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Basketball Handicapping Info. 2/11/2014

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  • Basketball Handicapping Info. 2/11/2014

    NBA

    Hot teams
    -- Dallas won its last five games, covered last four. Bobcats covered four of their last five games.
    -- Cavaliers won last two games, after losing their previous six.
    -- Washington covered 11 of its last 14 road games.
    -- Miami/Phoenix both won six of their last eight games.
    --Thunder won 13 of their last 15 games. Portland won six of its last seven home games.

    Cold Teams
    -- Kings lost nine of last eleven games, covered four of last six.
    -- Chicago is 0-4 vs spread in game following its last four wins. Hawks lost their last three games, all by 5 or less points.
    -- Grizzlies lost three of their last four games.
    -- Jazz lost four of their last five games. Lakers lost eight of last ten.

    Series records
    -- Mavericks won nine of last ten games with Charlotte.
    -- Kings won last three games with Sacramento, including 124-80 win in Sacramento Jan 12.
    -- Bulls won five of their last six games with Atlanta.
    -- Wizards lost seven of last nine games with Memphis.
    -- Heat won last seven games (6-1 vs spread) with Phoenix.
    -- Thunder won eight of their last ten games with Portland.
    -- Lakers lost five of last seven games with Utah.

    Totals
    -- Six of last eight Dallas-Charlotte games went over total.
    -- Six of last seven Sacramento games stayed under total.
    -- Last six Chicago-Atlanta games stayed under total; five of last seven Atlanta games went over.
    -- Eight of last ten Memphis games stayed under total.
    -- Five of last seven Phoenix games went over the total.
    -- Six of last eight Thunder games went over the total.
    -- Last five Utah games stayed under the total.

    Back to backs
    -- None

  • #2
    Re: Basketball Handicapping Info. 2/11/2014

    Michigan at Ohio State
    By Brian Edwards
    VegasInsider.com

    Since losing four consecutive games, Ohio State (19-5 straight up, 12-11 against the spread) has won four of its last five and appears to have its mojo back going into Tuesday's key Big 10 showdown against Michigan.

    As early Monday night, most betting shops had the Buckeyes installed as four-point home favorites.

    Thad Matta's squad trounced Purdue, 67-49 on Saturday night as an 11-point home 'chalk.' LaQuinton Ross led the way with a team-high 17 points, while Lenzelle Smith Jr. finished with 16 points and dished out five assists without committing a turnover. Smith knocked down four shots from 3-point land.

    Ohio State has now won 14 of its 16 home games, but it is a mediocre 7-8 ATS. The Buckeyes have been single-digit home favorites just once, losing outright to Iowa in that instance.

    Michigan (17-6 SU, 11-9-1 ATS) has lost two of its last three games and got spanked, 85-67 Saturday at Iowa as a 5.5-point underdog. The defeat dropped the Wolverines' record as underdog to 3-3 both SU and ATS.

    Caris LaVert scored a team-best 22 points in the loss to the Hawkeyes. Zak Irvin came off the bench to score 19 on 4-of-6 shooting from deep.

    Michigan star Nik Stauskas was held below his scoring average (17.0 points per game) for the fourth straight game at Iowa. Stauskas scored only 10 points and committed four turnovers without dishing out an assist.

    Stauskas is still in the running for Big Ten Player of the Year honors, but the last four games have certainly hurt its candidacy. He had just 10 points against Iowa and was held in single figures the two previous contests. Stauskas has had more turnovers than assists in three of the last four games.

    Michigan is in a first-place tie with Michigan State in the Big Ten standings with a 9-2 record in league play. Ohio State is 6-5 in the Big Ten and in a tie for fourth place.

    Ohio State is No. 15 in the RPI Rankings, going 3-3 against the RPI Top 50 and 10-4 versus the Top 100. Michigan is No. 17 in the RPI, compiling a 5-4 record against RPI Top-50 opponents and a 9-5 mark versus RPI Top-100 foes.

    The 'under' is 13-9-1 overall for Ohio State, 8-6-1 in its home games. Meanwhile, the 'over' has hit in six of Michigan's last nine games to improve to 11-9-1 overall.

    These bitter rivals split a pair of regular-season games last year with the home team prevailing each time. Ohio State won a 56-53 decision over Michigan as a two-point home favorite, while the Wolverines won in overtime by a 76-74 count in Ann Arbor.

    Ohio State has won eight of the last 10 head-to-head meetings against Michigan, but the Wolverines are 6-4 ATS during this stretch.

    B.E.'s Bonus Nuggets

    Toledo's leading scorer Justin Drummond (14.6 PPG) has been suspended for Wednesday's game against Ohio after being arrested for DUI on Saturday night.

    After ending Cincinnati's 15-game winning streak Saturday night, SMU made its first appearance in this week's AP Top 25 since 1985. The Mustangs beat a Top-10 team for the first time since a 1987 victory over Florida.

    Florida won its 29th consecutive home game in Saturday's non-covering win over Alabama at The O-Dome. On Tuesday night, the Gators will put their unbeaten SEC record on the line at Tennessee. Most spots opened UF as a one-point road 'chalk.' The Volunteers have won three of the last four head-to-head meetings both SU and ATS, but Billy Donovan's team destroyed UT 67-41 in Gainesville two weeks ago.

    San Diego State has won six of the last seven meetings against Mountain West rival Wyoming both SU and ATS. However, the one defeat came at Wyoming (58-45) last season. These teams will square off Tuesday night and most spots have the Aztecs listed as four-point road favorites. The Cowboys have covered the spread in three straight games to improve to 13-6-1 ATS on the season. They dropped a 48-46 heartbreaker Saturday at UNLV but hooked up their backers as six-point underdogs.

    The 'under' is 15-3 overall for San Diego State this year. With that said, we should note that the 'over' is 6-2 in its last eight head-to-head encounters with Wyoming.

    With wins at Indiana State and Northern Iowa this past week, Wichita State remained undefeated. The Shockers have an excellent chance to become the first team since 1991 (UNLV) to take an unbeaten record into the NCAA Tournament. They are 17-point home favorites Tuesday vs. Southern Illinois.

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: Basketball Handicapping Info. 2/11/2014

      College Basketball Hot & Not
      By Mike Rose
      VegasInsider.com

      Winning and losing in college basketball betting is often a fine line. There are a number of teams in the nation who have been at the top of their games for the last three weeks, covering at least five games in a row. Check out the list here at VegasInsider.com!

      Southern Utah Thunderbirds (7-0 ATS L/7) - Ok, so the Thunderbirds are 1-19 SU this season. So what? The team has covered seven games in a row, and it has come awfully close in just about all of those games to pulling off upsets. Southern Utah has lost its last six games by seven points or fewer, and for a team that has been a dog by at least eight points in its last nine games, that's a heck of an accomplishment that's done nothing but line its supporters' pockets with cash.

      Duke Blue Devils (7-0 ATS L/7) - The Dookies really started going when they returned form off a loss at Littlejohn Coliseum, where Clemson clocked Jabari Parker and his mates by two touchdowns. They didn't cover their first game off of that stretch when they beat UVA at home, but since that point, seven games have resulted in seven covers. Expect Duke to be a Top 10 team once again this week after destroying both BC and Wake Forest, marking the sixth time in the team's last seven games which it beat an ACC foe by at least 15 points.

      Long Beach State 49ers (6-0 ATS L/6) - The Big West is littered with garbage this year, but the 49ers are threatening to make a real run here in conference play. They have won five of their last six games and have covered all six, and now, they might have some clear sailing to get back above .500. The team is a whopping 8-2-1 ATS on the road this year, and LBSU could definitely be a team to watch out for going forward.

      Wofford Terriers (6-0 ATS L/6) - The Terriers are largely in the same shape that the 49ers are in. Neither team is all that good, but both play in really bad conferences. Wofford has won six straight games and covered all six, and it will get its way up to seven wins in a row after the team takes on Hiawassee College this week on Tuesday in a really oddly placed non-conference and non-Division I game on the slate.

      Cleveland State Vikings (6-0 ATS L/6) - The Vikes have been doing this all year long. They have six straight wins, and when they score 70 points or more, they win and they cover. In fact, three of their failed attempts at covering games this year have come when they have failed to reach the 70-point plateau, and they only have five ATS defeats on the whole campaign. After winning four straight on the road, four straight are coming at home for Cleveland State, and the club could be set to soar to the top of the Horizon League as a result.

      North Carolina Tar Heels (5-0 ATS L/5) - We've already talked about one team on Tobacco Road, and now, we get to talk about the other. The Tar Heels have covered five games in a row as well, and interestingly enough, they draw Duke this week on Wednesday. The difference has been G Marcus Paige, who has really rounded into one of the best point guards in the country. He's averaging 17.0 points per game, and he is also a fantastic distributor of the rock.

      Murray State Racers (5-0 ATS L/5) - The Racers are 7-1 ATS at home this season, and the only games which they have lost since the start of the year have come on the road against Belmont and Eastern Illinois. Only that loss to the Bruins looks shaky, and the defeat by three was nothing in comparison to the eight-point spread. With three straight home games coming up, there is a real chance for the Racers to continue their good fortune, and they very well could end up back on this list in a couple weeks with nine straight covers.

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: Basketball Handicapping Info. 2/11/2014

        Tuesday's NBA Tips
        By Kevin Rogers
        VegasInsider.com

        Hawks at Bulls

        Atlanta: 25-24 SU, 26-23 ATS
        Chicago: 25-25 SU, 23-27 ATS

        The Bulls return home following a 3-3 SU/ATS road trip, capped off by a 92-86 victory over the Lakers as three-point favorites on Sunday. Chicago has failed to capitalize off a win of late, losing four straight games off a victory, while dropping each of its past two contests at the United Center. Carlos Boozer missed the last two games with a calf injury, as the Bulls forward is listed as questionable for Tuesday's contest.

        The Hawks are riding a three-game losing streak, which includes a 79-76 home defeat to the Grizzlies on Saturday. Atlanta outscored Memphis in three of the four quarters, but the Hawks were limited to below 14 points in two of those quarters, resulting in its third home loss in the last four tries. The previous meeting between the Hawks and Bulls in early January went to Chicago, 91-84 as five-point favorites. Atlanta has lost six straight visits to the United Center with all six games finishing 'under' the total.

        Wizards at Grizzlies

        Washington: 25-25 SU, 27-23 ATS
        Memphis: 27-23 SU, 23-26-1 ATS

        The Wizards hit the road for a pair of games against Southwest Division opponents prior to the All-Star break, as Washington has split its last 10 contests overall. Randy Wittman's club is coming off a 93-84 victory over the Kings to conclude a 3-2 SU/ATS homestand. Washington has dropped eight consecutive trips to FedEx Forum with the last victory in Memphis coming in 2004.

        The Grizzlies have lost three of their last four following a six-game winning streak, including Sunday's 91-83 overtime setback at Cleveland as three-point road favorites. The 'under' is still cashing at a steady clip for the Grizzlies, hitting in 12 of the past 14 games, but the two 'overs' have come in each of the last two home contests. Memphis has compiled a 5-3 SU and 2-6 ATS record against Eastern Conference foes at home, while going 0-3 ATS the last three games overall in the favorite role.

        Heat at Suns

        Miami: 35-14 SU, 21-28 ATS
        Phoenix: 30-20 SU, 33-16-1 ATS

        The Heat continues its four-game West Coast swing, coming off a shocking loss at Utah as 9 ½-point favorites on Saturday, 94-89. Miami travels to Phoenix on Tuesday, as the Heat has won six of their last eight games coming off a road defeat. Erik Spoelstra's club owns a 4-8 ATS record on the highway since Christmas, including outright favorite losses to Sacramento, New York, Washington, and Brooklyn.

        The Suns are heating up of late with wins in eight of their last 11 games, including Saturday's convincing home victory over the Warriors. Phoenix is playing with revenge on Tuesday after getting blasted at Miami in late November, 107-92, but the Suns own a 5-3 ATS record as a home underdog this season. The Suns have lost seven straight meetings with the Heat, while dropping five consecutive home matchups since 2007.

        Thunder at Blazers

        Oklahoma City: 41-12 SU, 31-22 ATS
        Portland: 36-15 SU, 28-23 ATS

        The Thunder is on fire of late with victories in 13 of their last 15 games, but the two losses came on the road at Washington and Orlando. OKC tries to get on track on the highway, while looking to split the season series with Portland after losing two of the first three meetings. The last time these teams hooked up in Oklahoma City, the Thunder rallied for a 105-97 victory to barely cash as 6½-point favorites, as Kevin Durant torched Portland for 46 points.

        The Blazers are in an interesting scheduling situation, coming off a 2-2 SU and 3-1 ATS road trip, but then heading to Los Angeles to take on the Clippers on Wednesday night. Portland ended its away swing with a 117-110 triumph against a banged-up Minnesota squad, improving to 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS against Northwest Division foes. The Blazers have won all three games returning home from a road trip of at least three games, but Portland failed to cover each time (all as a favorite of at least four points).

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: Basketball Handicapping Info. 2/11/2014

          This Week's Best NBA Spot Bet Opportunities
          By Steve Merril
          Covers.com

          Spot bets are classic handicapping practices that have proven profitable no matter what sport you’re betting. Whether it’s a team looking past this week’s opponent, one coming off a hard-fought victory, or a rough patch of schedule, bettors can find value picking their spots.

          Letdown spot

          Atlanta will head into its game in Chicago on a three-game losing streak Tuesday. The Hawks will be catching the Bulls in a poor scheduling spot as they return home off a six-game road trip that started in San Antonio and ended in Los Angeles. The Hawks should be ready, especially since they had two full days to get ready.

          The Hawks will not be in a good scheduling spot the following night when they play in Toronto, especially if they win in Chicago. An Atlanta win over the Bulls would guarantee them a winning record heading into the All-Star break, so they would be satisfied and likely play with minimal effort against the Raptors.

          Lookahead spot

          Dallas closes the first half of the NBA season with back-to-back road games Tuesday and Wednesday night. The Mavericks will play in Charlotte against the Bobcats Tuesday, and then against the Pacers in Indiana Wednesday.

          The bigger game for Dallas is obviously versus Indiana. The Mavericks already beat Charlotte this season, but they’ve yet to play the Pacers. A win in Indiana would really send Dallas into the All-Star break on a high note, so the Mavs may lack focus in Charlotte the night before.

          Schedule spot

          The Los Angeles Clippers will be a focused team when they host the Portland Trail Blazers Wednesday. The Clippers will be going into that game on two full days of rest while Portland will be playing on the second night of a back-to-back set after hosting Oklahoma City the night before.

          Los Angeles will be playing off back-to-back home wins, including its 45-point romp over Philadelphia last Sunday night. Chris Paul has returned so Los Angeles is now at full strength. The Clippers also have revenge on their mind against the Trail Blazers, after losing 116-112 in overtime in Portland back in December.

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: Basketball Handicapping Info. 2/11/2014

            STATSYSTEMS SPORTS STAT/SHEETS, 2/11/14
            NCAA COLLEGE BASKETBALL
            INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
            _________________________________________




            ***** Tuesday, 2/11/14 NCAACB Knowledge *****
            (ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2013-14 NCAA College Basketball season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
            __________________________________________________ ____


            Tuesday's Notebook
            •Oklahoma State lost its last four games, is now without Smart for three games (suspended), and is down three players; Cowboys were 35-51 on the line in 87-74 (-12.5) win over Texas Jan 8, their 4th win in row versus Texas. Underdogs are 5-0 versus spread in OSU's Big X road games. Texas won seven of last eight games; they're 0-3 as home favorites, winning by 3-10-3-12. Big X home favorites of less than 5 points are 5-2 versus spread.


            •Clemson is 2-3 in its last five games; favorites are 5-1 versus spread in their ACC road games- all four Tiger ACC losses are by 13+ points- they are 5-0 SU in ACC games decided by 8 or less points. Notre Dame is 2-8 in its last ten games, 0-3 as home favorite, with ACC wins by 2-7-3. ACC home favorites of 5 or less points are 4-11 versus spread. Clemson is last in ACC in ball security, turning ball over 21.3% of time.


            •Wake Forest shot 65% inside arc, 28-39 on foul line in 70-69 (-2.5) win over NC State Jan 15, just its 2nd win in last eight series games. Wake is 0-8 in last eight visits here, with last four losses by 11+ points- they've lost last three games by 9+ points, are 2-3 as road underdogs. State won four of last five games, with its last three wins by 4 or less points. ACC home favorites of 6 or less points are 6-16 versus spread.


            •Tennessee was 1-19 on arc in 67-41 (-9) loss at Florida Jan 25, ending a 3-game win streak versus Gators. Florida is 1-5 in last six visits here; three of five losses were by 4 or less points. Florida is 10-0 in SEC, 3-3 as home favorite, with all six wins by 9+. SEC home teams are 21-7-1 versus spread in games where spread was 5 or less points. Tennessee won its last four home games after losing conference home opener to Texas A&M.


            •Alabama lost four games in row and six of seven; favorites covered four of its five SEC home games (2-1 as HF). Home side won 11 of last 13 in series; Rebels lost last two visits here, by 10-5 points. Ole Miss lost its last two road games at Tennessee/Kentucky, both by 16 points- they're 1-4 versus spread on SEC road, 2-0 as road dogs. SEC home favorites of 6 or less points are 13-4 against the spread.


            •Marquette won four in row, 12 of last 13 games with Seton Hall- they beat Pirates 67-66 (-10) Jan 11, holding on after leading by 16 early in second half. Eagles are 1-4 on Big East road, with three losses by 12+, and only win at Georgetown- they're 1-4 as Big East underdog. Pirates lost three of four Big East home games, with only win versus DePaul. Big East home favorites of 6 or less points are 10-7 versus spread.


            •Wichita State (-11.5) beat Southern Illinois 82-67 in Carbondale Jan 2nd, shooting 70% inside arc, 9-20 outside it; Shockers won four of last five series games, winning last two here by 43-6 points. MVC double digit home favorites are 6-5 versus spread. Wichita is 4-2 as MVC home favorite but covered one of last four games overall. Salukis won/covered last four games- they're 4-1-1 versus spread in last six games as an underdog.


            •Ohio State won eight of last ten games with Michigan, winning last nine in Columbus, with eight of nine wins by 9+ points, but three of last four in series were decided by 5 or less points. Big Dozen home favorites of less than 6 points are 7-10 versus spread. Michigan lost last two road games, at Indiana/Iowa; they're 3-1 as road underdogs. Ohio State won three in row after losing five of previous six- they're 2-3 as home favorites.


            •Butler is 1-4 at home in Big East, with only win over Marquette in OT; four of those five games went OT. Xavier (-5.5) beat Bulldogs 79-68 Jan 4, making 20-24 on line, with a +7 (15-8) turnover ratio; Musketeers are 1-3 on Big East road, losing by 6-9-23 points, with only win at DePaul; they've lost three of last four overall, losing by 9-8-23 points. Big East home teams are 6-3 versus spread if spread was 3 or less points.


            •Utah State (-6.5) beat Colorado State 57-50 Jan 15, making 11-21 on arc, just 8-27 inside it; Rams were only 11-20 on foul line. Aggies are 0-5 on Mountain West road, 1-2 as road dogs, losing away games by 1-8-4-20-17 points. Rams covered four of last five games, are 2-1 as home favorites, winning by 19-6-18 points, with only losses to Aztecs/Lobos, top two teams. MW home favorites of 5 or less points are 8-3 versus spread.


            •San Diego State won six of last seven games with Wyoming, splitting its last six visits here; Aztecs are 10-0 in league, 3-1 as road favorites, with three of last four road wins by 7 or less points. Five of last six Wyoming games were decided by 7 or less points; Cowboys won three of four at home in MW, with only loss by 3 to New Mexico. Mountain West home underdogs of 6 or less points are 5-9 versus spread.


            •Situational Trends of The Day
            -- UTAH ST is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.
            The average score was UTAH ST 71.3, OPPONENT 62.7.


            -- SAN DIEGO ST is 13-2 UNDER (+10.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
            The average score was SAN DIEGO ST 72.1, OPPONENT 56.6.


            -- WICHITA ST is 10-1 (+8.9 Units) against the 1rst half line after 2 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.
            The average score was WICHITA ST 33.6, OPPONENT 26.7.


            -- OHIO ST is 20-4 UNDER (+15.6 Units) the 1rst half total after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons.
            The average score was OHIO ST 29.8, OPPONENT 28.1.


            -- ANTHONY GRANT is 12-1 UNDER (+10.9 Units) after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better as the coach of ALABAMA.
            The average score was GRANT 58.5, OPPONENT 54.8.


            •Matchup Trends of The Day
            -- WYOMING is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus excellent foul drawing teams - attempting >=28 free throws/game since 1997.
            The average score was WYOMING 75.5, OPPONENT 71.8.


            -- NOTRE DAME is 11-1 UNDER (+9.9 Units) versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.
            The average score was NOTRE DAME 64.5, OPPONENT 61.7.


            -- TENNESSEE is 14-3 (+10.7 Units) against the 1rst half line versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons.
            The average score was TENNESSEE 34.5, OPPONENT 29.5.


            -- NOTRE DAME is 11-1 UNDER (+9.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.
            The average score was NOTRE DAME 28.9, OPPONENT 30.4.


            -- JEFF BZDELIK is 4-19 ATS (-16.9 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games as the coach of WAKE FOREST.
            The average score was BZDELIK 60.3, OPPONENT 76.8.


            •Situation Analysis of The Day
            -- Play On - Road teams as an underdog or pick (OKLAHOMA ST) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games.
            (35-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (79.5%, +25.1 units. Rating = 3*)


            The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (15-31 over the last 5 seasons.)
            The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 10
            The average score in these games was: Team 64.1, Opponent 69.1 (Average point differential = -5)
            The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 18 (39.1% of all games.)


            The situation's record this season is: (4-0).
            Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-5).
            Since 1997 the situation's record is: (58-30).


            -- Play Against - A road team (SAN DIEGO ST) - excellent defensive team (<=40%) against a good defensive team (40-42.5%) after 15+ games, after 2 straight games making 50% of their shots or better.
            (34-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (79.1%, +24.1 units. Rating = 3*)


            The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (27-17 over the last 5 seasons.)
            The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.8
            The average score in these games was: Team 69.7, Opponent 65.8 (Average point differential = +3.9)
            The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 13 (30.2% of all games.)


            The situation's record this season is: (3-0).
            Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-5).
            Since 1997 the situation's record is: (67-49).


            -- Play On - Home underdogs versus the 1rst half line (WYOMING) - good defensive team (40-42.5%) against an excellent defensive team (<=40%), after having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a team with a winning record.
            (92-46 over the last 5 seasons.) (66.7%, +41.4 units. Rating = 3*)


            The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 2
            The average first half score in these games was: Team 32, Opponent 32.1 (Average first half point differential = -0.1)


            The situation's record this season is: (11-5).
            Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (61-21).
            Since 1997 the situation's record is: (254-203).


            -- Play On - Home underdogs versus the 1rst half line (TENNESSEE) - excellent ball handling team - committing <=12 turnovers/game, after a cover as a double digit favorite against opponent off 3 or more consecutive home wins.
            (27-8 since 1997.) (77.1%, +18.2 units. Rating = 2*)


            The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 2.3
            The average first half score in these games was: Team 32.7, Opponent 32.2 (Average first half point differential = +0.4)


            The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
            Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (5-4).
            Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (9-5).
            ___________________________________________


            Tuesday's Match-ups


            #515 OKLAHOMA ST @ #516 TEXAS
            (TV: 7:00 PM EST, ESPN2 - Line: Texas -3.5, Total: N/A) - Struggling Oklahoma State will be without suspended guard Marcus Smart when it visits No. 19 Texas on Tuesday. Smart was suspended for three games for shoving a fan during the final seconds of a loss to Texas Tech on Saturday – a defeat that was the fourth straight and fifth in six games for a team billed as a Final Four contender. The Longhorns reside in second place in the Big 12 and will be looking to rebound from a 74-57 loss to Kansas State.


            Smart apologized for his actions in a Sunday press conference, saying in part: “This is a lesson I’ll have to learn from. The consequences that are coming with it, I’m taking full responsibility. No finger pointing. This is all upon me.” Texas had a seven-game winning streak snapped with the loss to Kansas State and lost to the Cowboys 87-74 earlier this season when Smart had 24 points, 11 rebounds, six steals and five assists.


            •ABOUT OKLAHOMA STATE (16-7 SU, 8-11-0 ATS, 4-6 Big 12): Losing Smart’s production (17.5 points, 4.3 assists, 53 steals) is a mighty blow and players like guard Markel Brown (16.6) and forward Le’Bryan Nash (14.5) will be asked to be even bigger contributors. Sharpshooter Phil Forte (12.3) has made a team-best 64 3-pointers and his ability to stretch the defense becomes more crucial without an athletic penetrator like Smart. Oklahoma State scored a season-worst 61 points in the loss to Texas Tech, well below its season average of 82.8.


            •ABOUT TEXAS (18-5 SU, 10-10-0 ATS, 7-3 Big 12): Leading scorer Jonathan Holmes (13.1) will be a game-time decision after injuring his right knee in the loss to Kansas State. Holmes played only nine minutes in the defeat and underwent an MRI exam on Sunday. The junior forward was playing well before the injury – he averaged 21 points in his previous two games – and also had a double-double with 10 points and 12 rebounds in the first meeting against Oklahoma State.


            •PREGAME NOTES: Oklahoma State has won the last four meetings and Brown scored a season-best 27 points in last month’s victory.... Texas G Isaiah Taylor (12.3) is averaging 19.5 points over the last four games, including outings of 27 points against Baylor and 23 versus Kansas.... Nash had just two points on 1-of-5 shooting in the earlier contest against Texas.... The Cowboys are 5-14 versus the spread when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last two seasons, including 2-10 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games.


            StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.


            --In 1000 simulated games, OKLAHOMA ST covered the spread 712 times, while TEXAS covered the spread 288 times. *EDGE against the spread =OKLAHOMA ST. In 1000 simulated games, OKLAHOMA ST won the game straight up 603 times, while TEXAS won 368 times. In 1000 simulated games, OKLAHOMA ST covered the first half line 643 times, while TEXAS covered the first half line 315 times. *EDGE against first half line =OKLAHOMA ST.


            •HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
            --TEXAS is 19-17 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA ST since 1997.
            --TEXAS is 24-15 straight up against OKLAHOMA ST since 1997.
            --18 of 30 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997.


            --OKLAHOMA ST is 20-19 versus the first half line when playing against TEXAS since 1997.
            --15 of 29 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.


            --Cowboys are 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
            --Cowboys are 3-7-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Texas.


            --Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
            --Under is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings in Texas.


            --Favorite is 8-2-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings.


            •RECENT TRENDS
            --OKST is 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games.
            --OKST is 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 Tue. games.
            --Over is 5-1 in OKST last 6 vs. Big 12.


            --Under is 4-1 in TEX last 5 vs. Big 12.
            --Under is 8-2 in TEX last 10 Tue. games.
            --Over is 12-5 in TEX last 17 home games.
            _______________________________


            #517 CLEMSON @ #518 NOTRE DAME
            (TV: 7:00 PM EST, RSN - Line: Notre Dame -4.5, Total: N/A) - In its first game in the Atlantic Coast Conference, Notre Dame knocked off nationally-ranked Duke in front of its home crowd, setting up high expectations for coach Mike Brey's team. Unfortunately, those expectations have yet to be met, as the Irish have struggled to a 3-7 league record since that victory, including going 2-3 at Purcell Pavilion. Things don't get easier with Clemson coming to town Tuesday, as the Tigers have a 6-4 mark in league play and come off a tough loss to Syracuse on Sunday.


            Clemson likes to slow the game down, running a very methodical offense and holding opponents to a league-low 55.1 points a game. The Tigers allow opponents to shoot just 38.1 percent from the field, also tops in the ACC. Notre Dame's offense, which averages 73.9 points but has struggled during conference play, needs to be at its best for the Irish to snap their two-game losing streak.


            •ABOUT CLEMSON (15-7 SU, 10-7-0 ATS, 6-4 ACC): As good as the Tigers' defense has been this season, their offense has been inconsistent at best. Clemson has scored fewer than 50 points in four of its last nine games, but coach Brad Brownell knows he can't alter his team's personality overnight. “We're not the kind of team that's going to be able to just all of a sudden change,” Brownell told the Greenville News. “This is who we are, so we've got to get eight from this guy and nine from this guy and 10 from this guy and eight from this guy, and (leading scorer) K.J. (McDaniels) has got to give us his 16 or 18. That's just who we are and probably how we're going to have to play.”


            •ABOUT NOTRE DAME (12-12 SU, 7-14-1 ATS, 3-8 ACC): One of the biggest problems for the Irish is rebounding. Notre Dame ranks 12th in the ACC with 35.2 boards per game, and 6-5 swingman Pat Connaughton is nearly the team's top man on the boards with 7.5 a contest. “I don't know if he should be our leading rebounder all the time,” Brey told the South Bend Tribune after Connaughton had 10 against North Carolina Saturday while four Notre Dame big men combined for 12. “I love that he gets double-figure rebounds, but we could use some more out of some of these other guys on the backboard.”


            •PREGAME NOTES: Despite their deficiencies on the glass, the Irish have two of the top six board men in the ACC in Garrick Sherman (7.9) and Connaughton.... The Tigers are trying to win a road game on one day's rest for the first time since beating North Carolina State in 2008.... This is the first meeting between the two schools in basketball. A Clemson win would make the Tigers only the second team in history to win its first football and basketball games at Notre Dame.... The Fighting Irish are 0-6 against the spread versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing less than 14 turnovers/game after 15+ games this season.


            StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.


            --In 1000 simulated games, NOTRE DAME covered the spread 527 times, while CLEMSON covered the spread 473 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, NOTRE DAME won the game straight up 627 times, while CLEMSON won 348 times. In 1000 simulated games, CLEMSON covered the first half line 513 times, while NOTRE DAME covered the first half line 487 times. *No EDGE.


            •HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
            All games in this series since 1997: There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


            •RECENT TRENDS
            --CLEM is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Tuesday games.
            --CLEM is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Atlantic Coast.
            --Under is 5-2 in CLEM last 7 vs. Atlantic Coast.


            --ND is 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 home games.
            --ND is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
            --Under is 4-1 in ND last 5 vs. Atlantic Coast.
            _______________________________


            #519 WAKE FOREST @ #520 N CAROLINA ST
            (TV: 7:00 PM EST, ESPNU - Line: N Carolina State -5.5, Total: N/A) - T.J. Warren continues showing why he belongs in the discussion of top player in the ACC, and as his North Carolina State squad prepares to host Wake Forest on Tuesday, the sophomore forward looks to continue a strong season that has him on top of the conference in scoring. Warren recorded 19 of his 27 points in the second half to help the Wolfpack survive against stubborn Miami on Saturday, his sixth consecutive game of 20-plus points and the fifth time in six contests Warren has made at least half of his field-goal attempts. Wake Forest has not played since an 83-63 loss at Duke on Feb. 4, the first of a five-game stretch in which the Demon Deacons play four times away from home.


            Wake Forest has dropped to 10th in the conference standings thanks to a three-game losing streak. Leading scorer Codi Miller-McIntyre did not play against Duke due to a sprained right ankle, but is expected to return to the lineup against the Wolfpack. N.C. State comes in having won four of its past five contests, and a victory would be beneficial given the Wolfpack play four of their next six on the road, including trips to top-ranked Syracuse and Pittsburgh.


            •ABOUT WAKE FOREST (14-9 SU, 9-10-0 ATS, 4-6 ACC): Sophomore Devin Thomas ranks second in the ACC in rebounding at eight boards per contest, and is second to Miller-McIntyre on the Demon Deacons in scoring at 11.4. Arnaud William Adala Moto recorded his second double-double of the season against Duke, scoring 10 points with 10 rebounds. Miller-McIntyre, who missed the second half of Wake Forest’s loss to Georgia Tech before sitting out the Duke game, averages 14.4 points and ranks in the top 10 in the ACC in field-goal percentage, assists and assists-to-turnover ratio.


            •ABOUT N.C. STATE (15-8 SU, 9-10-1 ATS, 5-5 ACC): Warren has been fantastic for the Wolfpack, averaging 22.6 points while shooting 51.7 percent from the field. Ralston Turner gave N.C. State 16 first-half points against Miami, but only tallied one field goal in the second half as Warren shouldered the bulk of the scoring load. Anthony Barber is seventh in the league in assists at four per contest.


            •PREGAME NOTES: Wake Forest G Coron Williams had not committed a turnover in 221 minutes of ACC play until the Duke game.... The contest features two of the bottom three 3-point shooting teams in the league: Wake Forest is 13th at 31.5 percent; N.C. State is last at 29.2 percent.... The Wolfpack lead the all-time series 137-101, and have met at least twice a season since 1915-16.... Wake Forest is 1-9 versus the spread when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last two seasons.... NC State is 0-7 against the spread after covering two of their last three against the spread this season.


            StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.


            --In 1000 simulated games, WAKE FOREST covered the spread 508 times, while NC STATE covered the spread 492 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, NC STATE won the game straight up 641 times, while WAKE FOREST won 326 times. In 1000 simulated games, WAKE FOREST covered the first half line 479 times, while NC STATE covered the first half line 467 times. *No EDGE.


            •HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
            --NC STATE is 22-16 against the spread versus WAKE FOREST since 1997.
            --WAKE FOREST is 20-18 straight up against NC STATE since 1997.
            --16 of 30 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997.


            -NC STATE is 19-19 versus the first half line when playing against WAKE FOREST since 1997.
            -16 of 30 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.


            --Underdog is 15-7 ATS in the last 22 meetings.
            --Demon Deacons are 6-18 ATS in the last 24 meetings.
            --Demon Deacons are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in N.C. State.


            •RECENT TRENDS
            --WAKE is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games.
            --WAKE is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. Atlantic Coast.
            --Over is 4-1 in WAKE last 5 Tuesday games.


            --NCST is 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 home games.
            --NCST is 0-5-1 ATS L6 games following a ATS win.
            --Over is 5-1 in NCST last 6 games following a ATS win.
            _______________________________


            #521 FLORIDA @ #522 TENNESSEE
            (TV: 7:00 PM EST, ESPN - Line: Florida -1, Total: N/A) - Florida is coasting through SEC play and will carry a 15-game winning streak into Tuesday's visit to Tennessee. The No. 4 Gators own one of the top scoring defenses in the country and snapped a string of six straight games scoring in the 60s with a 78-69 triumph over Alabama on Saturday. The Volunteers are one of a few teams in the SEC looking for a signature win and could get one against Florida.


            Tennessee has won three of its last four games but was stymied by the Gators in a 67-41 loss Jan. 25. The 41 points were 17 less that the Volunteers’ previous season low, and they have put up an average of 73.5 points in the four games since. Florida showed how efficient it could be on offense by shooting 62 percent from the field Saturday, led by Scottie Wilbekin’s 16 points on 5-of-7 shooting. Tennessee is coming off a strong effort in a 72-53 win over South Carolina.


            •ABOUT FLORIDA (21-2 SU, 9-9-1 ATS, 10-0 SEC): The Gators are known for their defense but set a blistering pace offensively against Alabama, with the starters combining to shoot 67.5 percent from the field. Casey Prather went 7-for-11 in 33 minutes as he works his way back from an ankle injury that sapped some of his scoring prowess last week. The senior forward totaled 12 points in the previous two games and was limited to 21 minutes in each of those contests. Prather went 5-for-7 from the field in the first meeting with the Volunteers while the Florida defense limited them to 26.8 percent shooting.


            •ABOUT TENNESSEE (15-8 SU, 13-8-0 ATS, 6-4 SEC): The Volunteers are tied for fourth place in the SEC, one game behind third-place Mississippi and two back of Kentucky. Tennessee has yet to provide the NCAA Tournament selection committee with overwhelming evidence that it belongs in the field of 68, but a home win over Florida could certainly raise some eyebrows. In order for that to happen, the Volunteers will need to figure out how to get leading scorer Jordan McRae through the Gators' defense. The senior guard, who averages 19.3 points, was held to a season-low five on 1-of-15 shooting in the first meeting.


            •PREGAME NOTES: McRae is averaging 23 points in the four games since being shut down by the Gators.... Tennessee earned a 64-58 home victory over a top-10 Florida team last season behind 27 points from McRae.... The Gators are beginning a stretch of five of seven games on the road, including a trip to Kentucky on Saturday.... The Volunteers are 14-3 against the spread versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last two seasons.... Florida is 12-3 versus the spread off 2 no-covers where the team won straight up as a favorite since 1997.


            StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.


            --In 1000 simulated games, TENNESSEE covered the spread 522 times, while FLORIDA covered the spread 456 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, TENNESSEE won the game straight up 478 times, while FLORIDA won 478 times. In 1000 simulated games, TENNESSEE covered the first half line 523 times, while FLORIDA covered the first half line 477 times. *No EDGE.


            •HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
            --TENNESSEE is 18-14 against the spread versus FLORIDA since 1997.
            --TENNESSEE is 18-15 straight up against FLORIDA since 1997.
            --14 of 28 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997.


            --TENNESSEE is 16-15 versus the first half line when playing against FLORIDA since 1997.
            --16 of 28 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.


            --Gators are 8-17 ATS in the last 25 meetings.
            --Gators are 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings in Tennessee.
            --Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Tennessee.


            --Underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
            --Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.


            •RECENT TRENDS
            --Under is 7-1 in FLA last 8 Tue. games.
            --Under is 23-8-1 in FLA last 32 overall.
            --Under is 15-5-1 in FLA last 21 vs. Southeastern.


            --TENN is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
            --TENN is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
            --TENN is 16-5 ATS in their last 21 vs. Southeastern.
            _______________________________


            #523 MARQUETTE @ #524 SETON HALL
            (TV: 7:00 PM EST, Fox Sports 1 - Line: Seton Hall -2, Total: N/A) - Marquette will look to win consecutive games for the first time in nearly two months when it visits Seton Hall on Tuesday in a Big East Conference matchup. The Golden Eagles' streak of eight consecutive NCAA Tournament appearances is in jeopardy after alternating wins and losses in 12 games since posting back-to-back victories Dec. 14 and Dec. 17. Marquette nearly squandered a 16-point second-half lead before holding on for a 67-66 victory over the visiting Pirates exactly one month ago.


            Seton Hall is kicking off a three-game homestand but it has actually played better on the road, earning three of its four conference wins away from home. That was not the case in a lopsided loss at No. 6 Villanova on Saturday, when the Pirates scored a season-low 53 points to deny their bid for back-to-back wins for the first time since a three-game run to close out December. Seton Hall has lost 12 of 14 all-time meetings to the Golden Eagles - the last win coming at Marquette in March 2011.


            •ABOUT MARQUETTE (13-10 SU, 8-12-1 ATS, 5-5 Big East): Coach Buzz Williams continues to search for a consistent starting unit, fielding his sixth different lineup in a 69-62 victory over Butler on Feb. 4. Todd Mayo supplied a spark off the bench, scoring all 17 points in the second half to bounce back from a zero-point, four-turnover struggle in his previous outing. Jamil Wilson, who is second to Davante Gardner in scoring (11.5 points) and rebounding (5.3), had his only double-double of the season in last month's meeting versus the Pirates with 16 points and 11 boards.


            •ABOUT SETON HALL (13-10 SU, 11-11-0 ATS, 4-6 Big East): Fuquan Edwin was battling a knee injury in the previous matchup with Marquette and was limited to seven points, but returned to the starting lineup and averaged 20.8 points in a five-game span before being held to eight points at Villanova. Brian Oliver had a team-high 15 points against the Golden Eagles, but has been in an offensive tailspin, averaging six points over the past three games. Burly forward Gene Teague did not play against Marquette last month and Seton Hall will need his big body to go against Gardner and Wilson inside.


            •PREGAME NOTES: Marquette allows a Big East-low 65 points, but also ranks last in the conference in scoring (70.4).... Edwin's 275 career steals are second to Ohio State's Aaron Craft (307) among the NCAA's career list among active players.... Williams (135-64) will be coaching his 200th career game at Marquette.... Seton Hall is 1-9 versus the spread in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last two seasons.... Marquette is 31-15 against the spread in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3-point shots/game on the season since 1997.


            StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.


            --In 1000 simulated games, SETON HALL covered the spread 520 times, while MARQUETTE covered the spread 446 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, SETON HALL won the game straight up 587 times, while MARQUETTE won 376 times. In 1000 simulated games, SETON HALL covered the first half line 502 times, while MARQUETTE covered the first half line 452 times. *No EDGE.


            •HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
            --SETON HALL is 6-6 against the spread versus MARQUETTE since 1997.
            --MARQUETTE is 12-1 straight up against SETON HALL since 1997.
            --7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997.


            --SETON HALL is 6-6 versus the first half line when playing against MARQUETTE since 1997.
            --6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.


            --Golden Eagles are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
            --Golden Eagles are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Seton Hall.
            --Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.


            --Road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.


            •RECENT TRENDS
            --MARQ is 2-11-1 ATS in their last 14 vs. Big East.
            --MARQ is 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
            --Over is 8-3-1 in MARQ last 12 road games.


            --HALL is 11-3 ATS in their last 14 Tue. games.
            --HALL is 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 home games.
            --Under is 6-2 in HALL last 8 Tue. games.
            _______________________________


            #525 S ILLINOIS @ #526 WICHITA ST
            (TV: 8:00 PM EST, WSIU (Southern Illinois), KS 22 (Wichita) - Line: Wichita State -17, Total: N/A) - Second-ranked Wichita State tries to become the first 26-0 team since Memphis in 2007-08 when it hosts Southern Illinois on Tuesday, and hopes to avoid some of the drama that accompanied Saturday's 82-73 victory at Northern Iowa. The Shockers received a pair of scares when their top two players - senior forward Cleanthony Early (team bests of 16.3 points and 6.2 rebounds per game) and sophomore point guard Fred VanVleet (12 points, team-best 5.2 assists) - left the game. Early injured his shoulder in the opening minute and appeared to be in great discomfort while VanVleet twisted his knee in the second half, but both quickly returned.


            While the pressure builds on Wichita State as it seeks to become the first team to go undefeated since Indiana went 32-0 in 1976, VanVleet is taking it in stride. "Twenty-five games in, it comes with the territory. We've been through it every game. Everybody wants to knock you off," VanVleet told reporters. Southern Illinois, which lost to the Shockers 82-67 on Jan. 2, has won four straight games by an average of 14.5 points after a 72-54 victory over Missouri State on Saturday.


            •ABOUT SOUTHERN ILLINOIS (10-15 SU, 11-12-0 ATS, 6-6 Missouri Valley Conference): Sophomore guard Anthony Beane (13 points per game) has been the driving force behind the win streak, averaging 23.8 points and prompting coach Barry Hinson to tell reporters: "Number 25 is playing pretty good right now." The Salukis are led in scoring by senior guard Desmar Jackson, who averages 19.7 points and shoots 48.9 percent from the field. Southern Illinois typically plays a 2-3 zone but allowed its second-fewest points of the season against Missouri State by utilizing a man-to-man defense, a move that if repeated could hinder Wichita State's sharpshooters.


            •ABOUT WICHITA STATE (25-0 SU, 16-5-1 ATS, 12-0 Missouri Valley Conference): While Early and VanVleet receive most of the attention, junior guard Tekele Cotton (9.9 points per game) - known more for his slashing style - has re-emerged as an outside shooting threat. “He was great; he was confident,” coach Gregg Marshall told The Wichita Eagle about Cotton, who scored 18 points against Northern Iowa and is averaging 14.7 points in his last three contests while going 8-for-14 from 3-point range. “People aren’t playing him, they’re backing off. We want him to shoot the ball.” Sophomore guard Ron Baker (12.6 points) is 2-for-15 from beyond the arc in his last three games.


            •PREGAME NOTES: The Shockers are ninth in the country in rebounding margin at plus-8.4 and average 39.6 boards compared to the Salukis' 32.8.... Beane on Monday became the first back-to-back winner of the MVC Player of the Week award this season.... Wichita State and No. 1 Syracuse (23-0) are the only undefeated teams in the country.... Southern Illinois is 9-1 versus the spread revenging a same season loss versus opponent over the last two seasons.... The Shockers are 14-5 against the spread versus good shooting teams - making more than 45% of their shots after 15+ games over the last two seasons.


            StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.


            --In 1000 simulated games, S ILLINOIS covered the spread 548 times, while WICHITA ST covered the spread 421 times. *EDGE against the spread =S ILLINOIS. In 1000 simulated games, WICHITA ST won the game straight up 865 times, while S ILLINOIS won 119 times. In 1000 simulated games, S ILLINOIS covered the first half line 627 times, while WICHITA ST covered the first half line 373 times. *EDGE against first half line =S ILLINOIS.


            •HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
            --S ILLINOIS is 21-10 against the spread versus WICHITA ST since 1997.
            --S ILLINOIS is 21-12 straight up against WICHITA ST since 1997.
            --9 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997.


            --S ILLINOIS is 21-11 versus the first half line when playing against WICHITA ST since 1997.
            --9 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.


            --Salukis are 17-5 ATS in the last 22 meetings.
            --Salukis are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Wichita St.
            --Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.


            •RECENT TRENDS
            --SIU is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games.
            --SIU is 21-8 ATS in their last 29 Tue. games.
            --Under is 5-1 in SIU last 6 road games.


            --WICH is 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 home games.
            --Under is 9-2 in WICH last 11 Tue. games.
            --Under is 35-16 in WICH last 51 home games.
            _______________________________


            #527 MICHIGAN @ #528 OHIO ST
            (TV: 9:00 PM EST, ESPN - Line: Ohio State -3.5, Total: N/A) - Ohio State attempts to continue its recent turnaround and No. 18 Michigan seeks to rebound from a bad loss when the No. 20 Buckeyes visit the Wolverines in Big Ten play on Tuesday. Ohio State has strung together three straight victories after a stretch during which it lost five of six games and is tied for fourth place in the conference. Michigan is tied for first with Michigan State but never was in the contest while being routed 85-67 by Iowa on Saturday.


            Buckeyes point guard Aaron Craft was named Big Ten Player of the Week after helping lead the resurgence, but coach Thad Matta remains cautious after the January plunge. “You like to feel good, but right now one bad segment can cost you the game,” Matta said after Saturday’s win over Purdue. “I hope our guys are feeling better about what we’re doing, why were doing it and how we’re doing it.” The Wolverines’ margin of defeat against Iowa was their largest since also losing by 18 to Wisconsin during the 2009-10 campaign.


            •ABOUT MICHIGAN (17-6 SU, 11-9-1 ATS, 9-2 Big Ten): Guard Caris LeVert has been the squad’s most reliable player of late with five straight double-digit performances to raise his season mark to 12.6, third on the team behind guard Nik Stauskas (17) and forward Glenn Robinson III (13.1). LeVert is averaging 16.2 points and 6.8 rebounds during the stretch, and his 22-point effort against Iowa was his fifth 20-point outing of the campaign. Backup guard Zak Irvin (7.5) also is playing well as he knocked down four 3-pointers in each of the last two games while averaging 17.5 points.


            •ABOUT OHIO STATE (19-5 SU, 12-11-0 ATS, 6-5 Big Ten): Guard Lenzelle Smith Jr. made four 3-pointers while scoring 16 points against Purdue and has made 14 of his team-best 41 3-pointers over the last six games. He ranks second on the squad in scoring (12) behind forward LaQuinton Ross (14.2), and the Buckeyes are 7-0 this season when he makes three or more 3-pointers. “It feels great because if I can show my team I can make 3-pointers, I know they are going to look for me,” Smith said. “I don’t have to worry about anything but getting my feet set and shooting the ball.”


            •PREGAME NOTES: Ohio State has won eight of the last 10 meetings.... Stauskas is averaging just 8.3 points on 5-of-15 shooting over the last three games.... Craft ranks seventh all-time in Big Ten history with 646 career assists after passing former Michigan State star Scott Skiles on Saturday.... The Wolverines are 15-5 versus the spread after one or more consecutive losses over the last three seasons.... The Buckeyes are 11-3 against the spread after four straight games committing 14 or less turnovers this season.


            StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.


            --In 1000 simulated games, MICHIGAN covered the spread 511 times, while OHIO ST covered the spread 489 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, OHIO ST won the game straight up 579 times, while MICHIGAN won 383 times. In 1000 simulated games, MICHIGAN covered the first half line 497 times, while OHIO ST covered the first half line 454 times. *No EDGE.


            •HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
            --OHIO ST is 18-16 against the spread versus MICHIGAN since 1997.
            --OHIO ST is 24-10 straight up against MICHIGAN since 1997.
            --15 of 28 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1997.


            --MICHIGAN is 20-12 versus the first half line when playing against OHIO ST since 1997.
            --15 of 28 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.


            --Underdog is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
            --Wolverines are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
            --Under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Ohio St.


            •RECENT TRENDS
            --MICH is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games.
            --Over is 18-7-1 in MICH last 26 road games.
            --Under is 5-2 in MICH L7 games following a ATS loss.


            --OSU is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Tuesday games.
            --OSU is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 vs. Big Ten.
            --Over is 4-0 in OSU last 4 Tuesday games.
            _______________________________


            #529 MISSISSIPPI @ #530 ALABAMA
            (TV: 9:00 PM EST, ESPNU - Line: Alabama -3.5, Total: N/A) - Mississippi sits one game out of second place in the Southeastern Conference but cannot afford a slip-up when it visits Alabama on Tuesday. The Rebels enhanced their NCAA Tournament hopes with a narrow home win over Missouri on Saturday, the school's first victory over a team with a top-50 RPI rating. It was the latest in a string of nail-biters for Ole Miss, which has gone 7-4 in games decided by five points or fewer and prevailed in its last three such contests.


            The Crimson Tide have dropped four in a row and six of their last seven games following Saturday's 78-69 setback at fourth-ranked Florida. Although offense has been an issue for much of the season, Alabama shot 55 percent Saturday, only to see the Gators connect on a scorching 62 percent of their shots to keep the Crimson Tide winless in 10 games away from home. The teams have split the series in 11 of the last 14 years, with Mississippi squeezing out a four-point home win in last season's only meeting.


            •ABOUT MISSISSIPPI (16-7 SU, 7-10-2 ATS, 7-3 SEC): The Rebels won for the sixth time in eight games behind 29 points from Marshall Henderson, who knocked down eight of the team's 14 3-pointers against Missouri. Henderson is averaging 23 points over his last four games to boost his season total to a team-high 19.6 and is joined in double figures by Jarvis Summers (17.6), who is shooting 50 percent both overall and from behind the arc. Sophomore guard Ladarius White is becoming a reliable third scoring option, tying his season high with 16 points Saturday and averaging 13 in his last three.


            •ABOUT ALABAMA (9-14 SU, 7-12-1 ATS, 3-7 SEC): Although the Crimson Tide failed to reach 60 points in three consecutive games, they shot 61 percent in the first half and had Florida on the ropes early but were unable to keep pace after intermission. Senior guard Trevor Releford is coming off his eighth 20-point effort of the season, scoring 25 to move into 10th place on the school's all-time list with 1,702 points. "This program can't do anything but go up," Releford told reporters. "It's just a process. Right now we're losing a game, but I feel as a team we're getting better."


            •PREGAME NOTES: Henderson has hit at least one 3-pointer in 56 straight games, the third-longest streak in SEC history.... Alabama is 70-10 at home against Ole Miss.... The Rebels are averaging 12 fewer points (68.2) on the road than at home (80.2).... The Crimson Tide are 15-6 against the spread versus good ball handling teams - committing less than 14 turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last two seasons.... Ole Miss is 58-36 versus the spread after one or more consecutive overs since 1997, including 46-27 ATS after scoring 80 points or more.


            StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.


            --In 1000 simulated games, OLE MISS covered the spread 545 times, while ALABAMA covered the spread 455 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, ALABAMA won the game straight up 548 times, while OLE MISS won 429 times. In 1000 simulated games, OLE MISS covered the first half line 503 times, while ALABAMA covered the first half line 442 times. *No EDGE.


            •HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
            --ALABAMA is 18-13 against the spread versus OLE MISS since 1997.
            --ALABAMA is 16-16 straight up against OLE MISS since 1997.
            --12 of 22 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997.


            --ALABAMA is 18-12 versus the first half line when playing against OLE MISS since 1997.
            --12 of 22 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.


            --Rebels are 4-10 ATS in the last 14 meetings in Alabama.
            --Over is 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings.
            --Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Alabama.


            --Underdog is 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings.


            •RECENT TRENDS
            --MISS is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
            --Over is 16-7 in MISS last 23 Tue. games.
            --Under is 9-4 in MISS last 13 road games.


            --ALA is 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.
            --ALA is 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
            --Over is 7-0 in ALA last 7 home games.
            _______________________________


            #531 XAVIER @ #532 BUTLER
            (TV: 9:00 PM EST, Fox Sports 1 - Line: Xavier -1, Total: N/A) - Xavier looks to remain in third place in the Big East standings when it begins a road-heavy stretch of the schedule at Butler on Tuesday. The Musketeers snapped a three-game slide with a 59-53 win over Providence on Saturday, getting 13 points apiece from Justin Martin and Matt Stainbrook. The visit to Hinkle Fieldhouse is one of four road games in the next five overall for Xavier, which is 1-3 away from home in conference play.


            The Bulldogs are coming off the latest in a series of close losses, dropping a 71-63 decision at Georgetown on Saturday. It marked the eighth time in 11 Big East matchups that Butler has had a game decided by single digits, but it is just 2-6 in those contests and faded a bit against the Hoyas after pulling within three midway through the second half and four in the final two minutes. The Bulldogs also swooned late in their first meeting with Xavier, building a seven-point second-half lead before the Musketeers stormed back for a 79-68 victory.


            •ABOUT XAVIER (16-7 SU, 13-8-0 ATS, 6-4 Big East): The Musketeers finished at a rare disadvantage on the boards in the win over Providence, just the second time in the last 13 games an opponent has gotten the better of them in that department. Stainbrook had nine rebounds and enters leading the Big East with an average of 9.5 boards in league play, just ahead of Butler's Kameron Woods. Guard Semaj Christon chipped in 12 points but has come down to earth a bit after a torrid five-game stretch during which he averaged 24 points on 66.2 percent shooting, a run that began with a 20-point, eight-assist effort versus the Bulldogs.


            •ABOUT BUTLER (12-11 SU, 10-10-1 ATS, 2-9 Big East): The Bulldogs have been held under 70 points eight straight times and rank near the bottom of the conference in several offensive categories, but the struggles on the other end of the court had coach Brandon Miller upset after the loss to Georgetown, which shot 53 percent in the second half. "It was our defense, we couldn't get a stop," Miller told reporters. Butler allowed Xavier's starting five to produce 71 points on 56.8 percent shooting in the initial encounter last month.


            •PREGAME NOTES: Butler leads the Big East in 3-point defense, limiting opponents to a 31.1 percent mark from beyond the arc, while Xavier ranks last at 40.9.... Since scoring in double figures in each of his first four Big East games, Musketeers G Dee Davis has averaged only 3.4 points on 29.6 percent shooting in his last five.... Xavier leads the all-time series between the former Midwestern Collegiate Conference and Atlantic-10 foes by a 31-17 margin.... The Musketeers are 10-1 against the spread off a home win this season, including 6-0 ATS after allowing 60 points or less.


            StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.


            --In 1000 simulated games, BUTLER covered the spread 511 times, while XAVIER covered the spread 462 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, XAVIER won the game straight up 489 times, while BUTLER won 478 times. In 1000 simulated games, BUTLER covered the first half line 526 times, while XAVIER covered the first half line 474 times. *No EDGE.


            •HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
            --XAVIER is 6-2 against the spread versus BUTLER since 1997.
            --XAVIER is 6-3 straight up against BUTLER since 1997.
            --5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997.


            --BUTLER is 5-4 versus the first half line when playing against XAVIER since 1997.
            --4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.


            --Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
            --Musketeers are 5-0-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.


            •RECENT TRENDS
            --XAV is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Big East.
            --XAV is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games.
            --Under is 5-0 in XAV last 5 Tuesday games.


            --BUT is 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. Big East.
            --BUT is 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
            --Over is 10-4 in BUT last 14 vs. Big East.
            _______________________________


            #535 SAN DIEGO ST @ #536 WYOMING
            (TV: 11:05 PM EST, ESPNU - San Diego State -4, Total: N/A) - Fifth-ranked San Diego State attempts to set a school record with its 21st consecutive victory when it visits Wyoming on Tuesday. The Aztecs have won 20 consecutive games since an early-season loss to Arizona to tie the mark of the 2010-11 squad led by Kawhi Leonard and are 10-0 in Mountain West play for the first time. Wyoming is in fifth place in the conference and looking for a turnaround after losing three of its last four games.


            San Diego State’s winning streak is the third-longest in the nation behind Wichita State (25) and Syracuse (23), and coach Steve Fisher is stunned that his squad has gone nearly three months without a loss. “I’m surprised that anybody can win 20 in a row, no matter what league they’re playing in,” Fisher said after Saturday’s victory over Nevada. “But the way we’ve played, the people we’ve beaten, I think all of us are going in expecting to win but knowing that life on the road will be very difficult. Sometimes you’ve got to be lucky, and we’ve been lucky a few times.”


            •ABOUT SAN DIEGO STATE (21-1 SU, 12-7-0 ATS, 10-0 Mountain West): Senior guard Xavier Thames (18.1 points) is on pace to be the Conference Player of the Year and swingman Winston Shepard also has emerged as a solid player. The sophomore is second on the squad in both scoring (12.9) and steals (24) and had 16 points against Nevada for his 16th double-digit performance of the season. “Sometimes I have tough nights, but my teammates always stay with me and have the ultimate confidence in me,” Shepard said after the win over the Wolf Pack. “I just try to keep playing.”


            •ABOUT WYOMING (14-9 SU, 13-6-1 ATS, 5-5 Mountain West): Forward Larry Nance Jr., the squad’s best player, tweaked a groin in Saturday’s loss to UNLV but is expected to play against the Aztecs. The Cowboys certainly need Nance (15.8 points, 8.9 rebounds and 49 blocked shots) on the court to have a shot at pulling off an upset. Guards Josh Adams (11.8) and Riley Grabau (11.1) are the only other players averaging in double digits for a team that produces 65.8 points.


            •PREGAME NOTES: The Aztecs have won six of the last seven meetings but are just 8-25 at Wyoming.... The Cowboys’ five conference losses are by a total of 18 points.... Thames is two away from becoming the 29th player to score 1,000 career points at San Diego State.... The Aztecs are 0-6 versus the spread in road games versus slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots/game over the last two seasons.... Wyoming is 7-1 against the spread versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season.


            StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.


            --In 1000 simulated games, WYOMING covered the spread 543 times, while SAN DIEGO ST covered the spread 419 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, SAN DIEGO ST won the game straight up 562 times, while WYOMING won 406 times. In 1000 simulated games, WYOMING covered the first half line 528 times, while SAN DIEGO ST covered the first half line 421 times. *No EDGE.


            •HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
            --SAN DIEGO ST is 16-14 against the spread versus WYOMING since 1997.
            --SAN DIEGO ST is 18-14 straight up against WYOMING since 1997.
            --13 of 21 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997.


            --SAN DIEGO ST is 17-14 versus the first half line when playing against WYOMING since 1997.
            --13 of 21 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1997.


            --Aztecs are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
            --Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
            --Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Wyoming.


            --Favorite is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
            --Home team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.


            •RECENT TRENDS
            --SDSU is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 Tue. games.
            --SDSU is 38-15-2 ATS in their last 55 road games.
            --Under is 20-6 in SDSU last 26 overall.


            --WYO is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games.
            --WYO is 13-6-1 ATS in their last 20 games overall.
            --Over is 5-0 in WYO last 5 Tuesday games.

            Comment


            • #7
              Re: Basketball Handicapping Info. 2/11/2014

              Game of the Day: Thunder at Trail Blazers
              Covers.com

              Oklahoma City Thunder at Portland Trail Blazers (-1.5, 212)

              Two of the league's best will square off in Portland Tuesday when the Oklahoma City Thunder come to town for a tilt with the Trail Blazers. Oklahoma City wraps up the first half with two road games and though NBA leading scorer Kevin Durant will be the Thunder's lone representative at All-Star Weekend, the team is right where it wants to be heading into the break. "My team is still winning," All-Star snub Serge Ibaka told The Oklahoman, adding, "Every time we win, it's making me dream big."

              Portland is just 3-3 in its last six games following a 7-2 stretch in January but the Blazers remain in the mix for the top spot in the Western Conference, currently seeded third and trailing Oklahoma City by four games entering play. By getting by a lift from its bench - led by a career best 19 points from rookie C.J. McCollum, against a Minnesota squad without its top weapons in Kevin Love and Kevin Martin on Saturday, Portland coach Terry Stotts has his squad fresh for a pair of tests this week against the Thunder and the Los Angeles Clippers to close out the first half. "We were really counting on our bench tonight because I really wanted to rest the starters," Stotts told The Oregonian.

              LINE HISTORY: Oddsmakers sent out a suggested line of Portland -2 and the Blazers are now at -1.5. The total is currently 211.5.

              POWER RANKINGS: Thunder (-14.5) - Trail Blazers (-10.0) - Home Court (-3.0) = Thunder -1.5

              INJURY WATCH: Thunder - Russel Westbrook (Out - Knee). Trail Blazers - Mo Williams (Ques - Personal)

              WHY BET OKLAHOMA CITY (41-12 SU, 31-22 ATS, 27-26 O/U): Durant's monster season continued against the Knicks Sunday, as he fell just a single assist shy of his third-triple double of the season, finishing with a game-high 41 points, 10 rebounds and nine helpers. "It would have been cool to stay in," Durant told reporters of coach Scott Brooks' decision to pull him with 1:24 to play. "But whatever. We won the basketball game. That's all that matters," he added.

              WHY BET PORTLAND (36-15 SU, 28-23 ATS, 32-18-1 O/U): Led by LaMarcus Aldridge's 24.1 points per game, all five starters for Portland average double figures, so a show like the one McCollum put on Saturday serves as an encouraging sign in terms of depth. "I feel more comfortable and confident every game," said the rookie, who also totaled a career-high 28 minutes. "(Against Minnesota), we showed that, when necessary, (Portland's reserves) can score and do some different things. It's just a product of opportunity," he added. Portland is 8-2 in its last 10 meetings with Oklahoma City, including a 2-1 mark this season.

              TRENDS:

              * Under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings.
              * Thunder are 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
              * Favorite is 16-5-1 ATS in the last 22 meetings.
              * Thunder are 3-1-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Portland.

              CONSENSUS: 53 percent of the wagers are on Oklahoma City at +1.5 .

              Comment


              • #8
                Re: Basketball Handicapping Info. 2/11/2014

                Best Big 10 Teams
                By Jim Feist
                Playbook.com

                A Big 10 representative hasn’t won college basketball ‘s national championship since 2000 (Michigan State), but Indiana got to the title game in 2002, as did Illinois (2005), Ohio State (2007), Michigan State (2009) and Michigan (2013), so they’ve been knocking on the door. Here’s a look at some of the best of the Big 10 with the March tournaments on the horizon.

                Michigan: Not a lot about Michigan you can look at and say, “Here’s where they can be exploited.” Michigan lost to mighty Arizona (72-70) and at No. 10 Duke, but has been dominant in Big 10 play. This team is a powerhouse on offense, 21st in the nation in shooting (.485%) behind 6-6 sophomore Glenn Robinson III (13.6 ppg, 5 rpg) and 6-6 sophomore Nik Stauskas (18.5 ppg).

                This offense is tops in free throws and field goal shooting and the they can play defense, too, third in points allowed in Big 10 play. They had three straight games last month against Top 10 teams, Wisconsin, Iowa and Michigan State, and won them all, 77-70, 75-67 and 80-75 — and two were on the road. The Wolverines are in the middle this week of their last tough stretch, facing four straight top 20 teams.

                Michigan State: You need frontcourt muscle in the Big 10 and the Spartans have it with 6-10 senior Adrian Payne (16 ppg, 7.7 rpg) and 6-6 junior Branden Dawson (10 ppg, 8.7 rpg). But it’s the backcourt that leads this balanced team in scoring with sophomore Gary Harris (18 ppg). They’ve had some injury trouble of late, but have an impressive resume against top 25 teams, knocking off Kentucky (78-74), Ohio State (72-68) and at Iowa (71-79 in OT). In the win at Iowa they won despite the Hawkeyes getting 43 free throw attempts to 20 of their own! They have a rematch with Michigan coming up, along with a season-ending schedule against Iowa and at Ohio State back-to-back.

                Iowa: Iowa is 7th in nation in scoring (84.5 ppg), and uptempo team with remarkable outside shooting range behind 6-6 senior point guard Roy Marble (16 ppg), 6-9 junior Aaron White (14 ppg) and 6-7 senior Melsahn Basabe. Nine of Iowa’s top 10 scorers are back from last season. But they’re not all offense, with the defense is third in the Big 10 in field goal shooting and three-point defense. It’s a challenging week for the Hawkeyes, playing three of four road games, including at Penn State and Indiana.

                Wisconsin: Bo Ryan’s club is often about slowing the pace down, but not this season. The Badgers are second in scoring in the Big 10 behind uptempo Iowa, while the scoring defense has slipped to 8th. Wisconsin has good balance with 6-8 sophomore Sam Dekker (14 ppg) and 7-foot junior Frank Kominsky (13 ppg, 6 rpg) up front, and senior guard Ben Burst (13 ppg) and junior Traevon Jackson (11 ppg). After a 16-0 start, the Badgers fell apart losing 4 of 5 despite being favored in all of them. The loss at home to Northwestern was hard to swallow, allowing 48% shooting while the offense shot (gulp) 26%! Perhaps they should get back to slowing things down?

                Minnesota: The Gophers aren’t winning with defense, last in the Big 10 in scoring defense. The offense is strong and balanced behind junior guard Andre Hollins (15.5 ppg) and senior guard Austin Hollins (11.7 ppg), while 6-11 junior Ellliott Eliason crashes the boards. Minnesota hasn’t played well when stepping up, losing an early non-conference showdown with Syracuse (75-67) in Maui, along with losses to Michigan State (87-75 in OT) and Iowa (94-73). None of those games were at home and last week they lost at Nebraska (82-78) allowing 50% shooing. The Gophers play 4 of their final 7 games on the road, three against Top 20 teams.

                Ohio State: The Buckeyes enjoyed a great season, rising to No. 3 in the nation…until Big 10 play started. From 15-0 to a stumbling run that culminated in a 71-70 OT loss at home to Penn State as 13-point chalk. Ouch. They have star power and defense, led by 6-8 junior LaQuinton Ross (14 ppg, 5.7 rpg), 6-11 junior Amir Williams (9 ppg, 6.5 rpg) and 6-4 senior Lenzelle Smith, Jr. (12 ppg). A mid-season slump by a talented group? Or a team losing its confidence?

                Comment


                • #9
                  Re: Basketball Handicapping Info. 2/11/2014

                  7:00 PM
                  SACRAMENTO vs. CLEVELAND
                  The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Sacramento's last 8 games
                  Sacramento is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games
                  Cleveland is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Sacramento
                  Cleveland is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games

                  7:00 PM
                  DALLAS vs. CHARLOTTE
                  Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                  Dallas is 17-1 SU in its last 18 games when playing Charlotte
                  The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 6 games at home
                  Charlotte is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Dallas

                  8:00 PM
                  WASHINGTON vs. MEMPHIS
                  Washington is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games on the road
                  Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Memphis
                  The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 6 games at home
                  The total has gone OVER in 8 of Memphis's last 12 games at home

                  8:00 PM
                  ATLANTA vs. CHICAGO
                  The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
                  Atlanta is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
                  The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games
                  The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Atlanta

                  9:00 PM
                  MIAMI vs. PHOENIX
                  Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
                  The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
                  Phoenix is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Miami
                  Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami

                  10:00 PM
                  OKLAHOMA CITY vs. PORTLAND
                  Oklahoma City is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Portland
                  Oklahoma City is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Portland
                  The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Portland's last 7 games when playing Oklahoma City
                  Portland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

                  10:30 PM
                  UTAH vs. LA LAKERS
                  The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games on the road
                  Utah is 3-20 SU in their last 23 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
                  LA Lakers are 20-3 SU in their last 23 games when playing at home against Utah
                  The total has gone OVER in 15 of the LA Lakers last 22 games when playing at home against Utah

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Re: Basketball Handicapping Info. 2/11/2014

                    StatFox Super Situations

                    MIAMI at PHOENIX
                    Play Under - Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team 52-22 over the last 5 seasons. ( 70.3% | 27.8 units ) 9-10 this year. ( 47.4% | -2.0 units )

                    DALLAS at CHARLOTTE
                    Play Against - Home underdogs vs. the money line (CHARLOTTE) off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, with a losing record 157-49 over the last 5 seasons. ( 76.2% | 62.0 units ) 16-6 this year. ( 72.7% | 4.8 units )

                    OKLAHOMA CITY at PORTLAND
                    Play On - Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (OKLAHOMA CITY) explosive offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more 2 straight games 129-72 since 1997. ( 64.2% | 49.8 units ) 13-9 this year. ( 59.1% | 3.1 units )

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Re: Basketball Handicapping Info. 2/11/2014

                      7:00 PM
                      CLEMSON vs. NOTRE DAME
                      Clemson is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games on the road
                      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Clemson's last 6 games on the road
                      Notre Dame is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games at home
                      Notre Dame is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home

                      7:00 PM
                      OKLAHOMA STATE vs. TEXAS
                      Oklahoma State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma State's last 7 games on the road
                      Texas is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Oklahoma State
                      The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Texas's last 12 games when playing at home against Oklahoma State

                      7:00 PM
                      MARQUETTE vs. SETON HALL
                      Marquette is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seton Hall
                      Marquette is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
                      Seton Hall is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games when playing Marquette
                      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seton Hall's last 6 games when playing Marquette

                      7:00 PM
                      WAKE FOREST vs. NORTH CAROLINA STATE
                      Wake Forest is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against North Carolina St
                      Wake Forest is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against North Carolina St
                      North Carolina State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Wake Forest
                      North Carolina State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Wake Forest

                      7:00 PM
                      FLORIDA vs. TENNESSEE
                      Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
                      Florida is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
                      Tennessee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Florida
                      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing at home against Florida

                      8:00 PM
                      SOUTHERN ILLINOIS vs. WICHITA STATE
                      Southern Illinois is 3-18 SU in its last 21 games on the road
                      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern Illinois's last 6 games on the road
                      Wichita State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Southern Illinois
                      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wichita State's last 5 games when playing Southern Illinois

                      9:00 PM
                      XAVIER vs. BUTLER
                      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Xavier's last 5 games on the road
                      Xavier is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games on the road
                      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Butler's last 6 games
                      Butler is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

                      9:00 PM
                      MISSISSIPPI vs. ALABAMA
                      Mississippi is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Alabama
                      Mississippi is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Alabama
                      The total has gone OVER in 8 of Alabama's last 10 games when playing Mississippi
                      Alabama is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Mississippi

                      9:00 PM
                      MICHIGAN vs. OHIO STATE
                      Michigan is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
                      Michigan is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
                      Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Michigan
                      The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Ohio State's last 8 games when playing at home against Michigan

                      9:15 PM
                      UTAH STATE vs. COLORADO STATE
                      Utah State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                      Utah State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
                      The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Colorado State's last 9 games
                      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado State's last 5 games at home

                      11:05 PM
                      SAN DIEGO STATE vs. WYOMING
                      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Diego State's last 8 games on the road
                      San Diego State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
                      Wyoming is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing San Diego State
                      Wyoming is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Diego State

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Re: Basketball Handicapping Info. 2/11/2014

                        StatFox Super Situations

                        S ILLINOIS at WICHITA ST
                        Play Against - Home favorites of 10 or more points (WICHITA ST) average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a poor 3PT shooting team (<=32%), good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defense (<=14.5 TO's) after 15+ games 201-120 since 1997. ( 62.6% | 69.0 units ) 16-12 this year. ( 57.1% | 2.8 units )

                        XAVIER at BUTLER
                        Play On - Road favorites vs. the money line (XAVIER) bad pressure defensive team - forcing <=12 turnovers/game, after a game committing 8 or less turnovers 107-34 since 1997. ( 75.9% | 46.9 units ) 22-16 this year. ( 57.9% | -11.8 units )

                        FLORIDA at TENNESSEE
                        Play Against - A home team vs. the 1rst half line (TENNESSEE) after scoring 45 points or more in the first half last game, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season 46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units ) 10-6 this year. ( 62.5% | 3.4 units )

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Re: Basketball Handicapping Info. 2/11/2014

                          Hoop Trends - Tuesday
                          By Vince Akins
                          VegasInsider.com

                          ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

                          The Hawks are 0-12 ATS (-9.75 ppg) since Apr 24, 2010 with two or more days of rest and a total under 200 after a game in which they were whistled for fewer than 15 personal fouls.

                          OU TREND OF THE DAY:

                          The Cavaliers are 0-10 OU (-9.15 ppg) since Feb 27, 2011 at home when seeking revenge for a loss in which they were out-rebounded by double-digits on the road.

                          PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:


                          The Jazz are 0-10 OU (-16.70 ppg) since Apr 15, 2013 after Gordon Hayward scored fewer than 10 points.

                          CHOICE TREND:

                          The Wizards are 0-12 ATS (-7.9 ppg) since Feb 28, 2009 as a road dog with at most one day of rest after a game at home in which they allowed less than 40% from the field.

                          ACTIVE TRENDS:

                          The Hawks are 8-0 OU (11.19 ppg) since Mar 17, 2013 on the road after Jeff Teague shot worse than 33% from the field.

                          The Wizards are 0-6 ATS (-10.00 ppg) since Nov 05, 2010 on the road after John Wall had at least 5 turnovers in a home win.

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                          • #14
                            Re: Basketball Handicapping Info. 2/11/2014

                            Today's NBA Picks

                            Sacramento at Cleveland

                            The Cavaliers (18-33) look for their third straight win tonight as they host a Sacramento team that is 0-3-1 ATS in its last 4 games against teams with a losing SU record. Cleveland is the pick (-1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Cavaliers favored by 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-1 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.
                            TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 11
                            Time Posted: 10:00 a.m. EST
                            Game 501-502: Sacramento at Cleveland (7:00 p.m. EST)
                            Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 114.825; Cleveland 119.541
                            Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 4 1/2; 209
                            Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 204
                            Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-1 1/2); Over
                            Game 503-504: Dallas at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
                            Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 118.044; Charlotte 122.858
                            Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 5; 190
                            Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 3 1/2; 197
                            Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+3 1/2); Under
                            Game 505-506: Atlanta at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
                            Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 117.667; Chicago 121.628
                            Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 4; 179
                            Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 2; 186
                            Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-2); Under
                            Game 507-508: Washington at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
                            Dunkel Ratings: Washington 119.184; Memphis 121.413
                            Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 2; 188
                            Vegas Line & Total: No Line
                            Dunkel Pick: N/A
                            Game 509-510: Miami at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
                            Dunkel Ratings: Miami 124.935; Phoenix 118.422
                            Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 6 1/2; 216
                            Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 4; 209
                            Dunkel Pick: Miami (-4); Over
                            Game 511-512: Oklahoma City at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
                            Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 126.253; Portland 122.707
                            Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 3 1/2; 202
                            Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 1; 210
                            Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+1); Under
                            Game 513-514: Utah at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST)
                            Dunkel Ratings: Utah 113.390; LA Lakers 116.235
                            Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 3; 194
                            Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 1 1/2; 201
                            Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-1 1/2); Under

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                            • #15
                              Re: Basketball Handicapping Info. 2/11/2014

                              NCAA Basketball Picks

                              Clemson at Notre Dame

                              The Irish look to snap a two-game losing streak tonight against a Clemson team that is coming off a 57-44 loss to Syracuse and is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games after scoring less than 50 points in the previous game. Notre Dame is the pick (-4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Irish favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-4 1/2). Here are all of today's games.
                              TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 11
                              Time Posted: 10:00 a.m. EST
                              Game 515-516: Oklahoma State at Texas (7:00 p.m. EST)
                              Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 66.485; Texas 77.120
                              Dunkel Line: Texas by 10 1/2
                              Vegas Line: Texas by 4
                              Dunkel Pick: Texas (-4)
                              Game 517-518: Clemson at Notre Dame (7:00 p.m. EST)
                              Dunkel Ratings: Clemson 60.189; Notre Dame 66.609
                              Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 6 1/2
                              Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 4 1/2
                              Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-4 1/2)
                              Game 519-520: Wake Forest at NC State (7:00 p.m. EST)
                              Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 58.628; NC State 66.616
                              Dunkel Line: NC State by 8; 145
                              Vegas Line: NC State by 5 1/2; 140
                              Dunkel Pick: NC State (-5 1/2); Over
                              Game 521-522: Florida at Tennessee (7:00 p.m. EST)
                              Dunkel Ratings: Florida 73.836; Tennessee 74.707
                              Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 1; 119
                              Vegas Line: Florida by 2; 127
                              Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (+2); Under
                              Game 523-524: Marquette at Seton Hall (7:00 p.m. EST)
                              Dunkel Ratings: Marquette 65.794; Seton Hall 64.965
                              Dunkel Line: Marquette by 1; 127
                              Vegas Line: Seton Hall by 2; 133 1/2
                              Dunkel Pick: Marquette (+2); Under
                              Game 525-526: Southern Illinois at Wichita State (8:00 p.m. EST)
                              Dunkel Ratings: Southern Illinois 58.167; Wichita State 72.701
                              Dunkel Line: Wichita State by 14 1/2
                              Vegas Line: Wichita State by 17
                              Dunkel Pick: Southern Illinois (+17)
                              Game 527-528: Michigan at Ohio State (9:00 p.m. EST)
                              Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 74.951; Ohio State 70.440
                              Dunkel Line: Michigan by 4 1/2; 124
                              Vegas Line: Ohio State by 4; 129 1/2
                              Dunkel Pick: Michigan (+4); Under
                              Game 529-530: Mississippi at Alabama (9:00 p.m. EST)
                              Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 60.171; Alabama 66.074
                              Dunkel Line: Alabama by 6; 144
                              Vegas Line: Alabama by 4; 139
                              Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-4); Over
                              Game 531-532: Xavier at Butler (9:00 p.m. EST)
                              Dunkel Ratings: Xavier 62.567; Butler 65.628
                              Dunkel Line: Butler by 3; 138
                              Vegas Line: Xavier by 1; 133 1/2
                              Dunkel Pick: Butler (+1); Over
                              Game 533-534: Utah State at Colorado State (9:15 p.m. EST)
                              Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 58.946; Colorado State 60.487
                              Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 1 1/2; 131
                              Vegas Line: Colorado State by 4 1/2; 137 1/2
                              Dunkel Pick: Utah State (+4); Under
                              Game 535-536: San Diego State at Wyoming (11:00 p.m. EST)
                              Dunkel Ratings: San Diego State 68.052; Wyoming 61.972
                              Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 6; 124
                              Vegas Line: San Diego State by 4; 118 1/2
                              Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (-4); Over

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