In The Dugout for Tuesday. 4/29

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[TheGame]

Re: In The Dugout for Tuesday. 4/29

Hot pitchers
-- Niese is 1-1, 2.25 in his last three starts.
-- Hamels allowed two runs in six IP in his first '14 start.
-- Wood is 2-3, 1.54 in five starts this season.
-- Fernandez is 1-0, 1.80 in his last couple starts.
-- Samardzija has a 2.04 RA in five starts, but no wins.
-- Simon is 3-1, 1.63 in his four starts this month.
-- Lohse is 4-0, 3.00 in his last four starts.
-- Lynn is 2-1, 1.80 in his last three.
-- Stults is 1-0, 2.38 in his last couple starts.

-- Sabathia is 2-0, 2.77 in his last two starts.
-- Verlander is 3-0, 3.32 in his last three starts.
-- Perez hasn't allowed a run in his last 26 innings (4-0, 1.11 in last four starts).
-- Oakland is 5-0 when Kazmir starts (3-0, 1.87).
-- Vargas is 2-0, 1.80 in five starts this season.
-- Weaver is 1-0, 1.50 in his last couple starts.
-- Kluber is 2-1, 3.71 in his last four starts.

-- Tillman is 3-1, 3.94 in four starts this season.
-- GGonzalez is 3-1, 3.00 in five starts this season.
-- Greinke is 4-0, 2.45 in five starts this season.
-- Gibson is 2-0, 0.63 in his two home starts this month.

Cold pitchers
-- Bolsinger is 1-1, 6.75 in two starts this season.
-- Chatwood has a 4.74 RA in three starts.
-- Cain is 0-3, 4.94 in five starts this season.

-- Young is 0-0, 3.94 in three starts this season.
-- Lackey is 1-2, 6.16 in his last three starts.
-- Bedard is 0-1, 9.39 in two starts.
-- Quintana is 1-2, 6.16 in his last three starts.
-- McGowan is 1-3, 6.88 in four starts this season.

-- Morton is 0-3, 6.16 in his last three starts.
-- Cosart is 0-1, 7.71 in his last three starts.

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Niese 2-4; Hamels 0-1
-- Wood 3-5; Fernandez 1-5
-- Samardzija 1-5; Simon 1-4
-- Lohse 3-5; Lynn 2-5
-- Chatwood 0-3; Bolsinger 1-2
-- Stults 1-5; Cain 3-5

-- Young 1-3; Sabathia 2-5
-- Bedard 1-2; Lackey 2-5
-- Kazmir 1-5; Perez 0-5
-- Verlander 2-5; Quintana 1-5
-- McGowan 3-4; Vargas 0-5
-- Kluber 2-5; Weaver 1-5

-- Morton 0-5; Tillman 0-5
-- Gonzalez 2-5; Cosart 3-5
-- Greinke 0-5; Gibson 2-4

Totals
-- Over is 5-1-1 in Mets' last seven road games.
-- Four of five Wood starts stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Cub road games stayed under.
-- Seven of last eight Milwaukee road games went over.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Arizona home games.
-- Eight of last ten San Diego road games stayed under.

-- Seven of last nine Bronx home games stayed under.
-- Seven of last ten Boston games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven White Sox games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Oakland road games went over total.
-- Six of last seven Toronto games went over the total.
-- Eight of nine Angel home games went over the total.

-- Five of last six Pittsburgh games stayed under.
-- Last seven Washington road games went over.
-- Six of last seven Minnesota games went over.

Hot teams
-- Mets/Phillies both won six of their last eight games.
-- Braves won 12 of their last 15 games.
-- Brewers won eight of last ten games.
-- St Louis won four of last six at home.
-- Rockies won nine of their last thirteen games.
-- Giants won four of last five games.
-- San Diego won six of its last nine on the road. .

-- Bronx won six of its last seven home games.
-- Texas won seven of its last nine home games.
-- White Sox won six of last nine home games.
-- Kansas City won six of its nine home games.
-- Angels won three of their last four home games.

-- Orioles are 7-1 in game following their last eight losses.
-- Washington is 6-1 in game after its last seven losses.
-- Minnesota won six of its last eight home games.

Cold teams
-- Marlins lost five of last six games, but are 8-4 at home.
-- Cincinnati lost its last three games, scoring five runs.
-- Cubs lost six of their last seven road games.
-- Arizona lost 11 of its last 12 home games.

-- Mariners lost their last six away games.
-- Tampa Bay lost six of its last seven away games.
-- Boston is 2-6 in first game of a series.
-- Detroit lost five of last six series openers.
-- Oakland lost five of its last eight games.
-- Blue Jays lost four of their last five games.
-- Cleveland lost its last five road games.

-- Pirates lost five of their last six games.
-- Astros lost six of their last eight home games.
-- Dodgers lost five of their last seven games.

Umpires
-- Mil-StL-- Four of last five Reyburn games stayed under.
-- Col-Az-- Five of last six Demuth games stayed under.
-- SD-SF-- All three Hernandez games went over total.

-- A's-Tex-- All three Pattillo games stayed under total.
-- Cle-LAA-- Home team won ten of last thirteen Rackley games.

[TheGame]

Re: In The Dugout for Tuesday. 4/29

MLB Weekend Series – Five Key Takeaways
By David Malinsky
Covers.com

It is time once again to break down the weekend MLB results from Point Blank range, examining key emerging issues that can have you a step ahead of the game in the days ahead.

St. Louis – Is this the offense that is?

It is showdown time in the NL Central when the Cardinals host the Brewers this week, and the fact that it is a #1 vs. #2 speaks volumes about the St. Louis pitching – it is not easy to open up 14-12 when the offense has scored one run or less 10 times. But while it has been an underwhelming performance by the bats, the key is to understand that it has not been that big of a crash.

The Cardinals got to the World Series last year by leading the NL in runs, quite an achievement in the first post-Pujols season. Now they are #14. But while the slash line dropping from .269/.332/.401 to .240/.308/.352 is significant, it does not explain how dramatic drop in runs has been. They led the NL in 2013 despite being #13 in HR’s, and they are #14 now, so it also has not been about power. Instead it is about just how much an outlier 2013 was in one key category that simply will not repeat.

St. Louis hit an astonishing .330 with runners in scoring position last year, far and away the best of the modern era – since 1950 no other team has been within 15 points of that. Is RISP a skill? The historical abstracts for both players and teams say no; that category tends to fall in line with overall abilities more than as a particular skill set. A team that only batted .269 overall has to hit a roulette spin for that to become .330 with RISP. And in 2013 the Cardinals were also #2 in the NL with a .314 BABIP, which has regressed to a .287 this time around. This is not an offense in a slump, but rather one that far exceeded their true abilities last year, and the current level may simply be what they are.

Royals – Yordano Ventura is a “Pitcher”

Value may be elusive quickly with Ventura – when a guy can hit 100 mph on the radar guns and begins to win games, folks take notice. But there is also some classifying work to be done, so that you can have him filed properly. While that high heat and strikeout count may create the image of a “thrower”, his dominant outing at Baltimore on Friday night was a textbook example of being a “pitcher”.

Ventura dispatched the Orioles without a run over eight frames, dueling at 14.1 PPI. That was the fifth time in seven Major League starts he has checked in at 15.8 or lower, and three of those were 14.4 or less. That is unheard of for guys with his velocity. Which tells us that it is not just about velocity. Of his 113 pitches at Baltimore, only 66 were fastballs, and for once he did not reach 100 on any of them. He does not have to - with a change-up and a curveball that check in at around 15 mph off of his top end, there is a gap that can buckle the knees of Major League batters.

Ventura has only had one bad outing so far, a game in which a patient Minnesota lineup tested his command. Which then leads to one of the more intriguing stories of this young season…

Twins – Peering beyond the patience

What the Twins did to Ventura is what they are trying to do to just about every pitcher they face – make them throw strikes to get outs. It has worked – on the heels of a horrific 66-96 campaign they begin the week at 12-11, and just one game behind in the AL Central. The catalyst for the turnaround is easy to see - after finishing a dismal #25 in runs last year, they are now #2 in the Majors in runs-per-game!

But be aware of the smoke and mirrors aspect. In 2013 the slash line read .242/.312/.380. This season it is .253/.353/.389. The average is up slightly, the slugging even less, but there is that big gap in the middle. They are leading the way in walk rate by a substantial margin, drawing a remarkable 37 percent more than the best team from the 2013 charts. Hell, only 10 players had a higher individual walk percentage in 2013 than the Twins have as a team this season. Naturally it has had a huge impact on their scoring - rating #2 in RPG is quite a feat when you are only #21 in hits.

The Twins already have five wins in games in which they had more runs than hits. Quick a feat, but can that be maintained? Can a team with such limited lumber continue to draw free passes when opposing moundsmen learn that there is little to fear? To date the draw of the pitching schedule has been most favorable (like missing Max Scherzer and Justin Verlander this weekend). And there has to be a genuine concern about Joe Mauer’s April. With only one HR in 111 plate appearances his slugging is down to .319, off of a career .465, and his strikeout rate is more than double his career average (23.4 percent, vs. 11.4). Since hitting 28 HR’s in 2009 he has only managed 34 since, and while the rest of his offensive skills were a net plus when slotted behind the plate, those power numbers put you in a hole at 1B, when compared to the production level of other teams at the position.

Last week David Price had 12 K’s vs. only one walk in a complete game win over the Twins, needing only 12.3 PPI. This offense might continue to wear down weak pitching with their patience, but could also be overmatched when stepping up in class, which can cause some problems for the oddsmakers in finding the balance point.

White Sox – John Danks and the warning signs

There might be a tendency to consider Danks an early “feel good” story. A lefty that had been having an above average career saw things fall of the rails when he was injured in 2012, working to a 5.70 ERA. Those numbers were a result of hanging on too long before having shoulder surgery, which then kept him from a Major League mound for over a full calendar year. In his return the allowance dropped to 4.75, but he was penalized with among the worst support numbers in The Show, which led to a 4-14 personal W/L tag. The White Sox only managed 63 runs across his 22 starts, remarkably never topping five in any game. And 2014 brings signs of momentum, with a 2-1/3.48 as April winds down.

If you only take a cursory look at the April numbers, you may think you see a pattern. Back-to-back seasons of major improvement, right? The old Danks is back! But when you take a deeper look, there are warning signs galore.

Danks has 18 strikeouts vs. only 17 walks, an awful ratio. To put that in perspective, his 5.2 K’s-per-9 are significantly down from a career 6.7, while his walks-per-9 are up alarmingly, from 2.9 to 4.9. Instead of that 3.48 being the barometer, attach much more weight should be attached to a 5.33 xFIP, and note where it places him – there are 111 pitchers that have thrown enough innings to classify on the seasonal tables, and Danks rates dead last. It is a classic case of ERA being an improper label, with the drop from 4.75 to 3.48 in that category over 2013 running contrary to the xFIP rise from 4.08 to 5.33 in the same time frame.

The saving grace for Danks has been the HR rate, but be careful with that. So far it has been .3 HR’s-per-9 at a 2.6 percent rate on all fly balls, but his career averages in those categories run at 1.1 and 10.6. As things warm up in the South side of Chicago, those fly balls will carry again, especially with his uninspiring velocity. You have been forewarned.

Cleveland – Searching for the pulse

The notion of “buy signals” is essential to winning at the betting windows, finding those timing sequences in which you can get ahead of the game as a team changes its direction. It makes the Indians a prime study right now, with a search for any signs of a beat from the “heart” of the order. As bad as April has been, there may have been a unique rock bottom at San Francisco over the weekend.

Carlos Santana has had an awful time at the plate, and some of that can be genuinely attributed to having to switch to 3B. But there was no way to anticipate .268/.377/.455 turning into .122/.301/.195. Jason Kipnis can be one of the best offensive 2B in the Majors, but his .284/.366/.452 of 2013 has opened at .247/.364/.416. Nick Swisher has fallen from .246/.341/.423 to .218/.292/.337. For Asdrubal Cabrera the decline is from .242/.299/.402 to .211/.290/.333.

So how bad was the weekend by the Bay? The #3 through #6 spots in the batting order chimed in with a woeful 3-40. Not surprisingly, it was an 0-3 collar vs. the Giants. But here is the gist going forward – despite those horrendous offensive performances, Cleveland is 11-14, and only three games back in the AL Central. And there really is a silver lining behind the hitters – while the team average has fallen from .255 to .237, and slugging from .410 to .362, the on-base has only dropped from .327 to .319. The Tribe rated #4 in the Majors in walk rate in 2013. 2014? How about #4 again. The patience is there, and their contact rate is actually improved (from #23 in K rate to #8). They are putting the ball in play, but the geometry of baseball has not been kind (#26 in BABIP at .278). This is an offense that will perform much better than this dismal April as the season progresses, and is worth close scrutiny for signs of a turnaround. It will be difficult for the key heart of the batting order to have a series worse than the one that they just had.

[TheGame]

Re: In The Dugout for Tuesday. 4/29

Early Hot/Cold Streaks
Sportspic.com

Four weeks into a long baseball season those focused on baseball betting can begin to draw some conclusions into initial cold or hot streaks.

It's worthwhile noting the surprising Milwaukee Brewers rule the roost at 18-7 stuffing +$1128 into betting accounts with most earnings coming on the road where Brew Crew have scratched out a smart 9-1 record (+$978). Plating an average of 4.4 runs per game while the pitching staff surrenders just 3.16 'Under' bettors are cashing at a 68.0% clip overall (17-8 'Under') and have enjoyed a near perfect 14-1 'Under' mark when the club hits the field at Miller Park. Next best, Atlanta Braves at 17-7 (+$1027) sporting the leagues best group of starters/relief hurlers allowing a miniscule 2.42 runs per contest posting a 15-8-1 'Under' record (62.5%).

At the other extreme in the N.L. the awful Arizona Diamondbacks with the worst pitching staff in the majors giving up 5.79 runs/game have 8 wins, 20 losses entering this weeks action (-$1279) with a 16-10-2 O/U record. Backing Arizona at home is a recipe for disaster as Snakes are 1-13 in front of the home crowd.

Over in the junior circuit Yankees (+$407), Texas (+$518), Oakland (+$212) are tops all starting the week at 15-10. Nothing new with Houston holding down basement dwelling status in the A.L. at 9-17 (-$323) platting 3.27 runs/game while giving up 4.04 per contest.

Other initial betting trends of interest:

Best 'Over'
Minnesota 18-4-1 overall, 11-1 away
Washington 15-9-2, 8-1 on the road
Colorado 15-9-2
Los Angeles Angels 5-1 (Interleague)

Best 'Under'
Padres 19-5-2, 10-2-1 at Petco Park
Brewers 17-8, 11-1 at Miller Park.
Atlanta 15-8-1, 9-3 on the road

Best/Worst Opening a Series
Yankees, Atlanta, Milwaukee, Pittsburgh, San Francisco all at 6-2
Minnesota (1-7), Cincinnati (1-7), Arizona (2-7), Boston (2-6)

Best/Worst after being blanked
Atlanta (4-0), San Diego (3-0)
Arizona (0-3)

Best/Worst vs Left-Handed starter
Atlanta (3-0), Miami (6-1), Milwaukee (5-1)
Arizona (1-7), Tampa Bay (2-6)

Best/Worst Interleague
Milwaukee (3-0), San Francisco (3-0), Miami (3-0)
Seattle (0-3), Boston (0-3), Cleveland (2-4)

[TheGame]

Re: In The Dugout for Tuesday. 4/29

Tuesday's MLB Betting Cheat Sheet
By Covers.com

Monday Run Day

The Over was a smart play for Monday's reduced schedule, with a 5-1 O/U mark representing one of the strongest results of the young season. The Angels' three-run eighth inning pushed their 6-3 win over Cleveland above the total by a run, while Milwaukee scored two in the ninth to beat St. Louis 5-3 and go Over by one.

The Dogs Had Their Day

Overs weren't the only hot wager Monday. A more profitable trend emerged thanks to some inspired play by weaker opponents. Underdogs were a 5-1 play, led by +156 long shot San Diego and +152 underdog Milwaukee. The Angels (-123) were the only fave to come through in a game that was tied through seven innings.

Value Brewin'

Bet against the visiting Milwaukee Brewers (+136) at your peril. Milwaukee, which visits the St. Louis Cardinals Tuesday, has been far and away the best value pick through the opening 26 games of the season, earning a whopping +1,280 units while going 7-0 on the moneyline as a road underdog.

Pitching Notes

* Miami Marlins phenom Jose Fernandez is a sparkling 11-0 in 18 career home starts, but has also returned strong Over value at Marlins Park of late, going 4-1 O/U in his last five outings there.

* Los Angeles Angels right-hander Jered Weaver has been an unfailing Over play so far, going 5-0 O/U in 2014. It's a significant contrast to his 2013 performance, when he was one of the league's most consistent Under arms (6-17-1 O/U).

Hitting Notes

* Boston Red Sox second baseman Dustin Pedroia has been a major contributor to his team's recent 5-2-1 O/U stretch, recording five multi-hit games in his last nine outings to raise his season average 42 points to .274.

* Expect big totals if Joe Mauer crosses the plate. The Minnesota Twins are a whopping 13-1 O/U in games in which their star hitter scores at least once. He had a six-game run-scoring streak snapped in his last game against Detroit Saturday.

Total Streaks

St. Louis Cardinals (2-11-2 O/U): Teams continue to have a difficult time scoring against the Cardinals, who rank second in the majors in ERA from their starting pitchers (2.32) and third overall (2.81).

Prop of the Day

Oddsmakers expect late fireworks between the San Diego Padres and San Francisco Giants, offering +140 for the highest-scoring period falling within the first 4 1/2 innings and -115 for more runs being scored within the last 4 1/2 frames. The Padres (1.94) and Giants (2.13) rank first and second, respectively, in bullpen ERA.

Injury Watch

Expect a thumb injury to young slugger Bryce Harper to curtail the Washington Nationals' early-season totals success. The Nationals have the third-best O/U mark in the National League (15-9-2), but with Harper expected to be out until July, the offense could take a bit of a hit.

Weather Watch

* Look for a home-run parade in Philadelphia, where the Phillies host the New York Mets. Wind is expected to blow out to left field at 13 mph. The only other game this season in which the wind blew out to left at more than 10 mph saw five home runs leave Citizens Bank Park in a 4-3 Phillies win.

* The New York Yankees could be in tough against visiting Seattle. With wind expected in from center field at 13 mph, the Yankees have scored just one run in two games this season with wind blowing that strong out of the east.

Umpire Stat of the Day

The home team is 15-3 in umpire David Rackley's previous 18 games behind home plate. Rackley will work the balls and strikes as the Angels (-142) host the Cleveland Indians.

[TheGame]

Re: In The Dugout for Tuesday. 4/29

MLB Betting News and Notes
By Dave Essler

Mets-Phillies: Both teams rested, but not taking Niese at that price against a Phillies team that stopped hitting might be a bad thing. Hamels had his one game since the DL stint, and threw only 86 pitches. The Mets have fared well against him, so without even looking much further I won't take Philadelphia. I could pass, but not taking the Phillies and lean over, but haven't looked at the weather yet, either. I could, but I am lazy right now.

Atlanta-Miami: That does look cheap for Jose Fernandez, or it's a gift to get Atlanta at that price. Honestly, I didn't expect Wood to pitch that well against the Fish last week, and the kids' had four straight 100+ pitch games at the age of 23. Miami may make the adjustments. And Jose struck out 14 Braves and allowed only three hits in Atlanta last week. The one problem I have with Fernandez is that he simply doesn't usually pitch deep, although he went 8 last week. Since the Braves are SO dependent on the long ball, it's tough to take them in a park where unless it's down the lines, it's not going out. Braves pen has been throwing MUCH better, and so has Miami's. If you made me, the Fish are 6-1 against left handed starters.

Cubs-Reds: We'll see what happens tonight, but Cingrani may not be worth -170 or so. I watched his last start, and he had little movement on his fastball and was fortunate to be playing in a big park (Pittsburgh) against a team that hadn't been hitting. Two straight starts with high pitch counts and lots of flyball outs, so he's almost overdue to get hammered, However, it may not be the Cubs. Jackson just faced the Reds and held them reasonably in check, but he hasn't been able to last much past six innings, which brings the Cubs pen into the equation sooner rather than later. Total of only 7.5 at this park probably means bad weather or wind blowing in, so I hope it goes to 8 so we can take the under and/or the Cubs RL, Monday dependent.

Brewers-Cardinals: Obviously Lohse back in real form lately, but the Cardinals are one team he's struggled against since leaving there, so I really can't back him without a full compliment of hitters behind him. And although Lynn seems to have turned back the clock a couple of years, his one home start was terrible and he really didn't look good against the Mets the other day. I don't trust the Cardinal bullpen (why would we), but Segura and Braun were the only two Brewers that DID have success against him. Otherwise, I'd have taken the over, and still might.

Colorado-Arizona: The D-Backs saga continues. When Mike Bolsinger is essentially your best starter you may be in trouble. But, he can strike people out, which against the Rockies in a small park (roof open or not) might prove to be the difference. The Rockies haven't seen him, so perhaps a F5 under. Chatwood had two great starts and then the Giants hit him around pretty good, and in limited exposure the D-Backs have hit him a little. With that in mind and their bullpen it's the over for the game b/c AZ has no pen whatsoever, and perhaps the D-Backs. Perhaps. Although the early money is already fading them.

Giants-Padres: Without Headley or Seth Smith it's just going to be tough for San Diego to score. He did get lit up in Colorado and the Padres just saw him, so with Stults on the mound we might be able to make a case for the Padres RL somehow, but the Giants also just saw HIM and he held them to three hits in six innings. Depending on who the Giants rest tonight and what bullpen gets used, we also might make a case, if the Giants start to hit, for the over. At 6.5 it's almost foreseeable that the Giants get that many if they take the game serious, and somehow San Diego will get a COUPLE off of Cain who tends to lose focus at certain points.

Seattle-New York: Interesting that the total here is already down to 8 in Yankee Stadium with Young pitching and Sabathia is ONLY -160 after shutting down Boston. It's certainly due to the weather, which is damp with wind blowing in. With that in mind and not even looking at splits, I might be able to take the Seattle RL, simply because CC will likely regress at least mentally, and the Mariners are 6-3 against left handed starters.

Rays-Boston: Bedard looked simply terrible against the Twins the other night, which was a good thing for us, and clearly factored into this line already. He spent some time with the Red Sox and many years with the Orioles, so Fenway is no stranger to him. And of course there is simply no way Lackey has the year he had last season. Two awful starts then he gets pumped and beats the Yankees, and of course the Rays have had their way with him. I obviously don't like that Boston will be far more rested and the Rays pen has been terrible. Even with a chilly night and some breeze blowing in the total is probably going to go to 9.5, so if you like the over, it's probably now or never.

Oakland-Texas: I always look to back the Rangers against a LHP, which of course Kazmir is, and I probably will. Simply because if you look at who Kazmir has faced, it's not the most offensively potent teams in the league. Perez is a serious ground ball pitcher, but he JUST faced the A's and simply dominated them. This one has a play, dependent on what happens in the Monday game.

Detroit-Chicago: I've grown tired of Quintana and he's turned into a flyball pitcher, and just threw against the Tigers last week. He was respectable, but I'm not sure, with their bullpen, that we could find a way, unless it was the RL, to back them. Verlander obviously just faced Chicago, and was hit "some" or "more than usual" and since the White Sox know him so well, I could see looking at the over but the weather's not real conducive to that. Chicago playing the Rays tonight and the Tigers sitting in a Chicago hotel watching, so this one's not going to be done til tonight's game is.

Toronto-Kansas City: My first instinct is to almost always take Toronto against LHP, and with Reyes back there may be some merit in fading Vargas here. Five straight games with far more flyball outs and five straight games with 100+ pitches. His value has probably never been higher. But, of course McGown just kind of gets hammered and doesn't last very long, hence one of the worst bullpens in the league will be called upon. That total, with the predicted weather, is probably going to go to 8 everywhere. That COULD be enough for me to look at the over.

Cleveland-Los Angeles: Since the Indians are usually far more effective against lefties, that could be a reasonable price to lay on Weaver. BUT, the Angels are 1-4 in his starts and he IS a flyball pitcher. Kluber has more or less been the model of consistency, but I noticed he's been getting the ball up lately as well, even in that four-hitter against the Royals there were 17 (that's a lot) flyball outs. Since the Angels haven't seen him and there's a slight breeze blowing in, I might look at the F5 under here. Not sure I trust either bullpen, and again much is dependent on Monday's game, or enough that I wouldn't bet it til it's over.

[TheGame]

Re: In The Dugout for Tuesday. 4/29

7:05 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. BALTIMORE
Pittsburgh is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh


7:05 PM
SEATTLE vs. NY YANKEES
Seattle is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing Seattle


7:05 PM
NY METS vs. PHILADELPHIA
NY Mets are 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Mets


7:10 PM
CHI CUBS vs. CINCINNATI
Chi Cubs are 1-4-1 SU in their last 6 games ,
Chi Cubs are 6-12-1 SU in their last 19 games ,when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 4-10-1 SU in its last 15 games ,at home
Cincinnati is 1-3-1 SU in their last 5 games ,when playing at home against Chi Cubs


7:10 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Tampa Bay's last 16 games when playing on the road against Boston
Tampa Bay is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Boston's last 16 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay


7:10 PM
ATLANTA vs. MIAMI
Atlanta is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
Miami is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games


8:05 PM
OAKLAND vs. TEXAS
Oakland is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 7 games on the road
Texas is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland


8:10 PM
WASHINGTON vs. HOUSTON
Washington is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington


8:10 PM
DETROIT vs. CHI WHITE SOX
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Detroit's last 20 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games
Chi White Sox are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games when playing Detroit


8:10 PM
LA DODGERS vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games
LA Dodgers are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games on the road
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers


8:10 PM
TORONTO vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 7 games
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Kansas City's last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing Toronto


8:15 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. ST. LOUIS
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Milwaukee is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of St. Louis's last 9 games


9:40 PM
COLORADO vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing Colorado
Arizona is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games


10:05 PM
CLEVELAND vs. LA ANGELS
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Cleveland's last 12 games when playing LA Angels
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 17 of LA Angels's last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Angels's last 12 games when playing Cleveland


10:15 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego's last 7 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
San Diego is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing at home against San Diego

[TheGame]

Re: In The Dugout for Tuesday. 4/29

NY Mets at Philadelphia
JON NIESE vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
NIESE is 6-6 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.13 and a WHIP of 1.211.
His team's record is 7-8 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-7. (+0.6 units)

COLE HAMELS vs. NY METS since 1997
HAMELS is 7-13 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 4.44 and a WHIP of 1.456.
His team's record is 10-16 (-13.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-14. (-6.1 units)

Head to Head
Mets are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Philadelphia.
Mets are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Over is 21-6-1 in the last 28 meetings in Philadelphia.
Over is 3-1-1 in Hamels' last 5 home starts vs. Mets.
Over is 40-14-2 in the last 56 meetings.
Mets are 2-5 in Nieses last 7 road starts vs. Phillies.
Phillies are 1-5 in Hamels' last 6 home starts vs. Mets.

Umpire Trends - Name unavailable
No trends available.

[TheGame]

Re: In The Dugout for Tuesday. 4/29

Seattle at NY Yankees
CHRIS YOUNG vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
YOUNG is 1-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 5.52 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.6 units)

C.C. SABATHIA vs. SEATTLE since 1997
SABATHIA is 13-4 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 2.50 and a WHIP of 1.143.
His team's record is 16-6 (+8.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-9. (+1.0 units)

Head to Head
Yankees are 9-0 in Sabathias last 9 starts vs. Mariners.
Yankees are 5-0 in Sabathias last 5 home starts vs. Mariners.
Under is 5-1-2 in the last 8 meetings in New York.
Under is 15-4-2 in the last 21 meetings.
Over is 6-2-2 in Sabathias last 10 starts vs. Mariners.
Mariners are 9-20 in the last 29 meetings in New York.

Umpire Trends - Name unavailable
No trends available.

[TheGame]

Re: In The Dugout for Tuesday. 4/29

Pittsburgh at Baltimore
CHARLIE MORTON vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
MORTON is 0-1 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 27.00 and a WHIP of 4.500.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

CHRIS TILLMAN vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

Head to Head
Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Pirates are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Baltimore.

Umpire Trends - Name unavailable
No trends available.

[TheGame]

Re: In The Dugout for Tuesday. 4/29

Tampa Bay at Boston
ERIK BEDARD vs. BOSTON since 1997
BEDARD is 5-5 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.94 and a WHIP of 1.366.
His team's record is 6-7 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-6. (-0.1 units)

JOHN LACKEY vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
LACKEY is 13-7 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 4.48 and a WHIP of 1.421.
His team's record is 15-7 (+7.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 13-9. (+3.2 units)

Head to Head
Under is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings.
Under is 21-8 in the last 29 meetings in Boston.
Over is 7-3 in Lackeys last 10 starts vs. Rays.
Rays are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings.

Umpire Trends - Name unavailable
No trends available.

[TheGame]

Re: In The Dugout for Tuesday. 4/29

Chi. Cubs at Cincinnati
JEFF SAMARDZIJA vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
SAMARDZIJA is 1-4 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.20 and a WHIP of 1.439.
His team's record is 2-6 (-3.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-4. (-0.5 units)

ALFREDO SIMON vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
SIMON is 1-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

Head to Head
Cubs are 9-20 in the last 29 meetings in Cincinnati.
Cubs are 19-49 in the last 68 meetings.
Cubs are 1-6 in Samardzijas last 7 starts vs. Reds.

[TheGame]

Re: In The Dugout for Tuesday. 4/29

Atlanta at Miami
ALEX WOOD vs. MIAMI since 1997
WOOD is 0-2 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 4.41 and a WHIP of 1.041.
His team's record is 0-3 (-5.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

JOSE FERNANDEZ vs. ATLANTA since 1997
FERNANDEZ is 2-1 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 0.762.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-0.9 units)

Head to Head
Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Braves are 22-6 in the last 28 meetings in Miami.
Braves are 40-15 in the last 55 meetings.

Umpire Trends - Name unavailable
No trends available.

[TheGame]

Re: In The Dugout for Tuesday. 4/29

Teams
Oakland at Texas
Pitchers vs Teams
SCOTT KAZMIR vs. TEXAS since 1997
KAZMIR is 6-4 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 3.09 and a WHIP of 1.186.
His team's record is 9-5 (+3.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-7. (-2.7 units)

MARTIN PEREZ vs. OAKLAND since 1997
PEREZ is 3-3 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 4.18 and a WHIP of 1.330.
His team's record is 3-3 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-5. (-4.2 units)

Umpire
Marcus Pattillo
Home record = 3-0
Totals = 3-0 Under
Last 10 Games = 3-0 Under

Teams Last 10 W/Ump
N/A

Pitchers W/Ump
N/A

Trend Report
Head to Head
Athletics are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Texas.
Under is 4-0 in Perezs last 4 starts vs. Athletics.
Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Texas.

Umpire Trends - Marcus Pattillo
No trends available.

[TheGame]

Re: In The Dugout for Tuesday. 4/29

LA Dodgers at Minnesota
ZACK GREINKE vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
GREINKE is 3-8 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.74 and a WHIP of 1.402.
His team's record is 4-14 (-11.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-10. (-4.5 units)

KYLE GIBSON vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
No recent starts.

Head to Head
Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings in Minnesota.
Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Dodgers are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Minnesota.
Dodgers are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings.

Umpire Trends - Name unavailable
No trends available.