7-for-28 from three-point range. On the year, the Hawkeyes are averaging 78.1 points per game and shooting 44.7 percent from the four.


    Villanova was the toast of the Big East this season with a SU conference record of 16-2 as part of its overall record of 30-5. The Wildcats opened their run at a national title with a routine 86-56 victory against UNC Asheville as heavy 17 ½-point favorites. It was just the third time they covered the spread in their last nine games and the total stayed UNDER the closing 142 ½-point line after going OVER in eight of their previous nine outings.


    Four of Villanova’s five starters reached double-digits in Thursday’s victory led by senior forward Daniel Ochefu’s 17 points. Junior guard Josh Hart ended the game with nine points, but he remains the team’s leading scorer this season with 15.5 PPG. The Wildcats are averaging 77 PPG while hitting 47.1 percent of their shots from the floor. Defensively, they are ranked 20th in the nation in points allowed; giving-up an average of 63.7 points a game.


    Betting Trends


    -- The Hawkeyes have failed to cover in four of their last five games against a Big East team and they are a costly 1-6 ATS in their last seven NCCA Tournament games. The total has stayed UNDER in 10 of their last 14 neutral-site games.


    -- The Wildcats are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in the NCAA Tournament and they are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a SU win. The total has gone OVER in seven of their last nine games against the Big Ten.


    -- These two last met in 2013 with Villanova coming away with an 88-83 overtime victory as a three-point road underdog. The total went OVER the closing 148-point line in that game.


    Championship Odds
    -- Villanova 18/1
    -- Iowa 80/1


    South Regional Odds
    -- Villanova 7/2
    -- Iowa 18/1


    West Regional - Barclays Center, Brooklyn NY (CBS, 2:40 p.m. ET)
    No. 14 Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs. No. 6 Notre Dame Fighting Irish


    Opening Odds: Notre Dame -1 ½, 141


    Betting Matchup


    The Lumberjacks were part of a group a bracket busters in this year Big Dance with their stunning 70-56 upset against No. 3 West Virginia as seven-point underdogs. The win extended their SU winning streak to 21 games and they have covered in their last three outings. This was the first time they covered in their last four games as underdogs and the total stayed UNDER the closing 145-point line after going OVER in six of their last seven games with a posted betting line.


    Senior forward Thomas Walkup went off with a game high 33 points to help the Lumberjacks chop down the Mountaineers. He has led the team in scoring all season long with 17.5 PPG and he is hitting an impressive 59.8 percent of his shots from the field. Stephen F. Austin is averaging 80.7 PPG and it is ranked 13th in the nation on defense when it comes to points allowed (63.2).


    The Fighting Irish advanced to the next round on this tournament with Friday’s 70-63 victory against No. 11 Michigan while covering as three-point favorites. They are now 4-1 SU in their last five games, but when it comes to betting on the Irish lately it has been a toss-up with an even 4-4 record ATS in their last eight outings. The total stayed UNDER 143 ½-points in Friday’s win and it has now stayed UNDER in seven of their last nine games.


    The key to getting past the rival Wolverines was the ability to erase a 12-point halftime deficit behind junior forward VJ Beachem’s game-high 18 points. Junior guard Demetrius Jackson has been Notre Dame’s leading scorer this season with 15.4 PPG and he added 11 points and five rebounds to the winning cause. The Irish are averaging 75.7 PPG while shooting 47.4 percent from the field. With the exception of a 47-point meltdown in a lopsided loss to North Carolina in the recent ACC Tournament, Notre Dame has posted an average of 81 points in its last three wins.


    Betting Trends


    -- The Lumberjacks are 4-1 ATS in their last five neutral-site games, but they are 1-3 ATS this season in four games as underdogs. The total has stayed UNDER in four of their previous five NCAA Tournament games.


    -- The Fighting Irish are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 NCAA Tournament games and they have failed to cover in eight of their last 11 games following an ATS win. The total has stayed UNDER in six of their last eight games played at a neutral site.


    Championship Odds
    -- Notre Dame 50/1
    -- Stephen F. Austin 100/1


    East Regional Odds
    -- Notre Dame 19/2
    -- Stephen F. Austin 15/1

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: CBB Betting Info. 3/20

      Sunday's Late Tips
      By Brian Edwards


      West Regional - Oklahoma City, OK (truTV, 7:45 p.m. ET)
      No. 11 Northern Iowa vs. No. 3 Texas A&M


      -- This is a West Region matchup between third-seeded Texas A&M (27-8 straight up, 16-12 against the spread) and 11th-seeded No. Iowa. The winner moves on to Anaheim to face the Oklahoma-VCU winner. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:45 p.m. Eastern on TruTV.


      -- The Westgate SuperBook opened Texas A&M as a 6.5-point favorite with a total of 127. The tally was adjusted to 127.5 by early Saturday night. The Panthers were +250 on the money line (risk $100 to win $250).


      -- No. Iowa (23-12 SU, 20-13 ATS) advanced to the Round of 32 with a victory over Texas in one of the most thrilling finishes in NCAA Tournament history. With 2.7 seconds remaining, the Panthers had the ball in a tie game on the opposite baseline. Matt Bohannon threw the inbound pass to Paul Jesperson, who took the pass at the opposite timeline, took two dribbles to his left and forward a touch and took off. By the time he released the shot, he was at halfcourt. The ball hung in the air, kissed home off the glass just after the horn sounded and the Longhorns were sent home in gut-wrenching fashion.


      -- NIU’s Wes Washpun was the catalyst with 17 points, four rebounds, three assists and two blocked shots. Jeremy Morgan added 16 points.


      -- NIU has won seven in a row while going 6-0-1 ATS.


      -- No. Iowa has been an underdog 12 times this year, going 6-6 both SU and ATS. However, the Panthers have won outright in four consecutive games from the role of underdogs.


      -- Washpun averages team-highs in scoring (14.3 PPG) and assists (5.1 APG). Morgan (10.5 PPG) averages team-bests in rebounds (5.1 RPG), field-goal percentage (48.4%), steals (1.9 SPG) and blocked shots (0.9 BPG).


      -- Since losing four straight games in early February, Texas A&M has been hot with nine wins in its last 10 games while going 8-2 ATS. The only defeat came in overtime to Kentucky in the finals of the SEC Tournament.


      -- Texas A&M advanced to the Round of 32 by spanking Wisconsin-Green Bay by a 92-65 count as a 13-point favorite. Danuel House paced the Aggies with 20 points by draining 8-of-12 from the field and 2-of-3 from downtown. Tonny Trocha-Morelos added 15 points, six rebounds, four assists and two steals with zero turnovers.


      -- Billy Kennedy’s squad has been a single-digit ‘chalk’ 17 times, posting a 9-7-1 spread record.


      -- The ‘under’ is 20-14 overall for the Panthers, 7-2 in their last nine games.


      -- The ‘under’ is 17-13 overall for the Aggies, but they have seen the ‘over’ go 4-1 in their last five outings.


      East Regional - St. Louis, MO (TNT, 8:40 p.m. ET)
      No. 2 Xavier vs. No. 7 Wisconsin


      -- This is an East Region 2/7 matchup that’ll be contested Sunday in St. Louis at 8:40 p.m. Eastern on TNT. The winner advances to Philadelphia to meet the winner of


      -- The Westgate opened Xavier (28-5 SU, 20-13 ATS) as a 4.5-point favorite with a total of 136. That’s where both numbers remained early Saturday night. The Badgers were +180 on the money line (risk $100 to win $180).


      -- Chris Mack’s squad advanced to the Round of 32 while simultaneously hooking up its backers in a 71-53 win over Weber State as a 13-point favorite. James Farr stole the show with 18 points, 15 rebounds and three blocked shots. Jalen Reynolds added 12 points and five boards, while Myles Davis contributed six points, eight boards and six assists.


      -- Xavier has been a single-digit ‘chalk’ 13 times, cashing tickets at a frenetic 9-4 ATS clip.


      -- Xavier is led in scoring by Trevon Bluiett, who averages 15.3 points per game. Farr (11.0 PPG) averages 8.0 RPG and has a team-high 33 rejections.


      -Wisconsin (21-12 SU, 17-16 ATS) won a 47-43 decision over Pittsburgh as a one-point underdog Friday night. The 90 combined points easily stayed ‘under’ the 130.5-point tally. Ethan Happ led the way with 15 points, nine rebounds, three assists, two steals and one blocked shot. Nigel Hayes was an abysmal 3-of-17 from the field but made enough free throws to contribute 12 points and five boards.


      -- Wisconsin is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games.


      -- Wisconsin has been an underdog 13 times, compiling a 7-6 spread record with six outright victories.


      -- The ‘under’ is on a 9-1 run for the Badgers to improve to 19-14 overall.


      -- The ‘over’ is 21-12 overall for the Musketeers, cashing in eight of their last nine contests.


      -- These schools haven’t squared off since the 2009 NCAA Tournament when Xavier knocked off the Badgers 60-49 as a 2.5-point favorite.


      West Regional - Spokane, WA (TBS, 9:40 p.m. ET)
      No. 1 Oregon vs. No. 8 St. Joseph’s


      -- This is a West Region showdown in Spokane, WA., between top-seeded Oregon and eighth-seeded St. Joseph’s with the winner advancing to Anaheim to face No. 4 seed Duke. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. Eastern on TBS.


      -- The Westgate opened Oregon as a six-point favorite with a total of 157. Since then, the total hasn’t budged but the Ducks are now favored by 6.5 points. They are 3.5-point ‘chalk’ for first-half wagers.


      -- Oregon (29-6 SU, 20-12 ATS) advanced to the Round of 32 by beating up on Holy Cross 91-52 as a 22.5-point favorite. The 143 combined points jumped ‘over’ the 133.5-point total. Chris Boucher scored a team-high 20 points in only 17 minutes of playing time, hitting 8-of-12 shots from the field. Elgin Cook finished with 11 points, 13 rebounds and four assists, while Dillon Brook tallied 11 points, six boards and five assists without a turnover.


      -- Brooks averages 16.6 points, 5.7 rebounds, 3.1 assists and 1.1 steals per game. Boucher (12.3 PPG) averages team-bests in rebounding (7.5 RPG), field-goal percentage (54.8%) and blocks (3.0 BPG).


      -- Oregon has won nine in a row while going 6-3 ATS. The Ducks have taken the money in three straight and six of their last seven.


      -- Oregon has been a single-digit favorite 17 times, compiling a 10-7 spread record.


      -- St. Joseph’s (28-7 SU, 23-10 ATS) hadn’t won an NCAA Tournament game since 2004 until late Friday night, when it slipped past Cincinnati 78-76 win as a 3.5-point underdog. Isaiah Miles buried the go-ahead 3-pointer with nine seconds left to put the Hawks up by two, but Cincy’s Octavius Ellis dunked at the buzzer to tie it. After a video review, however, the dunk was waved off as it came just a fraction of a second late.


      -- DeAndre Bembry was the catalyst against the Bearcats, producing 23 points, six rebounds, five assists, three steals and two blocked shots. Miles finished with 19 points, seven boards, two blocks and two assists without a turnover. Aaron Brown was also in double figures with 13 points.


      -- St. Joseph’s has been an incredible underdog this season, going 9-1-1 ATS with nine outright victories.


      -- The ‘under’ is 17-15 overall for the Ducks, but they’ve seen the ‘over’ hit in three consecutive contests.


      -- The ‘over’ has hit at a 12-2 clip in the Hawks’ last 14 games, going 20-13-1 overall.

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: CBB Betting Info. 3/20

        NCAA Tournament


        Sunday games


        Villanova hasn't been in Sweet 16 since 2009, despite being either 1 or 2-seed three times since then. Wildcats beat Nebraska by 24 in its only Big 14 game this year- Big East teams are 10-7 this year vs Big 14 teams, 4-4 vs spread when favored. All five starters for Iowa played 32:00 Friday; three played 36+. Villanova had an easy win in first round. Iowa beat Marquette by 28 in its only Big East game- Hawkeyes are still just 2-5 in last seven games. Villanova is 22-3 in its last 25. Since 2003, #2-seeds are 19-26-1 vs spread in second round games.


        Since 1998, 14-seeds are 0-9 vs spread in second round; last win by 14-seed in this round was Chattanooga in '97. SF Austin didn't look like a 14-seed Friday- they were +15 (22-7) in turnovers, held West Virginia to 36.1% inside arc while getting to line 39 times themselves. Notre Dame is more of an offensive team; they're 4-4 in last eight games overall- last year was first Sweet 16 for Irish in 12 years. ND will have crowd edge playing in Brooklyn. Austin is #1 in country, forcing turnovers on 26.1% of possessions- they do it more in halfcourt than by pressing like West Va does.


        Since 2008, Big X teams are 17-17 in this round. VCU hasn't been in Sweet 16 since making Final Four in '11; Rams are 1-4 vs top 50 teams this year, losing by 8-6-1-14 points- they force turnovers 21.6% of time, but veteran Oklahoma team likes to run- they went 2-1 vs West Virginia's pressure defense. Sooners shoot 42.9% on arc (#3)- they're 2-3 in this round since '05. Since '03, #2-seeds are 19-26-1 vs spread in second round games. VCU is #60 experience team; Oklahoma has four kids who started 100+ games together. This figures to be an up-and-down game. Big X teams are 3-2 vs Atlantic 14 teams this season.


        Northern Iowa beat North Carolina in November; Panthers won 13 of last 14 games, after enduring a 5-10 skid that had their season skidding. UNI outscored Texas 25-13 on line Friday, trailed by six in second half- four Panthers played 32:00+. Texas A&M is 9-1 in its last ten games after a 1-5 skid; Aggies had easy win vs Green Bay Friday, playing no one more than 26:00. A&M won nine of its last ten games, with only loss in OT to Kentucky in finals of SEC tourney. SEC teams are 4-0 vs MVC teams this year, winning by 14-3-13-13 points.


        Middle Tennessee raced out to 15-2 lead Friday, led all the way in huge upset as 18-point dog. 15-seeds are 1-6 in second round of NCAAs, 2-4-1 vs spread. Blue Raiders shoot 39.4% on arc, +14 in country- they're going against zone defense here, can make shots if they don't turn ball over. Syracuse beat Charlotte by 13 in its only C-USA game; Orange is just 2-5 in its last seven games- they played six guys Friday (7th guy played 9:00 in blowout), so depth is an MTSU edge. ACC teams are 5-0 vs C-USA this year, 2-2-1 against the spread.


        Since 2005, #2 seeds are 11-15-1 vs spread vs 7-seeds this round. Wisconsin won dreadful 47-43, slow, 54-possession game Friday; Badgers are 12-3 in last 15 games- they're 0-2 vs Big East, losing to Georgetown by 10, Marquette by 2. Xavier won at Michigan by 16 in its only Big 14 game; they won easily Friday, playing 8 kids 10+ minutes in stress-free game. Slowest game Xavier played this year was 62-possession, 10-point win over Cincinnati, big rivalry game in December. Big East teams are 10-7 this year vs Big 14 teams, 4-4 vs spread when favored.


        Maryland is just 4-5 in its last nine games; they damn near blew 18-point lead to South Dakota State Friday. Since 2002, 13-seeds are 4-1 vs spread in this round vs 5-seeds; most of time 13's won in first round, they've played 12-seed this round- overall, 13's are 6-5 vs spread in this round since '05. Hawai'i was lucky in that Cal was missing two starters Friday; Rainbows are 11-1 on mainland, with only loss by hoop at Long Beach State. Maryland is 12-1 in its non-conference games. Hawai'i starts three juniors, couple of seniors; they're #48 in experience, #13 in eFG% defense. .


        St Joe's scored 78.3 ppg in winning its last four games; their star Bembry played all 40:00 in tough win vs Cincinnati Friday; Ducks had glorified scrimmage vs Holy Cross. Oregon won its last nine games; they're #3 in blocking shots, don't defend arc well (#256). St Joe's is 26-70 (37.1%) on arc in its last four games. Last seven years, #1 seeds are 18-10-1 in second round games. A-14 teams are 2-1 vs Pac-12 this season. Ducks lost in this round last couple years; they were 8-seed in this game LY. #1 seed in West Region is 1-4 vs spread in this round the last five years.




        Other Tournaments
        We'll do what we can with these minor tournaments; impossible to determine how interested players on these teams will be........




        NIT
        Big 14 teams are 8-0 vs SEC teams this year, with Indiana's win against Kentucky yesterday; Florida won three of last four games, winning big at North Florida in first NIT game Tuesday. Gators lost to Purdue by 15 on neutral floor, at Michigan State by 6 in its Big 14 games. Ohio State is 7-3 in last 10 games after beating Akron in OT in first NIT game. Zips made 9 of 42 from the arc in that game.


        Long road trip from Athens to Moraga; Georgia hasn't travelled much at all this year; their only non-league road game was at Seton Hall. Dawgs won six of last seven games after pulling away from Belmont 93-84 in NIT opener. St Mary's has to be sick watching rival Gonzaga advance to Sweet 16- they've won nine of their last ten games. Texas A&M beat Gonzaga by point in only WCC-SEC game this year.




        CBI
        none




        CIT
        Ball State is 1-3 in its last four games, since beating Eastern Michigan by 36 (115-79) Feb 27; Cardinals needed double OT to beat Tennessee St of OVC in first round- they made 14 of 33 on arc in a game they trailed by 17 in first half. Tenn-Martin won at MAC's Central Michigan in its first round game, making 11-24 on arc in game they trailed by four with 8:54 left. MAC teams are 5-3 vs OVC teams this year.

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: CBB Betting Info. 3/20

          'Madness'


          March Madness lived up to its wild expectation Friday. In one of the biggest NCAA Tournament upsets, 15th-ranked Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders upended 2nd-ranked Michigan State Spartans 90-81 as 16.5 point underdogs. That was not the only bracket-buster Friday, 14th-ranked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks handed Bob Higgins' 3rd-ranked West Virgina Mountaineers a 70-56 thrashing as 6.5 point underdogs.


          Up next for the upset-minded Middle Tennessee State and Stephen F. Austin comes Sunday when Blue Raiders take on 10th-ranked Syracuse Orange with Lumberjacks getting a shot at 6th-ranked Notre Dame. Not sure how far the Blue Raiders and/or Lumberjacks will go, but we can tell you the last three #15-Seeds in this round are 1-2 SU/ATS and that the last seven #14 Seeds to make into the round of 32 are a 0-7 SU/ATS.


          Oddsmakers have Blue Raiders floating between +6.0 and +6.5 with Lumberjacks getting +1.5 to +2.0 depending on locale.

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: CBB Betting Info. 3/20

            Previews, Streaks, Tips, Notes


            Wisconsin Badgers vs. Xavier Musketeers March 20, 8:40 EST


            In their opening tournament game the Xavier Musketeers had little trouble defeating Weber State 71-53 cashing as 13-point chalk. Badgers shooting just 32.1% from the field, 21.1% from outside defeated Pittsburgh 47-43 as a small one-point underdog.


            Musketeers no slouches at putting the ball through the hoop averaging 81.0 points/game on 45.3% shooting will be tested vs Badgers stingy defensive play allowing opponents 63.9 per/contest. Musketeers may not put up the big numbers but have enought fire power to outlast offensively challenged Badgers. Consider Musketeers entering 21-4-1 ATS in their last 26 NCAA Tournament games, 13-3 ATS vs a Big Ten opponent, 8-1 ATS last 9 neutral site games.

            Comment

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