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  • Re: horse plays

    added gulfstream 4
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

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    • Re: horse plays

      Comment


      • Re: horse plays

        added santa anita 1


        sorry so late
        _______________________________________________
        ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

        Comment


        • Re: horse plays

          added 9 10 santa anita
          _______________________________________________
          ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

          Comment


          • Re: horse plays

            added churchill 10
            _______________________________________________
            ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

            Comment


            • Re: horse plays

              Originally posted by bleeker View Post
              going to stop after I hit 1000 and possibly do a different theme..less plays which I admittedly struggle with




              tampa

              R3 #6 port salerno (8-1) 10WP

              R5 #1 fire fist (15-1) 10W
              R5 #7 lodi (10-1) 10W*

              * 2 horses



              R2 #5 reign showers (8-1) maiden special

              first time starter homebred with a big pedigree..with empire maker being the sire like that they're going 7f..tim hamm who we've been talking about a lot lately with these types



              gulfstream

              R4 #4 feather's secret (8-1) 10WP




              santa anita


              R1 #1 moana (21-1..26 mtp) 10WP

              R9 #8 capital call (8-1) maiden special


              R10 #11 desert swarm (4-1) 15WP




              churchill..(fast now)


              R10 #2 portrait (4-1) 15W
              ..

              R3.. 3rd @ 6-1
              R5.. out @ 22-1
              R5.. out @ 5-1




              R4.. out @ 7-1


              R1.. out @ 31-1
              R10.. out @ 4-1


              R1.. out @ 3-2


              145/30

              risk $810 /return $413
              _______________________________________________
              ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

              Comment


              • Re: horse plays

                this graded specialty sample will end today mercifully.. my feeling about these types of races hasn't changed and just a bad run.. going to take a breather from specialty threads for a week and try something different the following week


                churchill

                R1 #9 tap n sway (12-1) 10WP

                she's this ml because of the trainer and not her pp's


                R2 #5 heart river (4-1) 25W

                churchill (must be on turf)


                R4 no grade msw race

                #9 leftatthealter (10-1)

                kind of sprint line I like as a setup to stretch out.. attracts jose ortiz

                #1 sista of war (12-1)

                4 race career as a 2yo

                debut ellis park fine..
                tough trip at kentucky downs and can always forgive races there anyway..
                even trip all the way around at keeneland with nice figure improvement..
                off the turf on the front end of a lightning fast pace and gave it badly by the half.. also first time blinkers were on and they'll be back off today

                very nice pedigree and lezcano aboard



                R5 #1 elite class (6-1) 25W




                R8 #2 wicked title (6-1) 10WP

                R11 #8 the feature (15-1) not rated







                gulfstream

                R1 #9 follow me mom (10-1) 10WP
                R2 #10 trinni dancer (15-1) 10 WP
                R3 #5 prince khozan (10-1) 10 WP





                R8 #1 prince of arabia (4-1) not rated.. love turf marathons so weighing in

                if you transplant the race he ran vs grade 3 in the mcknight, as bad as it looks, it's a much better figure than you'd need here (137-1) he ran that race 2nd off a layoff stretching out from a middle distance race (like today)
                Last edited by bleeker; 05-17-2020, 12:08 PM.
                _______________________________________________
                ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                Comment


                • Re: horse plays

                  through 8 gulfstream
                  _______________________________________________
                  ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                  Comment


                  • Re: horse plays

                    gulfstream 4 off turf.. took it off
                    _______________________________________________
                    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                    Comment


                    • Re: horse plays

                      finished churchill
                      _______________________________________________
                      ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                      Comment


                      • Re: horse plays

                        Comment


                        • Re: horse plays

                          Originally posted by bleeker View Post
                          this graded specialty sample will end today mercifully.. my feeling about these types of races hasn't changed and just a bad run.. going to take a breather from specialty threads for a week and try something different the following week


                          churchill

                          R1 #9 tap n sway (12-1) 10WP

                          she's this ml because of the trainer and not her pp's


                          R2 #5 heart river (4-1) 25W

                          churchill (must be on turf)


                          R4 no grade msw race

                          #9 leftatthealter (10-1)

                          kind of sprint line I like as a setup to stretch out.. attracts jose ortiz

                          #1 sista of war (12-1)

                          4 race career as a 2yo

                          debut ellis park fine..
                          tough trip at kentucky downs and can always forgive races there anyway..
                          even trip all the way around at keeneland with nice figure improvement..
                          off the turf on the front end of a lightning fast pace and gave it badly by the half.. also first time blinkers were on and they'll be back off today

                          very nice pedigree and lezcano aboard



                          R5 #1 elite class (6-1) 25W




                          R8 #2 wicked title (6-1) 10WP

                          R11 #8 the feature (15-1) not rated







                          gulfstream

                          R1 #9 follow me mom (10-1) 10WP
                          R2 #10 trinni dancer (15-1) 10 WP
                          R3 #5 prince khozan (10-1) 10 WP





                          R8 #1 prince of arabia (4-1) not rated.. love turf marathons so weighing in

                          if you transplant the race he ran vs grade 3 in the mcknight, as bad as it looks, it's a much better figure than you'd need here (137-1) he ran that race 2nd off a layoff stretching out from a middle distance race (like today)


                          R1.. 4th @ 26-1
                          R2.. 3rd @ 2-1
                          R5..out @ 3-1
                          R8..out @ 3-1



                          R1 off turf no play
                          R2 out @ 25-1
                          R3.. out @ 7-1
                          R8 off turf no play


                          130/0


                          risk $940/ return $416

                          total ass kicking.. staying away for at least a week
                          _______________________________________________
                          ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                          Comment


                          • Re: horse plays

                            going to post the minor tracks today and tomorrow but going to stay away from the big ones wednesday to sunday.. the above tracking sample is done.. i said I would go to at least 1000 risked and that's close enough.. obviously bad results but it's not a big sample.. spells like that are part of it and unavoidable
                            _______________________________________________
                            ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                            Comment


                            • Re: horse plays

                              rogers


                              R2 #1 tickle bunny (5-2)

                              drops and back in 12 days.. two back dropped and back in 12 days and solid 2nd with bad trip.. both times came out of races that were significantly faster than needed today

                              R3 #3 valentine guy (8-1)

                              R4 #12 zipporah (20-1)

                              I understand this is a bad post but a morning line like this tells me whoever does this has little respect for the public's ability to dig a little .. hope she does go off at that price


                              R5 #6 lazarella (8-1)


                              R6 #6 bow and arrow (8-1) SCRATCH

                              this ml high.. broberg 3rd off the layoff, even spacing between races and feel can sit a nice trip off an honest pace.. oaklawn to here a significant drop-off in talent but admittedly others in here's last race is also from there


                              R6 #4 drifting west (7-2..20 mtp)


                              R7 #4 haley's heist (4-1)

                              another dropper from oaklawn.. last race bad but we need a little camouflage and looks like some excuses.. possible this is a hurting horse but if not and they're OK with taking a little loss from the claim this is a good spot.. trainer excellent with new acquisitions

                              R8 #5 my legacy (5-1)

                              i think may have reacted to the big effort at oaklawn two back.. good to see him back quick.. lightly raced and very capable vs this bunch


                              R9 #7 inagoodway (9-2)

                              last time in a statebred stakes 5 starts back won at remington.. obviously this a statebred stakes today and competition much softer here.. broberg /cabrera


                              R10 #2 tapindeed (12-1)

                              enough with the write ups lol

                              fonner

                              R1 #7 honey hearts (8-1)
                              R3 #7 awesome max (5-2)
                              R4 #1 wacca wacca wacca (9-2)
                              R5 #3 beta lover (10-1)

                              R7 #5 feels right (5-1)
                              R8 #7 I call shotgun (8-1)
                              Last edited by bleeker; 05-18-2020, 03:58 PM.
                              _______________________________________________
                              ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                              Comment


                              • Re: horse plays

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