NBA Betting. 1/21

[TheGame]

NBA

Hot teams
-- Nets won seven of their last eight games (5-3 last eight HF).
-- Trailblazers won five of their last six games. Oklahoma City won four of their last five.
-- Jazz won four of their last five home games.

Cold Teams
-- Magic lost ten of their last eleven games (0-7 last seven AU).
-- Heat lost four of their last six games. Boston lost 11 of last 12 games, covered one of last four.
-- Kings lost three of last four games but covered five of last seven. New Orleans lost eight of last nine games, but covered four of last five.
-- Minnesota lost four of its last six games.

Series records
-- Nets won four of last five games with Orlando.
-- Heat won five of last seven games with Boston, but Celtics covered the last four meetings.
-- Pelicans won four of last five games with Sacramento.
--Thunder is 0-2 vs Portland this year, losing by 7-4 points.
-- Minnesota beat Jazz by 26 Saturday, its first win in last six games vs Utah.

Totals
-- 10 of last 11 Orlando road games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Miami games went over total. 14 of 21 Boston road games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six New Orleans games.
-- 15 of 21 Portland road games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Utah games went over the total.

[TheGame]

Re: NBA Betting. 1/21

This Week's Best NBA Spot Bet Opportunities
By Steve Merril
By Covers.com

Spot bets are classic handicapping practices that have proven profitable no matter what sport you’re betting. Whether it’s a team looking past this week’s opponent, one coming off a hard-fought victory, or a rough patch of schedule, bettors can find value picking their spots.

Letdown spot

Denver was in terrible form for the entire month of December. The Nuggets went 5-10 SU and ATS during the month. The first two weeks of January were strong, going 6-2 SU and 5-3 ATS, but the Nuggets have lost back-to-back games coming into Thursday’s game in Portland.

The Nuggets will have three full days of rest going into that game, and then they have Friday off before hosting Indiana Saturday night. That’s two Class-A teams in back-to-back games. On Sunday, the Nuggets will play at Sacramento, so Denver may not be too sharp after playing the Blazers and Pacers in their previous two contests.

Lookahead spot

Indiana began a five-game West Coast road trip at Golden State Monday night. The Pacers will play in Phoenix Wednesday, in Sacramento Friday, and then at Denver Saturday. In that sequence, Indiana will face just one bad team, and that’s the Kings.

Indiana just beat Sacramento 116-92 at home on January 14. That game was never close, as the Pacers led by as many as 29 points. After facing the Warriors and Suns, Indiana will play the Kings on the first night of a back-to-back set before playing in the thin air and altitude of Denver. The Pacers will be looking ahead to the Nuggets, especially since they just crushed the Kings by 24 points in their previous meeting.

Schedule spot

The Utah Jazz have had a miserable season, but they will be in a terrific scheduling spot Saturday, January 25. Utah is hosting the Washington Wizards that night, and the setup couldn’t be any better for the Jazz.

Utah will be coming into that game with a full three days of rest. It will also be just its second game in seven days after hosting Minnesota Tuesday night. Meanwhile, the Wizards will be playing in the thin air and altitude of Utah after playing in Phoenix the night before. It will also be the third game in four nights for Washington, and their fourth game of the week.

[TheGame]

Re: NBA Betting. 1/21

Trail Blazers at Thunder: What Bettors Need to Know
By Covers.com

Port;and Trail Blazers at Oklahoma City Thunder (-5.5, 216.5)

Kevin Durant attempts to run his streak of consecutive 30-point outings to eight when the Oklahoma City Thunder host the Portland Trail Blazers on Tuesday in a battle of Western Conference heavyweights. Durant has been on a tremendous scoring spree this month, setting an NBA-season high with 54 points last Friday against Golden State and scoring 48 on two other occasions. Portland had won five straight games before falling to the Houston Rockets on Monday.

Trail Blazers forward Nicolas Batum reinjured his fractured left middle finger in the loss to the Rockets and said after the contest that he will probably need a new splint if he is to attempt to play against the Thunder. Forward LaMarcus Aldridge had 27 points and 20 rebounds for his third 20-20 outing of this season and fifth in his career. The Thunder will be gunning for Portland in this contest after losing the first two meetings this season; the two teams are tied for second place in the Western Conference, one game behind the San Antonio Spurs.

LINE: The Thunder opened as 5,5-point home faves. The total opened at 216.5.

COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Portland (-11.5) - Oklahoma City (-12.5) + home court (-3) = Oklahoma City -4

ABOUT THE TRAIL BLAZERS (31-10, 24-17 ATS): Guard Damian Lillard had 24 points in the loss to the Rockets and his 131 3-pointers are the most in history for a player through his team’s first 41 games. Ray Allen made 130 3-pointers in Boston’s first 41 games of the 2005-06 campaign. Lillard is a little bit more concerned with how Portland bounces back as the effort wasn’t always top-notch against Houston. “They were beating us to all the loose balls and they were playing free and easy and getting whatever they wanted,” Lillard said afterward.

ABOUT THE THUNDER (31-10, 23-18 ATS): While Durant has been carrying the offense, power forward Serge Ibaka scored 20 points on 9-of-13 shooting against Sacramento on Sunday. It was the third straight game in which Ibaka scored 20 or more and he is 27-of-37 shooting during the stretch. “He is a guy that excels off of playing everybody else,” Durant said of Ibaka. “He gives himself up by setting screens and rolls to the rim and the ball finds him. He sets great screens and moves the defense. He shifts the defense with his hard rolls to the basket and you have to respect his jumper.”

TRENDS:

* Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Under is 19-5-2 in the last 26 meetings in Oklahoma City.
* Favorite is 15-5-1 ATS in the last 21 meetings.
* Trail Blazers are 2-6-1 ATS in the last nine meetings.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. The Trail Blazers had lost seven straight games against the Thunder prior to this season’s two victories.

2. Aldridge is averaging 31.5 points and 13.5 rebounds against Oklahoma City this season.

3. Oklahoma City PG Reggie Jackson is averaging 17.5 points over the past four games and has reached double digits in eight of the last nine outings.

[TheGame]

Re: NBA Betting. 1/21

Today's NBA Picks

Portland at Oklahoma City

The Trail Blazers look to bounce back from last night's loss in Houston and build on their 8-3 ATS record in their last 11 games when playing with 0 days of rest. Portland is the pick (+6) according to Dunkel, which has the Trail Blazers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Portland (+6). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, JANUARY 21 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 501-502: Boston at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston 111.071; Miami 124.191 Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 13; 204 Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 9; 198 Dunkel Pick: Miami (-9); Over

Game 503-504: Orlando at Brooklyn (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 111.886; Brooklyn 118.962 Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 7; 186 Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 10; 191 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Orlando (+10); Under

Game 505-506: Sacramento at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 118.825; New Orleans 115.896 Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 3; 199 Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 1; 204 Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+1); Under

Game 507-508: Portland at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Portland 125.174; Oklahoma City 124.231 Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 1; 224 Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 6; 215 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Portland (+6); Over

Game 509-510: Minnesota at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 125.309; Utah 118.046 Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 7 1/2; 210 Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 3; 202 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-3); Over

[TheGame]

Re: NBA Betting. 1/21

Hoop Trends - Tuesday
By Vince Akins
VegasInsider.com

ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

The Timberwolves are 0-11 ATS (-8.77 ppg) since Dec 29, 2004 with two or more days of rest after a win where they scored at least 80 points when their DPA was minus 15 points or less.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Kings are 0-10-1 OU (-13.91 ppg) since Mar 19, 2004 on the road with at least one day of rest after a game on the road in which their opponent stole the ball at least twelve times.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

The Thunder are 9-0 ATS (6.89 ppg) since Mar 17, 2013 after Serge Ibaka shot better than 66% from the field at home.

CHOICE TREND:

The Magic are 0-10 OU (-13.80 ppg) since Nov 26, 2009 as a dog with at most one day of rest after a game at home in which they allowed less than 40% from the field.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

The Magic are 9-0-1 ATS (8.40 ppg) since Jan 23, 2010 with at most one day of rest after a game at home in which they scored more than 25% of their points from the free throw line.

The Trail Blazers are 6-0 ATS (7.08 ppg) since Jan 19, 2011 on the road after Nicolas Batum decreased his scoring by at least 15 points over their past two games.

[TheGame]

Re: NBA Betting. 1/21

StatFox Super Situations

PORTLAND at OKLAHOMA CITY
Play On - Underdogs (PORTLAND) explosive offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half 59-26 since 1997. ( 69.4% | 30.4 units ) 5-2 this year. ( 71.4% | 2.8 units )

SACRAMENTO at NEW ORLEANS
Play On - Any team vs the money line (SACRAMENTO) after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, on Tuesday nights 175-135 since 1997. ( 56.5% | 68.7 units ) 1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

MINNESOTA at UTAH
Play On - Home underdogs of 2 to 3.5 points vs. the first half line (UTAH) off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 80 points, well rested team - playing 6 or less games in 14 days
25-6 since 1997. ( 80.6% | 18.4 units )

[TheGame]

Re: NBA Betting. 1/21

Boston at Miami, 7:35 ET
Boston: 7-18 ATS away with 1 days rest
Miami: 7-3 Under home without rest

Orlando at Brooklyn, 7:35 ET
Orlando: 2-10 ATS off a home ATS win
Brooklyn: 9-4 Over at home without rest vs. opponent with rest

Sacramento at New Orleans, 8:05 ET
Sacramento: 3-13 ATS after an under game
New Orleans: 7-1 Over vs. Sacramento

Portland at Oklahoma City, 8:05 ET
Portland: 6-2 Over away after scoring 110 or more points away
OKC: 23-11 ATS home vs. opponent without rest

Minnesota at Utah, 9:05 ET
Minnesota: 3-11 ATS after an ATS win as favorite of 5 or more points
Utah: 8-2 Over after an ATS loss as a dog of 10 or more points

[TheGame]

Re: NBA Betting. 1/21

7:30 PM
ORLANDO vs. BROOKLYN
Orlando is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Orlando's last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Brooklyn's last 11 games when playing at home against Orlando

7:30 PM
BOSTON vs. MIAMI
Boston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Miami
Boston is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami's last 10 games at home
Miami is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games at home

8:00 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. NEW ORLEANS
Sacramento is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Sacramento
New Orleans is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games when playing Sacramento

8:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
Portland is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Portland is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Portland
Oklahoma City is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Portland

9:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. UTAH
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Minnesota's last 11 games when playing on the road against Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing Minnesota