7/3 system

[bleeker]

7/3 date
home
1st game series
previous game 0 homeruns
two games back <=1 homeruns
dog <= 110 or favorite

17-1(-135/4.94)
12-1 RL "(+148)" since 2007


https://killersports.com/mlb/query?o...+S+D+Q+L+%21++




min RL -115
mia -125
nyy -105





.

[rolltide]

July 3 game, dog >110, didn't lead by 9+ last game and last start the starter did not allow exactly 1 run (=1-26 SU so play on SD, ATL, MIA, MIN)

1-26 (-2.85, 3.7%) avg line: 153.6 / -169.6 on / against: -$2,420 / +$2,400 ROI: -89.6% / 52.4% 6-21-0 (-1.35, 22.2%) avg line: -130.4 / 110.4 on / against: -$2,200 / +$1,820 ROI: -61.3% / 62.5% 8-17-2 (-1.19, 32.0%) avg total: 9.3 over / under: -$1,055 / +$810 ROI: -36.1% / 27.2%

2.63 2.63 10.37 6.63 1.78 0.78 1.78 0.59 1.11 13.07 6.33 1.15 3.74 4.00 5.48 4.00 7.26 8.93 3.59 1.56 2.89 1.59 5.96 14.33 6.81 0.56 1.52 4.37

Jul 03, 2023 recap Mon 2023 away Angels Jaime Barria-R Padres Blake Snell-L 151.0 8.0 Jul 03, 2023 recap Mon 2023 away Royals Austin Cox-L Twins Joe Ryan-R 190.0 9.0 Jul 03, 2023 recap Mon 2023 home Guardians Gavin Williams-R Braves Bryce Elder-R 135.0 9.0 Jul 03, 2023 recap Mon 2023 away Cardinals Miles Mikolas-R Marlins Braxton Garrett-L 113.0 8.0

[rolltide]

the last 6 pitchers have lost their start after throwing a complete game shutout no-hitter with avg of >7 runs per game for opponent

0-6 (-3.17, 0.0%) avg line: 101.5 / -112.3 on / against: -$710 / +$680 ROI: -100.0% / 90.2% 1-5-0 (-3.17, 16.7%) avg line: -113.3 / -106.7 on / against: -$495 / +$465 ROI: -64.3% / 61.2% 4-2-0 (1.92, 66.7%) avg total: 9.2 over / under: +$175 / -$215 ROI: 25.4% / -34.1%

4.00 4.50 10.00 9.17 3.00 1.17 2.67 1.17 1.67 17.83 8.83 1.83 3.33 5.17 7.17 4.33 7.83 12.17 3.00 1.17 3.50 2.00 5.33 19.33 8.00 0.67 2.50 4.17

Jul 03, 2023 recap Mon 2023 home Yankees Domingo German-R Orioles Tyler Wells-R 100.0 8.5 May 17, 2022 recap Tue 2022 away Angels Reid Detmers-L Rangers Taylor Hearn-L 5-10 -5 L 6.5 O 11-11 2-1 2-6 -130.0 8.5 9 Aug 20, 2021 recap Fri 2021 away Diamondbacks Tyler Gilbert-L Rockies Austin Gomber-L 4-9 -5 L 1.0 O 11-15 1-0 0-5 175.0 12.0 9 May 25, 2021 recap Tue 2021 home Yankees Corey Kluber-R Blue Jays Steven Matz-L 2-6 -4 L -1.0 U 7-13 2-1 0-5 -165.0 9.0 9 May 24, 2021 recap Mon 2021 home Tigers Spencer Turnbull-R Guardians Sam Hentges-L 5-6 -1 L 2.0 O 9-9 1-0 2-3 -115.0 9.0 9 May 14, 2021 recap Fri 2021 away Reds Wade Miley-L Rockies German Marquez-R 6-9 -3 L 4.5 O 10-15 2-1 1-6 101.0 10.5 9 May 11, 2021 recap Tue 2021 away Orioles John Means-L Mets Marcus Stroman-R 2-3 -1 L -1.5 U 7-10 1-1 2-1 143.0 6.5 9

[Chamblin]

[rolltide]

dogs that have to play a very early game (before 11:35am) the following day with no rest haven't won in 18 straight. active against Nats

0-18 (-3.00, 0.0%) avg line: 148.3 / -166.7 on / against: -$1,800 / +$1,800 ROI: -100.0% / 60.0% 6-12-0 (-1.50, 33.3%) avg line: -136.3 / 117.7 on / against: -$1,015 / +$875 ROI: -40.2% / 44.9% 8-10-0 (0.89, 44.4%) avg total: 9.1 over / under: -$310 / +$105 ROI: -15.7% / 5.3%

3.50 3.11 9.44 7.00 1.94 0.83 1.89 0.83 0.61 13.39 6.23 0.94 3.00 5.00 6.50 3.89 7.50 9.78 3.50 1.72 2.89 1.94 5.94 14.78 7.00 1.17 1.72 4.67

Jul 03, 2023 recap Mon 2023 home Nationals Jake Irvin-R Reds Luke Weaver-R 100.0 10.5 Jun 24, 2023 recap Sat 2023 neutral Cardinals Adam Wainwright-R Cubs Justin Steele-L 1-9 -8 L -3.5 U 6-14 1-0 0-8 110.0 13.5 9 Apr 16, 2023 recap Sun 2023 away Angels Reid Detmers-L Red Sox Garrett Whitlock-R 1-2 -1 L -6.0 U 4-7 0-0 1-1 101.0 9.0 9 Jul 03, 2022 recap Sun 2022 home Nationals Erick Fedde-R Marlins Pablo Lopez-R 4-7 -3 L 2.5 O 5-8 0-0 1-3 110.0 8.5 10 Apr 17, 2022 recap Sun 2022 away Twins Bailey Ober-R Red Sox Michael Wacha-R 1-8 -7 L -0.5 U 4-11 1-0 0-7 115.0 9.5 9 Oct 29, 2021 recap Fri 2021 away Astros Luis Garcia-R Braves Ian Anderson-R 0-2 -2 L -6.5 U 2-6 0-1 0-2 105.0 8.5 9 Oct 18, 2021 recap Mon 2021 away Astros Jose Urquidy-R Red Sox Eduardo Rodriguez-L 3-12 -9 L 5.5 O 5-11 2-0 0-9 110.0 9.5 9 Sep 19, 2021 recap Sun 2021 away Pirates Max Kranick-R Marlins Sandy Alcantara-R 5-6 -1 L 4.0 O 8-8 1-1 1-2 190.0 7.0 10 Sep 19, 2021 recap Sun 2021 home Reds Wade Miley-L Dodgers Clayton Kershaw-L 5-8 -3 L 4.0 O 8-12 1-0 0-6 170.0 9.0 9 Sep 11, 2021 recap Sat 2021 home Mets Taijuan Walker-R Yankees Corey Kluber-R 7-8 -1 L 7.0 O 11-10 1-0 2-5 100.0 8.0 9 Jul 03, 2021 recap Sat 2021 home Nationals Paolo Espino-R Dodgers Clayton Kershaw-L 3-5 -2 L -0.5 U 6-5 1-0 0-3 210.0 8.5 9 Jul 03, 2019 recap Wed 2019 away Marlins Sandy Alcantara-R Nationals Stephen Strasburg-R 1-3 -2 L -5.0 U 6-7 1-0 0-3 230.0 9.0 9 Jun 29, 2019 recap Sat 2019 home Red Sox Rick Porcello-R Yankees Masahiro Tanaka-R 13-17 -4 L 18.5 O 18-19 0-0 0-11 133.0 11.5 9 Apr 14, 2019 recap Sun 2019 away Orioles John Means-L Red Sox David Price-L 0-4 -4 L -5.5 U 5-7 1-1 0-4 235.0 9.5 9 Jul 03, 2017 recap Mon 2017 away Mets Steven Matz-L Nationals Stephen Strasburg-R 2-3 -1 L -3.5 U 6-6 1-0 0-2 170.0 8.5 9 Apr 16, 2017 recap Sun 2017 away Rays Alex Cobb-R Red Sox Drew Pomeranz-L 5-7 -2 L 2.5 O 7-17 0-0 3-2 165.0 9.5 9 Jul 03, 2016 recap Sun 2016 away Brewers Chase Anderson-R Cardinals Michael Wacha-R 8-9 -1 L 8.5 O 16-11 1-0 1-6 165.0 8.5 9 Apr 17, 2016 recap Sun 2016 home Red Sox Steven Wright-R Blue Jays Aaron Sanchez-R 3-5 -2 L -1.0 U 4-14 0-1 0-4 126.0 9.0 9 Jul 03, 2015 recap Fri 2015 away Giants Jake Peavy-R Nationals Gio Gonzalez-L 1-2 -1 L -4.5 U 5-3 0-1 1-1 125.0 7.5 9

[bleeker]

add another ..line wasn't up earlier

lad RL -115

[rolltide]

team=Dodgers and H and (p:runs<3 or p:runs>13) and (p:HR=0 or p:HR>1) and date>20210423 and SG<3

23-0 SU, 19-4 RL

23-0 (3.30, 100.0%) avg line: -218.5 / 185.9 on / against: +$2,300 / -$2,300 ROI: 45.8% / -100.0% 19-4-0 (1.80, 82.6%) avg line: -105.2 / -114.6 on / against: +$1,630 / -$1,855 ROI: 60.4% / -65.8% 8-13-2 (-0.26, 38.1%) avg total: 8.3 over / under: -$660 / +$435 ROI: -25.9% / 17.6%

5.65 3.43 8.35 8.17 4.00 2.17 3.04 1.48 6.43 12.83 6.48 0.48 1.35 4.57 2.35 2.61 9.04 5.43 1.78 1.09 1.65 0.61 0.96 11.35 5.29 0.61 3.61 4.04

Jul 03, 2023 recap Mon 2023 home Dodgers None-None Pirates Mitch Keller-R -175.0 8.5