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  • #1

    monday afternoon ** nym/mil

    tS(H@team) = 0 and H and p:W and po:home runs = 2 and season >=2008 and 290>= line>=-160 and PRSW >=68


    home opener
    previous won
    previous opp homeruns =2
    previous regular season wins >=68
    line range - 160/+290
    2008

    1-10 o/u (-1.41)


    lots of unearned runs in sample but didn't effect the lone over


    https://killersports.com/mlb/query?o...+S+D+Q+L+%21++


    mil under 8.5

    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
    Tags: None
  • #2
    Johnny Cueto been a great early season pitcher

    starter = Johnny Cueto and game number<32 and line<220 and 6.5<total<13.5 and rest!=1 and SG<4 and date>20140401
    18-0 (2.94, 100.0%) avg line: -117.6 / 106.6 on / against: +$1,970 / -$2,045 ROI: 86.2% / -100.0%
    15-3-0 (2.78, 83.3%) avg line: -108.4 / -108.1 on / against: +$1,505 / -$1,613 ROI: 64.8% / -69.8%
    7-9-2 (-0.64, 43.8%) avg total: 7.6 over / under: -$257 / +$115 ROI: -13.4% / 5.7%
    4.94 3.06 6.78 8.50 2.33 1.33 2.67 1.22 5.61 13.72 6.44 1.06 1.56 3.39
    2.00 2.44 8.39 5.56 1.72 0.61 1.11 0.56 0.94 11.00 5.17 0.50 3.00 3.44
    Apr 03, 2023 recap Mon 2023 home Marlins Johnny Cueto-R Twins Tyler Mahle-R 105.0 7.5

    Comment

    • #3
      Originally posted by rolltide View Post
      Johnny Cueto been a great early season pitcher

      starter = Johnny Cueto and game number<32 and line<220 and 6.5<total<13.5 and rest!=1 and SG<4 and date>20140401 [TABLE="border: 0"]

      [TD]18-0 (2.94, 100.0%)[/TD]
      [TD]avg line: -117.6 / 106.6[/TD]
      [TD]on / against: +$1,970 / -$2,045[/TD]
      [TD]ROI: 86.2% / -100.0%[/TD]
      his counterpart Mahle has been terrible early in the season away from home winning 1 of 10 starts with avg loss by 3rpg


      starter = Tyler Mahle and 1 < game number < 28 and A and line > -145
      1-10 (-3.09, 9.1%) avg line: 141.2 / -153.2 on / against: -$850 / +$830 ROI: -76.6% / 49.3%
      2-9-0 (-1.86, 18.2%) avg line: -144.1 / 123.2 on / against: -$1,130 / +$980 ROI: -69.3% / 82.7%
      3-7-1 (-1.73, 30.0%) avg total: 8.1 over / under: -$492 / +$390 ROI: -39.6% / 33.7%
      1.64 2.82 8.27 4.82 2.09 0.55 1.09 0.55 0.55 12.22 5.91 1.09 3.36 3.91
      4.73 3.36 7.36 9.09 2.73 1.00 2.18 1.36 6.00 13.67 6.91 0.82 1.18 3.82
      Apr 03, 2023 recap Mon 2023 away Twins Tyler Mahle-R Marlins Johnny Cueto-R -120.0 7.5

      Comment

      • #4
        morton's teams are just 4-18 with 9 straight losses early season away
        starter = Charlie Morton and game number<28 and line>-140 and A and rest<3 and p:line>-225
        4-18 (-3.00, 18.2%) avg line: 125.5 / -137.3 on / against: -$1,345 / +$1,272 ROI: -58.7% / 41.6%
        5-17-0 (-2.05, 22.7%) avg line: -147.5 / 131.3 on / against: -$2,060 / +$1,855 ROI: -60.7% / 76.6%
        10-11-1 (0.91, 47.6%) avg total: 8.4 over / under: -$195 / +$5 ROI: -8.1% / 0.2%
        3.14 2.86 8.91 7.27 2.27 0.73 1.86 0.68 1.68 13.63 6.36 0.68 3.77 3.91
        6.14 3.50 7.50 9.68 3.05 1.09 3.00 1.82 5.41 14.68 7.18 1.14 2.05 4.00
        Apr 03, 2023 recap Mon 2023 away Braves Charlie Morton-R Cardinals Jake Woodford-R -122.0 8.5
        Smyly's teams are 1-9 ou early away game with total 8+

        starter = Drew Smyly and game number<36 and A and season>2014 and total>7.5
        5-5 (-1.00, 50.0%) avg line: 132.9 / -151.9 on / against: +$214 / -$286 ROI: 20.7% / -18.7%
        4-6-0 (-0.40, 40.0%) avg line: -115.5 / -103.9 on / against: -$305 / +$206 ROI: -22.4% / 15.9%
        1-9-0 (-2.70, 10.0%) avg total: 9.1 over / under: -$870 / +$795 ROI: -80.6% / 70.7%
        2.70 3.00 8.20 7.10 2.20 0.60 1.70 0.60 2.50 14.67 6.80 0.70 1.70 4.70
        3.70 3.20 7.90 8.30 3.00 1.30 2.10 0.90 3.10 17.00 8.60 1.30 1.60 4.30
        Apr 03, 2023 recap Mon 2023 away Cubs Drew Smyly-L Reds Connor Overton-R -120.0 9.0

        Comment

        • #5
          nyy -175
          kc +115

          parlay (+235)

          ​_______

          sea           -145
          Last edited by bleeker; 04-03-2023, 05:41 PM.
          _______________________________________________
          ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

          Comment

          • #6
            added another
            _______________________________________________
            ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

            Comment

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