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  • #3661
    Re: horse plays

    American Racing Journal Friday Selections

    santa anita
    ____________

    race 1

    #1 itsinthepost
    #5 campaign

    $5 ex bx 1-5
    $% wps 1
    .50 tri 1-all-5
    $21 tri 1-5-all

    race 2

    #3 kookie gal
    #11 tiger silk
    #7 artic roll
    #9 heathers grey
    #10 an eddie surprise

    $1 ex bx 3-7-9-10-11
    .50 tri bx 3-7-9-10-11
    $5 wps 3-7
    $1 ex all 10
    .50 tri all 3-10
    $3 ex bx 3-7
    .50 tri 3 -7 all 3-7-10
    .50 tri 3-10-all

    race 3

    #11 been studying her
    #4 warrens showtime
    #8 bulletproof one

    $2 ex/tri bx 4-8-11
    $5 wps 4-11
    $1 ex all 4
    .50 tri all 11- 4

    race 4

    #10 rookie mistake
    #11 square deal
    #1 club aspen
    #6 tottaly tiger

    $4 wps 6-10
    $ ex/tri/sup bx 1-6-10-11
    .50 tri 11 all 1-6-10
    .50 tri all 11 with 1-6-10

    race 5

    #6 alligator alley
    #2 band practice
    #4 dream shot
    #8 dr simpson
    #10 a ali
    #11 king neptune

    $1 ex bx 2-4-6-8-10-11
    $4 ex bx 2-6
    $1 ex/tri bx 2-4-6
    .50 tri 2-6 all 2-6
    .50 tri key 6 with 4-2-8-10-11
    $5 wps 2-6
    $1 ex all 2
    .50 tri all 6-2

    race 6

    #12 arizone
    #7 andesite
    #2 structor
    #4 decorated invader

    $ ex/tri/sup bx 2-4-7-12
    $2 ex/tri bx 2-7-12
    $2 ex/tri bx 4-7-12
    $12 wps 7
    $1 ex all 7
    .50 tri all 2-12 with 7
    $4 wps 12

    race 7

    #1 donna veloce
    #3 perfect alibi
    #4 british idiom
    #6 nast

    $ ex/tri/sup bx 1-3-4-6
    $5 wps 1-4
    $1 ex all 4
    .50 tri all 1-4

    race 8

    #14 etoile
    #4 Daahyeh
    #10 fair maiden
    #3 shadn
    #6 unforgetable
    #8 tango

    $ ex/tri/sup bx 3-4-6-8-10-14
    $5 wps 3-4
    $# wps 14
    $1 ex all 4
    .50 tri all 3-4
    $4 ex bx 3-4
    .50 tri 3-4 all 3-4

    race 9

    #5 scabbard
    #6 eight rings
    #9 maxfield

    $3 ex/tri bx 5-6-9
    $5 wps 5-6
    $1 ex all 5
    .50 tri all 6-5
    .50 tri 6 all 5
    .50 ex/tri 5 wih 6-9

    race 10

    #8 threefiveindia
    #10 comedian
    #11 justinian

    $3 ex/tri bx 8-10-11
    $5 wps 8-10
    $1 ex all 7
    ..50 tri all 10-8
    $2 ex bxb 8-110
    .50 tri 8-10 all 8-10


    ________
    aqueduct
    ________

    race 1

    #5 cheatham hill
    #2 smokin princess
    #6 chillingwithfriends

    $2 ex/tri bx 2-5-6
    $4 wps 2-5
    $1 ex all with 2
    .50 tri all 5-2
    .50 tri 5 all 2


    race 2

    #2 boston beauties
    #7 jens battle

    $4 ex bx 2-7
    .50 tri 2-7 all 2-7

    race 3

    #4 heavens hero
    #1 priarie fire

    $5 ex bx 1-4
    .50 tri 1-4 all 1-4

    race 4

    #14 later cat (if in)

    else



    #8 causeforcelebration
    #1 lorcan
    #6 implied volatity

    $2 ex bx 1-6-8
    .50 tri bx 1-6-8
    $$ wps 6-8
    $1 ex all 6
    .50 tri all 8-6


    race 5

    #4 cartwheel
    #5 mrs orb
    #6 puffery

    $2 ex bx 4-5-6
    .50 tri bx 4-5-6
    $4 wps 4-5
    $1 ex all 5
    .50 tri all 4-5
    $1 ex/tri key 4 with 5-6

    race 6

    #8 silky blue
    #10 summer sangria

    $4 ex bx 8-10
    .50 tri 8-10 all 8-10

    race 7


    #1 smooth with a kick
    #6 my bronx tale
    #3 kodiak katie

    $2 ex bx 1-3-6
    .50 tri bx 1-3-6
    $$ wps 1-6
    $1 ex all 6
    .50 tri all 1-6

    race 8

    #7 kerrys ring
    #3 Myhartblongstodady
    #4 awesome alana

    $2 ex bx 3-4-7
    .50 tri bx 3-4-7
    $$ wps 3-7
    $1 ex all 7
    .50 tri all 3-7

    race 9

    #3 poer move
    #1 vast
    #5 maedean

    $2 ex bx 1-3-5
    .50 tri bx 1-3-5
    $4 wps 1-3
    $1 ex all 1
    .50 tri all 3-1

    race 10

    #2 Queenofeverything
    #4 doll
    #7 j j jen

    $2 ex bx 2-4-7
    .50 tri bx 2-4-7
    $4 wps 2-4
    $1 ex all 2
    .50 tri all 7-2


    ______________
    churchill downs
    _______________

    race 2

    #5 summer express
    #2 Lady Jenneviere

    $5 ex bx 2-5
    .50 tri 2-5 all 2-5
    $5 wps 2-5
    $! ex all 5
    .50 tri all 2-5
    .59 tri 2 all 5
    $1tri 2-5-all

    race 3

    #11 street dazzle

    $5 wps 11
    $1 ex all 11


    race 4

    #8 socata
    #1 dreaming diamonds
    #2 miss harry

    $1 ex/tri bx 1-2-8
    $$ ex bx 1-8
    .50 tri 1-8 all 1-8

    race 6

    #10 singapore flash
    #8 believinnholidays
    #7 briar jumper

    $2 ex bx 7-8-10
    .50 tri bx 7-8-10
    $4 wps 8-10
    $1 ex all 10
    .50 tri all 8-10

    race 7

    #12 bella mischief
    #3 palace avenger
    #13 halama (if in)
    #11 tickle

    $4 wps 11-12
    $1 ex all 12
    .50 tri all 3-11 with -12

    race 8

    #4 crosswalk

    $5 wps 4

    race 9

    #7 mia mischief
    #2 devine queen

    $4 ex bx 2-7
    $3 ex 7-2
    .50 tri 2 all 7
    .50 tri 2-7-all


    race 10

    #8 i can do anything

    $5 wps 8
    $1 ex all 8


    _________
    gulfstream
    _________

    race 6

    #1 dizzy gillespie
    #6 to dare

    $5 ex bx 1-6
    .50 tri 1-6 all 1-6

    race 9

    #11 captain flint

    $4 wps 11
    $1 ex all 11


    _______
    parx
    _______

    race 2

    #1 goddess of cash
    #5 our flirtation

    $5 wps 1
    $1 ex all 1
    $4 ex bx 1-5
    .50 tri 5 all 1

    race 3

    #1 my man pots and pans


    $4 wps 1
    $1 ex all 1

    race 5

    #6 surfer boy george

    $4 wps 6
    $1 ex all 6

    race 6

    #6 tattered
    #8 wild haven

    $4 ex bx 6-8
    .50 tri 6-8 all 6-8

    race 8

    #7 aint wasting time
    #3 golden gary
    #4 hopeful treeasure

    $2 ex/tri bx 3-4-7
    $1 ex/tri key 7 with 3-4
    $2 wps 3-4


    ________
    laurel
    ________

    race 1

    #1 entry
    #10 lets play hardball
    #8 eje gamma
    #9 createdv special

    $ ex/tri/sup bx 1-8-9-10
    $1 ex/tri/sup key 10 with 1-8-9
    $3 wps 8-9

    race 2

    #10 red hot dame
    #9 one two three go
    #12 cybils prohecy

    $2 ex bx 9-10-12
    .50 tri bx 9-10-12
    $4 wps 9-10

    race 3

    #7 cape lookout
    #8 awesome d j
    #9 mice and men

    $2 ex bx 7-8-9
    .50 tri bx 7-8-9

    race 4

    #8 discreet dceit

    $4 wps 8
    $1 ex all 8

    race 5

    #1 big city blue
    #6 touch of truth
    #8 tapping cat
    #7 street prayer

    $ ex/tri/sup bx 1-6-7-8
    $4 wps 1-6
    $1 ex all 1
    .50 tri all 6-1

    race 6

    #6 arifana
    #5 rose tree

    $$ ex bx 5-6
    .50 tri 5-6 all 5-6
    $4 wps 5-77
    $1 ex all 5
    .50 tri all 6-5
    .50 tri 6 all 5
    .50 tri 6-5-all


    race 7


    #7 cannons roar
    #5 sparty
    #14 by the sey shore

    $4 ex bx 5-7
    $2 ex/tri bx 5-7-14
    .50 tri 5-7 all 5-7
    $4 wps 5-14
    $1 ex all 5
    .50 tri all 7-5

    race 8

    #1 dancers melody

    $4 wps 1
    $1 ex all 1

    race 11

    #14 nextstop pokipc

    $7 wps 14
    $1 ex all 14

    Comment

    • #3662
      Re: horse plays

      thanks jim.. good info
      _______________________________________________
      ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

      Comment

      • #3663
        Re: horse plays

        8 winners from 9 races (1 per race) last 2 days at gulfstream west.. started out chalky but ended with some nice prices.. don't think I've ever had a stretch like that over 40 + years of doing this

        wednesday

        R2 $4.60
        R3 $5.80
        R5 $5.20
        R6 $3.00
        R7 scratch
        R8 $17.60


        thursday

        R1 out
        R3 $18.20
        R4 $8.20
        R5 $17.60





        churchill friday

        R3 #7 lyonaisse (6-1)


        R7 #1 catechism (4-1)
        R7 #5 all in harmony (10-1)



        aqueduct


        R9 #3 power move (8-5)


        just happened to watch this horse break his maiden first out (last start) and without explanation it's more impressive than if you just looked at the form and saw his running line and the comment.. hall of fame trainer, huge pedigree and shouldn't mind the extra distance.. think the name reflects what they thought about this horse.. obviously not going to be a big price but #4 sweet kisses (3-1) and #5 maedean (2-1) will also take action..


        will be looking at saturday's big bc card today


        probably put in a few from aqueduct and churchill later on.. have a hunch the former might be more of a wind than an off track issue
        Last edited by bleeker; 11-01-2019, 03:20 PM.
        _______________________________________________
        ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

        Comment

        • #3664
          Re: horse plays

          post 3659 today's santa anita card
          _______________________________________________
          ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

          Comment

          • #3665
            Re: horse plays

            added churchill 7
            _______________________________________________
            ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

            Comment

            • #3666
              Re: horse plays

              SATURDAY.. SANTA ANITA.. BREEDERS CUP


              R3 twilight derby G2


              #4 temple (20-1)


              like how he hung in (didn't give it up badly) last out at longer distance at kentucky downs last out.. looks like another great mike maker claim




              R4 bc filly mare sprint

              #1 covfefe (2-1)

              can possibly take the lead or sit a little off but she's just the fastest horse



              R5 bc turf sprint

              #3 imprimus (8-1)

              3rd off the layoff after shipping out to run at royal ascot and a couple of nice primers under her including what looks to be trouble at kentucky downs.. think ready for a top effort here and feel her best shot is better than the others.. dettori rides as paco must be committed to clements #2 pure sensation who he's won with last 3 times he rode her.. frankie (dettori) rode her over in ascot so at least he has some familiarity with the horse and of course he's one of the world's great jockeys





              R6 bc mile


              #7 coal front (6-1)

              think this guy's back to his best after winning in dubai back in march


              #9 diamond opps (15-1) half unit


              just missed in the shadwell turf mile last out first time trying this distance (but that's a turf race).. his running line in the ag vanderbilt @ 6f two races back is one I like for a horse running further next out



              R7 bc fm turf


              #3 fleeting (6-1)

              #9 villa marina (8-1)


              both top class euros who are in good form and distance right in their wheelhouse.. a knock on the favorite #2 mysistercharlie (8-5) is all her big figures have happened closing into very fast paces.. whether it's the case today or not it's worth noting



              R8 bc sprint


              #6 shancelot (4-1)

              not much to say on this one



              R9 bc turf mile


              #1 suedois (20-1)

              does not get up to win often enough but like how consistently he puts up a good effort.. this includes a solid 3rd going very wide in his first try in the states last out at keeneland .. castellano takes over from the euro jocks


              #2 lucullan (12-1)

              very similar to above except this one does win more often.. but the lack of notching many wins will get you a bigger price on the other.. mile looks right up his alley


              R10 bc distaff


              #7 secret spice (10-1)

              consistent as they come.. could see her sitting a nice trip just off the speed

              R11 bc turf


              #1 zulu alpha (20-1)



              consistent efforts, loves the distance, back to jose for ground saving trip.. also he twice has run very even all the way around races that were followed up by wins.. bowling green followed up with ky turf cup win (9/7/19)..fort lauderdale followed up with william mcknight win (1/26/19)


              R12 bc classic

              #11 code of honor (4-1)

              I think why he's good is very obvious.. what I like a lot about him is when he didn't put in a top effort there were clear excuses.. the torrid pace he was close up to in his 3rd career start and finished an ok 4th.. the pace in the florida derby was ridiculously slow (by figs) and he managed to run an even 3rd.. I consider that a good effort under those circumstances.. good enough to break his maiden first out at saratoga which I still feel is important to the overall picture considering how good a router he is..finishing 3rd in the derby on a sloppy track is a fine effort in a freak race.. middle distance on a fast track vs top company more important to me.. distance obviously not a problem with a win in the travers, a nose loss in the jc gold cup and of course the aforementioned ky derby.. by new sire "noble mission" who's a full brother to one of the all time greats "frankel" who's an elite sire already after his 3rd or 4th crop.. all class and distance with those bloodlines.. not nuts about breaking from post 11 but there is a long run up to the first turn and he has the tactical speed to get him in good position
              Last edited by bleeker; 11-02-2019, 03:02 PM.
              _______________________________________________
              ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

              Comment

              • #3667
                Re: horse plays

                through R11
                _______________________________________________
                ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                Comment

                • #3668
                  Re: horse plays

                  today's breeders cup above


                  aqueduct


                  R2 #1 zipalong (8-1)

                  R9 #5 moonlit garden (9-2)
                  R10 #11 small invasion (5-1)


                  churchill


                  R1 #10 girls got track (4-1)
                  R4 #8 sultry samurai (5-1)
                  R6 #8 blip (8-1)
                  R7 #5 litany (4-1)
                  Last edited by bleeker; 11-02-2019, 01:19 PM.
                  _______________________________________________
                  ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                  Comment

                  • #3669
                    Re: horse plays

                    did churchill through 7


                    breeders cup a few posts above
                    _______________________________________________
                    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                    Comment

                    • #3670
                      Re: horse plays

                      finished aqueduct
                      _______________________________________________
                      ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                      Comment

                      • #3671
                        Re: horse plays

                        added the classic
                        _______________________________________________
                        ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                        Comment

                        • #3672
                          Re: horse plays

                          crappy breeders cup.. need a little luck with the big fields and top competition but didn't happen

                          aqueduct

                          R1 #6 sky tap (4-1)

                          first time starter cost a lot relative to pedigree specs


                          R8 #5 empress of the nile (7-2)
                          R9 #5 independence hall (8-1)
                          R10 #1 sweet ride (12-1)




                          churchill


                          R3 #8 wings of fury (12-1)
                          R5 #5 pinxtos (3-1)
                          R6 #10 gran hombre (8-1)
                          _______________________________________________
                          ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                          Comment

                          • #3673
                            Re: horse plays

                            parx

                            R2 #4 sensational zip (5-2)
                            R4 #7 super vision (8-1)
                            R7 #6 mutaraabit (9-2)

                            R9 #3 she'smysunshine (20-1)

                            2yo listed stakes and she won her last by 13 lengths with a figure that's as good as any in here.. but because she did it vs maiden claimers and has a perennial horrible trainer ml is (20-1).. just ridiculous and will be much lower


                            R10 #5 snoopy's bid (12-1)
                            _______________________________________________
                            ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                            Comment

                            • #3674
                              Re: horse plays

                              Originally posted by bleeker View Post
                              parx

                              R2 #4 sensational zip (5-2)
                              R4 #7 super vision (8-1)
                              R7 #6 mutaraabit (9-2)

                              R9 #3 she'smysunshine (20-1)

                              2yo listed stakes and she won her last by 13 lengths with a figure that's as good as any in here.. but because she did it vs maiden claimers and has a perennial horrible trainer ml is (20-1).. just ridiculous and will be much lower


                              R10 #5 snoopy's bid (12-1)
                              wrong about the much lower part (30-1) but did finish 3rd behind the 2 favorites..triple paid $102 for a deuce
                              which is a very nice number (there's a formula)..reason I bring this up is if you are playing live and you see this situation with a longshot and two convincing (by odds)favorites it's an easy strategy to employ as when big odds horses like this run well it's often a 3rd place finish ..these tri's with favs over a big longshot in 3rd almost always pay more than they should


                              since i'm writing this will mention 3 of today's horses were scratched
                              _______________________________________________
                              ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                              Comment

                              • #3675
                                Re: horse plays

                                parx


                                R8 #1a mischevous alex (6-1) **
                                R8 #2 vannzy (12-1)


                                ** 2 horses..like that part of entry better.. only a play if he runs.. 50% more divided by 2 on each

                                probably it for today
                                _______________________________________________
                                ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                                Comment

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