The dog pound 2021

[Puckluck]

Good luck Tom as always. I went through a similar exercise on the old Talksport board many years ago. Maybe we get to our picks a different way, but I just learned whatever system I had had to be constantly evolving. If it stayed static, if I lost early, I gained late and if I found something that won "early" (in my case through the first of August) it faded. Right around the trade deadline, the dynamics changed. I wish I knew what happened. It's interesting following you, let's see if there is a second wind, I've seen it happen.

[Thomas]

Brock It's mostly the fact that dogs win at a about a 44% rate in MLB. My picks are based on the daily massey mlb ratings and I try to stay in a predicted win % zone for the dog that he applies to every game, here's a screenshot

bV1e7i.png


https://masseyratings.com/games#MLB


I occasionally step out like today with the cubs for instance who he has a 33% chance of winning which is below the % threshold I use to make my plays but I like me some Big Dogs once in awhile, lol

[Chamblin]

[Thomas]

2-3 +88 std 169-239 +1567

june 25

Seattle Mariners@ +181 W

Colorado Rockies@ +241 L

Arizona Diamondbacks@ +284 L

Baltimore Orioles@ +230 W

Detroit Tigers@ +228 Postp played Saturday +184 W

+395

Gonna try the 5 biggest dogs of the day

[Chamblin]

[Thomas]

3-2 +395 std 172-241 +1962

july 26

Baltimore Orioles@ +228 L

Cleveland Indians@ +162 Postp

Arizona Diamondbacks@ +225 W

Chicago Cubs@ +184 L

Philadelphia Phillies@ +207 L

-75

[Thomas]

1-3 -75 std 173-244 +1887



Pittsburgh Pirates@ +129 W

Oakland Athletics@ +131 W

Chicago Cubs@ +180 L

Arizona Diamondbacks@ +232 L

Colorado Rockies@ +165 L

-40

[Chamblin]

[Thomas]

2-3 -40 std 175-247 +1847



Philadelphia Phillies@ +139 L

San Francisco Giants@ +155 L

Detroit Tigers@ +141 L

Kansas City Royals@ +134 L

Baltimore Orioles@ +309 W

-91

[Puckluck]

Thanks Tom, good info. Rooting for you!

[Thomas]

1-4 -91 std 176-251 +1756


Chicago Cubs@ +205 L

Texas Rangers@ +167 W

Detroit Tigers@ +170 Postp

Kansas City Royals@ +192 L

Seattle Mariners@ +204 L

add
Baltimore Orioles@ +255 W

+160

[Thomas]

2-3 +160 std 176-251 +1961


Texas Rangers@ +175 L

Baltimore Orioles@ +247 W

Seattle Mariners@ +212 W

Cincinnati Reds@ +163 L

Miami Marlins@ +208 W

+467

[Chamblin]

[Thomas]

3-2 +467 std 179-253 +2428

July 1

Seattle Mariners@ +165

Texas Rangers@ +154

Cleveland Indians@ +163

Kansas City Royals@ +214

Pittsburgh Pirates@ +205

[Puckluck]

Go Tom go!