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**TheGame** · 03-19-2016, 09:26 AM

Re: CBB Betting Info. 3/19

Saturday's Early Tips
By David Schwab

The 2016 NCAA Tournament’s second round kicks things off this Saturday afternoon with a pair of intriguing matchups in both the South and West Region. The No. 11 Wichita Shockers get things started in the South against the No. 3 Miami Hurricanes in a 12:10 p.m. (ET) at the Dunkin Donuts Center in Providence followed by a matchup between No. 12 Yale and No. 4 Duke in the West at this same venue.

South Region

No. 11 Wichita State Shockers vs. No. 3 Miami Hurricanes (CBS, 12:10 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Wichita State -2, 130

Betting Matchup

The Shockers lived up to their recent reputation as a team to watch in this tournament with a pair of victories so far. In a play-in game against Vanderbilt this past Tuesday, they hammered the Commodores 70-50 as four-point favorites. Wichita State advanced to this round with Thursday’s 65-55 victory against No.6 Arizona in a game that closed as a PICK. The total stayed UNDER in both of these contests and it has stayed UNDER in its last four games.

Defense was the driving force behind the win against the Wildcats with Wichita State holding Arizona to shooting 41.7 percent from the field and 6-for-18 from three-point range. Senior guard’s Ron Baker and Fred VanVleet combined for 39 points, nine rebounds and seven assists to help pace the win. These two have been getting it done all season long for a Shockers’ team that is averaging 73.2 points per game while ranking first in the nation in points allowed (59.3).

Miami started its tournament run as the No. 3 seed in the South with a tighter than expected 79-72 victory over No. 14 Buffalo as a 14-point favorite. The Hurricanes have now failed to cover in their last four games while going 2-2 straight-up. The total went OVER 148 in Thursday’s win and it has now gone OVER in their last three games. Coming into this game as an underdog, Miami is 2-3 against the spread when getting points this season.

To keep this run alive against a very tough opponent, the Hurricanes will need a big game from the backcourt combination of seniors’ Angel Rodriguez and Sheldon McClellan. These two combined for 44 points against Buffalo to go along with 12 rebounds and six assists. Miami is averaging 75.6 PPG, but this was just the second time it exceeded this number in its last 12 games. Defensively, the Hurricanes are holding opponents to 66.8 PPG.

Betting Trends

-- The Shockers are now 9-3 ATS in their last 12 NCAA Tournament games, but they fall to 3-10 ATS in their last 13 neutral-site games. The total has stayed UNDER in six of their last eight games outside their conference.

-- The Hurricanes are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 nonconference games, but they have failed to cover in five of their last six Saturday games. The total has gone OVER in nine of their last 10 games in this tournament.

-- This will be the first meeting between these two teams in recent memory.

Championship Odds

-- Miami 30/1

-- Wichita State 35/1

South Region Odds

-- Miami 15/2

-- Wichita State 12/1

West Region

No. 12 Yale Bulldogs vs. No. 4 Duke Blue Devils (CBS, 2:40 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Duke -6, 146

Betting Matchup

Yale did some damage to quite a few brackets in another one of those famous 12-5 upsets with its 79-75 victory over Baylor this past Thursday as a 5 ½-point underdog. The Bulldogs have just one SU loss in their last 19 games and they have been a solid betting team since late January with a 10-3-1 record ATS in their last 14 contests. The total went OVER 136 ½-points against the Bears and it has gone OVER in four of their last six games.

Much has been made in the press over Yale’s ability to outrebound Baylor 36-32, but the highlight of this upset was sophomore guard Makai Mason going off with a game-high 31 points. He is the Bulldogs’ leading scorer this season with 16.3 PPG, but this lineup also boasts a pair of solid scorers in senior forward’s Justin Sears (15.9 PPG) and Brandon Sherrod (12.4 PPG). Yale is averaging 75.2 points while allowing an average of 63.1 points on defense.

The Blue Devils bowed-out of this season’s ACC Tournament with an 84-79 loss to Notre Dame as two-point favorites and they found themselves down by three as 10-point favorites in Thursday’s 93-85 victory against the No. 13 UNC Wilmington Seahawks. After failing to cover in that game, Duke is now 0-6 ATS in its last six outings. The total went OVER 154 points in Thursday’s win and it has gone OVER in its last three contests after staying UNDER in 10 of its previous 11 games.

Duke fans can thank senior center Marshall Plumlee and sophomore guard Grayson Allen for setting-up this Saturday’s matchup after each put-up 23 points against the Seahawks. Freshman guard Brandon Ingram also came up big in his first NCAA Tournament game with 20 points, nine rebounds and three assists. The Blue Devils are ranked 17th in the nation in scoring with 81.5 PPG and at the other end of the court they are holding opponents to 72.1 points.

Betting Trends

--The Bulldogs are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 neutral-site games and they are 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 games outside their conference. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of their last 10 games played at a neutral site.

--The Blue Devils have covered in six of their last seven NCAA Tournament games, but they have now failed to cover in their last seven games at a neutral site. The total has stayed UNDER in eight of their last 11 games against an Ivy League team.

--These two faced one another in the regular season with Duke covering as a 14 ½-point home favorite in an 80-61 victory on Nov. 25. The total stayed UNDER the closing 149-point line.

Championship Odds

-- Duke 30/1

-- Yale 300/1

West Region Odds

-- Duke 6/1

-- Yale 65/1

**TheGame** · 03-19-2016, 09:26 AM

Re: CBB Betting Info. 3/19

Saturday's Evening Tips
By Kevin Rogers

East Region – Raleigh – PNC Arena
#5 Indiana vs. #4 Kentucky (-3, 155) – 5:15 PM EST – CBS

These two rivals haven’t met since 2012 as the Hoosiers and Wildcats are each coming off blowout wins in their tournament openers. Indiana (26-7 SU, 18-15 ATS) routed public underdog Chattanooga on Thursday, 99-74 to easily cash as 11-point favorites, while improving to 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS the last seven games. Tom Crean’s club won its first NCAA tournament since 2013, when the Hoosiers reached the Sweet 16 before bowing out to Syracuse. Indiana put together a 3-2 ATS record as an underdog this season, including outright victories over Michigan, Iowa, and Notre Dame.

Kentucky (27-8 SU, 19-16 ATS) came within one victory of reaching the National Championship game last season, as the Wildcats had no issues in their tournament opener against Stony Brook in an 85-57 stomping of the Sea Wolves. John Calipari’s squad covered as 13 ½-point favorites marking the sixth consecutive game that UK picked up an ATS win. The Wildcats posted a 1-4 ATS record in last season’s Big Dance, while going 5-5-1 ATS as a single-digit favorite in the tournament since 2011.

The last time the Wildcats and Hoosiers hooked up four years ago, Kentucky ousted Indiana in the Sweet 16 in a 102-90 triumph. The Wildcats have won four of the past five matchups with the only loss coming at the buzzer in Bloomington in December 2011 as a 5 ½-point favorite, 73-72. Kentucky is currently listed at 10/1 odds to win the National Championship, while Indiana sits at 30/1.

Midwest Region – Denver – Pepsi Center
#12 Arkansas-Little Rock vs. #4 Iowa State (-6 ½, 145) – 6:10 PM EST

One of the two #12 seeds to pull off an upset on Thursday was the Sun Belt champions, Arkansas-Little Rock (30-4 SU, 20-10 ATS), who erased a 14-point deficit in the final five minutes of regulation to stun Purdue in double-overtime, 85-83. The Trojans cashed as 8 ½-point underdogs in their first ‘dog opportunity since a 68-64 win at Louisiana in mid-February as 3 ½-point ‘dogs. UALR became the second straight Sun Belt team to an opening round game after Georgia State knocked off another Big 12 foe last season in a one-point upset of Baylor.

Iowa State (22-11 SU, 16-13-1 ATS) avoided another early exit in the tournament by taking care of Iona in Thursday’s first round matchup, 94-81 as seven-point favorites. The Cyclones overcame a pair of late season losses to Kansas and Oklahoma to advance to the round of 32 for the first time since 2014, when ISU eventually got knocked out in the Sweet 16. ISU busted the 90-point mark for the seventh time this season in Thursday’s victory, while cashing the ‘over’ in seven of the past 10 games overall.

The Cyclones are looking for consecutive covers in the favorite role for the first time in nearly two months, while posting an 8-4 ATS record in their last 12 games when laying points. UALR opened the tournament at 100/1 just to win the Midwest Region, as that number has dropped to 75/1 after the upset of Purdue. The Trojans sit at 300/1 odds to win the National Championship, while the Cyclones are listed as 40/1 to capture the title.

Midwest Region – Raleigh – PNC Arena
#9 Butler vs. #1 Virginia (-7, 131 ½) – 7:10 PM EST – TBS

One of three top seeds to take the court in the evening in the round of 32 is Virginia (27-7 SU, 18-14 ATS), who pulled away after a slow start to rout Hampton, 81-45 as 23-point favorites. The Cavaliers improved to 10-2 ATS in the last 12 contests, including nine straight covers in the favorite role. Tony Bennett’s club continues to play terrific defense, finishing ‘under’ the total for the 12th time in the past 14 games, while holding eight of those opponents to 53 points or less.

Butler (22-10 SU, 17-14-1 ATS) isn’t afraid of the March spotlight after making the championship game in 2010 and 2011. The Bulldogs look for another run to the Final Four as they cruised past Texas Tech to reach the round of 32 in a 71-61 victory as 3 ½-point favorites. Butler rebounded from a poor showing in the Big East tournament against Providence to pick up its eighth win in the last 11 games. From an ATS perspective, the Bulldogs own a spectacular 9-2 ATS record in this hot stretch, while covering in both opportunities as an underdog.

Since the start of its miraculous run to the 2010 championship game, Butler has compiled a 14-2-1 ATS record in its last 17 tournament games, including a 9-1-1 ATS mark in the underdog role. Virginia has covered just three times in seven tournament contests under Bennett dating back to 2012, including a 2-3 ATS mark in the favorite role. The Cavaliers are currently listed at 9/1 odds to win the title behind Kansas (9/2) and North Carolina (6/1)

**TheGame** · 03-19-2016, 09:27 AM

Re: CBB Betting Info. 3/19

Saturday's Late Tips
By Brian Edwards

South Regional - Des Moines, IA (CBS, 7:45 p.m. ET)
Connecticut vs. Kansas

-- This is a South Region game in Des Moines, IA., with the winner moving on to the Sweet 16 in Louisville to face the Maryland-Hawaii winner. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:45 p.m. Eastern on CBS.

-- The Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas opened Kansas (31-4 straight up, 22-11 against the spread) as an eight-point favorite with a total of 139. As of early Friday night, however, the Jayhawks were favored by 8.5 points with the total adjusted to 140. The Huskies were +375 on the money line (risk $100 to win $375).

-- Kansas moved into the Round of 32 by blasting Austin Peay 105-79 as a 24.5-point favorite. The 184 combined points soared ‘over’ the 150.5-point total. Sviatoslav Mykhailiuk scored a team-high 23 points off the bench in 24 minutes thanks to 9-of-11 shooting from the field. Perry Ellis added 21 points on 8-of-12 shooting, while Landen Lucas scored 16 points, grabbed eight rebounds and blocked a pair of shots.

-- Kansas has won 15 games in a row while cashing tickets at a frenetic 13-2 ATS clip. Bill Self’s team hasn’t tasted defeats since losing at Iowa State way back on Jan. 25.

-- KU has been a single-digit ‘chalk’ 15 times, producing a 10-5 spread record.

-- Bill Self owns a 37-16 (69.8%) career record in the NCAA Tournament, ranking his winning percentage as the seventh-best among active head coaches and the fourth-best among coaches remaining in this year’s field.

-- UConn (25-10 SU, 17-13 ATS) is rolling with five consecutive wins both SU and ATS, including Thursday’s 74-67 come-from-behind win over Colorado as a 3.5-point favorite. The Huskies trailed by nine at intermission, but they dominated the second half. Daniel Hamilton was the catalyst with 17 points and 10 rebounds, while Rodney Purvis finished with 19 points and five boards. Sterling Gibbs was also in double figures with 12 points and his 3-pointer from the corner gave UConn its first lead of the game about six minutes into the second half.

-- UConn has only been an underdog six times, posting a 2-3-1 spread record with a pair of outright victories.

-- UConn is 1-2 SU in three games against RPI Top-25 foes. The Huskies’ best wins came at home vs. SMU, on a neutral court vs. Cincinnati and at Texas. They also beat teams in the tourney like Michigan, Tulsa and Temple. In 35 games, UConn lost by a double-digit margin only twice – vs. Maryland (by 10) on a neutral court and at SMU.

-- UConn head coach Kevin Ollie owns a perfect 7-0 record in NCAA Tournament games. The last coach to win his first seven games in the Tournament was Michigan’s Steve Fisher but in his eighth Tourney game, the defending national champs featuring Terry Mills, Rumeal Robinson and Loy Vaught got smashed by Loyola-Marymount in the 1990 second round as Jeff Fryer drained 11 3-pointers for Paul Westhead’s team that would advance to the Elite Eight in memory of its late teammate Hank Gathers. LMU lost to eventual national champ UNLV.

-- The ‘under’ is 16-14-1 overall for the Huskies, but the ‘over’ is 6-2 in their eight outings.

-- The ‘under’ is 19-12-1 overall for KU, but the ‘over’ is 4-1-1 in its last five contests.

Midwest Regional - Denver, CO (TNT, 8:40 p.m. ET)
Gonzaga vs. Utah

-- This is a Midwest Region matchup between 11th-seeded Gonzaga and third-seeded Utah in Denver. The winner will advance to the Midwest semifinals to face a double-digit seed (Syracuse-Middle Tennessee winner) in Chicago. This game is slated to tip at 8:40 p.m. Eastern.

-- The Westgate opened this game as a pick ‘em with a total of 139. The side remains a pick, while the total has been slightly adjusted to 139.5.

-- Utah (27-8 SU, 17-15 ATS) advanced to the Round of 32 by capturing an 80-69 win over Fresno State as an 8.5-point favorite. The 149 combined points jumped ‘over’ the 139-point tally. Lorenzo Bonam scored a team-high 17 points by draining 7-of-10 attempts from the field. Jako Poeltl produced 16 points, 18 rebounds and four assists, while Brandon Taylor contributed 16 points, six assists and four steals. Jordan Loveridge buried 4-of-8 from downtown and finished with 16 points, three rebounds and three steals.

-- Utah had the nation’s seventh-strongest schedule. The Utes went 3-5 against RPI Top-25 opponents, 11-7 versus the Top 50 and 19-8 against the Top 100. They own neutral-court wins over Texas Tech, Duke, Temple, California and Southern Cal. Their best road triumphs came at Colorado and at USC.

-- Poeltl averages team-highs in scoring (17.6 PPG), rebounding (9.2 RPG), field-goal percentage (64.9%) and blocks (1.6 BPG).

-- Gonzaga (27-7 SU, 16-15-1 ATS) was in danger of potentially missing the Tournament for the first time since Mark Few took over at the school for the 1999-2000 season. However, the Bulldogs caught fire at the right time and have now won six in a row both SU and ATS. Five of those victories have come by double-digit margins.

-- Few’s team advanced Thursday night by thumping Seton Hall 68-52 as a two-point ‘chalk.’ The 120 combined points stayed way ‘under’ the 146-point tally. Domantas Sabonis dominated in the paint with 21 points, 16 rebounds, four assists, two blocked shots and one steal. The key to victory was the Bulldogs’ domination on the glass with a 47-32 rebounding advantage. Gonzaga’s defense forced Seton Hall star Isaiah Whitehead into a miserable 4-of-24 shooting performance. Whitehead missed all 10 of his 3-point launches. The Pirates were an atrocious 8-of-21 from the charity stripe and 4-for-21 from long distance.

-- Kyle Wiltjer scored 13 points and had seven rebounds against Seton Hall, but he was only 5-of-14 from the field. The senior, who is in his second year with Gonzaga after transferring from Kentucky, averages a team-best 20.5 PPG and makes 42.6 percent of his 3-pointers.

-- Sabonis averages 17.5 points and 11.7 rebounds per game. The son of Russian legend and former Portland Trail Blazer star Arvidas Sabonis is shooting 60.8 percent from the field.

-- Totals have been an overall wash (16-16) for the Bulldogs, but they’ve seen the ‘over’ go 3-1 in their last four outings.

-- The ‘over’ is 19-13-1 overall for Utah after hitting in each of its last four games.

East Regional - Raleigh, NC (TBS, 9:40 p.m. ET)
Providence vs. North Carolina

-- This is an East Region showdown in Raleigh, N.C., between No. 1 seed North Carolina (29-6 SU, 16-18-1 ATS) and ninth-seeded Providence. The winner moves on to Sweet 16 in Philadelphia to face the winner of Kentucky-Indiana.

-- The Westgate opened UNC as a 9.5-point favorite with a total of 151. Since then, they’ve adjusted the Tar Heels to 10-point ‘chalk.’ The Friars are +450 on the money line (risk $100 to win $450).

-- North Carolina knocked off Florida Gulf Coast by an 83-67 count Thursday night, but it failed to cover the number as a 22.5-point favorite. The 150 combined points slipped ‘over’ the 148-point total. It was the sixth straight victory for Roy Williams’s club, but its four-game string of spread covers came to an end. Brice Johnson was the catalyst with 18 points, eight blocked shots, seven rebounds and three assists without a turnover. Joel Berry II finished with 14 points and six boards, while Justin Jackson and Isaiah Hicks had 12 points apiece. Marcus Paige scored 10 points and dished out five helpers compare to just one turnover.

-- Johnson is the catalyst for this ultra-talented UNC squad. The senior forward averages team-highs in scoring (16.6 PPG), rebounding (10.5 RPG) and field-goal percentage (61.5%).

-- Providence (24-10 SU, 18-15 ATS) advanced to the Round of 32 by beating Southern Cal 70-69 on a layup by Rodney Bullock off a baseline inbounds pass with 1.4 seconds remaining. Nevertheless, gamblers backing the Trojans cashed tickets as two-point underdogs. Ben Bentil scored 19 points and pulled down the nine rebounds pace PU. Kris Dunn scored 16 points and had four rebounds and four assists. Bullock finished with 16 points, 10 boards, two steals, two blocks and one assist without a turnover.

-- PU has thrived in 14 games as an underdog, compiling a 9-5 spread record with eight outright victories.

-- This is a rematch of the 2014 NCAA Tournament matchup won by UNC 79-77 as a 4.5-point ‘chalk.’ Paige had 19 points and four assists compared to only one turnover for the Tar Heels. Brice Johnson had 16 points, eight rebounds and four blocked shots, while Kennedy Meeks finished with 12 points and five boards.

-- The ‘over’ is 19-14 overall for the Friars.

-- The ‘over’ is 18-17 overall for UNC.

-- Tip-off is slated for 9:40 p.m. Eastern on TBS.

**TheGame** · 03-19-2016, 09:27 AM

Re: CBB Betting Info. 3/19

NCAA Tournament Betting 3-Point Play: Three Interesting March 19 Opening Lines
by Alan Matthews

Here's hoping you bet on that prop at various sportsbooks asking if a double-digit seed would make the Sweet 16. You have four chances for that to happen on Saturday as No. 12 Yale, No.12 Arkansas-Little Rock, No. 11 Wichita State and No. 11 Gonzaga all pulled upsets in Thursday's first round and are in action Saturday. I'm confident one of those four will make it to the next round.

No. 11 Wichita State vs. No. 3 Miami (+2.5, 131.5)

South Region game at 12:10 p.m. ET from Providence on CBS. Wichita State (26-8) was the Missouri Valley Conference regular-season champion but barely snuck into the Big Dance after being upset by Northern Iowa in the conference tournament semifinals. Clearly the veteran Shockers belong. While Kentucky's backcourt of Tyler Ulis and Jamal Murray is perhaps the most talented in Division I, Wichita State's senior duo of Fred VanVleet and Ron Baker is the most accomplished and I'd take them up against anyone. They led the Shockers' 65-55 win over No .6 Arizona on Thursday, meaning that every year since the First Four has been in existence (2011) at least one team to win one of those games has reached the Round of 32. VanVleet had 16 points and five steals vs. the Wildcats and Baker 13 points and five rebounds. Wichita State's defense, which led the nation in points allowed, held the Cats to just 19 first-half points. That's Arizona's fewest in any half of a game in seven years. UA was averaging 81.2 points on the season.

Miami (26-7) has a pretty good senior backcourt of its own in Angel Rodriguez (transfer from Kansas State) and Sheldon McClellan (transfer from Texas). Rodriguez had 24 points and seven rebounds and McClellan 20 points and five boards in the Hurricanes' 79-72 win over No. No. 14 Buffalo, the MAC Tournament champion. Another UM transfer, Kamari Murphy, had 11 points and 13 rebounds for his first double-double since he was with Oklahoma State during the 2013-14 season. Davon Reed added 10 points and 12 rebounds, giving UM its first pair of teammates with a double-double in the same game in four years. UM and WSU have a common opponent: Utah (which also advanced Thursday). The Utes lost to both: 90-66 to Miami in a holiday tournament in Puerto Rico and 67-50 in Wichita.

Key trends: WSU is 3-10 against the spread in its past 13 neutral-site games. The Canes are 12-4 ATS in their past 16 nonconference games. The "over/under" has gone under in six of Wichita's past eight nonconference games.

I'm leaning: If the backcourts play even, then what happens? I think there's little question Miami is better up front. I'll take the points, as I can't believe No. 3 is a dog vs. a No. 11 even if WSU isn't your typical No .11. Definitely go under.

No. 12 Yale vs. No. 4 Duke (-6, 146)

West Region matchup at 2:40 p.m. ET from Providence on CBS. The jokes for this matchup are endless. "Yale vs. Duke in Providence" may be the whitest thing ever written in basketball history. Duke students love to rag other teams about how their school is superior; but here Duke is the safety school. "Over/under" how many BMWs in the parking lot? On and on. I wish I was in the stands for this one, actually. Yale (23-6) actually outrebounded much bigger Baylor in Thursday's 79-75 upset and shot 53.1 percent from the field in the school's first-ever NCAA Tournament win. And the Bulldogs deserved to win. Justin Sears is the team's star and a two-time Ivy League Player of the Year. He was good with 18 points, but Makai Mason blew up with a career-high 31 points.

Duke (24-10) didn't look particularly good in its 93-85 win over No. 13 UNC Wilmington on Thursday. The Blue Devils were down 43-40 at halftime but were rescued by a career-high 23 points from Marshall Plumlee, 19 of those in the second half. He's really Duke's only legitimate post player with Amile Jefferson out injured, and Plumlee dominated the smallish Seahawks by hitting 9-for-10 from the field and pulling down eight rebounds. Grayson Allen added 23 points (just 4-for-12 from the field) and 10 boards, and Brandon Ingram 20 points and nine rebounds. Duke shot 68 percent from the field in the second half. This is a rematch of a Nov. 25 game at Cameron. Yale led for all but about the final 90 seconds of the first half, but Duke pulled away in the second for an 80-61 win. Jefferson had nine points and 12 rebounds in that one.

Key trends: Yale is 2-5 ATS in its past seven vs. the ACC. Duke is 5-0 ATS in its past five vs. the Ivy League. The over is 5-0 in Duke's past five nonconference games.

I'm leaning: 106 tournament victories vs. 1. I'd love to see Yale win again, and I actually like Duke as a fan. But I'm giving the points. The Blue Devils are similar to the Bulldogs but way more talented. Go over.

No. 12 Arkansas-Little Rock vs. No. 4 Iowa State (-6.5, 145)

Midwest Region game at 6:10 p.m. ET from Denver on TNT. Arkansas-Little Rock (30-4) was probably the biggest surprise of the first round, but this team is no fluke as it won the Sun Belt regular-season and conference tournament titles. The Trojans beat No. 5 Purdue 85-83 in double overtime Thursday, rallying from a late 13-point deficit in regulation. UALR's Josh Hagins was the biggest star of Thursday as he scored 11 of his 31 points in the final 4:02 of regulation, including a very deep 3-pointer to tie with four seconds left. Hagins added seven rebounds, six assists and five steals. I watched that entire game, and Purdue really should have won but kept blowing chances to do so. The Boilers had the monster edge in size, but it was their guards who kept blowing the key shots. UALR was only outrebounded by seven.

Iowa State (22-11) was a 7.5-point favorite over No. 13 Iona on Thursday, and I recommended taking the Cyclones there in Thursday's Opening Line Report. ISU won that track meet 94-81 in the highest-scoring game of the tournament's opening day. Monte Morris scored 20 points and had eight assists, while All-American Georges Niang had 28 points and six rebounds. ISU shot exactly 50 percent from the field and missed only five of 25 free throws. Iowa State's 94 points are the second-most in school history in an NCAA Tournament game. Maybe you worry about allowing 81 points, but that's just the way Iowa State plays. This game won't be at the pace of Thursday's as UALR is a defense-first club.

Key trends: UALR is 0-5 ATS in its past five vs. the Big 12. ISU is 4-1 ATS in its past five neutral-site games. The under is 11-2 in UALR's past 13 Saturday games.

I'm leaning: Iowa State and under.

**TheGame** · 03-19-2016, 09:27 AM

Re: CBB Betting Info. 3/19

NCAA Tournament

Saturday games

Since 2004, 11-seeds are 5-11 SU when facing a 3-seed this round; underdogs are 5-3 vs spread in last eight 3-11 games. Wichita St. spanked Arizona Thursday; they've allowed 52.5 ppg in two wins this week. Shockers used nine guys 12+ minutes vs Arizona, only VanVleet/Baker went 32+. Miami is #33 experience team in nation; they played four guys 33:00+ vs Buffalo, going 26-34 on line in a game that was 35-33 at half. It has been five years since 11-seed was favored to beat a 3-seed; 11-seed Gonzaga (-2) lost to BYU; in '10, Washington (-1.5) beat 3-seed New Mexico.

Since 1998, Duke is 15-1 in second round games; only loss was to West Virginia in '08. Yale lost 80-61 at Duke Nov 25; was 38-36 at half. Each team lost a key player from that day. Yale plays great defense; their two guys inside are seniors- thier opponents shoot only 32% on arc (#44) in country. Bulldogs outscored Baylor 22-9 on foul line in Thursday's win. Yale used three kids 35:00+. Duke was 31-43 on line vs UNCW; that was full-court game, this will be half-court game. Allen/Ingram played 40/39:00- Devils use only seven kids, with 7th kid barely used.

Kentucky-Indiana used to play on CBS every December; Calipari didn't want to go to Bloomington anymore, so series ended in '12. Over last four years, favorites are 8-3 vs spread in #4-5 seed tilts in this round. Both teams had easy wins Thursday. Indiana is 6-1 in its last seven games, but lost its first Big 14 tourney game. UK is 11-2 in its last 13 games; they've won last five games in second round (4-1 vs spread). Indiana is 3-2 as an underdog this year, 2-1 in league play. Big 14 teams are 7-0 vs SEC this year (Kentucky lost to Ohio St.), going 2-0 as an underdog.

Ark-Little Rock was down 14 with 4:29 left Thursday, rallied for a double OT win; three Trojans played 40:00+ in altitude. Trojans lost by 12 at Texas Tech, its only Big X game this year. Sun Belt teams are 0-4 vs Big X this year, losing by 22-7-42-12. Iowa State ran past defenseless Iona; Cyclones used three guys 37:00 in thin Denver air. Since 2010, #12-seeds are 5-2 vs spread as underdogs in this round. UALR is #12 in experience; they're 30-4, play #344 pace, 9th-slowest in country. Trojans' G Hagins had 31 Thursday; he single-handedly brought UALR back in final minutes.

In first two years of reconfigured Big East, league teams are 1-5 in second round NCAA games; Xavier had only win LY. Last seven years, #1 seeds are 17-10-1 in second round games; Virginia won easily Thursday- no one played more than 30:00. Cavaliers beat Villanova 86-75 in December; ACC teams are 4-5 vs Big East this year, faves were 6-3 vs spread those games. Butler used four kids 31:00+ vs Texas Tech, in game they trailed by 8 early, led 30-28 at half- they were 9-17 on arc. Bulldogs lost to ACC's Miami by 10; they're 8-3 in last 11 overall. Virginia won 14 of last 17 games, with losses by 1-3-4 to top 25 teams.

Kansas lost in this round last two years, both times as a 2-seed; they're 4-5 vs spread in second round last nine years. Ollie is 7-0 in tournament as a head coach; Huskies won by five at Texas in December, its only Big X game. AAC teams are 3-2 vs Big X this season. UConn stormed back vs Colorado in first round after they trailed by nine early in second half- two UConn kids played more than 25:00. Huskies have #6 eFG% defense, are #92 experienced team. Kansas starts, three juniors, one senior- they shoot 42.1% on arc, #3 in country. Last seven years, #1 seeds are 17-10-1 in second round games.

Since 2003, Gonzaga is 3-8 in this round, 2-3-1 vs spread when an underdog. Utah won 10 of last 11 games, losing to Oregon in Pac-12 tourney final; Utes beat BYU by 8, its only WCC game. Pac-12 teams are 11-3 vs WCC this year, 2-2 vs Gonzaga. Bulldogs beat Seton Hall by 16, using three guys 35:00+; altitude bothered the Pirates- Utah is used to it. Since 2004, 11-seeds are 5-11 SU when facing a 3-seed this round; underdogs are 5-3 vs spread in last eight 3-11 games. Utah played four guys 33;00+ Thursday; they fell behind with 10:32 left, outscored Fresno 33-19 rest of way.

North Carolina won its last six games after a 4-4 lull in February; since 2001, Tar Heels are 7-5 in this round- they're 6-4 vs spread in last ten 2nd round games. ACC teams are 4-5 vs Big East this year, faves were 6-3 vs spread those games. Providence won five of last six games, scoring with 0:01.3 left to beat USC Thursday. Dunn/Bentil shot combined 12-34, Friars still won- they don't use any seniors- they're young, thin. UNC is deep, more experienced. Last seven years, #1 seeds are 17-10-1 in second round games. Providence forces turnovers 20.6% of time; they'll need to here.

Other Tournaments

We'll do what we can with these minor tournaments; impossible to determine how interested players on these teams will be........

NIT
Creighton had lost five of last six games before hammering Alabama by 18 Tuesday, Bluejays are 13-1 vs teams outside top 150, with only loss to Loyola in December. Wagner won eight of last nine games, with loss at home in NEC title game; they won at St Bonaventure in NIT opener, running out to 17-point first half lead, then holding on.

CBI
none

CIT
UL-Lafayette won three of last four games, losing to UALR in semis of Sun Belt tourney; Cajuns lost three of last four road games, with win by 10 at lowly Troy. Furman had lost four of five before beating Cajuns' rival UL-Monroe in last game; Paladins scored last 12 points of game in a 58-57 win. SoCon teams are 3-2 vs Sun Belt teams this season.

New Hampshire is 12-4 in its last 16 games after starting year 8-8; they lost to Vermont in America East semis- they've won six of last nine on foreign soil. Coastal Carolina is 4-3 in its last seven games; Chanticleers won last three home games since losing to High Point 58-57. UNH has one senior in its rotation; these are important games for future growth.

**TheGame** · 03-19-2016, 09:28 AM

Re: CBB Betting Info. 3/19

Previews, Streaks, Tips, Notes

Gonzaga vs Utah March 19, 8:40 EST

Mark Few's Bulldogs using a dominating defensive beat sixth-seeded Seton Hall 68-52 in the first round setting up a Midwest Region matchup against #3-seed Utah Utes who took care of Fresno State 80-69 in the round of 64 to advance. Stat wise not much seperates these two. Zags are netting 79.4 points/game with four players in double digits lead by Kyle Wiltjer (20.5). On the defensive side, Zags allow an average 65.8 per/contest. As for Utah, the Utes drop 77.7 points/game with Jakob Poeltl (17.6) leading four players in double digits. Defensively, Utes allow opponents 69.1 per/game.

Although there is a tussle in the betting market with this one a PK'm the Utes will rise to the occasion here. That's because Zags have a habit of faltering in the second round. In their last seven appearances Bulldogs are 2-5 SU/ATS. Bulldogs are also ridding a 1-7-1 ATS skid in non-conference games.

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CBB Betting Info. 3/19

CBB Betting Info. 3/19

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