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NBA Betting. Stats, Trends and more. 12/23

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  • NBA Betting. Stats, Trends and more. 12/23

    NBA

    Monday, December 23

    Hot teams
    -- Bobcats won three of their last four games (3-5 HF).
    -- Detroit won six of its last seven road games.
    -- Knicks are 3-0 as road favorite; faves covered nine of their 12 games on foreign soil.
    -- Pacers covered ten of their thirteen road games.
    -- Miami won its last four games (2-4 last six as HF). Hawks won six of their last eight games.
    -- Rockets covered seven of last nine games as a home favorite.
    -- Jazz covered eight of last twelve as a road underdog.
    -- San Antonio won six of last eight games, is 0-6 vs spread in last six at home. Raptors won/covered four of their last five games.
    -- Phoenix won/covered seven of its last eight games. Lakers covered six of last nine as a road underdog.

    Cold Teams
    -- Bucks lost five of last six games.
    -- Cavaliers lost three of their last four games.
    -- Orlando lost nine of its last eleven games.
    -- Nets lost three of their last four games.
    -- Dallas lost four of last six games, covered five of last six as road dog.
    -- Grizzlies lost five of their last six games.
    -- Denver lost four of its last five games. Warriors covered twice in their last seven games.
    -- Sacramento lost five of its last seven games. Pelicans lost their last four games, three by 9+ points.

    Series records
    -- Bobcats won last three games with Milwaukee by 10-24-16 points.
    -- Pistons won their last six games with Cleveland.
    -- Knicks won their last seven games with Orlando.
    -- Nets won four of last five games with Indiana.
    -- Heat won 14 of their last 16 games with Atlanta.
    -- Mavericks won 11 of last 12 games with Houston.
    -- Grizzlies won four of last five games with Utah.
    -- Spurs won their last six games with Toronto.
    -- Nuggets won four of last five games with Golden State.
    -- Lakers lost five of last seven games with Phoenix.
    -- Pelicans won three of last four games with Sacramento.

    Totals
    -- Under is 10-1-1 in last dozen Charlotte home games. Five of last six Milwaukee road games went over total.
    -- Last nine Detroit games went over the total.
    -- Six of last eight Orlando games stayed under total.
    -- Six of eight Brooklyn home games went over the total.
    -- Last six Miami home games went over the total; their last six games with Atlanta stayed under.
    -- Six of last eight Houston home games stayed under; six of last eight Dallas games went over.
    -- Five of last six Memphis home games stayed under.
    -- Last eight San Antonio home games went over total.
    -- 10 of last 14 Golden State road games stayed under total.
    -- Eight of last nine Phoenix home games went over total.
    -- Seven of last ten New Orleans road games went over.

  • #2
    This Week's Best NBA Bets
    Covers.com

    Each week, we look back on the NBA betting scene and give you the best - and worst - basketball bets, as well as some spots to keep an eye on with the upcoming schedule.

    For the week of Dec. 15 to 21.

    Hottest ATS - Los Angeles Clippers (3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS)

    It seems like the L.A. Clippers are becoming the balanced team Doc Rivers had envisioned when he took over the head coaching job in L.A. In what could have been a letdown week after returning from a seven-game road trip, the Clippers played extremely well, which included an impressive 115-92 win over San Antonio. The Clippers are not surprisingly a Top 5 offense, but where they have improved is at the defensive end of the court, giving up only 98.5 points per game, good for tenth. This week the Clippers have some tough matchups with Minnesota, Golden State and Portland before finishing up against Utah.

    Coldest ATS - Portland Trail Blazer (3-1 SU, 0-4 ATS)

    It feels weird writing about the Portland Trail Blazers as the coldest of anything, let alone ATS, but after this week, that is exactly what they are. The week saw another Blazer win streak - five in a row this time - come to an end at Minnesota, at the conclusion of a four game road trip. How good the Blazers are is no longer a secret in the NBA and they are going to get every team's best effort moving forward. So despite winning eight of their past 10 games, they are only 5-5 ATS in that span. The Blazer only have two games next week, but they are tough ones, with one versus the aforementioned Clippers and the Miami Heat.

    Best Over play - Detroit Pistons (2-2 SU, 4-0 O/U)

    That's back-to-back weeks with the Pistons as our best Over play, and boy do they deserve it. They have hit the Over nine games in a row, going over the total by an average of 11.5 points per game in that stretch. They are now the league's best Over play with a 22-7 O/U mark on the season. The Pistons continue to improve on offense scoring 100.3 points per game, while still being in the bottom third in the league on defense, giving up102 points per game. The Pistons have three road games this week, with contests at Cleveland, Orlando and Washington.

    Best Under play - Denver Nuggets (1-3 SU, 0-4 O/U)

    The Nuggets had a tough week against some solid competition including matchups with two of the league's hottest teams in the L.A. Clippers and the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Nuggets have actually hit the Under seven games in a row and in nine of their past 10. Denver has only scored an average of 93.7 points during their current Under streak, while giving up at least 103 points in four of its past five games. The Nuggets have a date at home with the Golden State Warriors before their Christmas break before ending the week at New Orleans and Memphis.

    Surveying the schedule

    Some teams will get a bit of a break during the holdidays, but 10 teams this Christmas will be giving us the gift of five consecutive games of NBA action on Christmas Day. The holiday action begins at Noon ET, with Brooklyn hosting Chicago, then Oklahoma City travels to New York, Miami takes on the L.A. Lakers, Houston faces San Antonio and the last of the stocking stuffers is when the Clippers head to Golden State to battle the Warriors.

    Comment


    • #3
      Mavericks at Rockets: What Bettors Need to Know
      By Covers.com

      Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets (OFF)

      For at least one night, Dwight Howard made Houston Rockets fans forget all about the litany of injuries in their backfield. Howard will try to put together a fitting
      encore performance as the Rockets entertain the rival Dallas Mavericks on Monday in the final game before a brief holiday break. Howard erupted for 35 points and 19 rebounds in a 114-97 victory over the Detroit Pistons over the weekend, while the Mavericks are coming off a 123-108 loss to Phoenix.

      Howard's efficient night - he shot 13-of-18 from the field and added five assists - helped overcome the absence of guards James Harden and Jeremy Lin and frontcourt mate Omer Asik. "Dwight was unbelievable," Rockets forward Chandler Parsons told reporters after the game. He completely dominate the game." The Mavericks must have felt dominated themselves against the surging Suns, who shot 51.2 percent from the field while knocking down 15 3-pointers.

      LINE: The line and the total are currently off the board.

      COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Dallas (-7.5) - Houston (-10.5) + home court (-3) = Houston -6

      ABOUT THE MAVERICKS (15-12, 14-3 ATS): Rick Carlisle is already looking ahead to the end of the season. More specifically, the Dallas head coach has a good idea of where the Mavericks will find themselves relative to other teams in the playoff chase. "We're in a situation where we're one of six or seven teams fighting for two or three playoff spots," he told the Dallas Morning News. "That's what it's going to come down to. Concentration and focus and attention to detail are going to carry the day as to who gets in and who has a chance to advance."

      ABOUT THE ROCKETS (18-10, 15-2-1 ATS): With Lin and Harden out and Patrick Beverley leaving the game with a broken hand that will cost him six weeks, Parsons was forced into emergency point guard duty against the Pistons. Parsons joked afterward that he may need to work on his fitness level. "That is tiring bringing that ball up with a 5-7 guy on you," he told the Houston Chronicle. "I brought it up against (Pistons backup guard) Will Bynum. That's exhausting, man. I hadn't done that in a while. That was fun."

      TRENDS:

      * Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Houston.
      * Favorite is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.
      * Home team is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.
      * Over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings.

      BUZZER BEATERS:

      1. The home team has won the last five meetings.

      2. Howard averages 19.9 points and 12.5 rebounds in 21 career games versus the Mavericks.

      3. Harden remains questionable for Monday, though he has said he won't return until his ankle injury has fully healed.

      Comment


      • #4
        7:00 PM
        MILWAUKEE vs. CHARLOTTE
        Milwaukee is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Charlotte's last 10 games at home
        Charlotte is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee

        7:00 PM
        NEW YORK vs. ORLANDO
        New York is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
        New York is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
        Orlando is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Orlando's last 8 games at home

        7:00 PM
        DETROIT vs. CLEVELAND
        Detroit is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
        Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
        Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
        Cleveland is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing Detroit

        7:30 PM
        ATLANTA vs. MIAMI
        Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
        Atlanta is 7-17-1 ATS in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Miami
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games at home
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games

        7:30 PM
        INDIANA vs. BROOKLYN
        Indiana is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing Indiana
        Brooklyn is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana

        8:00 PM
        UTAH vs. MEMPHIS
        Utah is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Memphis
        Utah is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
        Memphis is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
        Memphis is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games when playing Utah

        8:00 PM
        DALLAS vs. HOUSTON
        Dallas is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Houston
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing Houston
        Houston is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 8 games at home

        8:30 PM
        TORONTO vs. SAN ANTONIO
        The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 10 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
        Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
        San Antonio is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games at home
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games at home

        9:00 PM
        LA LAKERS vs. PHOENIX
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 5 games
        LA Lakers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
        Phoenix is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing LA Lakers
        Phoenix is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

        9:00 PM
        GOLDEN STATE vs. DENVER
        Golden State is 3-18 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Denver
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 7 games when playing on the road against Denver
        Denver is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
        Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

        10:00 PM
        NEW ORLEANS vs. SACRAMENTO
        The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Orleans's last 10 games on the road
        New Orleans is 7-18 ATS in its last 25 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
        Sacramento is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans

        Comment


        • #5
          NY Knicks at Orlando, 7:05 ET
          NY Knicks: 8-1 UNDER as a road underdog
          Orlando: 7-17 ATS against Atlantic division opponents

          Milwaukee at Charlotte, 7:05 ET
          Milwaukee: 1-5 ATS revenging a loss where team scored less than 85 points
          Charlotte: 7-1 ATS against Central division opponents

          Detroit at Cleveland, 7:05 ET
          Detroit: 19-8 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games
          Cleveland: 10-23 ATS after scoring 85 points or less

          Atlanta at Miami, 7:35 ET
          Atlanta: 2-13 ATS when playing with 2 days rest
          Miami: 19-9 ATS off 2 or more consecutive home wins

          Indiana at Brooklyn, 7:35 ET
          Indiana: 15-5 ATS as a favorite
          Brooklyn: 4-13 ATS after a loss by 6 points or less

          Dallas at Houston, 8:05 ET
          Dallas: 20-6 ATS after a blowout loss by 15 points or more
          Houston: 14-20 ATS vs. division opponents

          Utah at Memphis, 8:05 ET
          Utah: 1-11 ATS in road games off a road win
          Memphis: 46-32 ATS as a favorite

          Toronto at San Antonio, 8:35 ET
          Toronto: 57-87 ATS after having won 4 of their last 5
          San Antonio: 22-10 ATS after 3 or more consecutive overs

          Golden State at Denver, 9:05 ET
          Golden State: 9-15 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more
          Denver: 12-6 ATS after a game where they made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse

          LA Lakers at Phoenix, 9:05 ET
          LA Lakers: 22-40 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days
          Phoenix: 6-1 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games

          New Orleans at Sacramento, 10:05 ET
          New Orleans: 31-14 ATS in road games after 4 or more consecutive losses
          Sacramento: 0-7 ATS as a home favorite

          Comment


          • #6
            StatFox Super Situations

            INDIANA at BROOKLYN
            Play Against - Any team (INDIANA) a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (>=102 PPG), after allowing 90 points or less 2 straight games 41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units ) 0-2 this year. ( 0.0% | -2.2 units )

            TORONTO at SAN ANTONIO
            Play Against - Home teams vs. the money line (SAN ANTONIO) after a loss by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games 111-67 over the last 5 seasons. ( 62.4% | 45.4 units ) 10-2 this year. ( 83.3% | 8.6 units )

            DETROIT at CLEVELAND
            Play On - All teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (DETROIT) a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG), after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games 41-15 over the last 5 seasons. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units ) 5-2 this year. ( 71.4% | 2.8 units )

            Comment


            • #7
              Hoop Trends - Monday
              By Vince Akins
              VegasInsider.com

              ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

              The Warriors are 12-0 ATS (7.29 ppg) since Feb 26, 2003 with at least one day of rest off a win in which their leading scorer for that game had fewer than 20 points as a favorite.

              OU TREND OF THE DAY:

              The Mavericks are 0-10 OU (-8.35 ppg) since Nov 24, 2004 as a dog with at least one day of rest after a loss in which they had an assist to turnover ratio of at least two.

              PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

              The Nets are 9-0-1 OU (20.75 ppg) since Jan 26, 2013 after Brook Lopez had more turnovers than assists in a road loss.

              CHOICE TREND:

              The Hawks are 11-0 ATS (6.45 ppg) since Jan 23, 2012 on the road after a game at home in which they had at least thirty assists.

              ACTIVE TRENDS:

              The Pacers are 8-0-2 ATS (8.40 ppg) since Dec 21, 2012 after George Hill played fewer than 30 minutes at home.

              The Hawks are 10-0 OU (10.55 ppg) since Nov 11, 2009 on the road after playing at home when their DPS was at least plus 15 points in their previous game.

              Comment

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