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SDQL Week #2

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  • SDQL Week #2

    https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query...=++S+D+Q+L+%21
    GB (70%)

    https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query...=++S+D+Q+L+%21
    NYJ/SF Under (63%)

    https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query...=++S+D+Q+L+%21
    Minn, SF, Det (67%) & Minn/Ind, SF/NYJ, Det/GB Over (64%)

    https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query...=++S+D+Q+L+%21
    Balt/Hou Over (73%)

    https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query...=++S+D+Q+L+%21
    Tenn (against Jax) (77%)

    https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
    This one isn't coming up as the database is broken for Riverboat Ron in 2020, but 18-0 Over Was/Ari

    https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
    Minn (66%)

    https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
    KC (against LAC) (65%) and KC/LAC Under (77%)

    https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
    GB/Det Under (62%)

    https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query...=++S+D+Q+L+%21
    LAC and Det (69%)

    https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query...=++S+D+Q+L+%21
    Subset of above. Det (88%)

  • #2
    Re: SDQL Week #2

    Browns/Bengals and Buc/Panthers OVER

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: SDQL Week #2

      totals:
      • UNDER week 2 home fav total<46 neither won 12+ LY (5-28 o/u = CIN/CLE under, TEN/JAX under, PIT/DEN under, CHI/NYG under) note: 0-11 o/u if off a div game (CIN u, CHI u)
      • UNDER week 2 team that lost week 1 or won by 1 point as a 9+ dog (9-32 o/u = Carolina under)
      • UNDER week 2 4+ win LY, dog 3.5+ and both teams off a loss (25-42 o/u = Cincy under, NYJ under, ATL under, CAR under)
      • UNDER home off dog win, opponent not off dog win, and neither went way over LW (48-102 o/u = CHI/NYG under)
      • UNDER conf off win and over trailing by 5+ entering 4thQ and not in b2b away (28-71 o/u = CHI/NYG under)
      • OVER off MNF loss vs opponent off win (49-18 o/u = DEN/PIT over)
      • time zone note: PST road favs in EST are 1-9 o/u L10 (SF/NYJ under) but PST home favs are 9-1 o/u vs EST (ARI/WAS over, SEA/NE over)



      sides
      • OPPOSE away dogs 5+ that scored 24+ LW and won as a home dog (17-41 ATS = play on ARI, on TEN)
      • PLAY ON week 2 teams off a loss that won 9-10 LY and opponent did not cover easily LW (45-14 ATS = play on PHI)
      • PLAY ON week 2 teams with bad TO margin LY vs teams with great TO margin LY (41-12 ATS = play on LV)
      • PLAY ON div teams that were winless in div LY vs opp that didn't lose bad last week (45-18 ATS = play on DET, on LAC)
      • PLAY ON home dogs off a division loss allowing <=22 points (22-6 ATS = on MIA)
      • PLAY ON unbeaten MNF that just scored 21+ (33-10 ATS = play on LV) of course week 2 unbeatens have the worst ATS of any week
      • PLAY ON away with Thu game next and total >40 (24-3 ATS = play on JAX)
      • PLAY ON week 2 home dogs or small fav that won 5+LY and neither team was big dog in week 1 (30-7 = play on LV, on PHI, on LAC, on IND) note: home dogs 14-2 (LV, LAC)
      • PLAY ON home nondiv after scoring 33+ (78-37 ATS = play on LV) note: only 8-8 L6 yr
      • PLAY ON week 2 dogs or small fav off poor DIV game to start season, opponent won<11 LY (50-17 = play on MIN, on PHI)


      Comment


      • #4
        Re: SDQL Week #2

        Zimmer specific https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

        19-1-1 (8.10, 95.0%)
        play on MIN +3

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: SDQL Week #2

          nice little teaser with ARI -1 / TEN -1.5

          https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query...=++S+D+Q+L+%21

          0-39-0 (-16.85, 0.0%)
          against WAS and JAX

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: SDQL Week #2

            Comment


            • #7
              Re: SDQL Week #2

              BAL and OV

              4-0 SU/ATS and O/U since 2017

              season>=2015 and p:M4>17 and p:H and AF and op:A and o:rest>7

              https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

              Comment


              • #8
                Re: SDQL Week #2

                week 2..
                west coast team..
                home previous week
                away..
                opponent east coast..
                grass

                7-0 o/u (11.29)

                higher totals have yielded bigger margins (this qualifies)

                lar/pha over 45.5



                https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
                _______________________________________________
                ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                Comment


                • #9
                  Re: SDQL Week #2

                  week 2..
                  not monday..
                  previous double digit lead end of 3rd..
                  lost..
                  total >36


                  7-0 (13.71)


                  det +6

                  https://sportsdatabase.com/nfl/query...+S+D+Q+L+%21++


                  like how it returned to work off a 14 year hiatus with much higher totals.. not a reach that logic behind this one is sound
                  Last edited by bleeker; 09-19-2020, 11:56 PM.
                  _______________________________________________
                  ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Re: SDQL Week #2

                    week = 2 and AF and line >-6.5 and p:site = home and p:W and p:line <-3 and conference =NFC





                    week 2..
                    nfc..
                    away favorite <6.5..
                    previous home win favorite > 3


                    2-17 (-6.89)

                    fade no

                    lv +4
                    _______________________________________________
                    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                    Comment

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