NCAA SDQL 10/22-10/24

[rolltide]

UNDER week>6 off a bye and opponent short rest (9-29 o/u = FIU/JVST under)
OVER 1AA in game 1-3 away to 1A with total <52.5 (175-91 o/u = Mercer over if total <52.5)
UNDER Clemson at home off away, opponent didn't score 45+ LW (11-31 o/u = CLEM/SYR under)
UNDER after Kentucky (15-36 o/u = TEN/ALA under)
UNDER after SoCar who they didn't blow out (12-31 o/u = AUB/MIS under)
UNDER and OPPOSE after Syracuse (14-29-3 ATS / 13-32-1 o/u = SoMiss and under)
UNDER non-Fri/Sat home small conference with huge total (19-54 o/u = APP/ASU under)
UNDER total<69 which is 7+ points lower than either of L2 games (368-643 o/u / 4-4 YTD = TUL/USF u, ND/PIT u, TTU/WVU u, SMU/CIN u, ISU/OkSt u, UTEP/CHARL u, BC/GT u)
UNDER non-conf fav with total<48.5 regular season (87-162 o/u = PIT/ND under if you don't consider ND an ACC team)
UNDER small conference off away dog win (50-96 o/u = USF/Tulsa under)
UNDER big winning home team on 2+ win streak vs opponent not on win streak, both won 8+ LY (61-112 o/u = UAB/ULL under, SMU/CIN under)






OPPOSE 2-2 teams that won 10+ LY vs opponent won <8 (21-52 ATS = play on Tulane, on TCU)
OPPOSE game 5-7 away fav on 1-game win streak and extra rest (27-69 ATS = play on TCU)
PLAY ON game 4 away fav or small dog on 1-game streak and extra rest (47-19 ATS = play on Georgia St)
PLAY ON game 4 home fav won 7+LY but 0-1 wins this year and favored by >4 (60-36 ATS = play on LSU, on Charlotte)
PLAY ON game 3 home off fav loss by <11 points (87-57 ATS = play on FIU)
OPPOSE game 3 rested team off ats win at home and away game before that (10-34 ATS = play on USF)
OPPOSE game 2 away fav on 3 game win streak that won 7+LY vs opp that won <6 (15-30 ATS = play on San Jose)
OPPOSE game 1 dog that covered last 4 games LY (29-53 ATS = play on Iowa)
PLAY ON game 1 away conf that beat team by 19+ last meeting (18-4 ATS = play on WYO, on Michigan)
OPPOSE ACC non conf home dog that won 1+ games (5-25 ATS = play on ND) note:ND is not ACC in the dbase but they are this year
PLAY ON academy dog not off blowout win (38-17 ATS = play on Navy)
OPPOSE big dog off fav loss and playing elite team (46-92 ATS = play on Bama)
PLAY ON away conf dog off shutout win vs big winning opponent (56-20 ATS = play on GaSo)
PLAY ON game 5+ non-div away conf dog not off conf home dog game (82-36 ATS = play on Ark State)
PLAY ON home little rest off extra rest, small fav or dog (28-8 ATS = play on UAB)
game 5 oppose rested favs with 1+ win that allow 30+ (3-19 ATS = play on Baylor, on TCU)

[Chamblin]

Re: NCAA SDQL 10/22-10/24

[rolltide]

Re: NCAA SDQL 10/22-10/24

a couple 2020 tidbits:

Ranked teams have covered just 19 of 59 games against unranked opponents this year (huge list... rank>0 and o:rank=None)

Ranked teams up against an unranked opponent playing their 1st game have covered just 3 of 15 (Wis, Ohio St, Penn St)

Underdogs of 16 or more have only failed to cover 19 of 61 games this season...and 1A teams are 23-9-2 in first 4 games of their season (ill, neb, fau, usu)

Ranked favorites are 9-1 ATS against ranked opponent (smu, okst, unc, mich)

OVER is 32-13-2 this year when away team is favored by less than 21 (big list.... AF and season=2020 and line>-21) ... any road favorite is 36-17-3 o/uy with avg of 37 ppg

Teams playing 1st game of season vs opponent who have already played are 23-9-2 ATS (UT-Chat, San Jose, Rice) ... underdogs are 13-2-1 (UT-chat, San Jose)

[TheMule]

Re: NCAA SDQL 10/22-10/24

good info on the first games of the season. Thanks