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  • #1

    wildcard round

    game number =163 and HF and line <-129 and total <9 and season >2015


    wildcard round
    game 1
    home favorite >129
    total < 9
    2016


    19-1 (-181/roi 48.3%/3.30)
    15-5 RL (+121/roi 65.8%)

    (hasn't shown up in the output yet but pretty self explanatory)

    so RL better than ML

    tor -145 ..risk half unit
    tor +158 RL ..risk half unit

    nym-140 ..risk half unit
    nym RL +170 ..risk half unit

    or

    .75 unit ML parlay ... pays about +190
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
    Tags: None
  • #2

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    • #3
      Good stuff bleeker and yes the RL is the one to look at with that nice ROI and decent +money average

      Comment

      • #4
        thanks guys..think I'd rather have a little less exposure with the new format so the parlay would be my choice..going to mess up using game numbers for the rest of the playoffs to designate what game in a series it is..does anyone knows if there are series (round) designations for the playoffs ?
        _______________________________________________
        ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

        Comment

        • #5
          Originally posted by bleeker View Post
          thanks guys..think I'd rather have a little less exposure with the new format so the parlay would be my choice..going to mess up using game numbers for the rest of the playoffs to designate what game in a series it is..does anyone knows if there are series (round) designations for the playoffs ?
          my guess is no..just "playoffs =1"
          _______________________________________________
          ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

          Comment

          • #6
            Originally posted by bleeker View Post
            game number =163 and HF and line <-129 and total <9 and season >2015


            wildcard round
            game 1
            home favorite >129
            total < 9
            2016


            19-1 (-181/roi 48.3%/3.30)
            15-5 RL (+121/roi 65.8%)

            (hasn't shown up in the output yet but pretty self explanatory)

            so RL better than ML

            tor -145 ..risk half unit
            tor +158 RL ..risk half unit

            nym-140 ..risk half unit
            nym RL +170 ..risk half unit

            or

            .75 unit ML parlay ... pays about +190
            playoffs>0 and H and line<-125 and season>2015 and FGS and total<9 and rest>0 and o:rest<6 and month=10 and WP<73

            29-1 (3.20, 96.7%) avg line: -177.5 / 161.0 on / against: +$2,748 / -$2,758 ROI: 51.6% / -91.9%
            22-8-0 (1.70, 73.3%) avg line: 122.7 / -141.5 on / against: +$1,889 / -$2,222 ROI: 61.2% / -52.3%
            13-16-1 (0.08, 44.8%) avg total: 7.6 over / under: -$466 / +$185 ROI: -14.1% / 5.7%
            5.43 3.93 8.30 8.07 3.17 1.70 2.90 1.70 6.07 13.57 6.12 0.87 1.30 4.70
            2.23 2.37 10.03 6.33 1.67 0.87 1.53 0.53 0.93 12.17 5.52 0.80 2.77 4.57
            Oct 07, 2022 recap Fri 2022 home Mets Max Scherzer-R Padres Yu Darvish-R -150.0 6.0
            Oct 07, 2022 recap Fri 2022 home Blue Jays Alek Manoah-R Mariners Luis Castillo-R -135.0 7.0

            Comment

            • #7
              even better.. nice one rolltide!
              _______________________________________________
              ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

              Comment

              • #8
                https://killersports.com/mlb/query?o...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

                "!" = not




                way I view this relative to what I have..

                - backup for nym

                - don't want to add over to nym

                ,- some early afternoon small action


                cle -120 .. half unit
                over 6 .. half unit
                Last edited by bleeker; 10-07-2022, 06:07 AM.
                _______________________________________________
                ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                Comment

                • #9
                  Glenn...taking your first post, change to 'total<=7', add 'team!=Astros' & day=Friday:

                  KillerSports.com

                  the R/L is 0-3...Padres
                  &
                  the O/U is 0-3 by #'s...-5.5, -4.0 & -4.0

                  Under 6 Padres/Mets

                  BOL!!!

                  Comment

                  • #10
                    Originally posted by Riderx View Post
                    Glenn...taking your first post, change to 'total<=7', add 'team!=Astros' & day=Friday:

                    KillerSports.com

                    the R/L is 0-3...Padres
                    &
                    the O/U is 0-3 by #'s...-5.5, -4.0 & -4.0

                    Under 6 Padres/Mets

                    BOL!!!
                    like that rider ..thanks and same to you !
                    _______________________________________________
                    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                    Comment

                    • #11

                      I noticed how poorly STL and TBR played down the stretch and queried how teams do in the playoffs with little rest if they lost at least 9 of their last 15 games and were not posted as a small favorite. They don't do well
                      1-21 (-3.05, 4.5%) avg line: 102.1 / -113.2 on / against: -$2,369 / +$2,278 ROI: -91.7% / 81.5%
                      3-19-0 (-2.64, 13.6%) avg line: -125.4 / 110.4 on / against: -$2,239 / +$2,062 ROI: -73.4% / 79.8%
                      11-11-0 (-0.20, 50.0%) avg total: 7.9 over / under: -$95 / -$100 ROI: -4.1% / -4.1%
                      2.32 2.09 8.45 7.36 2.00 0.68 1.64 0.50 1.32 14.00 6.80 0.73 2.86 5.00
                      5.36 2.64 8.55 9.45 2.95 1.00 2.68 1.32 5.86 13.86 6.70 0.82 1.55 4.36
                      Oct 07, 2022 recap Fri 2022 home Cardinals Jose Quintana-L Phillies Zack Wheeler-R -110.0 7.0
                      Oct 07, 2022 recap Fri 2022 away Rays Shane McClanahan-L Guardians Shane Bieber-R 100.0 5.5

                      Comment

                      • #12
                        Hey guys. I have no idea how you come up with this stuff. You database guys are a different breed. And I love it! Wish I had your skills. Will definitely be reading your posts throughout the MLB playoffs. Good luck and thanks for all the great info!

                        Comment

                        • #13
                          Originally posted by rolltide View Post
                          I noticed how poorly STL and TBR played down the stretch and queried how teams do in the playoffs with little rest if they lost at least 9 of their last 15 games and were not posted as a small favorite. They don't do well
                          1-21 (-3.05, 4.5%) avg line: 102.1 / -113.2 on / against: -$2,369 / +$2,278 ROI: -91.7% / 81.5%
                          3-19-0 (-2.64, 13.6%) avg line: -125.4 / 110.4 on / against: -$2,239 / +$2,062 ROI: -73.4% / 79.8%
                          11-11-0 (-0.20, 50.0%) avg total: 7.9 over / under: -$95 / -$100 ROI: -4.1% / -4.1%
                          2.32 2.09 8.45 7.36 2.00 0.68 1.64 0.50 1.32 14.00 6.80 0.73 2.86 5.00
                          5.36 2.64 8.55 9.45 2.95 1.00 2.68 1.32 5.86 13.86 6.70 0.82 1.55 4.36
                          Oct 07, 2022 recap Fri 2022 home Cardinals Jose Quintana-L Phillies Zack Wheeler-R -110.0 7.0
                          Oct 07, 2022 recap Fri 2022 away Rays Shane McClanahan-L Guardians Shane Bieber-R 100.0 5.5
                          Hey RT - I show TB as a dog. Does this still apply?

                          Comment

                          • #14
                            Originally posted by BT View Post

                            Hey RT - I show TB as a dog. Does this still apply?

                            they're a small dog so they qualify..as long as they're not a small favorite
                            _______________________________________________
                            ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                            Comment

                            • #15
                              nice one rolltide !
                              _______________________________________________
                              ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                              Comment

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