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  • Re: Baseball Random Stuff

    Originally posted by jumperjack View Post
    Now 30-0
    Originally posted by jumperjack View Post
    42-4

    great stuff
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

    Comment


    • Re: Baseball Random Stuff

      Teams coming off a Home loss they led by at least 3 runs and lost by 2 runs...both that game and this one they are -140 favorites. 17-3...but look at that ROI on the run-line. These teams must be pissed off after blowing a decent lead and losing.

      https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
      "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

      Comment


      • Re: Baseball Random Stuff

        Teams with a big offensive output (16 hits or more) in a division home fav win cannot find that magic again the next day as dogs...3-18

        https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
        "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

        Comment


        • Re: Baseball Random Stuff

          Away dogs in the 1st game of a series coming off a loss as a favorite in which they never had the lead...2-28 Fade the Yanks

          https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
          "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

          Comment


          • Re: Baseball Random Stuff

            Originally posted by jumperjack View Post
            Teams coming off a Home loss they led by at least 3 runs and lost by 2 runs...both that game and this one they are -140 favorites. 17-3...but look at that ROI on the run-line. These teams must be pissed off after blowing a decent lead and losing.

            https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
            Twins is a winner and the run-line....18-3
            "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

            Comment


            • Re: Baseball Random Stuff

              Originally posted by jumperjack View Post
              Teams with a big offensive output (16 hits or more) in a division home fav win cannot find that magic again the next day as dogs...3-18

              https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
              Mets trail 6-0 early and this goes to 3-19 in an extra inning sweat lol
              "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

              Comment


              • Re: Baseball Random Stuff

                Originally posted by jumperjack View Post
                Away dogs in the 1st game of a series coming off a loss as a favorite in which they never had the lead...2-28 Fade the Yanks

                https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
                2-29 now
                "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

                Comment


                • Re: Baseball Random Stuff

                  Yesterday's game stayed under the total by more than 7 runs? Expect another under in division games especially. 13-35-3 O/U the last 10 years and 1-14-2 O/U the last 2 years...

                  https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
                  "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

                  Comment


                  • Re: Baseball Random Stuff

                    We hit this one 2 days ago and the day before that...Big division road favorites (more than -170) win %>60 playing a win %<40 team are 42-4 against a pitcher with an ERA of 4.00 or higher...

                    https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
                    "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

                    Comment


                    • Re: Baseball Random Stuff

                      previous runs through 8 =0..
                      previous runs >1..
                      away..
                      series game 2..
                      previous favorite..
                      opponent previous starter righty..
                      total <9..
                      2008

                      1-11 o/u (-3.46) big




                      mil/det under 7.5

                      number has dropped from 8.5 a few hours ago so that might discourage some





                      https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
                      Last edited by bleeker; 09-09-2020, 10:34 AM.
                      _______________________________________________
                      ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                      Comment


                      • Re: Baseball Random Stuff

                        Posted both of these recently, both point at taking big favorites today.

                        1st one is to fade a team as a big dog if their starter today had a short outing his last start. 2-25 the last 3 years, run-line has been good as well. Good thing cause the Dodgers are close to -300.

                        https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...%3E%3D20170418
                        "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

                        Comment


                        • Re: Baseball Random Stuff

                          Next we have a team off a 2 run or more loss they held at least a 3 run lead. These pissed off favorites are 35-6, the run-line also pays off for this one. Take Cleveland

                          https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
                          "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

                          Comment


                          • Re: Baseball Random Stuff

                            Decent sized road favs (-140 or more) on a losing streak of at least 2 playing a non division opponent are 40-10 if they are playing the team they lost to yesterday. Take Milwaukee today. Brewers semi-juicy and the run-line pays on this one as well....maybe a split bet between the ML and RL.

                            https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
                            "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

                            Comment


                            • Re: Baseball Random Stuff

                              all 3 nice ones
                              _______________________________________________
                              ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                              Comment


                              • Re: Baseball Random Stuff

                                Cubs total very low today but Reds are 11-24 O/U as a RD against a righty starter. Bauer himself is 14-27 O/U as a road dog in his career. Darvish looks as good as he has since he left Texas, he may win the Cy Young. Wind is blowing in at 12 mph at Wrigley and I have this system...

                                DIV home favs off a low scoring shutout win (they scored 3 or less) are 5-18 O/U with totals lower than 9.5

                                https://killersports.com/mlb/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
                                "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

                                Comment

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