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thursday ** cle/sd (4:10)

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  • #1

    thursday ** cle/sd (4:10)

    day = Thursday and series game = 1 and po:runs = 0 and po:walks > 0 and line > -200 and total < 10.5 and month = 8 and season > 2008


    thursday
    series game =1
    previous opp runs =0
    previous opp walks >0
    favorite < 200
    total < 10.5
    august
    2009


    0-10 (+122/-390)



    https://killersports.com/mlb/query?o...+S+D+Q+L+%21++


    fade cle



    sea -105..risk .75 unit **

    ** taking a little off this one because it's a steep cliff on either side of this august mountain
    Last edited by bleeker; 08-25-2022, 09:26 AM.
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
    Tags: None
  • #2
    forgot the record initial post
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

    Comment

    • #3
      can squeeze a few more out with the game number switch instead of month

      (day = Thursday or day = Saturday) and series game = 1 and po:runs = 0 and po:walks > 0 and line>-200 and 102 < game number < 135 and season >2008
      0-14 (-3.71, 0.0%)

      Comment

      • #4
        Seattle fits very nice late season system playing on a team after they lost as a massive favorite and aren't a 135+ dog
        38-4 (3.43, 90.5%) avg line: -258.0 / 221.0 on / against: +$2,950 / -$3,070 ROI: 27.2% / -73.1%
        31-11-0 (1.93, 73.8%) avg line: -127.8 / 109.4 on / against: +$2,003 / -$2,274 ROI: 35.2% / -48.0%
        21-19-2 (0.24, 52.5%) avg total: 8.8 over / under: +$5 / -$393 ROI: 0.1% / -8.6%
        6.24 4.39 7.05 9.07 3.52 1.71 3.02 1.60 5.98 15.44 7.25 0.88 1.74 4.27
        2.81 2.46 10.44 7.10 2.36 0.81 1.88 0.69 1.29 13.81 6.35 0.74 2.95 4.54
        Aug 25, 2022 recap Thu 2022 home Mariners Marco Gonzales-L Guardians Triston McKenzie-R -105.0 8.0

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        • #5
          Orioles +103 would be a second small home dog to play as they face terrible Lance Lynn. When Lynn starts away and team not in big win/losing streak his teams are 5-31 SU if they didn't win his last start by 4+ runs

          in all 5 wins his team put up at least 5 runs and in 4 of them they scored at least 7 runs.

          play on BAL

          5-31 (-1.67, 13.9%) avg line: 106.2 / -120.5 on / against: -$3,017 / +$2,830 ROI: -71.7% / 59.8%
          11-25-0 (-1.58, 30.6%) avg line: -118.3 / -101.8 on / against: -$2,010 / +$1,715 ROI: -42.1% / 38.7%
          13-22-1 (-0.83, 37.1%) avg total: 8.7 over / under: -$1,108 / +$835 ROI: -27.7% / 21.4%
          3.08 2.67 9.58 6.92 2.25 0.97 1.89 0.69 1.92 12.03 5.85 0.75 3.19 3.83
          4.75 3.14 9.19 8.31 2.94 1.19 2.81 1.00 5.42 13.55 6.50 0.67 2.00 4.42
          Aug 25, 2022 recap Thu 2022 away White Sox Lance Lynn-R Orioles Jordan Lyles-R -114.0 8.0
          Last edited by rolltide; 08-25-2022, 11:36 AM.

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          • #6
            like the backup on seattle..thanks rt
            _______________________________________________
            ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

            Comment

            • #7

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              • #8
                Originally posted by bleeker View Post
                like the backup on seattle..thanks rt
                I guess it must not be the start of a new series too often with those average odds
                _______________________________________________
                ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                Comment

                • #9
                  Originally posted by bleeker View Post

                  I guess it must not be the start of a new series too often with those average odds
                  Game 1's are 11-1, SG2 = 12-3, SG3 = 15-0

                  Comment

                  • #10
                    Originally posted by rolltide View Post

                    Game 1's are 11-1, SG2 = 12-3, SG3 = 15-0
                    as you might know (right or wrong) I like to be within shouting distance of the avg odds and this was very far away from it..high avg makes sense if they're playing the same team again but would think it would be a lot lower in a new series ?
                    Last edited by bleeker; 08-25-2022, 03:38 PM.
                    _______________________________________________
                    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                    Comment

                    • #11

                      Comment

                      • #12
                        Originally posted by Chamblin View Post
                        glad you had it chamblin


                        _______________________________________________
                        ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                        Comment

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