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tuesday ** pha/mia

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  • #1

    tuesday ** pha/mia

    p:runs > 10 and po:runs = 1 and series game = 1 and rest = 1 and month > 4 and pitchers used = 4 and po:BPRA <9



    previous runs > 10
    previous opp runs =1
    series game =1
    rest =1
    previous pitchers used =4
    previous opp bullpen runs allowed < 9
    after april


    0-10 o/u (-3.85)

    results much better when total's < 8.5 including two unearned runs in the 3-4 game



    https://killersports.com/mlb/query?o...+S+D+Q+L+%21++





    pha under 7.5







    .
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
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  • #2

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    • #3
      Originally posted by bleeker View Post
      p:runs > 10 and po:runs = 1 and series game = 1 and rest = 1 and month > 4 and pitchers used = 4 and po:BPRA <9



      previous runs > 10
      previous opp runs =1
      series game =1
      rest =1
      previous pitchers used =4
      previous opp bullpen runs allowed < 9
      after april


      0-10 o/u (-3.85)

      results much better when total's < 8.5 including two unearned runs in the 3-4 game



      https://killersports.com/mlb/query?o...+S+D+Q+L+%21++





      pha under 7.5







      .

      final 4-1 with 1 of those 4 unearned..in the 3-4 game, as mentioned, there were 2 unearned runs and (not mentioned) 1 in extra innings..factoring unearned runs all the totals < 8.5 came in way under


      the kc game yesterday (which lost) I cut back a half unit because the concentration of totals in the sample was higher than the total for the game and one of the 2 losses was a low total


      point is I think it's worthwhile to look at where line and total fall in regards to the sample and on occasion you will find some valuable subsets in there

      _______________________________________________
      ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

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      • #4
        sticking with under in this series

        another for tonight is alcantara's incredible UNDER streak when facing poor/average teams not vs NL West. one of the two overs by 1 run in extras, the other by 0.5 run
        starter = Sandy Alcantara and date > 20190810 and o:WP< 58 and line > 100 and o:division != NL West
        13-12 (0.00, 52.0%) avg line: 135.9 / -148.3 on / against: +$538 / -$688 ROI: 21.5% / -18.6%
        18-7-0 (1.50, 72.0%) avg line: -152.6 / 132.2 on / against: +$780 / -$950 ROI: 20.4% / -37.3%
        2-22-1 (-2.58, 8.3%) avg total: 7.9 over / under: -$2,160 / +$1,987 ROI: -80.4% / 71.1%
        2.64 2.96 9.40 6.20 2.00 0.72 1.68 0.60 3.60 13.30 6.23 0.96 1.76 3.80
        2.64 2.84 9.92 6.52 2.04 0.76 2.00 0.44 2.52 12.74 6.59 0.80 1.52 4.56
        Aug 10, 2022 recap Wed 2022 away Marlins Sandy Alcantara-R Phillies Noah Syndergaard-R 105.0 7.0
        Last edited by rolltide; 08-10-2022, 01:17 PM.

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        • #5
          nice one..wasn't aware that you could specify a division and can see that being a useful thing to know ..thanks and good luck rt
          _______________________________________________
          ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

          Comment

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