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  • #61
    Re: hong kong racing

    Originally posted by bleeker View Post
    follows from my friend (he just put them up)

    R5 #4 master albert

    R8 #4 telecom puma
    R8 #10 shamport


    R9 #5 gentle breeze


    wednesday 6/10 @ happy valley

    R5 #4 mast ..1/12 ..$18/$4.70 (9)
    R8 #10 sham ..2/12.. $5 (8.5)
    R8 #4 tele..5/12 (16)
    R9 #5 gen.. 7/11 (20)

    8 plays (2 cards)

    risk 32/ return 27.70


    average price 19


    gentle breeze in spite of being 7th lost by 2.75 lengths and reading the trip notes looks like significant trouble


    the good and bad of 3rd place being included in on the place money..$4.70 on a 9
    Last edited by bleeker; 06-11-2020, 08:00 AM.
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

    Comment


    • #62
      Re: hong kong racing

      Chevalier Prince is scheduled to run today in Race 9 at Hong Kong Sha Tin.
      Super Elegance is scheduled to run today in Race 7 at Hong Kong Sha Tin.
      California Concord is scheduled to run today in Race 10 at Hong Kong Sha Tin.


      Chancheng Prince is scheduled to run today in Race 1 at Hong Kong Sha Tin

      Diamond Pegasus is scheduled to run today in Race 3 at Hong Kong Sha Tin. He was awesome last race



      preceding are follow ups.. probably look at it later myself



      _______________________________________________
      ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

      Comment


      • #63
        Re: hong kong racing

        Originally posted by bleeker View Post
        wednesday 6/10 @ happy valley

        R5 #4 mast ..1/12 ..$18/$4.70 (9)
        R8 #10 sham ..2/12.. $5 (8.5)
        R8 #4 tele..5/12 (16)
        R9 #5 gen.. 7/11 (20)

        8 plays (2 cards)

        risk 32/ return 27.70


        average price 19


        gentle breeze in spite of being 7th lost by 2.75 lengths and reading the trip notes looks like significant trouble


        the good and bad of 3rd place being included in on the place money..$4.70 on a 9
        Originally posted by bleeker View Post
        Chevalier Prince is scheduled to run today in Race 9 at Hong Kong Sha Tin.
        Super Elegance is scheduled to run today in Race 7 at Hong Kong Sha Tin.
        California Concord is scheduled to run today in Race 10 at Hong Kong Sha Tin.


        Chancheng Prince is scheduled to run today in Race 1 at Hong Kong Sha Tin

        Diamond Pegasus is scheduled to run today in Race 3 at Hong Kong Sha Tin. He was awesome last race



        preceding are follow ups.. probably look at it later myself




        R1 #1 chan .. 1/5..$2.60/$2.40 (.3)
        R3 #7 diam .. 8/13 (96)
        R7 #6 supe .. 2/10.. $2.80 (3.4)
        R9 #3 chev.. 1/14.. $4.90/$2.60 (2.4)
        R10 #5 cali .. 3/12.. $4.10 (5.7)

        gotta love odds difference 1st 2 lol... .. missed 2nd by a nose R10.. don't think that effects place mutuel.. they are really watered down with the 3 way split


        today

        risk $20/ return $19.40



        overall

        13 plays (3 cards)

        risk $52 /return $47.10

        average price 20 (rounding off)
        Last edited by bleeker; 06-14-2020, 12:04 PM.
        _______________________________________________
        ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

        Comment


        • #64
          Re: hong kong racing

          Comment


          • #65
            Re: hong kong racing

            left most recent price (odds+1)
            ((post position))
            99 =triple digit odds


            sha tin @ 12:30 am

            R1 #3 oversubscribed 5.3/8.93/3.9 ((6))
            R2 #12 dr proactive 8.8/19/96 ((1))
            R3 #2 fat turtle 6.6/70/36 ((2))
            R5 #2 kinda cool 3.6/4.0/x ((2))
            R6 #9 exaltation 12/7.1/99 ((13))

            R7 #8 regency master 99/20/22 ((4))
            R7 #12 royal racer 10/4.3/9 ((1))

            2 horses

            R9 #4 good beauty 18/21/10 ((10))
            R10 #14 ka ying excellent 4.2/5.7/1.9 ((7))


            haven't heard anything about follows
            _______________________________________________
            ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

            Comment


            • #66
              Re: hong kong racing

              just a little update..my friend started posting picks after midnight last night..I don't know what the circumstances were that he couldn't get them up earlier but I do know he's honest as they come and would never cheat..I am keeping records for this in one other place (a forum we're both in) and here and I don't want to have to do separate records because I couldn't get this or any future cards posted in time..(I will make a note "past posted" )so going to post last night's results (his) at some point..if this gets too hectic (record keeping) will just post picks when i get them (beforehand of course lol)I have a very high level of faith that he's going to be good at hong kong over time if he sticks with it..has great race watching skills imo..reason to me that's special is I believe hong kong has the most heavily bet tracks in the world..admittedly don't know how much they take in parimutuelly at the big euro venues, japan and australia but don't think they do as much..hong kong dwarfs the biggest betting venue in the states
              which is the ny circuit


              as i mentioned before not going to be grading my picks..I feel i'm pretty decent having done it using there pp's for quite a few years now and have dabbled in it more sporadically going back to the late 90's..only way to see it back then was spend a night at the meadowlands...not often but did do that on quite a few occasions lol
              _______________________________________________
              ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

              Comment


              • #67
                Re: hong kong racing

                Comment


                • #68
                  Re: hong kong racing

                  here's the updated numbers.. he made a tiny profit

                  6/21 @ sha tin


                  R2 #13 gold {2/14} (11) $6.80
                  R7 #4 so we {6/14} (3.2)
                  R8 #4 more {6/8} (2.9)
                  R9 #4 good {3/14} (30) $14.60
                  R11 #6 wind {6/14} (49)


                  {finish /field size} (price)
                  price = odds +1


                  #4 good missed 2nd by half a head
                  #6 wind only 3 lengths off winner and not best of trips









                  today

                  risk $20/ return $21.40


                  overall


                  18 plays (4 cards)

                  risk $72/ return $68.50

                  average price 20 (rounding off)


                  _______________________________________________
                  ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                  Comment


                  • #69
                    Re: hong kong racing

                    MY PLAYS ..NOT GRADED



                    happy valley.. wednesday @ 6:45am

                    left most recent price (odds+1)
                    ((post position))
                    99 =triple digit odds



                    R1 #2 kings race 8.5/7.2/4.5 ((5))
                    R2 #9 bullish brother 7.4/5.0/12 ((2))
                    R4 #2 shadow breaker 9.1/29/99 ((2))
                    R5 #5 space 19/17/17 ((11))

                    R6 #6 czarson 91/x/x ((2))
                    R8 #12 methane 4.0/5.5/5.0 ((2))
                    R9 #3 waldorf 14/6.0/11 ((5))


                    no follows yet...timing of this has to get settled (follows) otherwise may stop doing it
                    Last edited by bleeker; 06-25-2020, 09:50 AM.
                    _______________________________________________
                    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                    Comment


                    • #70
                      Re: hong kong racing

                      late follows from my friend


                      R7 #6 star shine ((9))
                      R8 #7 shamport ((5))
                      R9 #6 victoriam ((10))
                      _______________________________________________
                      ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                      Comment


                      • #71
                        Re: hong kong racing

                        Originally posted by bleeker View Post
                        here's the updated numbers.. he made a tiny profit

                        6/21 @ sha tin


                        R2 #13 gold {2/14} (11) $6.80
                        R7 #4 so we {6/14} (3.2)
                        R8 #4 more {6/8} (2.9)
                        R9 #4 good {3/14} (30) $14.60
                        R11 #6 wind {6/14} (49)


                        {finish /field size} (price)
                        price = odds +1


                        #4 good missed 2nd by half a head
                        #6 wind only 3 lengths off winner and not best of trips









                        today

                        risk $20/ return $21.40


                        overall


                        18 plays (4 cards)

                        risk $72/ return $68.50

                        average price 20 (rounding off)


                        Originally posted by bleeker View Post
                        late follows from my friend


                        R7 #6 star shine ((9))
                        R8 #7 shamport ((5))
                        R9 #6 victoriam ((10))

                        BIG DAY

                        6/24 @ happy valley


                        R7 #6 star{1/14} (8.7) WINNER $17.50/$6.40
                        R8 #7 sham {2/12} (6.2) PLACE $4.30
                        R9 #6 vict {1/12} (7.5) WINNER $15.10/$5.30


                        {finish/field size} (price) =odds +1


                        today

                        risk $12/return $48.60


                        21 plays (5 cards)


                        risk $84 / return $117.10 [+39.4%]

                        average price 14.4 (not rounded starting 5th card)
                        _______________________________________________
                        ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                        Comment


                        • #72
                          Re: hong kong racing

                          Thanks bleeker
                          2011 Winner of TIS college football contest
                          2012 - 2013
                          NBA 33-18-1
                          MLB 16-12
                          NFL 27-13-1
                          CFB 12-11
                          CBB 9-2
                          MLB 2013 2-0
                          NHL 1-0

                          2013
                          GOY 1-0 Mississippi +9.5 Over LSU 27-24

                          2018
                          NFL 0-1

                          Comment


                          • #73
                            Re: hong kong racing

                            Comment


                            • #74
                              Re: hong kong racing

                              they're running saturday @ 1am instead of sunday.. they do this on occasion and don't know why

                              left most recent price (odds+1)
                              ((post position))
                              99 =triple digit odds


                              sha tin


                              R1 #13 money marshall 27/23/22 ((1))
                              R2 #5 gallant crown 58/x/x ((8))
                              R3 #10 super kin 11/28/5.4 ((8))
                              R4 #1 styling city 99/99/62 ((11))
                              R5 #6 skyey supreme 15/35/37 ((14))


                              R7 #10 above 7.0/4.0/2.2 ((8))
                              R8 #12 california argent 11/8/11 ((5))
                              R9 #1 beauty spirit 8.9/6.5/21 ((3))
                              R10 #10 beauty rush 16/10/15 ((11))




                              follows (my friend's)


                              r1 #5 shinealot 17/12/18 ((10))
                              r8 #13 london luckystar 8.5/3.1/30 ((9))
                              r10 #4 good standing 13/12/14 ((6))
                              Last edited by bleeker; 06-26-2020, 10:43 PM.
                              _______________________________________________
                              ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                              Comment


                              • #75
                                Re: hong kong racing

                                added follows
                                _______________________________________________
                                ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                                Comment

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