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Basketball Handicapping Info. 2/12/2014

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  • Basketball Handicapping Info. 2/12/2014

    NBA

    Hot teams
    -- Mavericks/Pacers both won five of their last six games.
    -- Orlando won three in row overall, five in row at home.
    -- Toronto won nine of its last eleven home games.
    -- Celtics won four of their last five games.
    -- Brooklyn won three of last four games. Bobcats won three of last four on road, are 16-8-2 vs spread on road.
    -- Pistons won five of their last seven games (6-1 vs spread). Cavaliers won/covered their last three games.
    -- Rockets won their last six games (5-1 vs spread).
    -- Utah won last two games by 5-17 points, allowing 84 ppg.
    -- Heat won seven of its last nine games. Warriors lost three of last four games at home.
    -- Clippers won nine of their last ten home games.

    Cold Teams
    -- Memphis is 2-3 in last five games, 1-5 vs spread in last six.
    -- Hawks lost last four games, three by 5 or less points.
    -- Spurs are 4-5 in last nine games (2-7 vs spread).
    -- New York lost four of its last five games. Kings lost 12 of last 16 games (0-3 vs spread last three).
    -- Wizards lost three of last four games, with three losses by 3 or less points or in OT.
    -- Pelicans lost last three on road, by 11-12-7 points. Milwaukee lost nine of last ten games, but covered four of last five.
    -- Minnesota won/covered once in its last seven games. Nuggets lost five of their last seven games.
    -- 76ers lost last seven games (1-6 vs spread).
    -- Trailblazers are 3-5 in their last eight games.

    Series records
    -- Pacers won four of their last five games with Dallas.
    -- Grizzlies won their last six games with Orlando.
    -- Hawks won 14 of their l ast 17 games with Toronto.
    -- Celtics lost their last four games with San Antonio.
    -- Nets won six of last seven games with Charlotte.
    -- Pistons won their last seven games with Cleveland.
    -- Knicks won three of last four games with Sacramento.
    -- Rockets won five of last six games with Washington.
    -- Bucks lost seven of last nine games vs Milwaukee.
    -- Nuggets won three in row, 18 of last 22 with Minnesota.
    -- 76ers lost last five visits to Utah, by 17-21-5-3-16 points.
    -- Warriors won three of last four games with Miami.
    -- Portland lost last five games at the Clippers, by 5-1-13-16 points.

    Totals
    -- Six of last nine Dallas games went over total.
    -- Eight of last ten Memphis games stayed under.
    -- Four of last five Toronto games went over.
    -- Four of last five San Antonio games went over.
    -- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Brooklyn-Charlotte games.
    -- Four of last five Cleveland games went over total.
    -- Six of last eight Sacramento games stayed under.
    -- Six of last eight Houston games stayed under.
    -- Four of last five Pelican-Buck games stayed under.
    -- Seven of last nine Denver-Minnesota games went over.
    -- Last six Utah games stayed under the total.
    -- Four of last five Miami games stayed under.
    -- Three of last four Clipper games went over total.

    Back to backs
    -- Dallas is 3-2 vs spread if it lost night before.
    -- Memphis is 0-3 vs spread on road if it played at home night before.
    -- Hawks are 4-6 vs spread if they played night before.
    -- Bobcats are 2-6 vs spread if they won the night before.
    -- Cleveland is 2-4 vs spread on road if it played night before./
    -- Kings are 5-6 vs spread if they played night before.
    -- Washington is 4-2 vs spread on road if it played night before.
    -- Jazz are 1-3 vs spread if they won the night before.
    -- Miami is 5-2 vs spread on road if it played night before.
    -- Portland is 3-1 vs spread if it lost the night before.

  • #2
    Re: Basketball Handicapping Info. 2/12/2014

    Betting the NBA 2014 All-Star Slam Dunk Contest
    Covers.com

    Like a flashing Super Mario ripping through Goombas and Koopas, all the NBA Slam Dunk Contest needed was a little star power.

    After years of being bogged down by bench warmers and D-League dropouts, the annual showcase of the league’s highest flyers welcomes some actual NBA All-Stars to All-Star Saturday Night in New Orleans.

    Top-tier talents Paul George (Pacers), John Wall (Wizards), and Damian Lillard (Blazers) class up a field that includes defending dunk champ Terrence Ross (Raptors), Harrison Barnes (Warriors) and Ben McLemore (Kings).

    Books were quick on the draw to release odds for the crown jewel of NBA All-Star Weekend, setting Ross as a +200 favorite to repeat. And if you witnessed his cram over Kenneth “Manimal” Faried, you likely agree with those odds.

    Here’s a look at the 2014 NBA Slam Dunk Contest combatants and their odds to win Saturday’s annual air show.

    Terrence Ross, Toronto Raptors (+200)

    Ross cashed in at +350 last year, taking advantage of flat field that fell way short of expectations. The Raptors’ second-year swingman has blossomed in Toronto – now that Rudy Gay is gone – scoring more than 10 points a night. Many of those buckets are coming above the rim.


    Harrison Barnes, Golden State Warriors (+350)

    Most nights, Warriors games tip off well after our bed time (we’re getting old man). But if you do happen to be up, you’ll quickly realize that Golden State is the most entertaining team in the NBA. Harrison’s high-wire act is a big part of the show. The 6-foot-8 small forward is providing some must-see moments off the bench in the Bay Area.


    Ben McLemore, Sacramento Kings (+350)

    There’s not much to cheer for in Sacto these days, except maybe the fact that the Kings are staying put – for now. The rookie out of Kansas is getting about 23 minutes a night, most of those in garbage time when Sacramento gets spanked. McLemore, who has been working with former dunk champ Dee Brown, has hinted at attempting a 720 slam dunk this weekend. Wondering what that looks like?


    Damian Lillard, Portland Trail Blazers (+400)

    Lillard is the first man to compete in all four All-Star Saturday Night events – Rising Stars Challenge, Skills Challenge, 3-point Shootout, and the Slam Dunk Contest in one year. The big question bettors have to ask themselves is if Lillard will have any legs left by the end of the night? The Blazers 6-foot-3 guard does have the size advantage working for him – which is backwards in the dunk contest. Little guy slams always look better than big guy slams. Just ask Nate Robinson and Spud Webb.


    John Wall, Washington Wizards (+450)

    Wall is another tiny dancer when it comes to his fellow dunkers, standing at a slender 6-foot-4. The Wizards point guard told local reporters he has a plan for Saturday night but has yet to actually start doing those dunks. Things always sound much easier on paper than they really are, but we’ve seen Wall pull out some “contest” dunks in the middle of a game.


    Paul George, Indiana Pacers (+500)

    George gives the Slam Dunk Contest another go after competing in the forgotten 2012 All-Star Saturday Night showcase, finishing third behind Chase Budinger and Jeremy Evans. He was actually a +150 favorite that year, a far cry from his long-shot value this weekend. But anyone who watched his 360 windmill against the Clippers a few weeks back knows there is great value in the Pacers’ star forward.


    Not sold on any of these high flyers? Well, you can always cross your fingers that LeBron James will finally accept the invite to compete in the dunk contest. Until then, we'll have to settle for his insano slams in warmups and practice.

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: Basketball Handicapping Info. 2/12/2014

      Wednesday's NBA Tips
      By Kevin Rogers
      VegasInsider.com

      Mavericks at Pacers

      Dallas: 31-21 SU, 30-22 ATS
      Indiana: 40-11 SU, 32-19 ATS

      The Pacers have been the best home team in the NBA through the first, looking to improve to 27-2 at Bankers Life Fieldhouse with a win over the Mavs. Indiana dominated Denver, 119-80 on Monday to easily cash as 10½-point favorites, while picking up its largest margin of victory this season. Frank Vogel's club owns a 4-7 ATS record the last 11 games, but the Pacers are 9-3 SU this season after allowing 80 points or less in their previous contest.

      The Mavs head to the Hoosier State with no rest following Tuesday's contest at Charlotte, as Dallas has compiled a 3-4 SU and 4-3 ATS record on the road on the second of a back-to-back. After starting the season 0-3 ATS as an away underdog from the American Airlines Center, Rick Carlisle's team is a stellar 11-3 ATS the last 14 games when receiving points on the highway. In the last two visits to Indiana, the Mavs have lost each time by double-digits, while the past seven meetings overall have been decided by at least eight points.

      Hawks at Raptors

      Atlanta: 25-24 SU, 26-23 ATS
      Toronto: 27-24 SU, 30-20-1 ATS

      The two teams trailing the Pacers and Heat in the Eastern Conference hook up in Toronto on Wednesday. The Raptors snapped a two-game skid in Monday's 108-101 home triumph over the Pelicans, as Toronto pushed as seven-point favorites. Since losing in overtime to the Bobcats on December 18, the Raptors have won seven of their last nine games at the Air Canada Center, while covering six times in this span.

      The Hawks are on the second of a back-to-back following Tuesday's game at Chicago, as Atlanta has put together a dreadful 1-6 SU/ATS record with no rest on the highway this season. The last time the Hawks and Raptors met up at Philips Arena in early November, Atlanta came out with a 102-95 triumph to cash as 3 ½-point favorites, the eighth win in the last 10 meetings with Toronto. The last six road games for the Hawks have finished 'over' the total, while topping the 100-point mark each time.

      Heat at Warriors

      Miami: 35-14 SU, 21-28 ATS
      Golden State: 31-21 SU, 23-27-2 ATS

      The Heat concludes a four-game road trip, even though Miami plays two more away contests immediately after the All-Star break. The previous meeting between the Heat and Warriors went to Golden State going away in South Florida in early January, 123-114. Golden State cashed outright as 5½-point underdogs, as the Warriors shot a scorching 56% from the floor and knocked down 15 three-pointers. The victory was the third in the last four meetings for Golden State, but the Heat dominated the Warriors last season at Oracle Arena, 92-75.

      Golden State cruised past a hapless Philadelphia squad on Monday, 123-80 as 15-point favorites, as the Warriors have split their last 16 games overall. Mark Jackson's team has covered just four of their past 10 contests at Oracle Arena, including outright losses to Eastern Conference foes Indiana, Charlotte, and Washington in this span. Meanwhile, the Heat owns a 1-3 ATS record when playing with revenge this season, while compiling 5-2 SU/ATS record on the road with no rest, coming off Tuesday's contest at Phoenix.

      Blazers at Clippers

      Portland: 36-15 SU, 28-23 ATS
      Los Angeles: 36-18 SU, 31-23 ATS

      The Blazers wrap up a brutal travel schedule, playing in their sixth different city in 10 days. After battling the Northwest Division-leading Thunder on Tuesday, Portland draws another division leader with a meeting against the Clippers at Staples Center. Since winning at San Antonio and Dallas in a back-to-back set last month, the Blazers have lost five of their last seven road contests, but Portland has put together an 8-4 ATS record as an away underdog this season.

      The Clippers are ready for the stretch run with their leader back in the lineup as Chris Paul took the court for the first time on Sunday after missing 18 games with a shoulder injury. Los Angeles responded well with a 123-78 blowout of Philadelphia, the fourth straight game in which the Clippers scored at least 112 points. Doc Rivers' club fell to the Blazers in overtime on December 26 by a 116-112 count, but the Clippers have won 10 consecutive games against teams playing with no rest.

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: Basketball Handicapping Info. 2/12/2014

        College Basketball Information

        George Washington (+1.5) beat VCU 76-66 at home Jan 14, avenging an 84-57 loss at VCU in first A-13 meeting LY; Colonials outscored Rams 20-7 on foul line, survived 21 (-7) turnovers. A-13 home favorites of less than 5 points are 11-7 vs spread. GW won seven of last eight games, is 1-2 as A-13 underdog. VCU is 2-3 as home favorite, but won all five of the games, all by 11+ points- they force turnovers 23.3% of time.

        Villanova (-17) shot 73% inside arc in 88-62 home win over DePaul Jan 18, Wildcats' 7th straight series win- they've won last three visits here by 2-2-23 points. DePaul's leading scorer Melvin is off team; Demons lost last six games (1-5 vs spread)- they're 1-4 as home dog, with three of four home losses by 10+ points. Big East road favorites of more than 4 points are 7-1. Villanova is 7-1-1 vs spread in its last nine games.

        Syracuse lost its last five visits to Pitt; their last win here was 10 years ago. Pitt star Patterson is struggling with injured thumb, making 14-51 from floor in last four games, which Pitt split, with both wins over poor teams in OT. Syracuse is 4-0 on ACC road, with all four wins by 10+; they beat Panthers 59-54 (-5) Jan 18, making 65% of shots inside arc. Pitt had 16 offensive boards that game, but was just 13-23 from the line. ACC home teams are 9-23 vs spread if spread was 5 or less points.

        Akron won its last four games with Western Michigan, winning by 3 in OT here LY. Zips' last three games were all decided by 4 or less points; they're 5-1 on MAC road, with underdogs covering five of the six tilts. WMU won five of last six games; underdogs are 5-0 vs spread in their MAC home games. MAC home favorites of 4 or less points are 4-8 vs spread. Four of six Akron road games were decided by 4 or less points.

        Ohio (-3) made 11-25 from arc, beat Toledo 95-90 in OT Feb 1, after trailing by 11 with 8:58 left; Bobcats are 7-1 in last eight series games, but lost by 4 in last visit here in '12. MAC home favorites of 5+ points are 8-13-1 vs spread. Toledo won eight of last nine games but is 0-4-1 as a home favorite. Ohio won four of last five games; only one of their three MAC losses was by more than three points.

        Home team is 14-2 in last 16 Indiana State-Bradley games; Sycamores are 1-9 in last ten visits to Peoria, losing by 8-12 in last two visits here. ISU is 4-2 on Valley road, with three of four wins by 6 or less points- they're 2-2 as road favorite. MVC favorites are 8-3 vs spread if spread was less than 4 points. Bradley won five of last seven games; they're 5-1 at home in Valley, with only loss by 3 to Missouri State.

        Kentucky won 11 games with Auburn, with last four all by 10+ points; Wildcats won last five visits here by 9-9-3-5-22 points- they're 6-1 in last seven games overall, 1-2-1 as road favorite, winning away games by 9-5-10 points. SEC home underdogs are 14-7-1 vs spread. Auburn won three of last four games, covering all four; they're 2-2 at home in SEC, losing by 2 to Missouri, 7 to Florida (1-1 as home dog).

        Illinois won three of last four games with Nebraska, splitting pair of 20+ point decisions here; Illini snapped 8-game skid Sunday at Penn St- they are 1-4 on Big Dozen road, losing by 25-6-7-10 points. Nebraska won last three home games by 6-4-5 points, is 7-1 vs spread last eight games. Big Dozen home favorites of 5 or less points are 7-9 vs spread. Illini is 2-7 against the spread in its last nine games.

        Duke won seven of last nine games with North Carolina, winning its last two visits here, by 1-16 points. Duke won seven of last eight games, is 7-1 vs spread in last eight, winning three of last four on road, with only loss by hoop at Syracuse. ACC home underdogs of 4 or less points are 2-8 vs spread. Carolina won its last five games, all by 11+ points- they also won their last four home games.

        Stanford (-10) outscored Washington 24-6 on line in 79-67 win over the Huskies Jan 18, just its second win in last 11 series games. Cardinal lost its last four visits here, by 1-33-11-13 points- they won six of last eight games, covering last four games as favorite. Pac-12 home underdogs of 5 or less points are 9-5 vs spread. Washington lost five of last seven but is 4-0 SU at home in conference- dogs covered six of its last seven games.

        New Mexico (-5) beat Boise State 84-75 Jan 21, making 9-17 from arc, making 59% inside arc; Lobos are 5-0 vs Boise in MW play, winning by 16-5 in last two visits here. Mountain West home favorites of 5 or less points are 8-4 vs spread. Broncos lost last three games, are 1-5 as MW home favorite; they're 2-5 in league games decided by 6 or less points. Lobos won last six games; dogs are 4-1 vs spread in their MW road tilts.

        Nevada won six of last seven games with Fresno State, winning 96-86 in double OT in first meeting Jan 22, after trailing by 10 in the second half. Wolf Pack is 3-0 as home favorite; three of its four home wins are by 9+ points. Fresno won its last three games, is 3-2 as road dog, with one road loss by more than 7 points. Mountain West home favorites of 5 or less points are 8-4 vs spread. Last two series games both went to OT.

        Cal (-15) beat Washington State 76-55 at home Jan 18, but it was only 34-33 at half; home team won last six series games- Bears lost last two visits to Pullman, by 4-2 points. Pac-12 home underdogs of more than 5 points are 2-4 vs spread. Erratic Cal lost four of last five games, but win was over #1 Arizona- they lost last two road games. Wazzu is 3-2 as a home dog; home teams covered eight of their 11 conference games.

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: Basketball Handicapping Info. 2/12/2014

          Game of the Day: Duke at North Carolina
          By Covers.com

          Duke Blue Devils at North Carolina Tar Heels (+2.5, 156)

          North Carolina will try to run its record to 4-0 against the teams that opened the season ranked in the top four in the preseason coaches’ poll, hosting No. 9 Duke in a pivotal ACC game Wednesday night. The Tar Heels have already knocked off No. 8 Louisville, No. 10 Michigan State and No. 13 Kentucky, but will need another win against a ranked opponent for a chance to get back into the top 25. More importantly, a victory for North Carolina would bring the Tar Heels closer to the top four in the conference standings.

          North Carolina has won five in a row, all by double digits, to get back into the thick of the ACC race. Duke had its own five-game winning streak in ACC play interrupted by a loss to top-ranked Syracuse on Feb. 1, but the Blue Devils have reeled off back-to-back wins against Wake Forest and Boston College. Jabari Parker is coming off career highs in points (29) and rebounds (16) in the win against Boston College.

          LINE HISTORY: Duke opened as a 2.5-point road favorite with oddsmakers suggesting a total of 156 points.

          COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Duke (-15.85) - North Carolina (-9.25) - Home Court (-3.0) = Duke -3.6

          WHAT BOOKS SAY: "Duke-UNC is one of the biggest matchups of our NCAA year and it draws one of our largest nights in terms of action where we can see around three times of what you could see for an average late season game.” - Jeff Stoneback, sportsbook manager MGM Mirage Las Vegas.

          WHAT SHARPS SAY: "Both teams are red hot. North Carolina in on a 5-0 SU/ATS run. Duke is 7-1 SU and ATS in its last eight with that lone loss in OT at Syracuse. Duke has played a much tougher schedule over that span with Pitt and Syracuse on the road and Virginia at home." - Covers Expert Steve Merril.

          WHY BET DUKE (19-5 SU, 16-8 ATS, 12-11 O/U): Rodney Hood loses a lot of attention to Parker, but the 6-8 sophomore forward might by the Blue Devils’ most consistent player. He’s coming off back-to-back games scoring in single digits for the first time this season, so look for the Mississippi native to be extra focused for his first game against the Tar Heels. The other sophomore forward for Duke, 6-9 Amile Jefferson, is up to 66 percent shooting from the floor this season after making all three of his attempts in Saturday’s win against Boston College.

          WHY BET NORTH CAROLINA (16-7, 12-11 ATS, 10-12 O/U): James Michael McAdoo will likely get the task of trying to guard Hood or Jefferson at the outset. McAdoo hasn’t had any trouble with his offensive game in a while, reaching double figures in scoring the last 16 games. McAdoo has lost three out of four in his career against Duke, including both games on his home floor, so look for a top-notch effort from the 6-9 junior forward.

          TRENDS:

          * Blue Devils are 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings in North Carolina.
          * Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings in North Carolina.
          * Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.
          * Road team is 22-8 ATS in the last 30 meetings.

          CONSENSUS: 60.78 percent of the wagers are on Duke at -2.5.

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: Basketball Handicapping Info. 2/12/2014

            StatFox Super Situations

            DENVER at MINNESOTA
            Play On - Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) explosive offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half 29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units ) 3-3 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.3 units )

            PHILADELPHIA at UTAH
            Play Against - Any team vs the money line (PHILADELPHIA) after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games 57-32 over the last 5 seasons. ( 64.0% | 31.0 units ) 7-6 this year. ( 53.8% | 2.5 units )

            DALLAS at INDIANA
            Play Against - Road underdogs of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (DALLAS) after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last five games, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team 135-76 since 1997. ( 64.0% | 51.4 units ) 1-3 this year. ( 25.0% | -2.3 units )

            Comment


            • #7
              Re: Basketball Handicapping Info. 2/12/2014

              7:00 PM
              ATLANTA vs. TORONTO
              The total has gone OVER in 9 of Atlanta's last 13 games
              Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
              Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
              Toronto is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Atlanta

              7:00 PM
              DALLAS vs. INDIANA
              Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Indiana
              Indiana is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Dallas
              Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

              7:00 PM
              MEMPHIS vs. ORLANDO
              Memphis is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Orlando
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games on the road
              Orlando is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games
              Orlando is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis

              7:30 PM
              CHARLOTTE vs. BROOKLYN
              Charlotte is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
              Charlotte is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
              Brooklyn is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
              Brooklyn is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home

              7:30 PM
              SAN ANTONIO vs. BOSTON
              San Antonio is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
              San Antonio is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Boston
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games
              Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

              7:30 PM
              SACRAMENTO vs. NEW YORK
              Sacramento is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games on the road
              New York is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
              New York is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

              7:30 PM
              CLEVELAND vs. DETROIT
              Cleveland is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
              Cleveland is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
              Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland

              8:00 PM
              DENVER vs. MINNESOTA
              Denver is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
              Denver is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 9 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games at home

              8:00 PM
              WASHINGTON vs. HOUSTON
              The total has gone OVER in 10 of Washington's last 15 games on the road
              The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games
              The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 8 games
              Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
              See more trends!

              8:00 PM
              NEW ORLEANS vs. MILWAUKEE
              The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans's last 10 games on the road
              New Orleans is 4-6-2 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
              Milwaukee is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games
              Milwaukee is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans

              9:00 PM
              PHILADELPHIA vs. UTAH
              Philadelphia is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing Utah
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Utah
              The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
              Utah is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

              10:30 PM
              PORTLAND vs. LA CLIPPERS
              Portland is 2-4-1 ATS in their last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
              Portland is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing LA Clippers
              LA Clippers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Portland
              LA Clippers are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games at home

              10:30 PM
              MIAMI vs. GOLDEN STATE
              Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
              Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Golden State
              The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 8 games
              The total has gone OVER in 9 of Golden State's last 13 games when playing Miami

              Comment


              • #8
                Re: Basketball Handicapping Info. 2/12/2014

                STATSYSTEMS SPORTS STAT/SHEETS, 2/12/14
                NCAA COLLEGE BASKETBALL
                INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
                _________________________________________




                ***** Wednesday, 2/12/14 NCAACB Knowledge *****
                (ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2013-14 NCAA College Basketball season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
                __________________________________________________ ____


                Wednesday's Notebook
                •George Washington (+1.5) beat Virginia Commonwealth 76-66 at home Jan 14, avenging an 84-57 loss at VCU in first A-13 meeting LY; Colonials outscored Rams 20-7 on foul line, survived 21 (-7) turnovers. A-13 home favorites of less than 5 points are 11-7 versus spread. GW won seven of last eight games, is 1-2 as A-13 underdog. VCU is 2-3 as home favorite, but won all five of the games, all by 11+ points- they force turnovers 23.3% of time.


                •Villanova (-17) shot 73% inside arc in 88-62 home win over DePaul Jan 18, Wildcats' 7th straight series win- they've won last three visits here by 2-2-23 points. DePaul's leading scorer Melvin is off team; Demons lost last six games (1-5 vs. spread)- they're 1-4 as home dog, with three of four home losses by 10+ points. Big East road favorites of more than 4 points are 7-1. Villanova is 7-1-1 versus spread in its last nine games.


                •Syracuse lost its last five visits to Pittsburgh; their last win here was 10 years ago. Panther star Patterson is struggling with injured thumb, making 14-51 from floor in last four games, which Pitt split, with both wins over poor teams in OT. Syracuse is 4-0 on ACC road, with all four wins by 10+; they beat Panthers 59-54 (-5) Jan 18, making 65% of shots inside arc. Pittsburgh had 16 offensive boards that game, but was just 13-23 from the line. ACC home teams are 9-23 versus spread if spread was 5 or less points.


                •Akron won its last four games with Western Michigan, winning by 3 in OT here LY. Zips' last three games were all decided by 4 or less points; they're 5-1 on MAC road, with underdogs covering five of the six tilts. WMU won five of last six games; underdogs are 5-0 versus spread in their conference home games. MAC home favorites of 4 or less points are 4-8 versus spread. Four of six Akron road games were decided by 4 or less points.


                •Ohio (-3) made 11-25 from arc, beat Toledo 95-90 in OT Feb 1, after trailing by 11 with 8:58 left; Bobcats are 7-1 in last eight series games, but lost by 4 in last visit here in '12. Mid-American Conference home favorites of 5+ points are 8-13-1 versus spread. Toledo won eight of last nine games but is 0-4-1 as a home favorite. Ohio won four of last five games; only one of their three MAC losses was by more than three points.


                •Home team is 14-2 in last 16 Indiana State-Bradley games; Sycamores are 1-9 in last ten visits to Peoria, losing by 8-12 in last two visits here. ISU is 4-2 on conference road, with three of four wins by 6 or less points- they're 2-2 as road favorite. Missouri Valley Conference favorites are 8-3 versus spread if spread was less than 4 points. Bradley won five of last seven games; they're 5-1 at home in conference, with only loss by 3 to Missouri State.


                •Kentucky won 11 games with Auburn, with last four all by 10+ points; Wildcats won last five visits here by 9-9-3-5-22 points- they're 6-1 in last seven games overall, 1-2-1 as road favorite, winning away games by 9-5-10 points. SEC home underdogs are 14-7-1 versus spread. Auburn won three of last four games, covering all four; they're 2-2 at home in league play, losing by 2 to Missouri, 7 to Florida (1-1 as home dog).


                •Illinois won three of last four games with Nebraska, splitting pair of 20+ point decisions here; Illini snapped 8-game skid Sunday at Penn St- they are 1-4 on Big Dozen road, losing by 25-6-7-10 points. Nebraska won last three home games by 6-4-5 points, is 7-1 versus spread last eight games. Big Dozen home favorites of 5 or less points are 7-9 versus spread. Illinois is 2-7 against the spread in its last nine games.


                •Duke won seven of last nine games with North Carolina, winning its last two visits to Chapel Hill, by 1-16 points. Duke won seven of last eight games, is 7-1 versus spread in last eight, winning three of last four on road, with only loss by hoop at Syracuse. ACC home underdogs of 4 or less points are 2-8 versus spread. Carolina won its last five games, all by 11+ points- they also won their last four home games.


                •Stanford (-10) outscored Washington 24-6 on line in 79-67 win over the Huskies Jan 18, just its second win in last 11 series games. Cardinal lost its last four visits here, by 1-33-11-13 points- they won six of last eight games, covering last four games as favorite. Pac-12 home underdogs of 5 or less points are 9-5 versus spread. Washington lost five of last seven but is 4-0 SU at home in conference- dogs covered six of its last seven games.


                •New Mexico (-5) beat Boise State 84-75 Jan 21, making 9-17 from arc, making 59% inside arc; Lobos are 5-0 versus Boise in conference play, winning by 16-5 in last two visits here. Mountain West home favorites of 5 or less points are 8-4 versus spread. Broncos lost last three games, are 1-5 as MWC home favorite; they're 2-5 in league games decided by 6 or less points. Lobos won last six games; dogs are 4-1 versus spread in their MWC road tilts.


                •Nevada won six of last seven games with Fresno State, winning 96-86 in double OT in first meeting Jan 22, after trailing by 10 in the second half. Wolf Pack is 3-0 as home favorite; three of its four home wins are by 9+ points. Fresno won its last three games, is 3-2 as road dog, with one road loss by more than 7 points. Mountain West home favorites of 5 or less points are 8-4 versus spread. Last two series games both went to OT.


                •California (-15) beat Washington State 76-55 at home Jan 18, but it was only 34-33 at half; home team won last six series games- Bears lost last two visits to Pullman, by 4-2 points. Pac-12 home underdogs of more than 5 points are 2-4 versus spread. Erratic Cal lost four of last five games, but win was over #1 Arizona- they lost last two road games. Cougars are 3-2 as a home dog; home teams covered eight of their 11 conference games.


                •Situational Trends of The Day
                -- NEW MEXICO is 21-6 ATS (+14.4 Units) after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
                The average score was NEW MEXICO 72.0, OPPONENT 60.8.


                -- KENTUCKY is 36-11 UNDER (+23.9 Units) after 5 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers since 1997.
                The average score was KENTUCKY 71.9, OPPONENT 59.6.


                -- ST PETERS is 0-13 (-14.3 Units) against the 1rst half line when playing only their 3rd game in a week over the last 3 seasons.
                The average score was ST PETERS 23.2, OPPONENT 33.4.


                -- E MICHIGAN is 26-6 UNDER (+19.4 Units) the 1rst half total after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
                The average score was E MICHIGAN 23.3, OPPONENT 26.6.


                -- KEN BONE is 2-17 ATS (-16.7 Units) revenging a road loss versus opponent of 10 points or more as the coach of WASHINGTON ST.
                The average score was Bone 60.6, OPPONENT 70.7.


                •Matchup Trends of The Day
                -- SYRACUSE is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game this season.
                The average score was SYRACUSE 70.3, OPPONENT 58.2.


                -- S FLORIDA is 12-1 UNDER (+10.9 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
                The average score was S FLORIDA 59.2, OPPONENT 58.1.


                -- RHODE ISLAND is 13-2 against the 1rst half line (+10.8 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
                The average score was RHODE ISLAND 31.6, OPPONENT 32.7.


                -- N CAROLINA is 13-1 UNDER (+11.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game this season.
                The average score was N CAROLINA 33.1, OPPONENT 28.6.


                -- WES MILLER is 2-16 ATS (-15.6 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games as the coach of UNC-GREENSBORO.
                The average score was MILLER 66.3, OPPONENT 73.7.


                •Situation Analysis of The Day
                -- Play Against - All teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (TEXAS A&M) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games.
                (41-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.2%, +36.3 units. Rating = 5*)


                The average money line posted in these games was: Team underdog with a money line of: +125.2
                The average score in these games was: Team 70.9, Opponent 67.3 (Average point differential = +3.6)


                The situation's record this season is: (2-3, -1 units).
                Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-6, +10.8 units).
                Since 1997 the situation's record is: (94-63, +20.4 units).


                -- Play On - Road teams as an underdog or pick (FRESNO ST) - revenging a home loss versus opponent of 10 points or more, in a game involving two average three point shooting teams (32%-36.5%) after 15+ games, after a game making 13 or more 3 point shots.
                (33-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.5%, +25.3 units. Rating = 4*)


                The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (20-21 over the last 5 seasons.)
                The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 7.6
                The average score in these games was: Team 66.9, Opponent 67.6 (Average point differential = -0.7)
                The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 17 (42.5% of all games.)


                The situation's record this season is: (6-1).
                Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-5).
                Since 1997 the situation's record is: (54-41).


                -- Play Against - Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TCU) - revenging a road blowout loss versus opponent of 20 points or more, off 3 straight losses against conference rivals against opponent off 2 consecutive losses of 10 or more to conference rivals.
                (48-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.2%, +31.5 units. Rating = 4*)


                The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (54-11 over the last 5 seasons.)
                The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 6.5
                The average score in these games was: Team 73.2, Opponent 64.6 (Average point differential = +8.5)
                The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 17 (26.6% of all games.)


                The situation's record this season is: (4-2).
                Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-11).
                Since 1997 the situation's record is: (149-102).


                -- Play On - Road underdogs of 6 to 11 points versus the first half line (TENN-MARTIN) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (>=78 PPG), after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games, in a game involving two good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's).
                (31-9 since 1997.) (77.5%, +21.1 units. Rating = 3*)


                The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.4
                The average first half score in these games was: Team 34.8, Opponent 33.8 (Average first half point differential = +1)


                The situation's record this season is: (2-2).
                Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (3-2).
                Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (5-2).


                -- Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 55.5 to 60.5 (ILLINOIS) - bad pressure defensive team - forcing <=12 turnovers/game, off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team.
                (57-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.0%, +37.2 units. Rating = 4*)


                The average first half total posted in these games was: 58.6
                The average first half score in these games was: Team 26.9, Opponent 28.1 (Total first half points scored = 54.9)


                The situation's record this season is: (10-1).
                Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (30-8).
                Since 1997 the situation's record is: (102-52).
                ___________________________________________


                Wednesday's Match-ups


                #745 VILLANOVA @ #746 DEPAUL
                (TV: 8:00 PM EST, Fox Sports 1 - Line: Villanova -13, Total: N/A) - No. 6 Villanova looks to win its sixth game in a row when it hits the road to face DePaul on Wednesday. The Wildcats have recorded 10 victories in their last 11 games and are coming off a comfortable 70-53 win over Seton Hall as they aim to complete the season sweep over the Blue Demons. Villanova has reeled off six straight road victories and hopes to take care of business without peeking ahead to the showdown with No. 17 Creighton on Feb. 16, which will likely decide the Big East title race.


                DePaul is currently mired in a six-game losing streak following a 78-66 loss to Creighton. The Blue Demons have dropped four games by double digits during their slide and things have gone from bad to worse as they announced that leading scorer Cleveland Melvin, who was suspended for the last four games, is no longer enrolled at the school. "I can't make any comments because of the federal student privacy act," coach Oliver Purnell said on his weekly radio show. "But the bottom line is he's no longer a part of our team and we have to move on."


                •ABOUT VILLANOVA (21-2 SU, 16-5-0 ATS, 9-1 Big East): JayVaughn Pinkston scored 19 points on 9-of-11 shooting and grabbed six rebounds versus Seton Hall to help coach Jay Wright record his 400th career win. James Bell tops the team in scoring (16 per game) and was named the Big East Player of the Week after averaging 23.5 points in wins over the Pirates and Xavier. The Wildcats have knocked down 10 or more 3-pointers in 12 games, but finished with a season-low five triples against Seton Hall.


                •ABOUT DEPAUL (10-14 SU, 11-12-0 ATS, 2-9 Big East): Brandon Young has stepped up in the absence of Melvin, averaging 16.5 points and six rebounds in his last four games. The Blue Demons went 8-of-23 from beyond the arc against Creighton and have made at least one 3-point field goal in 635 straight games. Forrest Robinson came off the bench to score a career-high 11 points on 4-of-5 shooting against the Bluejays.


                •PREGAME NOTES: Villanova is 17-8 all-time against DePaul and has won the last seven meetings between the two schools.... The Wildcats are 17-0 when scoring 70 points or more this season.... The Blue Demons have lost 47 straight games against ranked opponents.... Villanova is 13-4 against the spread versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing less than 14 turnovers/game this season.... DePaul is 0-7 versus the spread in home games versus excellent teams - shooting more than 45% with a defense of less than 42% over the last two seasons.


                StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.


                --In 1000 simulated games, DEPAUL covered the spread 506 times, while VILLANOVA covered the spread 461 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, VILLANOVA won the game straight up 817 times, while DEPAUL won 162 times. In 1000 simulated games, DEPAUL covered the first half line 563 times, while VILLANOVA covered the first half line 437 times. *No EDGE.


                •HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
                --VILLANOVA is 6-5 against the spread versus DEPAUL since 1997.
                --VILLANOVA is 9-2 straight up against DEPAUL since 1997.
                --7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997.


                --DEPAUL is 8-3 versus the first half line when playing against VILLANOVA since 1997.
                --6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.


                --Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
                --Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings
                --Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in DePaul.


                --Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
                --Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.


                •RECENT TRENDS
                --VILL is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. Big East.
                --Over is 10-3 in VILL last 13 overall.
                --Over is 12-2 in VILL last 14 road games.


                --DEP is 7-18 ATS in their last 25 home games.
                --Over is 6-2 in DEP last 8 overall.
                --Over is 6-2 in DEP last 8 vs. Big East.
                _______________________________


                #747 SYRACUSE @ #748 PITTSBURGH
                (TV: 7:00 PM EST, ESPN - Line: Pittsburgh -1, Total: N/A) - Syracuse puts its undefeated record on the line Wednesday when the top-ranked Orange visit No. 23 Pittsburgh in search of its school-record 24th straight victory. The best start to a season in modern Syracuse history includes a five-point home victory over the Panthers back on Jan. 18. Pittsburgh responded from that defeat with back-to-back wins but has not won in regulation in any of its last four games - losing to Duke and Virginia at home before squeaking out wins against Miami in overtime and Virginia Tech in double OT.


                Panthers coach Jamie Dixon admitted this week that "we haven't played great as of late. That's got to change. We've got to get better." But the Orange know that they can play better, as well, as they have failed to reach 70 points in seven of their last eight games and rank just 187th in the nation in scoring average (71.1). Pittsburgh led the first matchup by three points with under three minutes left, prompting senior swingman Lamar Patterson to say this week, "I am real confident. We want another shot at them because we let one go there. It is going to be a fun game."


                •ABOUT SYRACUSE (23-0 SU, 12-6-1 ATS, 10-0 ACC): The biggest issue for the Orange at the moment is a lack of depth, as forward DaJuan Coleman (knee) is already out for the season and C Baye Moussa Keita injured his knee against Clemson on Sunday, leaving his status up in the air for Wednesday's contest. "If Baye isn't able to go Wednesday, that's a little concern," said Syracuse senior C.J. Fair. "They're a team that likes to get it inside. You know they're going to want to take advantage of that opportunity." Fair leads the team with 16.8 points per game while Jerami Grant (12.8 points, seven rebounds) and Rakeem Christmas (5.5 points, 4.4 rebounds) must also play big without Coleman and perhaps Keita as well.


                •ABOUT PITTSBURGH (20-4 SU, 7-13-1 ATS, 8-3 ACC): Historically, Pittsburgh has been one of the teams that has had the most success penetrating Syracuse's 2-3 zone defense. "We match up well," Pitt point guard James Robinson said. "Our coaches do a really good job getting us prepared. We work on our zone offense every day in practice. We know they are long and athletic. We can't be passive against them. We've got to be aggressive." Patterson has generally been the team's best player this season, but his scoring average has dipped to 17.2 as he has scored 13.5 points on 27.5 percent shooting over his last four games.


                •PREGAME NOTES: Pittsburgh F-C Talib Zanna (12.5 points, 7.6 rebounds) also has struggled over his last four games to the tune of 7.5 points on 37.5 percent shooting.... Syracuse PG Tyler Ennis has committed more than two turnovers in a game only once this season.... Orange G Trevor Cooney is 14-of-21 from 3-point range over the last three games.... The Panthers are 9-22 versus the spread in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last three seasons.... Syracuse 7-0 against the spread versus good foul drawing teams - attempting more than 25 free throws/game this season.


                StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.


                --In 1000 simulated games, PITTSBURGH covered the spread 576 times, while SYRACUSE covered the spread 385 times. *EDGE against the spread =PITTSBURGH. In 1000 simulated games, PITTSBURGH won the game straight up 615 times, while SYRACUSE won 355 times. In 1000 simulated games, PITTSBURGH covered the first half line 545 times, while SYRACUSE covered the first half line 455 times. *No EDGE.


                •HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
                --PITTSBURGH is 16-11 against the spread versus SYRACUSE since 1997.
                --PITTSBURGH is 14-13 straight up against SYRACUSE since 1997.
                --12 of 19 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997.


                --PITTSBURGH is 14-12 versus the first half line when playing against SYRACUSE since 1997.
                --13 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.


                --Orange are 5-15-1 ATS in the last 21 meetings.
                --Orange are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Pittsburgh.


                •RECENT TRENDS
                --SYR is 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
                --Under is 9-2 in SYR last 11 overall.
                --Under is 8-2 in SYR last 10 vs. Atlantic Coast.


                --PITT is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games.
                --PITT is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Atlantic Coast.
                --Over is 8-2 in PITT last 10 home games.
                _______________________________


                #759 S FLORIDA @ #760 CONNECTICUT
                (TV: 7:00 PM EST, ESPN2, ESPN3 - Line: Connecticut -15, Total: N/A) - Buoyed by the return of star forward DeAndre Daniels, Connecticut can move closer to its fourth consecutive 20-win season when it hosts South Florida on Wednesday in an American Athletic Conference matchup. The Huskies have eight games remaining in the regular season, including three contests against ranked opponents and a rematch at South Florida in two weeks. Daniels was back in the lineup after missing two games but Connecticut may be without swingman Omar Calhoun with a mild concussion.


                The Bulls' hopes for a top-six finish in the ACC - which ensures a first-round bye in the conference tournament - took a major hit with Saturday's 79-69 home loss to Rutgers. It was the eighth defeat in 11 games for the Bulls, dropping them into eighth place in the league and derailing the good vibes built from wins over Southern Methodist and Central Florida sandwiched around a narrow loss to AAC leader Cincinnati. "We can’t get this one back, but we have to find a way to make it up," coach Stan Heath told reporters after Saturday's loss.


                •ABOUT SOUTH FLORIDA (12-12 SU, 9-12-0 ATS, 3-8 AAC): A highlight-reel dunk from Victor Rudd aside, the Bulls laid an egg against a Rutgers squad that had lost its previous seven league road games by falling into an early 13-point hole. “We had to play catch-up the whole game," said senior guard Martino Brock, who continues to flourish coming off the bench with three 17-point performances in the past five games. South Florida is not built to come from behind, ranking dead last nationally in 3-point field goal percentage (25.4).


                •ABOUT CONNECTICUT (18-5 SU, 12-9-0 ATS, 6-4 AAC): Daniels had missed two games with ankle and back injuries and said fatigue was a factor in Sunday's 20-point win at Central Florida even though he was among five players in double figures with 16 points and tied for the team high with seven rebounds in only 25 minutes. "I was a little rusty," Daniels said. "I'd give myself a 'D,' but the only thing that matters is we came away with a 'W.' " Forward Lasan Kromah, who has taken over Calhoun's starting slot, scored a season-high 17 points to follow up his 13-point effort at Cincinnati.


                •PREGAME NOTES: Huskies G Shabazz Napier, who leads the team in points (17.7), rebounds (5.9) and assists (5.6), is averaging 22.5 points in his last six games.... The Bulls have connected on 14-of-65 attempts from long range in the past seven games.... The teams split a pair of meetings last season, with Connecticut prevailing in overtime at home and the Bulls winning by 14 in Tampa.... The Bulls are 12-26 versus the spread when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last three seasons.... UConn is 13-5 against the spread versus good ball handling teams - committing less than 14 turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last two seasons.


                StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.


                --In 1000 simulated games, CONNECTICUT covered the spread 596 times, while S FLORIDA covered the spread 378 times. *EDGE against the spread =CONNECTICUT. In 1000 simulated games, CONNECTICUT won the game straight up 930 times, while S FLORIDA won 61 times. In 1000 simulated games, CONNECTICUT covered the first half line 537 times, while S FLORIDA covered the first half line 463 times. *No EDGE.


                •HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
                --S FLORIDA is 8-1 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT since 1997.
                --CONNECTICUT is 7-2 straight up against S FLORIDA since 1997.
                --5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997.


                --S FLORIDA is 6-2 versus the first half line when playing against CONNECTICUT since 1997.
                --5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.


                --Bulls are 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
                --Underdog is 7-0 ATS in the last 7 meetings.


                •RECENT TRENDS
                --USF is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 Wed. games.
                --Under is 24-5 in USF last 29 Wed. games.
                --Under is 42-18 in USF last 60 road games.


                --UCONN is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
                --UCONN is 5-0 ATS L5 vs. American Athletic Conference.
                --Under is 8-3 in UCONN last 11 home games.
                _______________________________


                #771 KENTUCKY @ #772 AUBURN
                (TV: 8:00 PM EST, SEC Network, ESPN3 - Line: Kentucky -7.5, Total: N/A) - It seems No. 13 Kentucky could easily look past Wednesday's game at Auburn with its showdown versus No. 4 Florida looming Saturday, but a pair of factors should suppress that possibility. The Wildcats have won 15 straight meetings and 29 of the last 30 encounters, while Kentucky coach John Calipari is 7-0 against Tigers counterpart Tony Barbee, who played under Calipari at Massachusetts and served as his assistant for six seasons during a successful run in Memphis. The Wildcats won at Mississippi State 69-59 on Saturday for their third straight victory while Auburn's win streak was snapped by LSU 87-80 on Saturday.


                Calipari had nothing but praise for Barbee, whose team lost its first six SEC games before winning three straight. "They started with a ridiculous schedule that any of us would have been on a losing streak," Calipari told reporters. "...I'm just telling you, he's coaching as well as anybody in this conference and in the country." While the Wildcats are among the nation's elite teams and a national championship contender, they have struggled away from home at 4-5 - 3-3 in true road contests - as their heralded freshmen continue to gain valuable experience prior to the NCAA Tournament.


                •ABOUT KENTUCKY (18-5 SU, 10-9-2 ATS, 8-2 SEC): Julius Randle, a 6-9 freshman forward, averages 16 points and is second in the SEC with 9.8 rebounds per game in what is expected to be the future NBA lottery pick's only season as a Wildcat. First-year players James Young (14.5 points), Aaron Harrison (14) and Andrew Harrison (10.7) are Kentucky's other double-figure scorers. The Wildcats must improve on their 3-point shooting (31.9) and free-throw (67.8) percentages, while Calipari continues to demand better defensive results and tries to get his young team to play with a greater sense of urgency with March Madness approaching quickly.


                •ABOUT AUBURN (11-10 SU, 10-7-0 ATS, 3-7 SEC): Barbee is concerned with the Tigers' frontcourt, which was outscored 46-8 on Saturday and faces another stern challenge. “A lot of guys on both teams along the front line you’re going to see in the NBA one day, so it’s a very similar challenge,” Barbee told reporters. Senior guard Chris Denson leads the SEC in scoring at 20.2 points per game and averaged 26 over the last four games, while shooting 56.7 percent from the field, after recording 29 against LSU.


                •PREGAME NOTES: Randle leads the nation's freshmen with 11 double-doubles, but recorded only one in his last seven games.... Auburn shot 31.8 percent from 3-point range in its three SEC victories and 34.1 percent in its seven losses.... The Tigers last defeated the Wildcats 66-63 on Jan. 11, 2000.... Kentucky is 4-15 versus the spread in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last two seasons.... Auburn is 5-16 against the spread off a loss against a conference rival over the last two seasons.


                StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.


                --In 1000 simulated games, AUBURN covered the spread 554 times, while KENTUCKY covered the spread 446 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, KENTUCKY won the game straight up 650 times, while AUBURN won 330 times. In 1000 simulated games, AUBURN covered the first half line 526 times, while KENTUCKY covered the first half line 418 times. *No EDGE.


                •HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
                --KENTUCKY is 11-7 against the spread versus AUBURN since 1997.
                --KENTUCKY is 18-1 straight up against AUBURN since 1997.
                --10 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997.


                --KENTUCKY is 10-9 versus the first half line when playing against AUBURN since 1997.
                --7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.


                --Wildcats are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
                --Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings.
                --Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Auburn.


                --Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
                --Road team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.


                •RECENT TRENDS
                --UK is 6-13 ATS in their last 19 Wed. games.
                --UK is 5-15-2 ATS in their last 22 road games.
                --Over is 4-0 in UK last 4 Wednesday games.


                --AUB is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
                --AUB is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Wednesday games.
                --Over is 7-0 in Tigers last 7 Wednesday games.
                _______________________________


                #781 DUKE @ #782 N CAROLINA
                (TV: 9:00 PM EST, ESPN - Line: Duke -2.5, Total: N/A) - North Carolina will try to run its record to 4-0 against the teams that opened the season ranked in the top four of the USA Today Top 25 Coaches Poll, hosting No. 9 Duke in a pivotal ACC game Wednesday. The Tar Heels have already knocked off No. 8 Louisville, No. 10 Michigan State and No. 13 Kentucky, but will need another win against a ranked opponent for a chance to get back into the Top 25. More importantly, a victory for North Carolina would bring the Tar Heels closer to the top four in the conference standings.


                North Carolina has won five in a row - all by double digits - to get back into the thick of the ACC race. Duke had its own five-game winning streak in ACC play interrupted by a loss to top-ranked Syracuse on Feb. 1, but the Blue Devils have reeled off back-to-back wins against Wake Forest and Boston College. Jabari Parker is coming off career highs in points (29) and rebounds (16) against Boston College.


                •ABOUT DUKE (19-5 SU, 16-8-0 ATS, 8-3 ACC): Rodney Hood loses a lot of attention to Parker, but the 6-8 sophomore forward might by the Blue Devils’ most consistent player. He’s coming off back-to-back games scoring in single digits for the first time this season, so look for the Mississippi native to be extra focused for his first game against the Tar Heels. The other sophomore forward for Duke, 6-9 Amile Jefferson, is up to 66 percent shooting from the floor this season after making all three of his attempts Saturday.


                •ABOUT NORTH CAROLINA (16-7 SU, 12-11-0 ATS, 6-4 ACC): James Michael McAdoo will likely get the task of trying to guard Hood or Jefferson at the outset. McAdoo hasn’t had any trouble with his offensive game in a while, reaching double figures in scoring the last 16 games. McAdoo has lost three out of four in his career against Duke, including both games on his home floor, so look for a top-notch effort from the 6-9 junior forward.


                •PREGAME NOTES: A win for the Blue Devils would give them at least 20 for the 18th consecutive season.... Duke entered Tuesday tied with Cleveland State for the nation’s top 3-point shooting percentage at 42.... North Carolina G Marcus Paige leads the ACC in free throw shooting at 90.5 percent.... The Blue Devils are 12-4 against the spread versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of less than 42% this season.... The Tar Heels are 12-2 versus the spread in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last three seasons.


                StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.


                --In 1000 simulated games, DUKE covered the spread 555 times, while N CAROLINA covered the spread 445 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, DUKE won the game straight up 602 times, while N CAROLINA won 370 times. In 1000 simulated games, DUKE covered the first half line 519 times, while N CAROLINA covered the first half line 481 times. *No EDGE.


                •HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
                --N CAROLINA is 21-17 against the spread versus DUKE since 1997.
                --DUKE is 25-13 straight up against N CAROLINA since 1997.
                --18 of 34 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997.


                --N CAROLINA is 19-17 versus the first half line when playing against DUKE since 1997.
                --18 of 34 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.


                --Blue Devils are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in North Carolina.
                --Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.
                --Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in North Carolina.


                --Road team is 22-8 ATS in the last 30 meetings.


                •RECENT TRENDS
                --DUKE is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
                --DUKE is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 vs. Atlantic Coast.
                --Under is 14-4 in DUKE last 18 Wed. games.


                --UNC is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 Wed. games.
                --UNC is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. Atlantic Coast.
                --Over is 5-2 in UNC last 7 vs. Atlantic Coast.
                _______________________________


                #787 C FLORIDA @ #788 MEMPHIS
                (TV: 9:00 PM EST, ESPNU - Line: Memphis -15.5, Total: N/A) - After posting another signature victory, No. 22 Memphis looks to win its third straight when it hosts Central Florida on Wednesday in an American Athletic Conference game. The Tigers scored the final 10 points to knock off No. 24 Gonzaga 60-54 on Saturday for its third victory over a ranked team this season. Memphis has won 12 of its last 13 games against the Knights.


                Central Florida was routed by Connecticut 75-55 on Sunday for its eighth straight loss. The setback knocked the Knights into a tie for last in the newly formed American Athletic Conference with Temple. Memphis defeated Central Florida 69-59 at Orlando, Fla., on Jan. 29.


                •ABOUT CENTRAL FLORIDA (9-12 SU, 3-12-0 ATS, 1-9 AAC): Isaiah Sykes continues to be one of the lone bright spots for the Knights. The versatile senior swingman is the only conference player in the top 15 in the league statistics in scoring, rebounding, assists, steals and field-goal percentage and netted 24 points and grabbed a dozen rebounds in the first meeting. Sykes continued his hot hand by scoring 17 points against UConn and reserve Justin McBride had a fine game with 13 points in just 15 minutes for the Knights, who continue to lead the conference in rebounding.


                •ABOUT MEMPHIS (18-5 SU, 13-7-0 ATS, 7-3 AAC): Coach Josh Pastner entered the season 0-12 against ranked teams but now owns wins over Oklahoma State, Louisville and Gonzaga. The Tigers sit fourth in the AAC with a big date at UConn on deck and a chance to further enhance their NCAA seeding. But Memphis can't afford to look past the Knights as they led by just three points with six minutes to go last month.


                •PREGAME NOTES: UCF outrebounded Memphis 36-31 and had a 19-2 advantage in second-chance points in the first meeting.... Memphis is 26-4 against teams from Florida since 2000.... UCF ranks 343 out of 345 teams in free throw percentage at 59.7 percent.... The Tigers are 6-0 versus the spread after scoring 25 points or less in the first half last game over the last two seasons.... The Knights are 2-9 against the spread versus good ball handling teams - committing less than 14 turnovers/game this season, including 1-7 ATS after 15+ games.


                StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.


                --In 1000 simulated games, UCF covered the spread 507 times, while MEMPHIS covered the spread 493 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, MEMPHIS won the game straight up 857 times, while UCF won 130 times. In 1000 simulated games, UCF covered the first half line 543 times, while MEMPHIS covered the first half line 410 times. *EDGE against first half line =UCF.


                •HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
                --MEMPHIS is 10-3 against the spread versus UCF since 1997.
                --MEMPHIS is 12-1 straight up against UCF since 1997.
                --8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997.


                --MEMPHIS is 7-6 versus the first half line when playing against UCF since 1997.
                --9 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.


                --Knights are 0-7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
                --Knights are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Memphis.
                --Over is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings in Memphis.


                --Favorite is 5-0-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.


                •RECENT TRENDS
                --UCF is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Wednesday games.
                --UCF is 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 games overall.
                --UCF is 1-9 ATS L10 vs. American Athletic Conference.


                --MEM is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
                --Under is 13-5 in MEM last 18 overall.
                --Under is 9-3 in MEM last 12 home games.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Re: Basketball Handicapping Info. 2/12/2014

                  Today's NBA Picks

                  Portland at LA Clippers

                  The Trail Blazers head to LA tonight where they are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against the Clippers. LA is the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Clippers favored by 10. Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-7 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.
                  WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 12
                  Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST
                  Game 701-702: Memphis at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 118.049; Orlando 117.927
                  Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 182
                  Vegas Line & Total: No Line
                  Dunkel Pick: N/A
                  Game 703-704: Dallas at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 117.344; Indiana 128.852
                  Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 11 1/2; 203
                  Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 9 1/2; 197 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-9 1/2); Over
                  Game 705-706: Atlanta at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 115.812; Toronto 125.269
                  Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 9 1/2; 207
                  Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 6; 200
                  Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-6); Over
                  Game 707-708: San Antonio at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 121.045; Boston 110.150
                  Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 11; 185
                  Vegas Line & Total: No Line
                  Dunkel Pick: N/A
                  Game 709-710: Charlotte at Brooklyn (7:30 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 121.712; Brooklyn 120.846
                  Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 1; 187
                  Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 7 1/2; 192
                  Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+7 1/2); Under
                  Game 711-712: Cleveland at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 113.779; Detroit 115.360
                  Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 210
                  Vegas Line & Total: No Line
                  Dunkel Pick: N/A
                  Game 713-714: Sacramento at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 115.587; New York 123.044
                  Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 7 1/2; 199
                  Vegas Line & Total: New York by 5; 203
                  Dunkel Pick: New York (-5); Under
                  Game 715-716: Denver at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Denver 117.912; Minnesota 120.511
                  Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 2 1/2; 217
                  Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 6; 210
                  Dunkel Pick: Denver (+6); Over
                  Game 717-718: New Orleans at Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 118.968; Milwaukee 109.530
                  Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 9 1/2; 186
                  Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 6 1/2; 191
                  Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-6 1/2); Under
                  Game 719-720: Washington at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Washington 122.604; Houston 124.266
                  Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 1 1/2; 207
                  Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 9; 203
                  Dunkel Pick: Washington (+9); Over
                  Game 721-722: Philadelphia at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 108.031; Utah 112.390
                  Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 4 1/2; 197
                  Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 7 1/2; 204
                  Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+7 1/2); Under
                  Game 723-724: Miami at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Miami 120.813; Golden State 125.708
                  Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 5; 200
                  Vegas Line & Total: No Line
                  Dunkel Pick: N/A
                  Game 725-726: Portland at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
                  Dunkel Ratings: Portland 118.707; LA Clippers 128.568
                  Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 10; 220
                  Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 7 1/2; 216 1/2
                  Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-7 1/2); Over

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Re: Basketball Handicapping Info. 2/12/2014

                    NCAA Basketball Picks

                    Duke at North Carolina

                    The Tar Heels look to stay hot as they come into tonight's matchup against Duke with a 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 games. North Carolina is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Tar Heels favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (+3) . Here are all of today's games.
                    WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 12
                    Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST
                    Game 727-728: George Washington at VCU (7:00 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: George Washington 65.907; VCU 69.525
                    Dunkel Line: VCU by 3 1/2
                    Vegas Line: VCU by 7
                    Dunkel Pick: George Washington (+7)
                    Game 729-730: Richmond at Duquesne (7:00 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: Richmond 58.107; Duquesne 61.338
                    Dunkel Line: Duquesne by 3
                    Vegas Line: Duquesne by 1 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick: Duquesne (-1 1/2)
                    Game 731-732: Northeastern at NC-Wilmington (7:00 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: Northeastern 51.438; NC-Wilmington 48.057
                    Dunkel Line: Northeastern by 3 1/2
                    Vegas Line: NC-Wilmington by 1 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick: Northeastern (+1 1/2)
                    Game 733-734: Rhode Island at Dayton (7:00 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: Rhode Island 54.966; Dayton 67.830
                    Dunkel Line: Dayton by 13
                    Vegas Line: Dayton by 10 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick: Dayton (-10 1/2)
                    Game 735-736: James Madison at Delaware (7:00 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: James Madison 49.102; Delaware 55.075
                    Dunkel Line: Delaware by 6
                    Vegas Line: Delaware by 8
                    Dunkel Pick: James Madison (+8)
                    Game 737-738: George Mason at Massachusetts (7:00 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: George Mason 53.765; Massachusetts 67.712
                    Dunkel Line: Massachusetts by 14
                    Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 11 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick: Massachusetts (-11 1/2)
                    Game 739-740: Penn State at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 61.611; Indiana 70.913
                    Dunkel Line: Indiana by 9 1/2
                    Vegas Line: Indiana by 8
                    Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-8)
                    Game 741-742: Boston College at Georgia Tech (7:00 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 58.189; Georgia Tech 57.298
                    Dunkel Line: Boston College by 1
                    Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 2 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+2 1/2)
                    Game 743-744: Baylor at TCU (7:00 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 64.172; TCU 59.756
                    Dunkel Line: Baylor by 4 1/2
                    Vegas Line: Baylor by 7
                    Dunkel Pick: TCU (+7)
                    Game 745-746: Villanova at DePaul (8:00 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 71.798; DePaul 55.632
                    Dunkel Line: Villanova by 16
                    Vegas Line: Villanova by 13
                    Dunkel Pick: Villanova (-13)
                    Game 747-748: Syracuse at Pittsburgh (7:00 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 73.282; Pittsburgh 76.046
                    Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 3
                    Vegas Line: Pick
                    Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh
                    Game 749-750: Bowling Green at Kent State (7:00 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 52.864; Kent State 52.907
                    Dunkel Line: Even
                    Vegas Line: Kent State by 4 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (+4 1/2)
                    Game 751-752: Eastern Michigan at Ball State (7:00 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 53.309; Ball State 49.073
                    Dunkel Line: Eastern Michigan by 4 1/2
                    Vegas Line: Eastern Michigan by 7
                    Dunkel Pick: Ball State (+7)
                    Game 753-754: Akron at Western Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: Akron 57.867; Western Michigan 57.022
                    Dunkel Line: Akron by 1
                    Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 1 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick: Akron (+1 1/2)
                    Game 755-756: Ohio at Toledo (7:00 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 57.807; Toledo 61.439
                    Dunkel Line: Toledo by 3 1/2
                    Vegas Line: Toledo by 5
                    Dunkel Pick: Ohio (+5)
                    Game 757-758: Buffalo at Miami (OH) (7:00 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 57.189; Miami (OH) 54.002
                    Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 3
                    Vegas Line: Pick
                    Dunkel Pick: Buffalo
                    Game 759-760: South Florida at Connecticut (7:00 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 54.933; Connecticut 75.672
                    Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 20 1/2
                    Vegas Line: Connecticut by 15
                    Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-15)
                    Game 761-762: Loyola-Chicago at Northern Iowa (8:00 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Chicago 50.946; Northern Iowa 62.904
                    Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 12
                    Vegas Line: Northern Iowa by 10 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick: Northern Iowa (-10 1/2)
                    Game 763-764: Central Michigan at Northern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 47.849; Northern Illinois 48.614
                    Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 1
                    Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 3
                    Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (+3)
                    Game 765-766: Illinois State at Evansville (8:00 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: Illinois State 57.144; Evansville 53.662
                    Dunkel Line: Illinois State by 4
                    Vegas Line: Evansville by 1
                    Dunkel Pick: Illinois State (+1)
                    Game 767-768: Drake at Missouri State (8:00 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: Drake 50.051; Missouri State 59.565
                    Dunkel Line: Missouri State by 9 1/2
                    Vegas Line: Missouri State by 5
                    Dunkel Pick: Missouri State (-5)
                    Game 769-770: Indiana State at Bradley (8:00 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: Indiana State 58.256; Bradley 53.018
                    Dunkel Line: Indiana State by 5
                    Vegas Line: Indiana State by 2
                    Dunkel Pick: Indiana State (-2)
                    Game 771-772: Kentucky at Auburn (8:00 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 72.023; Auburn 60.442
                    Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 11 1/2
                    Vegas Line: Kentucky by 7 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick: Kentucky (-7 1/2)
                    Game 773-774: Vanderbilt at South Carolina (8:00 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 62.967; South Carolina 62.321
                    Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 1
                    Vegas Line: South Carolina by 2
                    Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (+2)
                    Game 775-776: Texas Tech at Oklahoma (8:00 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 60.834; Oklahoma 73.481
                    Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 12 1/2
                    Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 9 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-9 1/2)
                    Game 777-778: Illinois at Nebraska (9:00 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 62.017; Nebraska 62.944
                    Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 1
                    Vegas Line: Nebraska by 3 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick: Illinois (+3 1/2)
                    Game 779-780: St. Bonaventure at Fordham (9:00 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: St. Bonaventure 63.352; Fordham 53.896
                    Dunkel Line: St. Bonaventure by 9 1/2
                    Vegas Line: St. Bonaventure by 5
                    Dunkel Pick: St. Bonaventure (-5)
                    Game 781-782: Duke at North Carolina (9:00 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: Duke 74.199; North Carolina 75.349
                    Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 1
                    Vegas Line: Duke by 3
                    Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (+3)
                    Game 783-784: Georgia at Mississippi State (9:00 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: Georgia 60.085; Mississippi State 60.891
                    Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 1
                    Vegas Line: Georgia by 2
                    Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (+2)
                    Game 785-786: Stanford at Washington (9:00 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 68.906; Washington 62.317
                    Dunkel Line: Stanford by 6 1/2
                    Vegas Line: Stanford by 3
                    Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-3)
                    Game 787-788: Central Florida at Memphis (9:00 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 56.405; Memphis 73.722
                    Dunkel Line: Memphis by 17 1/2
                    Vegas Line: Memphis by 15 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-15 1/2)
                    Game 789-790: LSU at Texas A&M (9:00 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: LSU 62.084; Texas A&M 60.667
                    Dunkel Line: LSU by 1 1/2
                    Vegas Line: LSU by 3
                    Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (+3)
                    Game 791-792: New Mexico at Boise State (9:15 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 63.230; Boise State 63.549
                    Dunkel Line: Even
                    Vegas Line: Boise State by 2 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (+2 1/2)
                    Game 793-794: Air Force at San Jose State (10:00 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 50.640; San Jose State 50.615
                    Dunkel Line: Even
                    Vegas Line: Air Force by 2
                    Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (+2)
                    Game 795-796: Fresno State at Nevada (10:00 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 58.953; Nevada 59.785
                    Dunkel Line: Nevada by 1
                    Vegas Line: Nevada by 4
                    Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (+4)
                    Game 797-798: California at Washington State (11:00 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: California 64.938; Washington State 61.844
                    Dunkel Line: California by 3
                    Vegas Line: California by 5 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick: Washington State (+5 1/2)
                    Game 799-800: NC-Greensboro at Georgia Southern (7:00 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: NC-Greensboro 43.258; Georgia Southern 49.277
                    Dunkel Line: Georgia Southern by 6
                    Vegas Line: Georgia Southern by 4 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick: Georgia Southern (-4 1/2)
                    Game 801-802: Davidson at The Citadel (7:00 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: Davidson 58.781; The Citadel 38.623
                    Dunkel Line: Davidson by 20
                    Vegas Line: No Line
                    Dunkel Pick: N/A
                    Game 803-804: Tennessee-Martin at SE Missouri State (7:00 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee-Martin 40.584; SE-Missouri State 54.142
                    Dunkel Line: SE Missouri State by 13 1/2
                    Vegas Line: SE Missouri State by 11 1/2
                    Dunkel Pick: SE Missouri State (-11 1/2)
                    Game 805-806: St. Peter's at Iona (7:00 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: St. Peter's 45.388; Iona 63.337
                    Dunkel Line: Iona by 18
                    Vegas Line: Iona by 13
                    Dunkel Pick: Iona (-13)
                    Game 807-808: Elon at Furman (7:00 p.m. EST)
                    Dunkel Ratings: Elon 49.321; Furman 42.918
                    Dunkel Line: Elon by 6 1/2
                    Vegas Line: No Line
                    Dunkel Pick: N/A

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Re: Basketball Handicapping Info. 2/12/2014

                      Duke at North Carolina
                      By Brian Edwards
                      VegasInsider.com

                      One of the premier rivalries in all of sports renews again tonight in Chapel Hill, where North Carolina will take on Duke in an ACC showdown at 9:00 p.m. Eastern.

                      Most books opened Duke (19-5 straight up, 16-8 against the spread) as a one-point favorite late Tuesday afternoon. However, as of early this morning, most spots had the Blue Devils by 2.5.

                      North Carolina (16-7 SU, 12-11 ATS) has won 11 of its 14 home games while going 7-7 versus the number. The Tar Heels are coming off Saturday's 73-62 win at Notre Dame as 1.5-point road 'chalk.'

                      Roy Williams's squad has now five in a row both SU and ATS. I made UNC a 5.5-point favorite at Notre Dame, so I decided to pounce on UNC and the result was an easy winner.

                      James Michael McAdoo paced the winners with 18 points, eight rebounds and four steals. Marcus Paige added 16 points and six assists.

                      Until steadying the ship with its current five-game run of success, North Carolina had been the toughest team to figure out in all of college basketball. During a three-week span from late November to early December, the Tar Heels picked up monster wins vs. Louisville (neutral court), at Michigan St. (by 14!) and vs. Kentucky.

                      But UNC also had several head-scratching defeats. The Tar Heels lost at UAB, in addition to home losses to Belmont and Miami. As it turns out, Belmont has a really solid squad (RPI of 60), but defeats to smaller schools at the Dean Dome aren't looked on fondly, regardless of the circumstances.

                      Duke is eighth in the RPI Rankings, while UNC is No. 37. The Blue Devils are 4-3 against RPI Top-50 opponents, including non-conference wins over UCLA and Michigan. They are 9-4 versus the RPI Top 100.

                      UNC is 4-3 against the RPI Top 50, 7-6 versus the Top 100.

                      Since losing two of its first three ACC games (at Notre Dame and at Clemson), Duke has been on a serious roll with seven wins in its last eight games. The only blemish during this surge was the epic 91-89 overtime loss at top-ranked Syracuse.

                      Duke has covered the spread in seven consecutive games, including Saturday night's 89-68 win at Boston College as a 9.5-point road 'chalk.' Jabari Parker was the catalyst with 29 points, 16 rebounds and three blocked shots in a dominant performance. Quinn Cook added 21 points by knocking down 5-of-7 attempts from 3-point range.

                      Duke doesn't take too many one-and-done players, but it has embraced the presence of Parker. He has rewarded them by leading the Blue Devils in scoring (19.2 points per game), rebounding (8.5 RPG) and blocked shots (1.2 per game).

                      Likewise, Coach K doesn't take too many transfers. In fact, Rodney Hood from Mississippi St. is just the fourth transfer during his tenure, joining Seth Curry, Dahntay Jones and Roshown McLeod. Hood has produced by averaging 16.5 PPG while shooting 49.4 percent from the field and 45.0 percent from 3-point land.

                      Duke has been a road favorite four times, posting a 2-2 spread record. With that said, we should note four consecutive spread covers on the road, including a pair of 'dog spots (at 'Cuse and an outright win at Pitt).

                      Although UNC has seen the 'over' go 5-2 in its last seven games and 7-6 in home games at the Dean Dome, the 'under' still maintains a 12-10 overall ledger.

                      The 'over' has hit in four straight Duke games and seven of its last nine to improve to 12-11 overall.

                      Duke has beaten UNC in seven of the last nine meetings, including three in a row in Chapel Hill. The Blue Devils cruised to a 69-53 win as two-point road 'dogs at UNC last year. McAdoo had a team-high 15 points for the Heels in the losing effort.

                      The 'under' is 8-2 in the last 10 head-to-head meetings.

                      ESPN will provide television coverage tonight.

                      B.E.'s Bonus Nuggets

                      Auburn owns a 6-2-1 spread record in its last nine games as an underdog. The Tigers are 7-3 ATS at home. They play host to Kentucky tonight as 7.5-point underdogs.

                      UConn has won seven of its last nine games while compiling an 8-1 spread record. The Huskies are 15-point home favorites tonight vs. USF. They own a 6-1 spread record in seven games as double-digit favorites this year. The Bulls are 1-3 ATS as double-digit underdogs.

                      Oklahoma St. got run out of Austin early and often in an 87-68 loss at Texas last night. The Longhorns took the cash easily as four-point home favorites. Travis Ford's team looked like a Final Four contender in December, but now it is without Marcus Smart for two more games and a part of the bubble conversation.

                      After getting smashed at Iowa on Saturday and falling behind by double digits in the first half at Ohio St. last night, Michigan rallied to capture a 70-60 win as a four-point road underdog.

                      Wyoming was the nation's tough-luck team last week, losing in overtime at New Mexico and by two at UNLV. But the Cowboys got things to go their way last night, ending San Diego St.'s 20-game winning streak by collecting a 68-62 triumph as four-point home 'dogs.

                      Florida won its 16th consecutive game Tuesday night at Tennessee, pulling away for a 67-58 victory as a two-point road favorite. The Gators improved to 22-2 overall and 11-0 in SEC. They will venture into Rupp Arena to face Kentucky this Saturday night.

                      There is a lot of speculation going on about the job security of Alabama fifth-year head coach Anthony Grant. As I've noted several times recently, I've been stunned by his lack of success in Tuscaloosa. The Crimson Tide isn't going to the postseason this year unless it wins the SEC Tournament, and it has just one NCAA appearances and zero wins on Grant's watch. With that said, he has five years remaining on his contract at $1.9 million per season. That's a lot of greenbacks for Alabama to eat if it wants to get rid of him. The empty seats at Coleman Coliseum for last night's game at Ole Miss didn't help Grant's cause, but the final result might have. After allowing a six-point advantage to get away in the final 1:11, Trevor Releford buried a trey with 0.6 seconds left to lift the Tide to a 67-64 win over the Rebels. Releford scored 21 of his 26 points in the second half and had 14 of 'Bama's last 16.

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                      • #12
                        Re: Basketball Handicapping Info. 2/12/2014

                        Hoop Trends - Wednesday
                        By Vince Akins
                        VegasInsider.com

                        ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

                        The Heat are 11-0 ATS (8.18 ppg) since Feb 21, 2013 on the road when facing a team that covered by double digits against them in their previous same-season meeting.

                        OU TREND OF THE DAY:

                        The 76ers are 0-13 OU (-9.12 ppg) since Nov 04, 2012 on the road after a game in which they shot less than 40% from the field.

                        PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

                        The Pacers are 14-0-2 ATS (8.84 ppg) since Dec 21, 2012 after George Hill played fewer than 30 minutes at home.

                        CHOICE TREND:

                        The Pistons are 0-10-1 ATS (-7.55 ppg) since Jan 25, 2009 at home when they had at least ten fewer assists in their previous game than in the game before.

                        ACTIVE TRENDS:

                        The Knicks are 0-7 ATS (-8.57 ppg) since Dec 29, 2011 after Carmelo Anthony shot worse than 33% from the field in a road loss.

                        The Timberwolves are 8-0 OU (15.56 ppg) since Jan 25, 2012 after Kevin Love scored at least 30 points in a home loss.

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