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In The Dugout for Thursday. 9/11

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  • In The Dugout for Thursday. 9/11


    Welcome to In The Dugout.
    Baseball handicapping with a twist.
    In here we use the home plate umpire in handicapping each game.
    Please note that there is not much advance umpire info available on Monday and Friday.


    Here is what we look at.
    Pitcher vs Team.
    Pitcher with umpire.
    Team with umpire.
    Head to head trends.
    Umpire trends.

    If all those favor a side or a total. Then it's a play.

    Feel free to ask question, post a comment or discuss the games in this thread.
    This thread is for everybody. So feel free to jump in.
    If you enjoy this thread. Simply click the Facebook like icon in the upper left of this thread.
    Thanks and Good luck

  • #2
    Re: In The Dugout for Thursday. 9/11

    Minnesota at Cleveland
    Advanced Umpire info N/A due to PPD

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: In The Dugout for Thursday. 9/11

      St. Louis at Cincinnati
      Hal Gibson III 32 16-16 7.81 294 188 106 63.8 16.8 5.7 2.96 1.62 13-18
      Current streak = None.

      Last 10 W/ St Louis 2-0 / 1-0-1 Over
      Lynn 1-0 / 1-0 Over

      Last 10 W/ Reds 1-2 / 2-1 Under

      Trends.
      Head to Head

      • Over is 4-0-1 in Lynns last 5 road starts vs. Reds.
      • Over is 5-0-1 in Lynns last 6 starts vs. Reds.
      • Cardinals are 8-1 in Lynns last 9 starts vs. Reds.
      • Cardinals are 4-1 in Lynns last 5 road starts vs. Reds.
      • Cardinals are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
      • Over is 6-2 in Cuetos last 8 home starts vs. Cardinals.
      • Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.

      Umpire Trends - Hal Gibson III


      • Over is 4-1 in Gibson IIIs last 5 games behind home plate.


      Comment


      • #4
        Re: In The Dugout for Thursday. 9/11

        Oakland at Chi. White Sox
        CB Bucknor 27 12-15 8.70 290 182 108 62.9 14.7 6.4 2.29 1.70 13-13
        Current streak = None.

        Last 10 W/ Oakland 3-7 / 8-2 Under
        Kazmir 3-1 / 2-2

        Last 10 W/ Chicago 4-6 / 6-4 Under
        Sale 1-0 / 1-0 Over

        Trends.
        Head to Head

        • Athletics are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.

        Umpire Trends - CB Bucknor


        • Road team is 4-0 in Bucknors last 4 games behind home plate vs. Chicago.
        • Under is 6-1 in Bucknors last 7 games behind home plate vs. Oakland.
        • Under is 4-1 in Bucknors last 5 Thursday games behind home plate.
        • Over is 4-1 in Bucknors last 5 games behind home plate.
        • Home team is 4-1 in Bucknors last 5 Thursday games behind home plate vs. Oakland.
        • Home team is 16-5 in Bucknors last 21 games behind home plate vs. Oakland.
        • Under is 3-1-1 in Bucknors last 5 Thursday games behind home plate vs. Oakland.
        • Home team is 14-5 in Bucknors last 19 Thursday games behind home plate.
        • Athletics are 6-14 in their last 20 games with Bucknor behind home plate.
        • White Sox are 2-5 in their last 7 games with Bucknor behind home plate.
        • Athletics are 1-4 in their last 5 Thursday games with Bucknor behind home plate.


        Summary.
        Under is worth a small play here.

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: In The Dugout for Thursday. 9/11

          Arizona at San Francisco
          Wrong ump listed

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: In The Dugout for Thursday. 9/11

            Tampa Bay at NY Yankees
            Marcus Pattillo 13 7-6 7.85 279 179 99 64.4 17.0 5.3 3.20 1.54 5-8
            Current streak = None.

            Last 10 W/ Tampa 1-1 / 1-1

            Last 10 W/ New York N/A

            Trends.
            Head to Head

            • Under is 6-1-2 in the last 9 meetings.
            • Under is 6-1 in Cobbs last 7 starts vs. Yankees.
            • Rays are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in New York.
            • Rays are 5-1 in Cobbs last 6 starts vs. Yankees.
            • Under is 3-1-2 in the last 6 meetings in New York.
            • Rays are 17-8 in the last 25 meetings.

            Umpire Trends - Marcus Pattillo


            • Road team is 4-1 in Pattillos last 5 games behind home plate.


            Comment


            • #7
              Re: In The Dugout for Thursday. 9/11

              Pittsburgh at Philadelphia
              Ed Hickox 23 10-13 6.52 287 183 104 63.8 15.5 5.9 2.64 0.96 7-15
              Current streak = 2-0 Road.

              Last 10 W/ Pittsburgh 3-7 / 7-3 Under
              Liriano 0-2 / 1-1

              Last 10 W/ Philly 5-5 / 7-3 Over
              Burnett 1-4 / 3-2 Over

              Trends.
              Head to Head

              • Pirates are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Philadelphia.
              • Pirates are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
              • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia.
              • Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.

              Umpire Trends - Ed Hickox


              • Road team is 4-0 in Hickoxs last 4 Thursday games behind home plate.
              • Under is 5-0 in Hickoxs last 5 games behind home plate vs. Pittsburgh.
              • Over is 6-1 in Hickoxs last 7 games behind home plate vs. Philadelphia.
              • Road team is 9-2 in Hickoxs last 11 games behind home plate vs. Pittsburgh.
              • Home team is 4-1 in Hickoxs last 5 games behind home plate vs. Philadelphia.
              • Under is 9-3 in Hickoxs last 12 games behind home plate.
              • Phillies are 1-4 in their last 5 games with Hickox behind home plate.
              • Pirates are 1-6 in their last 7 games with Hickox behind home plate.


              Comment


              • #8
                Re: In The Dugout for Thursday. 9/11

                LA Angels at Texas
                Doug Eddings 28 18-10 6.89 278 182 96 65.5 15.1 4.4 3.43 1.54 8-18
                Current streak = 2-0 Under / 2-0 Home.

                Last 10 W/ Angels 5-4 / 5-4 Under

                Last 10 W/ Texas 4-4 / 4-3-1 Under

                Trends.
                Head to Head

                • Angels are 11-1 in the last 12 meetings.
                • Angels are 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Texas.
                • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Texas.
                • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

                Umpire Trends - Doug Eddings


                • Home team is 6-0 in Eddings' last 6 games behind home plate vs. Los Angeles.
                • Over is 4-1 in Eddings' last 5 Thursday games behind home plate.
                • Under is 4-1 in Eddings' last 5 Thursday games behind home plate vs. Texas.
                • Home team is 22-6 in Eddings' last 28 games behind home plate vs. Texas.
                • Home team is 6-2 in Eddings' last 8 Thursday games behind home plate vs. Texas.
                • Home team is 8-3 in Eddings' last 11 games behind home plate.
                • Under is 5-2 in Eddings' last 7 games behind home plate vs. Los Angeles.
                • Under is 19-8-2 in Eddings' last 29 games behind home plate.


                Comment


                • #9
                  Re: In The Dugout for Thursday. 9/11

                  Miami at Milwaukee
                  Jeff Kellogg 24 11-13 8.54 282 180 102 63.9 14.1 6.1 2.32 1.88 11-13
                  Current streak = None.

                  Last 10 W/ Miami 3-7 / 5-5

                  Last 10 W/ Brewers 7-3 / 6-4 Under
                  Fiers 0-1 / 1-0 Under

                  Trends.
                  Head to Head

                  • Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Milwaukee.
                  • Over is 14-6-2 in the last 22 meetings.
                  • Marlins are 8-20 in the last 28 meetings.
                  • Marlins are 5-15 in the last 20 meetings in Milwaukee.

                  Umpire Trends - Jeff Kellogg


                  • Road team is 9-3 in Kelloggs last 12 games behind home plate.
                  • Home team is 18-6 in Kelloggs last 24 games behind home plate vs. Milwaukee.
                  • Brewers are 8-3 in their last 11 games with Kellogg behind home plate.
                  • Under is 5-2 in Kelloggs last 7 games behind home plate vs. Milwaukee.
                  • Under is 14-6-1 in Kelloggs last 21 Thursday games behind home plate.
                  • Marlins are 2-5 in their last 7 games with Kellogg behind home plate.


                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Re: In The Dugout for Thursday. 9/11

                    MLB


                    National League
                    Pirates-Phillies
                    Liriano is 1-0, 0.95 in his last three starts.
                    Burnett is 2-1, 3.15 in his last three starts.


                    Pittsburgh won five of its last six games.
                    Philly won 12 of its last 19 games.


                    Nine of last ten Liriano starts stayed under the total.


                    Cardinals-Reds
                    Lynn is 4-0, 2.95 in his last six starts.
                    Cueto is 2-0, 1.80 in his last two starts.


                    Cardinals won nine of their last twelve games, but lost last two.
                    Cincinnati lost six of its last nine games.


                    Under is 3-1-1 in last five Cincinnati games.


                    Nationals-Mets
                    Roark is 0-3, 4.42 in his last three starts.
                    Colon is 0-3, 7.41 in his last three home starts. .


                    Nationals won three of their last four games.
                    Mets won eight of their last ten games.


                    Under is 4-0-1 in Mets' last five games.


                    Marlins-Brewers
                    Eovaldi is 0-4, 6.26 in his last five starts.
                    Fiers is 5-1, 1.94 in six starts this season.


                    Marlins won four of their last six games.
                    Milwaukee lost 13 of its last 15 games.


                    Five of last six Milwaukee games went over the total.


                    Diamondbacks-Giants
                    Delgado is 1-1, 6.57 in three starts this season.
                    Peavy is 4-1, 2.08 in his last five starts.


                    Arizona lost its last five games, scoring six runs.
                    Giants won 11 of their last 14 games.


                    Over is 4-0-1 in last five Vogelsong starts.


                    American League
                    Twins-Indians
                    Gibson is 0-1, 6.14 in his last four starts. Nolasco is 0-4, 7.39 in his last six.
                    House is 1-0, 2.31 in his last five starts. Kluber is 1-3, 4.32 in his last four.


                    Twins lost 12 of their last 16 games.
                    Cleveland is 4-5 in its last nine games.


                    Six of last eight Cleveland games stayed under.


                    Rays-Bronx
                    Cobb is 5-1, 1.41 in his last ten starts.
                    Pineda is 3-4, 1.98 in nine starts this season.


                    Tampa Bay lost five of its last eight games.
                    Bronx is 1-5 in game following its last six wins.


                    Last nine Cobb starts stayed under the total. .


                    Angels-Rangers
                    Rasmus is 0-0, 3.86 (4.2 IP) in two starts; this is a bullpen game for Halos. .
                    Texas is 2-13 in last fifteen Martinez starts (0-0, 2.38 in last two).


                    Angels won 13 of their last 15 games.
                    Texas lost ten of its last eleven games.


                    Eight of last eleven Texas games stayed under total.


                    A's-White Sox
                    Kazmir is 0-2, 13.50 in his last three starts.
                    Sale is 1-2, 3.00 in his last six starts. .


                    Oakland lost ten of its last thirteen games.
                    White Sox lost five of their last seven games.


                    Nine of last thirteen Oakland games stayed under.


                    Red Sox-Royals
                    Buchholz is 2-0, 1.90 in his last three starts. .
                    Hendriks is 1-0, 4.66 in four starts this season.


                    Red Sox lost last four games, outscored 21-8.
                    Kansas City won six of its last nine games.


                    Four of last five Boston games stayed under the total. .


                    Interleague games
                    None


                    Teams' record when this starting pitcher starts:
                    -- Lynn 19-10; Cueto 19-11
                    -- Delgado 2-1; Peavy 5-15/4-4
                    -- Liriano 11-14; Burnett 12-18
                    -- Roark 15-13; Colon 15-12
                    -- Eovaldi 10-19; Fiers 5-1


                    -- Nolasco 8-15, Gibson 11-16; House 9-5 Kluber 18-12
                    -- Kazmir 19-9; Sale 14-9
                    -- Cobb 11-11; Pineda 3-6
                    -- Rasmus 2-0; Martinez 6-14
                    -- Buchholz 10-14; Hendriks 3-0/1-0


                    Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
                    -- Lynn 8-29; Cueto 7-30
                    -- Delgado 1-3; Peavy 6-28
                    -- Liriano 7-25; Burnett 9-30
                    -- Roark 4-28; Colon 9-27
                    -- Eovaldi 11-29; Fiers 0-6


                    -- Nolasco 8-23, Gibson 11-16; House 9-5 Kluber 5-30
                    -- Kazmir 4-28; Sale 3-23
                    -- Cobb 4-23; Pineda 2-9
                    -- Rasmus 0-2; Martinez 7-20
                    -- Buchholz 9-24; Hendriks 0-4


                    Umpires
                    -- Pitt-Phil-- Nine of last twelve Hickox games stayed under.
                    -- StL-Cin-- Three of last four HGibson games went over.
                    -- Mia-Mil-- Under is 7-4 in last 11 Kellogg games; dogs won four of last six.
                    -- Az-SF-- Under is 12-2-1 in last fifteen Randazzo games.


                    -- Min-Clev-- Nine of last ten Ripperger games stayed under. Under is 6-2-1 in last nine TBarrett games.
                    -- TB-NY-- Under is 8-5 in Pattillo games this season.
                    -- LA-Tex-- Six of last nine Eddings games stayed under.
                    -- A's-Chi-- Four of last five Bucknor games went over total.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Re: In The Dugout for Thursday. 9/11

                      Today's probable pitchers
                      Click here http://mlb.mlb.com/news/probable_pitchers/

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Re: In The Dugout for Thursday. 9/11

                        MLB


                        Thursday, September 11


                        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                        Trend Report
                        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


                        12:05 PM
                        MINNESOTA vs. CLEVELAND
                        Minnesota is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games ,when playing on the road against Cleveland
                        Minnesota is 7-13-1 SU in its last 21 games ,when playing Cleveland
                        Cleveland is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games ,when playing Minnesota


                        12:35 PM
                        ST. LOUIS vs. CINCINNATI
                        The total has gone OVER in 9 of St. Louis's last 13 games when playing Cincinnati
                        The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games on the road
                        Cincinnati is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
                        Cincinnati is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing St. Louis


                        2:10 PM
                        OAKLAND vs. CHI WHITE SOX
                        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
                        Oakland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
                        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games
                        Chi White Sox are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games


                        3:45 PM
                        ARIZONA vs. SAN FRANCISCO
                        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
                        The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Arizona's last 13 games
                        San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
                        San Francisco is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Arizona


                        7:05 PM
                        TAMPA BAY vs. NY YANKEES
                        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games when playing NY Yankees
                        Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
                        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 9 games when playing Tampa Bay
                        NY Yankees are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay


                        7:05 PM
                        PITTSBURGH vs. PHILADELPHIA
                        Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
                        Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
                        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
                        Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home


                        7:10 PM
                        WASHINGTON vs. NY METS
                        Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
                        Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
                        NY Mets are 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
                        NY Mets are 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington


                        8:05 PM
                        LA ANGELS vs. TEXAS
                        LA Angels are 11-1 SU in their last 12 games when playing Texas
                        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas
                        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Angels
                        Texas is 1-11 SU in their last 12 games when playing LA Angels


                        8:10 PM
                        BOSTON vs. KANSAS CITY
                        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
                        Boston is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
                        Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston
                        The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Kansas City's last 11 games


                        8:10 PM
                        MIAMI vs. MILWAUKEE
                        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
                        Miami is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
                        Milwaukee is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Miami
                        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing at home against Miami

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Re: In The Dugout for Thursday. 9/11

                          St Louis at Cincinnati, 12:35 ET
                          Lynn: 19-10 TSR in all games
                          Cueto: CINCINNATI 32-40 after a win by 2 runs or less


                          Arizona at San Francisco, 3:45 ET
                          Delgado: ARIZONA 5-17 after 3 straight losses by 4 runs or more
                          Peavy: SAN FRANCISCO 45-34 after a win


                          Minnesota at Cleveland, 12:05 ET - Doubleheader Game #1
                          Nolasco: MINNESOTA 24-10 OVER after a win by 2 runs or less
                          Kluber: 16-7 TSR after a loss


                          Oakland at Chicago, 2:10 ET
                          Kazmir: OAKLAND 2-14 as a road underdog
                          Sale: CHI WHITE SOX 23-13 UNDER in home games after 3 or more consecutive home games


                          Minnesota at Cleveland, 3:05 ET - Doubleheader Game #2
                          Nolasco: MINNESOTA 35-22 OVER in day games
                          House: CLEVELAND 61-44 in day games

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Re: In The Dugout for Thursday. 9/11

                            Had to wake up early for the good play.

                            Took STL/CIN for a scoreless 1st inning with Cueto and Lynn throwing. It paid off

                            Play #2 is OAK/CWS for the same thing. Kazmir and Chris Sale out there. Another ace match.
                            Other than that, skeptical for moves. Maybe OAK/CWS for the under but I'm not going for it even if OAK has been swinging broken bats. CWS can be unpredictable in my opinion. I'll just observe for the day after a 1st inning cashout hopefully.

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Re: In The Dugout for Thursday. 9/11

                              Oh yeah, and I'm all for supporting MIL today. Fiers is a factor.

                              Comment

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