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NBA Handicapping. News, notes and trends. 3/26

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  • NBA Handicapping. News, notes and trends. 3/26

    NBA

    Hot teams
    -- Nets won seven of their last nine games.
    -- Suns won last four games overall, four of last five on road.
    -- Cavaliers won three of their last four road games.
    -- Clippers won 13 of last 14 games (2-5-1 vs spread in last eight). New Orleans won four of its last five games.
    -- Heat won four of last six games, covered twice in last eight.
    -- Spurs won their last 14 games, covered last eight.
    -- Grizzlies won eight of their last ten games.

    Cold Teams
    -- Bobcats lost three of their last four games.
    -- Wizards lost three of their last four games.
    -- Boston lost six of its last seven games. Raptors lost four of last six.
    -- Pistons lost five of last six games, but covered last three.
    -- Minnesota lost its last three games, allowing 121.7 ppg. Hawks lost last three games, by 6-10-7 points.
    -- Pacers lost three of their last four games.
    -- Nuggets lost last three road games, by 5-16-21 points.
    -- Sacramento lost six of its last nine games. Knicks lost last two games, after winning previous eight.
    -- Jazz lost seven of their last eight games.

    Series records
    -- Nets won eight of last nine games with Charlotte.
    -- Wizards won their last three games with Phoenix.
    -- Celtics are 17-5 in last 22 games with Toronto (4-4 last eight).
    -- Pistons won seven of last eight games with Cleveland.
    -- Hawks won nine of their last ten games with Minnesota.
    -- Clippers won their last six games with New Orleans.
    -- Home side won last six Indiana-Miami games.
    -- Spurs won 11 of last 15 games with Denver.
    -- Kings are 6-4 in their last ten games with New York.
    -- Grizzlies won six of last seven games with Utah.

    Totals
    -- Last four Brooklyn games went over the total.
    -- Four of last five Phoenix games stayed under.
    -- Five of last six Toronto games went over total.
    -- Four of last five Cleveland games went over.
    -- Five of last seven Atlanta games stayed under; Minnesota's last four games went over.
    -- Last six Clipper games stayed under the total.
    -- Five of last seven Miami games went over total.
    -- Five of Spurs' last seven games stayed under total.
    -- Seven of last nine Sacramento games stayed under.
    -- Six of last seven Memphis games stayed under total.

  • #2
    Re: NBA Handicapping. News, notes and trends. 3/26

    Wednesday's Tips
    By Kevin Rogers
    VegasInsider.com

    Nets at Bobcats

    Brooklyn: 37-32 SU, 37-32 ATS
    Charlotte: 34-37 SU, 40-28-3 ATS

    The Nets and Bobcats are meeting for the final time in the regular season as the home team has won the first three matchups. Brooklyn held off Charlotte at the Barclays Center, 104-99 last Wednesday as the Bobcats cashed as 6½-point underdogs. The Bobcats had won nine of their previous 10 games at Time Warner Cable Arena prior to Monday’s 100-89 setback to the Rockets, but Charlotte still owns a solid 11-3-1 ATS record the last 15 home contests.

    Brooklyn returns home after splitting a pair of overtime games at Dallas and New Orleans on a back-to-back set. The Nets rallied to stun the Mavericks on Sunday night, 107-104 as 4 ½-point ‘dogs, but Brooklyn blew a 20-point lead in Monday’s setback to New Orleans, 109-104. Since losing by 44 at Portland on February 26, the Nets have won 11 of their last 14 games, but all three defeats have come on the highway.

    Suns at Wizards

    Phoenix: 42-29 SU, 46-24-1 ATS
    Washington: 36-34 SU, 36-33-1 ATS

    The Wizards hit the skids on their recent four-game road trip against the Western Conference, losing three times with the lone victory coming over the hapless Lakers. Washington’s defense yielded at least 105 points in each contest, while falling to 1-6 ATS in the last seven games away from the Verizon Center. Now, the Wizards return home for a crucial three-game homestand, as Randy Wittman’s team is just 5-5 SU and 3-6-1 ATS the past 10 games in the Nation’s Capital.

    Phoenix is riding a four-game winning streak, coming off Monday’s 102-95 triumph at Atlanta as a 2½-point favorite. Jeff Hornacek’s club has covered 12 of its last 15 games on the highway, including an 8-1 ATS mark against the Eastern Conference in this stretch. The Suns will be playing with revenge after getting tripped up at home by the Wizards in late January, 101-95 as 3½-point favorites, as Phoenix is just 1-3 SU and 0-4 ATS when avenging a loss this season to an Eastern Conference opponent.

    Heat at Pacers

    Miami: 48-21 SU, 30-37-2 ATS
    Indiana: 51-20 SU, 35-35-1 ATS

    The Heat and Pacers are on a collision course to meet in the Eastern Conference Finals for the second straight season, as the two teams hook up in Indianapolis on Wednesday. The home team has won each of the first two matchups, including a 97-94 triumph by Miami back on December 18, but the Pacers cashed as four-point underdogs. Since an eight-game winning streak from February through the start of March, the defending champs are 5-7 SU and 3-9 ATS the last 12 contests, including a dreadful 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS record in the highway.

    The Pacers are stumbling to the finish after a 25-5 start, as Indiana is just 26-15 since January 1. The 26-15 mark is still impressive, but Frank Vogel’s squad has burned backers with a disastrous 3-15-1 ATS record since the All-Star break. In the last nine games at Bankers Life Fieldhouse, the Pacers have cashed just twice, while currently riding a five-game ‘under’ streak overall. The positive for Indiana over the last six weeks has been the defense at home, limiting 10 straight foes to less than 100 points at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. The Pacers have won three consecutive home meetings with the Heat since Game 4 of last season’s Eastern Conference Finals, while holding Miami to 92 points or less in each victory.

    Clippers at Pelicans

    Los Angeles: 50-21 SU, 39-31-1 ATS
    New Orleans: 30-40 SU, 31-35-4 ATS

    The Clippers embark on their final major road trip of the season, hitting the highway for five games starting in the Big Easy. Things have come easy for Los Angeles of late, winning 13 of its last 14 contests, but the Clips failed to cover as heavy favorites in recent victories over the Pistons and Bucks. During this hot stretch for L.A., the Clips have dominated the Pelicans twice, including a 123-110 triumph at Smoothie King Center on February 24 as 4 ½-point favorites.

    The Pelicans have put together a modest three-game winning streak, which includes solid home victories over the Heat and Nets. New Orleans has turned into an ‘over’ team of late, hitting the ‘over’ in six straight games and nine of the last 10, while busting the 100-point mark nine times during this stretch. The Pelicans are holding their own at home, winning five of their past eight at Smoothie King Center, but own a dreadful 2-9 record the last 11 home contests against Western Conference foes.

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: NBA Handicapping. News, notes and trends. 3/26

      Game of the Day: Heat at Pacers
      Covers.com

      Miami Heat at Indiana Pacers (-2, 189)

      The Indiana Pacers and the Miami Heat have not spent a lot of time playing like championship contenders over the last month. The teams are still the class of the Eastern Conference, however, and the Heat will look to knock another game off their deficit when they visit the Pacers on Wednesday. Indiana comes in having lost two straight while Miami managed to pick up a victory on Monday to get its deficit in the East down to two games.

      The Heat’s 93-91 home win over the Portland Trail Blazers on Monday was just their fifth in the last 12 games and came only after squandering a 17-point fourth-quarter advantage. The Pacers have been unable to take advantage of Miami’s rough stretch due to its own record of 5-7 in the last 12, and a loss on Wednesday would draw Indiana even with the Heat in the loss column. All but one of those last seven setbacks have come on the road for the Pacers, who are 32-4 in their own building — including a win over Miami.

      LINE HISTORY: The early odds out of Las Vegas have Indiana as a suggested 2-point home favorite with a total of 189 points. However, most sportsbooks are waiting on the status of Heat G Dwyane Wade (rest), who is worth as many as three points to the spread.

      POWER RANKINGS: Heat (-14.0) - Pacers (-12.5) + Home Court (-3.0) = Pacers -1.5

      INJURY REPORT: Heat - Dwyane Wade (Rest - Prob). Pacers - C.J. Waton (Hamstring - Ques.), Andrew Bynum (Knee - Out)

      ABOUT THE HEAT (48-21 SU, 30-37-2 ATS, 39-30-0 O/U): Center Chris Bosh understands that Miami is stepping into a rabid atmosphere as it tries to chase down the Pacers for the top spot. “It’s coming down to a photo finish,” Bosh told reporters. “We have a unique opportunity. No matter what’s happened this whole season, we’re within striking distance. It’s here and it’ll be a great playoff atmosphere. I can’t wait.” The Heat are expecting guard Dwyane Wade (Achilles’ tendon) to return to action after sitting out Monday’s contest.

      ABOUT THE PACERS (51-20 SU, 35-35-1 ATS, 29-40-2 O/U): Paul George scored 21 points in Monday’s loss to the Chicago Bulls but he shot below 40 percent for the fifth straight game. George is just 21-of-76 during his shooting slump – a porous 27.6 percent – and is shooting just 37.7 percent in March. Getting George back on his game will be a focus down the stretch but there is also a concern that the All-Star forward is wearing down. His 18.9 scoring average in March is easily his lowest of the season.

      TRENDS:

      * Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
      * Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
      * Heat are 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings in Indiana.

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: NBA Handicapping. News, notes and trends. 3/26

        NBA Betting News and Notes
        Covers.com

        Raptors have been horrendous against Boston

        The Toronto Raptors have been on fire and they've been especially strong against the spread on the road. However, the Raptors have an appalling ATS record against the Celtics.

        The past 28 games between the Raptors and Celtics has seen Toronto carry a 7-20-1 ATS record, but it gets much worse. In the past nine times the Raps have played in the TD Center, they have not covered once, going 0-8-1 ATS.

        These two teams have clashed in Boston once already this season with the Raptors were 4-point favorites, but lost outright to the Celtics 88-83. Toronto is currently a 3-point road fave for the meeting in Boston Wednesday.


        Spurs put win streak on the line Wednesday

        Riding a fantastic 14-game winning streak, the San Antonio Spurs have been the hottest team in the NBA. Not only on a straight up basis either. The Spurs have cashed in for bettors in eight-straight games against the spread.

        The SU win streak started back on Feb. 26 with a 120-110 win over the Detroit Pistons. Since then, the Spurs have gone 11-3 ATS at the betting window. The offense has really led the charge for the Spurs, scoring 100-plus points in 11 of the 14 wins. Plus, two of the games saw the Spurs tally 99 points on the offensive end.

        The Denver Nuggets will visit the Spurs Wednesday evening. San Antonio is currently a 13-point home fave in the matchup.

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: NBA Handicapping. News, notes and trends. 3/26

          StatFox Super Situations


          PHOENIX at WASHINGTON
          Play Against - Home teams (WASHINGTON) after 1 or more consecutive unders, poor defensive team (98-102 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (>=102 PPG) after 42+ games 70-33 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.0% | 33.7 units ) 20-11 this year. ( 64.5% | 7.9 units )


          DENVER at SAN ANTONIO
          Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (DENVER) after allowing 60 points or more in the first half last game against opponent after scoring 105 points or more 146-55 over the last 5 seasons. ( 72.6% | 57.3 units ) 31-16 this year. ( 66.0% | 9.3 units )


          MEMPHIS at UTAH
          Play Over - All teams where the first half total is between 90.5 and 95.5 points double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record 89-45 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.4% | 39.5 units ) 0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.1 units )

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: NBA Handicapping. News, notes and trends. 3/26

            7:00 PM
            BROOKLYN vs. CHARLOTTE
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games
            Brooklyn is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
            Charlotte is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

            7:00 PM
            PHOENIX vs. WASHINGTON
            Phoenix is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing Washington
            Washington is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Phoenix
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Phoenix

            7:30 PM
            TORONTO vs. BOSTON
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Boston
            Boston is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games when playing Toronto
            Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

            7:30 PM
            CLEVELAND vs. DETROIT
            Cleveland is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Detroit
            Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
            Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
            The total has gone OVER in 18 of Detroit's last 25 games at home

            8:00 PM
            MIAMI vs. INDIANA
            Miami is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
            Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
            Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
            Indiana is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

            8:00 PM
            LA CLIPPERS vs. NEW ORLEANS
            LA Clippers are 3-9 SU in their last 12 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
            LA Clippers are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
            New Orleans is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Clippers

            8:00 PM
            ATLANTA vs. MINNESOTA
            The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Atlanta's last 18 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
            Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
            Minnesota is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home

            See more trends!
            MARCH 26, 8:30 PM
            DENVER vs. SAN ANTONIO
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games when playing San Antonio
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games
            San Antonio is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Denver
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing Denver

            10:00 PM
            NEW YORK vs. SACRAMENTO
            New York is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
            New York is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 8 of Sacramento's last 10 games when playing at home against New York
            Sacramento is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against New York

            10:30 PM
            MEMPHIS vs. UTAH
            Memphis is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Utah
            Memphis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
            Utah is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
            Utah is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games

            Comment

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