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weds afternoon ** sd/sf (3:45)

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  • #1

    weds afternoon ** sd/sf (3:45)

    month >7and series game = series games and A and division =NL West and p:margin = 1 and pp:margin = 1 and p:PU >3 and line <230



    after july
    nl west division
    away
    2 consecutive 1 run wins
    last game series
    previous pitchers used > 3
    dog <230 or favorite


    10-0 (+110/3.70)
    10-0 RL


    generally speaking bigger favorites and lower totals (this game) have been larger wins ..not really surprising with the former


    https://killersports.com/mlb/query?o...+S+D+Q+L+%21++






    sd -140 ..risking half unit
    sd RL +122 to win half unit


    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
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  • #2
    5 games < 8.5 total..opp shutout 3 times

    4 games laying odds (one -103..no particular order)

    14-4
    3-0
    7-0 (-103)
    4-2
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

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    • #3
      was looking for a while last night..best thing i came up with was a nyy fade that was 14-0 that had a lot of parameters and half of the wins were by 1 run..decided to pass

      not going to say i did the right thing as the nyy were laying around 170 .. has to do more with not auto-playing good query numbers
      _______________________________________________
      ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

      Comment

      • #4
        Seattle = AL late season away fav with starter's era >2.50 better than home team (58-13 +138%, 2-1 YTD)

        Atlanta SU = Braves off a loss scoring <6 and starter's line is larger than his last line (40-4 +143%, 13-1 YTD)

        Atlanta -1.5 = Run Line in 2nd half of season large fav off a loss team winning >51.5% of games (33-11 +137%, 5-2 YTD)

        NYM/LAD under = home fav total 5.5-6.5, not on losing streak and scored at least 1 run last game (161-260 ou, 6-8 ou YTD)

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        • #5
          and STL in a nice spot too as a late season big away fav against starter with >3.00 ERA
          66-5 (4.27, 93.0%) avg line: -278.7 / 240.1 on / against: +$5,145 / -$5,410 ROI: 26.0% / -76.2%
          55-16-0 (2.77, 77.5%) avg line: -161.0 / 141.8 on / against: +$2,967 / -$3,315 ROI: 25.8% / -45.9%
          41-29-1 (0.96, 58.6%) avg total: 8.7 over / under: +$925 / -$1,578 ROI: 11.8% / -20.3%
          6.97 3.90 7.70 10.86 4.06 1.72 3.24 1.72 6.83 16.07 7.72 0.75 1.48 3.51
          2.70 1.96 10.11 6.86 2.08 0.72 1.73 0.63 0.58 12.14 5.89 0.76 3.79 4.39
          Aug 31, 2022 recap Wed 2022 away Cardinals Jose Quintana-L Reds Mike Minor-L

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          • #6

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            • #7
              Ha! My 2 plays are on here...

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