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Large home dogs (+170 or more) with a starting pitcher who went less than 4 innings in his last start...only other parameter is that the bullpen came in and allowed at least 2 runs in that game he left early. How do these dogs do? 1-22 going back to 2017! Run-line fade is 20-3, which helps cause these are all large favorites this system says to play.
Great under indicator when Adam Wainwright pitches as a home dog...2-14 O/U in his career, including the last 11 straight. Going hand in hand with this....Sonny Gray as a road favorite is 3-14-1 O/U his last 18 starts in that role.
"The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...
Killersports finally got yesterday's results loaded, running my systems now. Here is more affirmation of what I already posted for the Reds/Cards game. Teams in game 1 of a series when both are coming off a game they got less than 5 hits are 7-19 O/U the last 2 full seasons, 1st occurrence this year.
If you don't mind the juice with this...big home dogs off a come from behind home win....22 straight losers and 3-19 against the run-line....even the RL is -160
Here is another one that was one of my favorites, it has lost 2 of the last 3 now. Home teams off a walk-off win in extra innings in the last game of series' are 36-8, also pretty juicy. Run-line has a lower ROI. I would probably pass on it, still thought I should post it.
Both starters faced another team since they faced tonight's opponent, so no. But I still like the recency of the last start being only 1 start removed. I would make a small play on the over.
Same deal tonight bam33...Fried and Nola 1 start removed from dominating performances against these same teams. Both also had another domination in the start in between. I definitely like the OVER, call it a cousin of the "Signature Total" lol
"The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...
Here is another one that was one of my favorites, it has lost 2 of the last 3 now. Home teams off a walk-off win in extra innings in the last game of series' are 36-8, also pretty juicy. Run-line has a lower ROI. I would probably pass on it, still thought I should post it.
_______________________________________________ ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
_______________________________________________ ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
The Indians long winning streak against the Tigers was broken and a lot of people will be betting Cleveland today to go back to beating them again. That is a verrrrry "square" thought process, but this SDQL says go for it. Favorites off a favorite loss (more than -140 favs in that loss) that had at least a 3 run lead they blew and lost by 2 runs or more. Best part about it is the run-line actually has a higher ROI, so no need to hang the juice if you play it.
sd-130
sf +147 (half unit.. outside of range and dog)
_______________________________________________ ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)
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