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In The Dugout for Thursday. 8/14

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  • In The Dugout for Thursday. 8/14


    Welcome to In The Dugout.
    Baseball handicapping with a twist.
    In here we use the home plate umpire in handicapping each game.
    Please note that there is not much advance umpire info available on Monday and Friday.


    Here is what we look at.
    Pitcher vs Team.
    Pitcher with umpire.
    Team with umpire.
    Head to head trends.
    Umpire trends.

    If all those favor a side or a total. Then it's a play.

    Feel free to ask question, post a comment or discuss the games in this thread.
    This thread is for everybody. So feel free to jump in.
    If you enjoy this thread. Simply click the Facebook like icon in the upper left of this thread.
    Thanks and Good luck

  • #2
    Re: In The Dugout for Thursday. 8/14

    LA Dodgers at Atlanta
    Lance Barksdale 22 12-10 7.77 284 178 106 62.7 14.2 6.0 2.36 2.45 12-10
    Current streak = None.

    Last 10 For Dodgers 6-3 / 5-3-1 Over
    Hernandez 0-1 / 1-0 Under

    Last 10 W/ Atlanta 2-6 / 6-2 Under
    Harang 0-3 / 2-1 Under

    Trends.
    Head to Head

    • Dodgers are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
    • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
    • Under is 15-7-2 in the last 24 meetings in Atlanta.

    Umpire Trends - Lance Barksdale


    • Under is 7-1 in Barksdales last 8 games behind home plate vs. Atlanta.
    • Over is 5-1 in Barksdales last 6 Thursday games behind home plate.
    • Home team is 4-1 in Barksdales last 5 Thursday games behind home plate.
    • Dodgers are 6-2 in their last 8 games with Barksdale behind home plate.
    • Over is 3-1-2 in Barksdales last 6 Thursday games behind home plate vs. Los Angeles.
    • Under is 5-2 in Barksdales last 7 games behind home plate.
    • Braves are 5-2 in their last 7 Thursday games with Barksdale behind home plate.
    • Home team is 87-38 in Barksdales last 125 games behind home plate.
    • Over is 16-7-5 in Barksdales last 28 games behind home plate vs. Los Angeles.
    • Home team is 17-8 in Barksdales last 25 games behind home plate vs. Atlanta.
    • Braves are 2-6 in their last 8 games with Barksdale behind home plate.


    Summary.
    Missing a few games and pitcher data to make a play on the Dodgers here.

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: In The Dugout for Thursday. 8/14

      Pittsburgh at Detroit
      Paul Schrieber 23 11-12 9.30 300 188 112 62.6 13.7 6.3 2.16 1.70 11-10
      Current streak = None.

      Last 10 W/ Pitt 6-4 / 6-4 Under
      Liriano 2-1 / 3-0 Under

      Last 10 W/ Detroit 7-3 / 6-4 Over
      Scherzer 2-2 / 2-2

      Trends.
      Head to Head

      • Pirates are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
      • Under is 9-2-1 in the last 12 meetings in Detroit.
      • Under is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings.
      • Pirates are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings in Detroit.

      Umpire Trends - Paul Schrieber


      • Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games with Schrieber behind home plate.
      • Home team is 4-0 in Schriebers last 4 interleague games behind home plate vs. Detroit.
      • Home team is 12-2 in Schriebers last 14 games behind home plate vs. Detroit.
      • Under is 6-1 in Schriebers last 7 games behind home plate vs. Pittsburgh.
      • Over is 5-1-1 in Schriebers last 7 games behind home plate.
      • Home team is 5-1 in Schriebers last 6 games behind home plate.
      • Road team is 4-1 in Schriebers last 5 games behind home plate vs. Pittsburgh.
      • Tigers are 14-5 in their last 19 games with Schrieber behind home plate.
      • Home team is 5-2 in Schriebers last 7 Thursday games behind home plate.


      Comment


      • #4
        Re: In The Dugout for Thursday. 8/14

        Oakland at Kansas City
        Hal Gibson III 27 13-14 7.22 289 184 105 63.6 16.6 5.9 2.82 1.63 9-17
        Current streak = None.

        Last 10 W/ Oakland 1-0 / 1-0 Under
        Last 10 W/ KC 0-1 / Push

        Trends.
        Head to Head

        • Under is 11-3-1 in the last 15 meetings in Kansas City.
        • Under is 16-5-1 in the last 22 meetings.
        • Athletics are 41-20 in the last 61 meetings in Kansas City.

        Umpire Trends - Hal Gibson III


        • Under is 12-3-1 in Gibson IIIs last 16 games behind home plate.


        Comment


        • #5
          Re: In The Dugout for Thursday. 8/14

          Milwaukee at Chi. Cubs
          Tim Timmons 21 10-11 8.86 314 197 117 62.7 15.0 7.1 2.09 1.67 10-10
          Current streak = 3-0 Home.

          Last 10 W/ Brewers 3-7 / 6-4 Under
          Fiers 0-1 / 1-0 Under

          Last 10 W/ Cubs 4-5 / 5-4 Over
          Jackson 3-1 / 3-1 Over

          Trends.

          Head to Head

          • Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.
          • Under is 4-1 in Jacksons last 5 starts vs. Brewers.
          • Under is 13-5 in the last 18 meetings.
          • Brewers are 39-18 in the last 57 meetings.
          • Brewers are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.

          Umpire Trends - Tim Timmons


          • Road team is 6-0 in Timmons' last 6 Thursday games behind home plate.
          • Under is 5-1 in Timmons' last 6 games behind home plate vs. Milwaukee.
          • Brewers are 1-7 in their last 8 games with Timmons behind home plate.
          • Cubs are 0-5 in their last 5 games with Timmons behind home plate.


          Comment


          • #6
            Re: In The Dugout for Thursday. 8/14

            Washington at NY Mets
            Brian Gorman 20 9-11 7.10 294 193 101 65.5 18.0 5.2 3.49 1.80 10-10
            Current streak = None.

            Last 10 W/ Washington 5-5 / 8-2 Over
            Strasburg 1-2 / 2-1 Over

            Last 10 W/ Mets 4-6 / 5-5
            Gee 1-1 / 1-1

            Trends.
            Head to Head

            • Nationals are 24-4 in the last 28 meetings in New York.
            • Over is 5-1-3 in the last 9 meetings.
            • Nationals are 4-1 in Strasburgs last 5 starts vs. Mets.
            • Nationals are 39-13 in the last 52 meetings.
            • Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in New York.

            Umpire Trends - Brian Gorman


            • Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 Thursday games with Gorman behind home plate.
            • Road team is 4-1 in Gormans last 5 Thursday games behind home plate vs. New York.
            • Under is 4-1 in Gormans last 5 games behind home plate vs. New York.
            • Under is 4-1 in Gormans last 5 Thursday games behind home plate vs. New York.
            • Road team is 8-2 in Gormans last 10 games behind home plate vs. Washington.
            • Over is 16-5 in Gormans last 21 games behind home plate vs. Washington.
            • Home team is 5-2 in Gormans last 7 Thursday games behind home plate.
            • Road team is 11-5 in Gormans last 16 games behind home plate vs. New York.
            • Nationals are 0-4 in their last 4 games with Gorman behind home plate.

            Comment


            • #7
              Re: In The Dugout for Thursday. 8/14

              Tampa Bay at Texas
              Gabe Morales 27 13-14 9.26 303 192 111 63.3 15.9 6.0 2.66 1.67 17-8
              Current streak = 5-0 Over.

              Last 10 W/ Tampa 2-0 / 1-1

              Last 10 W/ Texas 0-1 / 1-0 Over

              Trends.
              Head to Head

              • Under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings in Texas.
              • Rays are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Texas.
              • Rays are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

              Umpire Trends - Gabe Morales


              • Over is 12-3-1 in Morales' last 16 games behind home plate.


              Comment


              • #8
                Re: In The Dugout for Thursday. 8/14

                MLB


                National League
                Dodgers-Braves
                Hernandez is 3-0, 2.34 in his last five starts.
                Harang is 4-0, 2.70 in his last nine starts; Atlanta bullpen lost his last five.


                Dodgers won eight of their last eleven road games.
                Braves lost 11 of their last 14 games overall.


                Six of last nine Harang starts stayed under total.


                Brewers-Cubs
                Fiers allowed one run in eight IP in his first '14 start.
                Jackson is 1-5, 6.47 in his last nine starts.


                Milwaukee lost three of its last four games.
                Cubs won three of their last four games.


                Eight of last ten Brewer games stayed under total.


                Diamondbacks-Marlins
                Anderson is 2-0, 1.86 in his last five starts.
                Penny allowed two runs in five IP in his first '14 start, first start in two years.


                Arizona is 7-11 in its last eighteen games.
                Marlins won four of their last six games.


                Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Anderson starts.


                Nationals-Mets
                Strasburg is 1-4, 4.60 in his last five starts.
                Gee is 0-0, 2.13 in his last two starts.


                Washington won five of its last seven games.
                Mets are 4-7 in their last eleven games.


                Under is 3-1-1 in last five Strasburg starts.


                Padres-Cardinals
                Stults is 2-0, 1.38 in his last couple starts.
                Lackey is 1-1, 8.25 in two starts for St Louis.


                San Diego won five in row, 10 of last 14 games.
                Cardinals lost four of their last six games.


                Last four St Louis home games stayed under.


                Reds-Rockies
                Simon is 0-4, 5.47 in his last five starts.
                de la Rosa is 0-2, 5.30 in his last three starts.


                Cincinnati lost four of its last five games.
                Rockies lost 14 of their last 17 games. .


                Under is 4-1-1 in last six de la Rosa starts.


                American League
                A's-Royals
                Samardzija is 2-0, 2.93 in his last four starts.
                Shields is 2-1, 1.50 in his last four starts.


                A's lost 11 of their last 17 road games.
                Kansas City won 12 of its last 14 games.


                Four of last five Samardzija starts went over total.


                Astros-Red Sox
                Feldman is 2-1, 2.02 in his last three starts.
                Webster is 2-1, 4.91 in three starts this season.


                Houston lost its last five road games.
                Red Sox won four of last five games, but lost five of last six at home.


                Six of last eight Boston games stayed under total.


                Rays-Rangers
                Odorizzi is 4-1, 3.49 in his last five starts.
                Ross is 0-4, 9.00 in his last six starts, last of which was May 17.


                Rays won five of their last seven games.
                Texas lost 14 of their last 21 games.


                Under is 6-2-1 in Tampa Bay's last nine games.


                Interleague games
                Pirates-Tigers
                Liriano is 2-1, 1.97 in his last five starts.
                Scherzer is 2-1, 2.10 in his last four starts.


                Pirates lost four of last six away games.
                Detroit is 11-16 since the All-Star break.




                Ten of last fourteen Pirate games went over the total.


                Teams' record when this starting pitcher starts:
                -- Hernandez 8-11/0-1; Harang 11-12 (0-5 last 5)
                -- Fiers 1-0; Jackson 8-16
                -- Anderson 9-5; Penny 1-0
                -- Strasburg 12-13; Gee 6-7
                -- Stults 9-14; Lackey 12-9/1-1
                -- Simon 15-8 (0-5 last 5); de la Rosa 13-10 (1-4 last 5)


                -- Samardzija 3-14/6-1; Shields 15-10
                -- Feldman 8-13; Webster 2-1
                -- Odorizzi 10-13; Ross 2-7


                -- Liriano 10-10; Scherzer 16-8


                Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
                -- Hernandez 10-21; Harang 5-24
                -- Fiers 1-0; Jackson 10-24 (3 of last 4)
                -- Anderson 3-15; Penny 1-0
                -- Strasburg 9-25; Gee 3-13
                -- Stults 9-23; Lackey 6-21
                -- Simon 7-23; de la Rosa 9-24 (3 of last 4)


                -- Samardzija 10-24; Shields 6-25
                -- Feldman 4-21; Webster 0-3
                -- Odorizzi 3-23; Ross 4-9


                -- Liriano 7-20; Scherzer 6-24


                Umpires
                -- LA-Atl-- Five of last seven Barksdale games stayed under.
                -- Wsh-NY-- Favorites won six of last seven Gorman games.
                -- Mil-Chi-- Favorites won eight of last ten Timmons games.


                -- TB-Tex-- Over is 11-1-1 in last thirteen Morales games.
                -- A's-KC-- Seven of last eight HGibson games stayed under.


                -- Pitt-Det-- Over is 9-1-1 in last eleven Schrieber games.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Re: In The Dugout for Thursday. 8/14

                  NL Pitchers Report

                  ROBERTO HERNANDEZ vs. ATLANTA since 1997
                  HERNANDEZ is 2-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.81 and a WHIP of 1.385.
                  His team's record is 2-2 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.1 units)
                  AARON HARANG vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
                  HARANG is 4-6 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 4.40 and a WHIP of 1.303.
                  His team's record is 4-8 (-4.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-7. (-2.7 units)

                  MICHAEL FIERS vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
                  FIERS is 1-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 1.23 and a WHIP of 0.682.
                  His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)
                  EDWIN JACKSON vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
                  JACKSON is 5-6 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 3.74 and a WHIP of 1.303.
                  His team's record is 7-8 (-0.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-8. (-2.7 units)

                  CHASE ANDERSON vs. MIAMI since 1997
                  ANDERSON is 1-0 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.500.
                  His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)
                  BRAD PENNY vs. ARIZONA since 1997
                  PENNY is 10-3 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 2.03 and a WHIP of 1.064.
                  His team's record is 13-6 (+5.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-11. (-4.9 units)

                  STEPHEN STRASBURG vs. NY METS since 1997
                  STRASBURG is 2-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 1.000.
                  His team's record is 4-1 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+1.2 units)
                  DILLON GEE vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
                  GEE is 7-3 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.23 and a WHIP of 1.159.
                  His team's record is 7-6 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-6. (+0.2 units)

                  ERIC STULTS vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
                  STULTS is 1-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.77 and a WHIP of 1.324.
                  His team's record is 1-1 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)
                  JOHN LACKEY vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
                  LACKEY is 1-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 4.77 and a WHIP of 1.324.
                  His team's record is 1-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

                  ALFREDO SIMON vs. COLORADO since 1997
                  SIMON is 0-1 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 15.00 and a WHIP of 2.667.
                  His team's record is 0-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)
                  JORGE DE LA ROSA vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
                  DE LA ROSA is 2-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 7.64 and a WHIP of 1.924.
                  His team's record is 2-2 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Re: In The Dugout for Thursday. 8/14

                    AL Pitchers Report

                    JEFF SAMARDZIJA vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
                    No recent starts.
                    JAMES SHIELDS vs. OAKLAND since 1997
                    SHIELDS is 6-4 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 3.78 and a WHIP of 1.137.
                    His team's record is 8-6 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-8. (-3.2 units)

                    SCOTT FELDMAN vs. BOSTON since 1997
                    FELDMAN is 1-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 8.89 and a WHIP of 2.159.
                    His team's record is 2-4 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-4. (-2.5 units)
                    ALLEN WEBSTER vs. HOUSTON since 1997
                    No recent starts.

                    JAKE ODORIZZI vs. TEXAS since 1997
                    ODORIZZI is 1-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.000.
                    His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Re: In The Dugout for Thursday. 8/14

                      IL Pitchers Report

                      FRANCISCO LIRIANO vs. DETROIT since 1997
                      LIRIANO is 5-8 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 5.12 and a WHIP of 1.380.
                      His team's record is 7-10 (-4.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-9. (-3.4 units)
                      MAX SCHERZER vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
                      SCHERZER is 2-2 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.77 and a WHIP of 1.032.
                      His team's record is 3-2 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.4 units)

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Re: In The Dugout for Thursday. 8/14

                        12:10 PM
                        LA DODGERS vs. ATLANTA
                        LA Dodgers are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing Atlanta
                        LA Dodgers are 13-6 SU in their last 19 games
                        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
                        Atlanta is 1-7 SU in their last 8 games when playing LA Dodgers

                        1:08 PM
                        PITTSBURGH vs. DETROIT
                        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games when playing on the road against Detroit
                        The total has gone OVER in 10 of Pittsburgh's last 14 games
                        Detroit is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
                        The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Detroit's last 14 games when playing Pittsburgh

                        2:10 PM
                        OAKLAND vs. KANSAS CITY
                        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 7 games on the road
                        The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Oakland's last 16 games when playing Kansas City
                        Kansas City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oakland
                        The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Kansas City's last 15 games when playing at home against Oakland

                        2:20 PM
                        MILWAUKEE vs. CHI CUBS
                        The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Milwaukee's last 18 games when playing Chi Cubs
                        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
                        Chi Cubs are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
                        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games

                        7:10 PM
                        WASHINGTON vs. NY METS
                        Washington is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
                        Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
                        The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games when playing Washington
                        NY Mets are 2-14 SU in its last 16 games when playing Washington

                        7:10 PM
                        HOUSTON vs. BOSTON
                        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
                        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Boston
                        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 8 games
                        Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

                        7:10 PM
                        ARIZONA vs. MIAMI
                        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games on the road
                        The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Arizona's last 8 games when playing Miami
                        The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 8 games when playing Arizona
                        Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona

                        8:05 PM
                        TAMPA BAY vs. TEXAS
                        Tampa Bay is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games on the road
                        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games on the road
                        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 6 games at home
                        Texas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

                        8:15 PM
                        SAN DIEGO vs. ST. LOUIS
                        San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
                        San Diego is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
                        St. Louis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
                        The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games

                        8:40 PM
                        CINCINNATI vs. COLORADO
                        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
                        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing Colorado
                        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
                        Colorado is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Re: In The Dugout for Thursday. 8/14

                          LA Dodgers at Atlanta, 12:10 ET
                          Hernandez: LA DODGERS 19-8 in road games after a loss
                          Harang: ATLANTA 12-20 against NL West opponents


                          Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs, 2:20 ET
                          Fiers: MILWAUKEE 1-7 after scoring and allowing 4 runs or less last 3 games
                          Jackson: CHICAGO CUBS 9-0 after scoring 4 runs or less 5 straight games


                          Arizona at Miami, 7:10 ET
                          Anderson: ARIZONA 7-18 against the money line after allowing 2 runs or less
                          Penny: 29-14 OVER in home games after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing


                          Washington at NY Mets, 7:10 ET
                          Strasburg: WASHINGTON 48-26 as a road favorite
                          Gee: NY METS 36-52 in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games


                          San Diego at St Louis, 8:15 ET
                          Stults: SAN DIEGO 7-25 in road games after a win by 2 runs or less
                          Lackey: ST LOUIS 20-7 with a well rested bullpen - threw 3 innings or less over last 2 games


                          Cincinnati at Colorado, 8:40 ET
                          Simon: 9-0 TSR on the road when the money line is +125 to -125
                          De La Rosa: COLORADO 27-46 after a loss


                          Oakland at Kansas City, 2:10 ET
                          Samardzija: 1-11 TSR when the money line is +125 to -125
                          Shields: 19-9 TSR in day games


                          Houston at Boston, 7:10 ET
                          Feldman: 21-7 UNDER against AL East opponents
                          Webster: BOSTON 12-3 UNDER in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins


                          Tampa Bay at Texas, 8:05 ET
                          Odorizzi: TAMPA BAY 23-10 UNDER on the road when the money line is +125 to -125
                          Darvish: 31-17 UNDER as a favorite


                          Pittsburg at Detroit, 1:05 ET
                          Liriano: PITTSBURGH 73-53 after a loss
                          Scherzer: 19-3 TSR in home games in day games


                          TSR = Team Start Record

                          Comment

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