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  • Re: horse plays

    Originally posted by Jim13 View Post
    Bleeker nice paying picks at Belmont today. Good job !

    thanks jim.. nothing doing at keeneland so nice to have a couple of good ones at belmont..not often you'll get 22-1 on pletcher (finished 2nd) but did nothing in his debut at saratoga.. the positives were huge pedigree and bet well first out although that's nothing special for todd.. breeders cup creeping up and glad it's back east this year at churchill.. looking forward to it and hopefully the weather cooperates
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

    Comment


    • Re: horse plays

      Yes sir !! Really looking forward to the classic my buddy that has me post to our forum will have some plays.

      Comment


      • Re: horse plays

        Originally posted by Jim13 View Post
        Yes sir !! Really looking forward to the classic my buddy that has me post to our forum will have some plays.
        sounds good jim..maybe he has some insight into the europeans
        _______________________________________________
        ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

        Comment


        • Re: horse plays

          belmont

          R3 #5 wild boar (5-1)
          R5 #6 san juan diego (3-1)
          R7 #5 bring the dough (8-1)


          keeneland.. know off the turf and sloppy

          R2 #1 linda listen (5-1)
          R4 #11 fancy dress party
          Last edited by bleeker; 10-26-2018, 12:50 PM.
          _______________________________________________
          ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

          Comment


          • Re: horse plays

            added bel 7
            _______________________________________________
            ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

            Comment


            • Re: horse plays

              something I thought you might find interesting..a different approach to betting R7 @ belmont (above)
              based on the odds

              #2) 2-5.. favorite
              #8) 3-1 ..clear 2nd choice
              #5) 8-1 ..mine
              #7) 11-1.. 4th choice
              #6) 13-1..5th choice

              1 other 30-1 toss ..

              chance of a 28 exacta probably about 40% based on the odds..if you commit my horse (#5) to come in 3rd or 4th surrounded by the other 2 reasonable odds horses (#6,#7) that would be 4 combos in superfectas

              2/8/5/6,7 and 2/8/6,7/5..

              4 combos =$8 ($2 base bet)

              result 2875

              return $71..not bad

              these types of bets are often played inefficiently and payoffs are more than they should be..rather than try to beat the "odds on" horse (#2) try to work your play underneath in supers..i'm not going to say that in advance bUT if you happen to be playing in real time
              something you could do after observing the odds
              _______________________________________________
              ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

              Comment


              • Re: horse plays

                keeneland

                R2 #5 starvana (10-1)
                R2 #11 whiskarita (15-1)

                R3 #5 quiet dude (6-1)
                R4 #3 philosophy* (5-1)
                R4 #4 inda zone (10-1)
                R5 #1 bundibunan (12-1)
                Last edited by bleeker; 10-27-2018, 10:16 AM.
                _______________________________________________
                ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                Comment


                • Re: horse plays

                  added kee 4 5
                  _______________________________________________
                  ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                  Comment


                  • Re: horse plays

                    churchill downs

                    R4 #1 girl at war (5-1)
                    R7 #4 social currency (12-1) half unit
                    _______________________________________________
                    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                    Comment


                    • Re: horse plays

                      churchill downs

                      R4 #1 girl at war (5-1)
                      R7 #4 social currency (12-1) half unit
                      R9 #1 everfast (4-1)
                      R10 #7 casa creed (4-1)
                      R11 #6 quicksilver (12-1)
                      _______________________________________________
                      ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                      Comment


                      • Re: horse plays

                        finished churchill
                        _______________________________________________
                        ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                        Comment


                        • Re: horse plays

                          will be looking at churchill downs weds through breeders cup days (fri,sat).. they have nice cards weds and thurs but weather not going to be good and don't like having a couple of bad days prior to the 2 big days.. recommend play small even if conditions are good on weds and thursday.. supposed to be ok fri and sat but have a hunch track may be muddy on the former.. hope not
                          _______________________________________________
                          ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                          Comment


                          • Re: horse plays

                            would go easy if it's an off track


                            churchill.. weds


                            R1 #2 courage and honor (5-1)
                            R2 #5 weneedtotalk (5-2)
                            R4 #5 mo's song (4-1)*


                            *msw scheduled for the turf but has excellent slop breeding also.. if you're playing real time I think she should be 3-1 or less either surface or probably not live

                            R5 #5 gasaway (8-1)
                            R6 #5 risky town (10-1)
                            R7 #3 boss dixie (15-1)
                            Last edited by bleeker; 10-31-2018, 02:42 PM.
                            _______________________________________________
                            ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                            Comment


                            • Re: horse plays

                              added R7 churchill
                              _______________________________________________
                              ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                              Comment


                              • Re: horse plays

                                laurel thursday

                                churchill will probably be a mess tomorrow... laurel nice weather and card


                                R1 #6 my own lane (8-1)
                                R2 #3 oy to the world (2-1)
                                R5 #2 the constable (8-1)
                                R6 #6 olympic village (7-2)
                                R8 #3 abbo (9-2)
                                R9 #2 jabuticaba (15-1)
                                _______________________________________________
                                ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                                Comment

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