Tweet
Super Bowl LVI: Betting Nuggets
Mackenzie Kraemer
Posted: 2022-02-05
Cincinnati was 125-1 to win the Super Bowl entering the season, making them just the second team 100-1 or longer to reach the Super Bowl in the past 40 seasons (1999 St. Louis: 150-1), according to SportsOddsHistory.com. It was one of five teams to enter the season with 100-1 odds -- the other four hold the top four picks in the draft (Houston, Detroit, Jacksonville, New York Jets).
Underdogs of at least three points are 7-2 outright and 8-1 ATS in the Super Bowl since 2007. Underdogs of at least 3.5 points are 6-0 ATS and 5-1 outright in the Super Bowl in that span. Since 2001, underdogs of at least three points are 12-3 ATS (9-6 outright).
Cincinnati is 7-0 ATS and 6-1 outright as an underdog of at least three points this season, including 6-0 outright and ATS when Joe Burrow starts. Burrow is 11-2 ATS in his career as an underdog of at least three points (7-5-1 outright).
Burrow is 7-0 ATS in postseason games in his career dating back to college, including bowl contests and conference championship games. He is 3-0 ATS and outright in his pro career in the postseason. He was also 4-0 ATS and outright in his college career in bowl games and conference championship games, including 2-0 ATS and outright in the playoff.
Season odds history
Cincinnati entered the season 125-1 to win the Super Bowl, making it the largest preseason long shot to reach the big game since 1999 St. Louis according to SportsOddsHistory.com. Those are the only two teams with 100-1 or longer preseason odds to reach the Super Bowl in the past 40 seasons.
Biggest Preseason Longshots to Reach Super Bowl - Last 40 Seasons
>>SportsOddsHistory.com
Since the Greatest Show on Turf won it all in January 2000, 100-1 preseason title long shots have gone 0-5 in championship rounds in professional football, baseball, the NBA and the NHL.
Biggest Preseason Title Longshots to Reach Championship Round - Pro Football, MLB, NBA, NHL Since 1990
(Source: SportsOddsHistory.com)
Cincinnati was one of five teams that entered the season with at least 100-1 odds. The other four teams hold the top four picks in the draft.
Longest Odds to Win Championship This Season - Entering Season
>Caesars Sportsbook
Cincinnati's odds peaked at 150-1 after losing in Week 2 at Chicago. Meanwhile, Los Angeles opened the season at 14-1 and never reached that long of odds again the rest of the season.
Rams and Bengals Super Bowl Odds History
>>Longest odds at any point this season
Super Bowl history
Source: SportsOddsHistory.com
Mackenzie Kraemer
Posted: 2022-02-05
Cincinnati was 125-1 to win the Super Bowl entering the season, making them just the second team 100-1 or longer to reach the Super Bowl in the past 40 seasons (1999 St. Louis: 150-1), according to SportsOddsHistory.com. It was one of five teams to enter the season with 100-1 odds -- the other four hold the top four picks in the draft (Houston, Detroit, Jacksonville, New York Jets).
Underdogs of at least three points are 7-2 outright and 8-1 ATS in the Super Bowl since 2007. Underdogs of at least 3.5 points are 6-0 ATS and 5-1 outright in the Super Bowl in that span. Since 2001, underdogs of at least three points are 12-3 ATS (9-6 outright).
Cincinnati is 7-0 ATS and 6-1 outright as an underdog of at least three points this season, including 6-0 outright and ATS when Joe Burrow starts. Burrow is 11-2 ATS in his career as an underdog of at least three points (7-5-1 outright).
Burrow is 7-0 ATS in postseason games in his career dating back to college, including bowl contests and conference championship games. He is 3-0 ATS and outright in his pro career in the postseason. He was also 4-0 ATS and outright in his college career in bowl games and conference championship games, including 2-0 ATS and outright in the playoff.
Season odds history
Cincinnati entered the season 125-1 to win the Super Bowl, making it the largest preseason long shot to reach the big game since 1999 St. Louis according to SportsOddsHistory.com. Those are the only two teams with 100-1 or longer preseason odds to reach the Super Bowl in the past 40 seasons.
Biggest Preseason Longshots to Reach Super Bowl - Last 40 Seasons
>>SportsOddsHistory.com
| 1999 | St. Louis | 150-1 | Won |
| 2021 | Cincinnati | 125-1 | ? |
| 2016 | Atlanta | 80-1 | Lost |
| 1994 | San Diego | 75-1 | Lost |
| 2015 | Carolina | 60-1 | Lost |
| 2003 | Carolina | 60-1 | Lost |
| 2001 | New England | 60-1 | Won |
| 1998 | Atlanta | 60-1 | Lost |
Biggest Preseason Title Longshots to Reach Championship Round - Pro Football, MLB, NBA, NHL Since 1990
(Source: SportsOddsHistory.com)
| 2017-18 | Golden Knights | 500-1 | Lost |
| 2008 | Rays | 150-1 | Lost |
| 1999 | Rams | 150-1 | Won |
| 2021 | Cincinnati | 125-1 | ? |
| 2006 | Tigers | 100-1 | Lost |
| 2003-04 | Flames | 100-1 | Lost |
| 2002-03 | Mighty Ducks | 100-1 | Lost |
Longest Odds to Win Championship This Season - Entering Season
>Caesars Sportsbook
| Houston | 250-1 | 3rd |
| Detroit | 200-1 | 2nd |
| Cincinnati | 125-1 | ? |
| Jacksonville | 125-1 | 1st |
| New York (A) | 125-1 | 4th |
Rams and Bengals Super Bowl Odds History
>>Longest odds at any point this season
| Entering Season | 14-1<< | 125-1 |
| After Week 2 | 12-1 | 150-1<< |
| After Week 6 | 850 | 100-1 |
| After Week 14 | 11-1 | 50-1 |
| Entering Postseason | 12-1 | 18-1 |
- Underdogs of at least three points are 7-2 outright and 8-1 ATS in the Super Bowl since 2007. Underdogs of at least 3.5 points are 6-0 ATS and 5-1 outright in the Super Bowl in that span. Since 2001, underdogs of at least three points are 12-3 ATS (9-6 outright).
- Underdogs are 8-6 outright and 9-5 ATS in the past 14 Super Bowls. In the past 10 seasons, they are 6-4 outright and ATS.
| 2020 | Tampa Bay | +3 |
| 2019 | Kansas City | -1.5 |
| 2018 | New England | -2.5 |
| 2017 | Philadelphia | +4 |
| 2016 | New England | -3 |
| 2015 | Denver | +5.5 |
| 2014 | New England | -1 |
| 2013 | Seattle | +2.5 |
| 2012 | Baltimore | +4 |
| 2011 | New York (N) | +3 |
- This year snaps a five-year streak of the AFC team being favored in the Super Bowl. This is just the fourth time in the past 20 seasons that the NFC team is favored in the Super Bowl (2015, 2012, 2010). Since 1995, AFC teams are 5-1-2 ATS when getting points in the Super Bowl (4-4 outright). The past two AFC teams to be underdogs both won outright (Denver +5.5 over Carolina in February 2016, Baltimore +4 over San Francisco in February 2013).
- The past three Super Bowls have all gone under the total.
- Los Angeles is 1-3 outright and 0-3-1 ATS in the Super Bowl. Cincinnati is 0-2 outright and 1-1 ATS in the Super Bowl.
- In the past 10 seasons, the Super Bowl MVP favorite has won three times.
Source: SportsOddsHistory.com
| 2020 | Tom Brady | +190 |
| 2019 | Patrick Mahomes | -105 |
| 2018 | Julian Edelman | 25-1 |
| 2017 | Nick Foles | +460 |
| 2016 | Tom Brady | +125 |
| 2015 | Von Miller | 25-1 |
| 2014 | Tom Brady | 2-1 |
| 2013 | Malcolm Smith | Field |
| 2012 | Joe Flacco | +275 |
| 2011 | Eli Manning | 2-1 |