Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

NBA Handicapping. News, notes and trends. 4/6

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • NBA Handicapping. News, notes and trends. 4/6

    NBA

    Hot teams
    -- Miami won four of last five games, covered five of last six. Knicks won three of their last four games.
    -- Clippers won six of last eight games, covered four of last five.
    -- Mavericks won three of their last four games.
    -- Spurs won 19 of last 20 games, covering eight of last ten.
    -- Warriors won nine of their last twelve games.
    -- Thunder/Suns both won seven of their last nine games.
    -- Portland won four of its last five games.

    Cold Teams
    -- Lakers lost five of their last six games.
    -- Sacramento lost four of its last six games.
    -- Indiana lost six of its last eight games. Hawks lost seven of their last nine games.
    -- Nuggets lost five of their last six games; Rockets lost three of four.
    -- Grizzlies are 0-6 vs spread in their last six games.
    -- Jazz lost five of their last six games.
    -- Pelicans lost last four games, three by 16-5-30-4 points.

    Series records
    -- Knicks won four of last seven games with Miami.
    -- Clippers won six of last seven games with the Lakers, winning last two by 36-48 points.
    -- Kings lost 17 of last 20 games with Dallas.
    -- Pacers won four of last five games with Atlanta.
    -- Nuggets won seven of last eight games with Houston.
    -- Spurs won eight of last ten games with Memphis.
    -- Warriors are 3-0 vs Utah this year, winning by 14-11-5 points.
    -- Thunder won 11 of last 12 games with Phoenix.
    -- Trailblazers won seven of last ten games with New Orleans.

    Totals
    -- Last five New York games stayed under the total.
    -- 11 of last 12 Laker-Clipper games went over total.
    -- Seven of last nine Dallas games went over total.
    -- Six of last eight Atlanta games stayed under total.
    -- Five of last seven Denver games stayed under total.
    -- Eight of last nine San Antonio games stayed under.
    -- 18 of last 20 Golden State-Utah games stayed under.
    -- 12 of last 16 Thunder-Phoenix games went over.
    -- Eight of last ten Pelican games went over the total.

  • #2
    Re: NBA Handicapping. News, notes and trends. 4/6

    Game of the Day: Knicks at Heat
    By Covers.com

    New York Knicks at Miami Heat (-7, 187)

    Sitting on the periphery of the Eastern Conference playoff race, the New York Knicks can't afford another loss the rest of the way. They'll be in for one of the biggest challenges of the season Sunday afternoon as they face the conference-leading Heat in Miami. New York is coming off a 90-89 heartbreaker to the Washington Wizards on Friday night and enters Sunday's action one game behind the Atlanta Hawks for the eighth and final playoff spot in the East.

    Knicks forward Carmelo Anthony indicated that he will play against the Heat after suffering what was termed a "deep bruise" in his right shoulder in the contest against Washington. Miami is in a battle of its own, sitting mere percentage points ahead of the Indiana Pacers in the race for the No. 1 seed in the conference. The Heat lost to the Minnesota Timberwolves 122-121 in double overtime on Friday night despite 34 points from LeBron James.

    LINE HISTORY: The Heat opened as 6.5-point home faves and are currently at -7. The total opened at 189 and is down to 187.

    INJURY WATCH: New York: F Carmelo Anthony - probable Sunday (shoulder). Miami: G Dwyane Wade Doubtful Sunday (hamstring), C Greg Oden questionable (back)

    COVERS POWER RANKINGS: New York (-5.3) - Miami (-13.8) + home court (-3) = Miami -11.5

    WHAT SHARPS SAY: "If they were to finish first in the Eastern Conference, the Heat would be a shoo-in for the NBA Finals, no? Their last four wins have come by an average of 21 PPG," says Covers Expert Bryan Power.

    WHY BET THE KNICKS (34-43 ATS): New president of basketball operations Phil Jackson may clean house at the end of the season - and the first to depart may be head coach Mike Woodson. While Jackson goes on a "talent hunt," according to a report in the New York Post, he has apparently done little talking with Woodson, who is expected to take the fall for the team's struggles. "We haven't had any conversations," Woodson said. "My focus mainly has been on getting the team in the playoffs and when that time comes, it will happen."

    WHY BET THE HEAT (35-38-2ATS): James has had to carry the bulk of the scoring load while swingman Dwyane Wade continues to recover from hamstring and Achilles injuries. Wade remains without a timetable to return, but James said his teammate is "looking better and better every day" and believes that "probably within the next week he should be back on the floor." Wade has been limited to 51 games this season but has been effective in limited action, averaging 19.2 points, 4.8 assists and 4.6 rebounds.

    TRENDS:

    * Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Miami.
    * Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
    * Under is 15-5-1 in the last 21 meetings.
    * Knicks are 2-5 ATS in the last seven meetings in Miami.

    COVERS CONSENSUS: Fifty-five percent of the wagers are on the Heat -6.5.

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: NBA Handicapping. News, notes and trends. 4/6

      StatFox Super Situations

      DALLAS at SACRAMENTO
      Play On – Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) poor offensive rebounding team – averaging <=11/game on the season, in April games 46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units ) 2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 2.0 units )

      ATLANTA at INDIANA
      Play Against – Underdogs vs the money line (ATLANTA) double revenge – 2 straight losses vs. opponent against opponent off a road loss 336-100 over the last 5 seasons. ( 77.1% | 106.0 units ) 13-6 this year. ( 68.4% | -3.1 units )

      DENVER at HOUSTON
      Play Over – All teams where the first half total is greater than 100 in a game involving two average three point shooting teams (33%-36.5%), after 2 straight games making 9 or more 3 point shots 147-85 since 1997. ( 63.4% | 53.5 units ) 22-13 this year. ( 62.9% | 7.7 units )

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: NBA Handicapping. News, notes and trends. 4/6

        1:00 PM
        NEW YORK vs. MIAMI
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing Miami
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games at home

        3:30 PM
        LA LAKERS vs. LA CLIPPERS
        LA Lakers are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 11 of the LA Lakers last 12 games when playing LA Clippers
        LA Clippers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games at home
        LA Clippers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

        6:00 PM
        DALLAS vs. SACRAMENTO
        Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
        Dallas is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
        The total has gone OVER in 12 of Sacramento's last 15 games when playing Dallas
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games

        6:00 PM
        ATLANTA vs. INDIANA
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
        Atlanta is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indiana's last 8 games at home
        Indiana is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home

        7:00 PM
        DENVER vs. HOUSTON
        Denver is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games
        Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
        Houston is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games

        7:00 PM
        MEMPHIS vs. SAN ANTONIO
        Memphis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
        Memphis is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Antonio's last 9 games
        San Antonio is 19-1 SU in its last 20 games

        9:00 PM
        UTAH vs. GOLDEN STATE
        Utah is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 6 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 8 games at home
        The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Golden State's last 23 games

        9:00 PM
        NEW ORLEANS vs. PORTLAND
        The total has gone OVER in 10 of New Orleans's last 12 games
        New Orleans is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Portland
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games at home
        Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

        9:00 PM
        OKLAHOMA CITY vs. PHOENIX
        Oklahoma City is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
        Oklahoma City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
        Phoenix is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games when playing Oklahoma City
        Phoenix is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

        Comment

        Working...
        X