NBA Handicapping. News, notes and trends. 3/18

[TheGame]

NBA

Hot teams
-- Raptors won five of their last seven games.
-- Hawks won their last four games, three by 5 or less points.
-- Wizards won sevenn of their last ten games.
-- Golden State won six of its last eight games.

Cold Teams
-- Cavaliers/Heat both lost five of their last seven games.
-- Bucks lost seven of their last eight games. Portland lost five of six.
-- Sacramento lost five of its last six games.
-- Magic lost last five games, last four by 9 or less points.

Series records
-- Cavaliers lost their last nine games with Miami.
-- Hawks won 14 of last 18 games with Toronto.
-- Bucks won four of last five games with Portland.
-- Kings won three of last four games with Washington.
-- Warriors lost eight of last ten games with Orlando.

Totals
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Cleveland games.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Atlanta games.
-- Four of last five Milwaukee games stayed under.
-- Last six Sacramento games stayed under total.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Golden State games.

[TheGame]

Re: NBA Handicapping. News, notes and trends. 3/18

Hoop Trends - Tuesday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com

ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

The Hawks are 10-0 ATS (11.50 ppg) since Nov 07, 2008 with at most one day of rest after a win on the road when their DPA was minus 15 points or less in their previous game.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Magic are 12-0 OU (14.04 ppg) since Apr 03, 2012 with at least one day of rest off a loss of four points or fewer in which they trailed by double digits.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

The Warriors are 0-12-1 OU (-11.12 ppg) since Dec 07, 2013 after Stephen Curry was the Warriors’ high scorer on the road.

CHOICE TREND:

The Magic are 10-0-2 ATS (9.71 ppg) since Feb 19, 2008 as a road dog with two or more days of rest after a game in which they scored less than 15% of their points from the free throw line.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

The Heat are 6-0 OU (8.92 ppg) since May 10, 2013 on the road after Lebron James was not the Heat’s high scorer in a win.

The Wizards are 0-6 ATS (-9.17 ppg) since Jan 27, 2012 on the road after John Wall shot better than 66% from the field.

[TheGame]

Re: NBA Handicapping. News, notes and trends. 3/18

StatFox Super Situations

NBA | TORONTO at ATLANTA
Play On - Road favorites (TORONTO) average defensive team (43.5-45.5%) against a poor defensive team (45.5-47.5%) after 42+ games 156-90 over the last 5 seasons. ( 63.4% | 57.0 units ) 21-7 this year. ( 75.0% | 13.3 units )

WASHINGTON at SACRAMENTO
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (SACRAMENTO) poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of >=46% on the season, averaging 53 or more rebounds/game on the season 191-87 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.7% | 67.6 units ) 88-56 this year. ( 61.1% | 18.0 units )

TORONTO at ATLANTA
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 in a game involving two good offensive teams (98-102 PPG) after 42+ games, after allowing 120 points or more 29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )

[TheGame]

Re: NBA Handicapping. News, notes and trends. 3/18

7:00 PM
MIAMI vs. CLEVELAND
Miami is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games
Cleveland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Cleveland's last 15 games

7:30 PM
TORONTO vs. ATLANTA
Toronto is 4-14 SU in its last 18 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 3-15-1 ATS in its last 19 games
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

10:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. PORTLAND
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Milwaukee's last 21 games when playing Portland
Milwaukee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Portland
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Portland's last 21 games when playing Milwaukee
Portland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee

10:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. SACRAMENTO
Washington is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing Sacramento
Washington is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games
Sacramento is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington

10:30 PM
ORLANDO vs. GOLDEN STATE
Orlando is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Golden State's last 20 games when playing at home against Orlando
Golden State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Orlando

[TheGame]

Re: NBA Handicapping. News, notes and trends. 3/18

This Week's Best NBA Spot Bet Opportunities
By Steve Merril
Covers.com

Spot bets are classic handicapping practices that have proven profitable no matter what sport you’re betting. Whether it’s a team looking past this week’s opponent, one coming off a hard-fought victory, or a rough patch of schedule, bettors can find value picking their spots. Covers Expert Steve Merril points out the best spot bet opportunities on the NBA schedule this week.

Letdown spot

Chicago has two big games this week and a pair of games against the worst team in the NBA, the Philadelphia 76ers. The Bulls host Oklahoma City on Monday night, and then play at Philadelphia Wednesday. Chicago stays on the road for a game in Indiana on Friday before returning home to host the Sixers on Saturday.

The Bulls will be playing their third game in four nights against Philadelphia so they have that going against them. If Chicago crushes the Sixers in the first meeting and pulls out a win at Indiana on Friday night, the Bulls will certainly be in a letdown spot as a big home favorite on Saturday in the quick rematch against hapless Philadelphia.

Look-ahead spot

Minnesota has been inconsistent with their play recently as they’ve alternated wins and losses over their last seven games. The Timberwolves will open their three-game week Wednesday night in Dallas, play at Houston Thursday, and then host Phoenix Sunday.

The Timberwolves should be focused on the Mavericks as they have two days off to prepare and get ready for that game. But Minnesota may be looking ahead to the Rockets game since they’ve been blown out by Houston twice this season with the last being an ugly 107-89 home defeat last month.

Schedule spot

The Miami Heat were in terrible form over the last two weeks, going just 2-5 SU and ATS. Miami has an easy, but busy upcoming week as they’ll play four games with three of the games coming on the road. Their toughest opponent is Memphis Friday night, and fortunately for the Heat, that’s their lone home game.

Miami will play on a back-to-back set Saturday night in New Orleans. That will also be Miami’s fourth game in five nights, and the Pelicans game is sandwiched between Memphis and Portland. There’s a good chance Miami just goes through the motions in New Orleans, especially since they crushed the Pelicans 107-88 the last time they played.