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  • #151
    Re: Baseball Random Stuff

    Similar to the one posted above, this goes back a little further though and allows more scoring in the previous game. Maximum scoring the last game is 3 by the home team and 1 by the road team. Cold bats=expect another lower scoring game. This one is 55-93 O/U and includes an additional game besides the Brewers today.

    https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
    "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

    Comment

    • #152
      Re: Baseball Random Stuff

      Another one for the Brewers under, the same principle, this goes back to 2010. Last game stayed under by more than 7 runs, expect another under. 14-31-1 O/U

      https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

      If you make the home team a fav or less than a 150 dog it goes to 8-30-3 O/U and also 2-15-2 O/U the last 19

      https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
      "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

      Comment

      • #153
        Re: Baseball Random Stuff

        today got a 2-20-1 o/u with Drake doing an NL home game (ARI/SEA u9.5 -117) and a 58-2 on Yanks for a LGS spot at -167

        saw on twitter that last year 130+ dogs went on a 1-14 spot for 2nd game of double header and this year they are unbeaten at 13-0 (at minimum +130!). obviously can't start tailing now but thought it was very representative of how upside down 2020 is

        Comment

        • #154
          Re: Baseball Random Stuff

          Originally posted by jumperjack View Post

          If you make the home team a fav or less than a 150 dog it goes to 8-30-3 O/U and also 2-15-2 O/U the last 19
          https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

          Comment

          • #155
            Re: Baseball Random Stuff

            Originally posted by rolltide View Post
            saw on twitter that last year 130+ dogs went on a 1-14 spot for 2nd game of double header and this year they are unbeaten at 13-0 (at minimum +130!). obviously can't start tailing now but thought it was very representative of how upside down 2020 is
            looks like first loss happened on Friday ... of course 1st game out of the blocks since that guy posted it
            https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

            Comment

            • #156
              Re: Baseball Random Stuff

              day after double header..
              home..
              favorite <250
              series game 3..
              total >8
              2020


              0-9 o/u (-3.28)

              last game in sample 2-1 final with only 1 earned run

              https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++


              cin under 9
              mil under 8.5
              Last edited by bleeker; 09-15-2020, 03:58 PM.
              _______________________________________________
              ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

              Comment

              • #157
                Re: Baseball Random Stuff

                https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++



                previous 1 homerun subset below.. the 1 game that just went under by a half run there were 5 unearned runs scored


                https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++


                min/chw under 9
                _______________________________________________
                ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                Comment

                • #158
                  Re: Baseball Random Stuff

                  I'm curious if there is any data that suggests which teams that score 1st in a game end up winning the game and which ones would have the highest percentage? Just a reach but I thought I would ask.

                  Comment

                  • #159
                    Re: Baseball Random Stuff

                    Originally posted by p8nter57 View Post
                    I'm curious if there is any data that suggests which teams that score 1st in a game end up winning the game and which ones would have the highest percentage? Just a reach but I thought I would ask.
                    unsure but here is this year's teams that lost when holding a lead:
                    Phils have blown 18 lead, Red Sox and Astros 16
                    fewest blown leads are Marlins 6, Padres/rays/chisox 7

                    https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

                    you can add the parameter of scoring in 1st inning (R1>0) and this will show how many times teams scored in 1st and blew a lead in the game
                    https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

                    phils 11x scored in 1st, had a lead, and lost. 8x each for orioles, rockies, and red sox

                    only once have the ChiSox scored in 1st and lost a lead. 2x each for milw and cardinals

                    Comment

                    • #160
                      Re: Baseball Random Stuff

                      Originally posted by bleeker View Post
                      day after double header..
                      home..
                      favorite <250
                      series game 3..
                      total >8
                      2020


                      0-9 o/u (-3.28)

                      last game in sample 2-1 final with only 1 earned run

                      https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++


                      cin under 9
                      mil under 8.5

                      active again on bal /tam.. split the other day
                      _______________________________________________
                      ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                      Comment

                      • #161
                        Re: Baseball Random Stuff

                        Thank you rolltide, the 1st formula is interesting with only 50 games played philly has lost such a high percentage and Marlins/Rays/Padres and Sox so few. I think that gives me the answer I was looking for.

                        Comment

                        • #162
                          Re: Baseball Random Stuff

                          Posted this one a few times and every time it won it also covered the RL. We are up at east 3 net wins on this since I posted it. Fading a big dog that has a starter going that had a short outing last time out. 2-26 the last 2+ years and the fade is 24-4 on the RL, which is most important cause we are playing big favs every time. Today fade Detroit.

                          https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...%3E%3D20170418
                          "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

                          Comment

                          • #163
                            Re: Baseball Random Stuff

                            Here's one I don't think I posted in here yet. I been blindly playing the OVERS on these since around last May...results go back to 2011. Big home dogs in games with high totals. 2 plays today and also probably every game of the Yankees series.

                            https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
                            "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

                            Comment

                            • #164
                              Re: Baseball Random Stuff

                              Back to roll tide, the stats you provided offer some good in game opportunities. Thanks again

                              Comment

                              • #165
                                Re: Baseball Random Stuff

                                https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++


                                hou -170
                                _______________________________________________
                                ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                                Comment

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