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NBA Handicapping. News, notes and trends. 4/13

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  • NBA Handicapping. News, notes and trends. 4/13

    NBA


    Hot teams
    -- Thunder won six of its last eight games.
    -- Raptors won seven of their last nine games.
    -- Bulls won their last seven games (5-1-1 vs spread). Knicks won four of last six games, but are 15-24 vs spread at home.
    -- Portland won seven of its last eight games. Warriors won three of their last four games.
    -- Minnesota won four of its last six games.
    -- Grizzlies won three of their last four games.


    Cold Teams
    -- Pacers lost six of last eight games, covered one of last eleven.
    -- Detroit lost seven of its last ten games.
    -- Orlando lost last eight road games (2-5-1 vs spread). Nets lost last couple games, by 4-5 points; they're 24-15 vs spread at home.
    -- Sacramento lost its last five games (2-3 vs spread).
    -- Lakers lost their last six games (1-5 vs spread).


    Series records
    -- Thunder won five of last six games with Indiana.
    -- Pistons won eight of last twelve games with Toronto.
    -- Magic lost five of last seven games with Brooklyn.
    -- Bulls won nine of last eleven games with New York.
    -- Warriors won five of their last six games with Portland.
    -- Kings lost four of last six games with Minnesota.
    -- Lakers lost five of last seven games with Memphis.


    Totals
    -- Nine of last ten Thunder-Pacer games went over.
    -- Last five Toronto games went over the total.
    -- Under is 28-11 in Orlando road games this season.
    -- Four of last five Chicago-New York games went over.
    -- Four of last five Golden State games stayed under.
    -- Five of last six Minnesota-Sacramento games stayed under.
    -- Four of last five Laker games stayed under the total.

  • #2
    Re: NBA Handicapping. News, notes and trends. 4/13

    Game of the Day: Thunder at Pacers
    By Covers.com

    Oklahoma City Thunder at Indiana Pacers (-2, 192.5)

    The Indiana Pacers are still hopeful of claiming the No. 1 seed in the Eastern Conference but the quality of the opponent could pose a problem on Sunday. Indiana hosts the Oklahoma City Thunder – the No. 2 team in the West – as it attempts to wrestle the top spot in the East away from the Miami Heat, who defeated the Pacers on Friday. Oklahoma City leads the Los Angeles Clippers by 2 1/2 games and can clinch the second seed with a victory.

    The Thunder rolled to an easy 118-94 victory over the Pacers on Dec. 8 in the team’s first meeting of the season. Forward Kevin Durant scored 32 points as Oklahoma City shot 61 percent from the field, while Indiana shot just 40 percent despite receiving 32 points from forward Paul George. The Thunder have won three straight games after routing the New Orleans Pelicans on Friday. Indiana has lost eight of its last 11 games and its quality of play has alarmingly dropped off after a strong showing over the first three-quarters of the campaign.

    LINE HISTORY: The Pacers opened as 2-point home favorites Saturday night. The early total opened 192.5 (Over -110).

    COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Thunder (-13.7) - Pacers (-11.0) + Home Court (-3.0) = Pacers -0.3

    INJURY REPORT: Indiana - A. Bynum (Out - Knee)

    WHAT SHARPS SAY: "Bit of a tough spot for the Thunder her coming off a blowout win over the Pelicans. Pacers off a loss to the Heat in Miami should come out with plenty of fire in this spot. Can't help but think Indiana is undervalued at this point and not sure the Thunder bring their 'A' game in this matchup. Indy should come to play." - Covers Expert Sean Murphy.

    ABOUT THE THUNDER (58-21): Power forward Serge Ibaka blocked a season-high eight shots and had 16 points and 10 rebounds in the 116-94 win over the Pelicans. The double-double was the 27th of the season for Ibaka and coach Scott Brooks beamed about his effort afterward. “Serge was spectacular,” Brooks said. “He’s right there with the best defensive players in the league. Blocked shots, he had eight, but he altered probably 10 others. And that’s what makes our defense good, when everybody is participating. When we do have a breakdown, he’s out there backing everybody up and covering for everybody’s mistakes.”

    ABOUT THE PACERS (54-26): Center Roy Hibbert continued his recent disappearing act by grabbing one rebound in 34 minutes against the Heat. The 7-2, 290-pounder has been practically invisible recently and has just six total rebounds over his past four games. Hibbert is averaging 4.6 rebounds since the All-Star break after averaging 7.7 before it and has reached double digits on the boards just once over the past six-plus weeks. “We’ve got to get more from him,” Indiana coach Frank Vogel said after the loss to Miami. A recent benching of the starting five came after Hibbert was pulled after nine ineffective minutes on April 4, which means the big man had nearly a full week of rest leading into his latest poor effort.

    TRENDS:

    * Thunder are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
    * Over is 18-4 in the last 22 meetings.
    * Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
    * Underdog is 13-5 ATS in the last 18 meetings.

    COVERS CONSENSUS: 76 percent of bets are on Oklahoma City +2.

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: NBA Handicapping. News, notes and trends. 4/13

      Sunday's NBA Tips
      By Kevin Rogers
      VegasInsider.com

      Bulls at Knicks

      Chicago: 47-32 SU, 40-38-1 ATS
      New York: 34-45 SU, 35-44 ATS

      The Knicks won’t be heading to the postseason after the Hawks clinched the final playoff berth in the Eastern Conference last night. However, New York still has three games remaining in this disastrous season as Chicago heads to Manhattan tonight. The home team has taken all three meetings this season, while the Bulls have won seven of the last eight in the series dating back to 2012.

      The Bulls have a shot at grabbing the third seed in the Eastern Conference playoffs, sitting one game ahead of the Raptors heading into Sunday’s action. Chicago rallied from an 18-point deficit to stun Detroit on Friday night, 106-98 for its seventh consecutive victory, but the Bulls didn’t cash as 10-point home favorites. Since falling at Miami in late February, the Bulls have won eight of their past 10 on the highway, while going 4-1-1 ATS in the role of a road favorite.

      The Knicks snapped a two-game skid in Friday’s 108-100 road triumph at Toronto as 5½-point underdogs, but a 5-5 record since an eight-game winning streak in March derailed any shot at the playoffs. Since March, New York has won five of seven games at Madison Square Garden, but the Knicks own a 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS record in the last seven tries as a home underdog.

      Warriors at Blazers

      Golden State: 49-30 SU, 38-38-3 ATS
      Portland: 52-28 SU, 43-37 ATS

      Both the Blazers and Warriors are headed to the playoffs, as the two teams meet tonight in Portland to improve their seeding. The Blazers will likely face the Rockets in the opening round of the playoffs, but home-court will be decided over the next few days. The Warriors will likely draw the Thunder or the Clippers in the first round, as Golden State will start on the road in the postseason for the second straight year.

      Golden State has won four of its past six games, including Friday’s 112-95 victory over the Lakers as 9 ½-point road favorites. The Warriors needed that win after blowing a 20-point lead in Thursday’s one-point home setback to the Nuggets, as Mark Jackson’s club has won eight of 12 road contests since the All-Star break. Golden State has taken two of three meetings from Portland this season, including a thrilling 113-112 triumph at the Moda Center in mid-March, but the Blazers covered as two-point home ‘dogs.

      Portland has turned things up since a slumping March by winning seven of its past eight contests, while covering five times. Since that one-point defeat to Golden State last month, the Blazers have won five of their last six at the Moda Center, but are just 2-4 ATS, although three of those non-covers came as a favorite of at least 9½ points.

      Grizzlies at Lakers

      Memphis: 47-32 SU, 35-42-2 ATS
      Los Angeles: 25-54 SU, 38-40-1 ATS

      The Grizzlies are fighting it out with the Suns for the final playoff spot in the Western Conference, as Memphis owns a half-game lead heading into tonight’s action. Memphis heads to Phoenix tonight for basically a playoff contest, but the Grizzlies need to avoid a letdown spot tonight against the Lakers.

      Los Angeles is playing its final home game of the season, owning a dreadful 14-26 SU and 18-21-1 ATS record at Staples Center. The Lakers come into tonight’s action at 5-11 ATS as an underdog of at least 11 points, while losing each of their last four home games by double-digits. Los Angeles has dropped eight of its past nine contests overall, while covering only twice in this span.

      Memphis heads west coming off consecutive home wins over Miami and Philadelphia, while winning four of six since a brief two-game losing streak. The Grizzlies have put together an atrocious 1-9 ATS record away from FedEx Forum since mid-March, including a 1-5 ATS mark when laying points. Memphis has grabbed two of three meetings from Los Angeles this season, including an 89-86 win at Staples Center way back in November.

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: NBA Handicapping. News, notes and trends. 4/13

        1:00 PM
        OKLAHOMA CITY vs. INDIANA
        Oklahoma City is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indiana's last 9 games at home
        The total has gone OVER in 9 of Indiana's last 10 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

        3:30 PM
        TORONTO vs. DETROIT
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games
        Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
        Detroit is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

        6:00 PM
        ORLANDO vs. BROOKLYN
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Orlando's last 8 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
        Brooklyn is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Orlando
        Brooklyn is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

        7:30 PM
        CHICAGO vs. NEW YORK
        Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New York
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing New York
        New York is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago

        9:00 PM
        MINNESOTA vs. SACRAMENTO
        Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
        Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
        Sacramento is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Minnesota
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota

        9:00 PM
        GOLDEN STATE vs. PORTLAND
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 7 games when playing Portland
        Golden State is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Portland's last 10 games
        Portland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Golden State

        9:30 PM
        MEMPHIS vs. LA LAKERS
        Memphis is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games
        Memphis is 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
        LA Lakers are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 5 games

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: NBA Handicapping. News, notes and trends. 4/13

          StatFox Super Situations

          TORONTO at DETROIT
          Play Against – Any team (DETROIT) revenging a loss vs opponent against opponent off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite 113-61 over the last 5 seasons. ( 64.9% | 45.9 units ) 14-7 this year. ( 66.7% | 6.3 units )

          TORONTO at DETROIT
          Play Against – Any team vs the money line (DETROIT) revenging a loss vs opponent, off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog 415-183 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.4% | 119.6 units ) 60-28 this year. ( 68.2% | 2.1 units )

          OKLAHOMA CITY at INDIANA
          Play Under – All teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record 78-38 since 1997. ( 67.2% | 36.2 units ) 3-1 this year. ( 75.0% | 1.9 units )

          Comment

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