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  • last game's




    last game
    home dog < 170
    win % <42
    didn't hit "1" homerun last game

    0-9 o/u (-4.61) big !

    not > 2 runs in three (7.5) games not including an unearned run

    lowest margin on lowest odds game

    extra inning game that finished 5-1


    texas under 7.5
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

  • #2
    definitely be more..all start between 4 and 4:20 except for a double header ..won't be on that one
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

    Comment


    • #3

      betting on bad teams in last game of season vs opponent with at least 5 more wins
      17-1 (2.06, 94.4%) avg line: 133.5 / -145.2 on / against: +$2,310 / -$2,490 ROI: 120.5% / -92.6%
      16-2-0 (2.89, 88.9%) avg line: -111.5 / -107.3 on / against: +$1,546 / -$1,632 ROI: 67.7% / -73.8%
      6-11-1 (-1.25, 35.3%) avg total: 8.9 over / under: -$598 / +$435 ROI: -30.6% / 21.9%
      4.83 3.39 8.56 8.61 3.17 1.06 2.83 1.11 5.61 14.00 6.80 0.56 1.67 5.33
      2.78 2.67 9.50 7.06 2.17 0.89 2.00 0.56 1.67 14.89 6.80 0.72 2.11 5.50
      Oct 05, 2022 recap Wed 2022 away Tigers Tyler Alexander-L Mariners Marco Gonzales-L 130.0 7.5
      Oct 05, 2022 recap Wed 2022 away Royals Jonathan Heasley-R Guardians Aaron Civale-R 151.0 7.5
      Oct 05, 2022 recap Wed 2022 away Diamondbacks Merrill Kelly-R Brewers Corbin Burnes-R 145.0 7.0
      Oct 05, 2022 recap Wed 2022 home Rangers Glenn Otto-R Yankees Domingo German-R 105.0 7.5
      Oct 05, 2022 recap Wed 2022 home Athletics Ken Waldichuk-L Angels Shohei Ohtani-R 185.0 6.5
      Last edited by rolltide; 10-05-2022, 11:06 AM.

      Comment


      • #4
        sdql for above

        game number = 162 and wins < 77 and season > 2015 and line < 250 and o:wins > 68 and LGS and p:line < 185 and o:STDSERA<5.34 and wins - o:wins <-4

        Comment


        • #5
          game number = 162 and H and p:home runs = 0 and site streak = 2 and p:walks!=3


          0-19 o/u (-3.66)

          avg number of walks per game is a shade under 3 so feel it's reasonable to use as an elimination

          oak under 6.5
          pitt under 7.5


          ---------




          game number = 162 and H and 0 < op:starter runs allowed < 3 and s:SIP <4.4



          1-22-1 o/u (-2.88)



          mia under ??
          _______________________________________________
          ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

          Comment


          • #6
            Originally posted by bleeker View Post
            game number = 162 and H and p:home runs = 0 and site streak = 2 and p:walks!=3


            0-19 o/u (-3.66)

            avg number of walks per game is a shade under 3 so feel it's reasonable to use as an elimination

            oak under 6.5
            pitt under 7.5


            ---------




            game number = 162 and H and 0 < op:starter runs allowed < 3 and s:SIP <4.4



            1-22-1 o/u (-2.88)



            mia under 7.5
            texas under 7.5 (1st post)

            just so it's all together
            Last edited by bleeker; 10-05-2022, 01:05 PM.
            _______________________________________________
            ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

            Comment


            • #7
              mia total in..added to above post
              _______________________________________________
              ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

              Comment


              • #8

                Comment


                • #9
                  AL home team not 160+ favorite and road team winning % <1, total 7+
                  game number = 162 and H and line>-160 and o:WP<51 and league = AL and total>6.5
                  13-15 (-0.21, 46.4%) avg line: -116.0 / 106.0 on / against: -$489 / +$354 ROI: -14.4% / 11.6%
                  8-15-0 (-0.89, 34.8%) avg line: 130.2 / -145.5 on / against: -$528 / +$470 ROI: -20.9% / 13.4%
                  1-23-4 (-2.55, 4.2%) avg total: 8.8 over / under: -$2,415 / +$2,180 ROI: -80.1% / 71.1%
                  3.00 2.68 7.61 7.39 2.07 0.79 1.86 0.68 3.04 13.39 6.58 0.71 1.82 4.32
                  3.21 2.32 8.79 6.82 2.54 0.86 2.11 0.86 4.21 11.07 5.50 0.79 1.89 3.89
                  Oct 05, 2022 recap Wed 2022 home White Sox Davis Martin-R Twins Louie Varland-R -120.0 7.5
                  Oct 05, 2022 recap Wed 2022 home Mariners Marco Gonzales-L Tigers Tyler Alexander-L -150.0 7.5
                  Last edited by rolltide; 10-05-2022, 02:00 PM.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Great stuff, guys. Thanks for sharing.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Originally posted by BT View Post
                      Great stuff, guys. Thanks for sharing.
                      no problem bt..I could put up more and they're not even borderline but going to stop..not difficult to find them either..must be the nature of the last day of games lends itself to systems
                      _______________________________________________
                      ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Well, let's use these systems to add a little money to the bankroll before the playoffs start!

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          it's too close to game time now plus I didn't trim it down (1 system) it's also on my other device which is charging now

                          i usually do 1 or 2 plays a day and 6 or 7 is just too many
                          _______________________________________________
                          ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            It's HR Derby day. Disaster

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Shit happens. Still great info. On to the playoffs.

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