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Baseball Random Stuff

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  • Re: Baseball Random Stuff

    Pretty rare one up for the 2nd time this season...only 16 occurrences in the entire database. Favs in series game 2 off a loss in which they held at least a 3 run lead. These teams that lose leads seem to get pissed off...this one is 14-2. White Sox have last night's loss eating at them, run-line pays off here as well. 10 straight wins, all by multiple runs since 2009...

    https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
    "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

    Comment


    • Re: Baseball Random Stuff

      This is a fade that fits the White Sox play above, but the line may not fit the parameter now. Still it is a 9-51 fade situation I will post it.

      https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
      "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

      Comment


      • Re: Baseball Random Stuff

        Originally posted by bleeker View Post
        previous runs through 8 =0..
        previous runs >1..
        away..
        series game 2..
        previous favorite..
        opponent previous starter righty..
        total <9..
        2008

        1-11 o/u (-3.46) big




        mil/det under 7.5

        number has dropped from 8.5 a few hours ago so that might discourage some





        https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++


        19-0 and now both teams have 19 wins.. tigers had 2 hits and all the brewers runs were earned.. maybe a system will come out of this oddball result but it sure blew up mine lol
        _______________________________________________
        ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

        Comment


        • Re: Baseball Random Stuff

          Originally posted by jumperjack View Post
          This is a fade that fits the White Sox play above, but the line may not fit the parameter now. Still it is a 9-51 fade situation I will post it.

          https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
          9-52 and a run-line winner as well.
          "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

          Comment


          • Re: Baseball Random Stuff

            Originally posted by jumperjack View Post
            Pretty rare one up for the 2nd time this season...only 16 occurrences in the entire database. Favs in series game 2 off a loss in which they held at least a 3 run lead. These teams that lose leads seem to get pissed off...this one is 14-2. White Sox have last night's loss eating at them, run-line pays off here as well. 10 straight wins, all by multiple runs since 2009...

            https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
            Rare but good...now 15-2 and an easy run-line winner.
            "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

            Comment


            • Re: Baseball Random Stuff

              Originally posted by jumperjack View Post
              Cubs total very low today but Reds are 11-24 O/U as a RD against a righty starter. Bauer himself is 14-27 O/U as a road dog in his career. Darvish looks as good as he has since he left Texas, he may win the Cy Young. Wind is blowing in at 12 mph at Wrigley and I have this system...

              DIV home favs off a low scoring shutout win (they scored 3 or less) are 5-18 O/U with totals lower than 9.5

              https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
              3 runs in the top of the 1st inning with a seriously low total? No problem Pretty much a no sweat winner with zero offense for 8.5 innings.
              "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

              Comment


              • Re: Baseball Random Stuff

                Originally posted by jumperjack View Post
                Decent sized road favs (-140 or more) on a losing streak of at least 2 playing a non division opponent are 40-10 if they are playing the team they lost to yesterday. Take Milwaukee today. Brewers semi-juicy and the run-line pays on this one as well....maybe a split bet between the ML and RL.

                https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
                Should have just went all run-line as the Brewers had a season high in runs by a large margin....now 41-10
                "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

                Comment


                • Re: Baseball Random Stuff

                  Originally posted by jumperjack View Post
                  Next we have a team off a 2 run or more loss they held at least a 3 run lead. These pissed off favorites are 35-6, the run-line also pays off for this one. Take Cleveland

                  https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
                  Cleveland messed up my day today,I guess they are a tough team to piss off.
                  "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

                  Comment


                  • Re: Baseball Random Stuff

                    Dodgers last game of a series as more than -200 favs...they homered the day before and today's starting pitcher has an ERA less than 3.90. Now 55-1 and a perfect 3-0 this season against the run-line.
                    https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
                    "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

                    Comment


                    • Re: Baseball Random Stuff

                      A 2nd one for the Dodgers...division away favs with a 60% record or higher facing a less than 40% WP opponent. Opponent starter has a ERA 4.00 or higher. 43-4 and 4-0 this season, 3 of the 4 covered the RL.
                      https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
                      "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

                      Comment


                      • Re: Baseball Random Stuff

                        and i have one opposing Dbacks ... home dog off b2b home dog losses which they led
                        https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

                        2-34 (-3.89, 5.6%)

                        Comment


                        • Re: Baseball Random Stuff

                          https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

                          https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++


                          series game 3..
                          lost by a run previous game..
                          dog >200 previous game..
                          opp starter previous lefty
                          total >7

                          1-24 (+189) (-3. 80)


                          switch above to opp previous righty starter
                          previous dog 200-300
                          >2014

                          (about the same except pitcher orientation)


                          18-8 (+197) at those avg odds

                          wow.. amazing when you flip the pitcher in the previous game the difference in the record!!
                          Last edited by bleeker; 09-10-2020, 12:39 PM.
                          _______________________________________________
                          ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                          Comment


                          • Re: Baseball Random Stuff

                            above doesn't apply to anything today
                            _______________________________________________
                            ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                            Comment


                            • Re: Baseball Random Stuff

                              double header =1 and -401 < line < -199 and rest =1 and streak <3 and season >2010


                              1st game double header..
                              off 1 day rest..
                              favorite 200-400..
                              <3 game winning streak..
                              2011

                              15-0 (-244) (5.27)
                              13-2 (-1.5) 12 >2 runs

                              nyy -1.5 (-115)
                              _______________________________________________
                              ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                              Comment


                              • Re: Baseball Random Stuff

                                A division game coming off a 1-0 score, very simple...and 4-24-1 O/U. I think I am going to find a few more that point at this Brewers UNDER today....

                                https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
                                Add 1 tiny adjustment to use only home teams that are favored or less than 125 dogs and it improves to 2-20-1 O/U

                                https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
                                "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

                                Comment

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