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Weakest 2020 NFL Schedules
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Re: Weakest 2020 NFL Schedules
2020 NFL Season Win Totals With True Strength Of Schedule
Marc Lawrence
Posted: 2020-05-17
By conventional measure, weighing an NFL team's strength of schedule is simple and straightforward.
The common approach is to collectively add-up each opponent's win-loss record from the previous season to help determine each opponent's potential win probability for the coming campaign.
But that has little merit this season given each team’s personnel changes, coaching transformations and scheduling nuances.
NFL True Strength Of Schedule Versus Opponent’s Season Win Totals
A different approach that I developed a few years back was simply to assess each team and its opponent's season win totals by tallying the accumulative amount of projected wins for the season ahead.
It's my contention that this represents a truer methodology. After all, which is more relevant: knowing how an opponent fared in last year's battles, or the expected degree of difficulty awaiting them this year?
2020 Las Vegas Season Win Totals
Let's take a look at the opening 2020 NFL season win totals posted by the Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas on May 7.
Teams are ranked overall from top-to-bottom below based on each team's foes projected win totals for the 2020 season, from most difficult to easiest.
TeamRankTeam Win TotalFoes Win TotalsVs. DivisionVs. Non DivisionNYGN 16.51385088ATLA 27.5137.55186.5DENV 381365482LASV 47.513654.581.5NYJT 571364888CARO 65.5135.55580.5HOUS 77.5134.54193.5WASH 85.5134.55282.5LARM 98.51345480PHIL 109.51344490NENG 1191334486BUFF 129132.54488.5NORL 1310.5132.54587.5SFRN 1410.51325082CINC 155.5131.55972.5JACK 164.5131.55081.5SEAT 1791315279ARIZ 187.5130.55674.5MIAM 196130.55080.5DALL 20101304387GBYA 219129.54782.5KCTY 2211.5129.546.583TBAY 239.5129.54782.5PITT 249.51295178BALT 2511.5128.54781.5CLEV 268.5128.55375.5MINN 279128.54781.5LACH 2881284682DETR 296.5127.55275.5CHIC 308126.54977.5TENN 318.5126.54284.5INDY 3291234182
In addition, the Houston Texans face the toughest non-division schedule with the Cincinnati Bengals going up against the easiest non-division foes. The bad news for the Bengals, though, is they will face the toughest division slate, while the Colts draw the easiest division pairings.
Also note that many of the opening season-win totals carried extra "juice" or vigorish (i.e. Carolina 5.5 “over” -150, Indianapolis 9 “under” +130. For the purpose of this study the extra cost was removed from all season win totals.
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Re: Weakest 2020 NFL Schedules
The NFL is about to test it's popularity
It's dead to me other than from a gambling standpoint
One thing to look at is which teams have more internal problems than others. I know that might not be the easiest thing to find, but it can be figured out.
I'll be on the Saints team total under for sure, those guys won't be focused on playing football
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Re: Weakest 2020 NFL Schedules
That's a smart look above Darryl as many rankings use last years win totals to figure out sos which I look at but put much less faith in as Marc said above. I'd going to ask PLAYER how ML has done using those numbers, they're friends so I would expect some relevant info on the subject
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