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Weakest 2020 NFL Schedules

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  • Weakest 2020 NFL Schedules

    https://www.playbook.com/article_tes...bae13bfcb46658

  • #2
    Re: Weakest 2020 NFL Schedules

    Thanks Tom

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    • #3
      Re: Weakest 2020 NFL Schedules

      2020 NFL Season Win Totals With True Strength Of Schedule
      Marc Lawrence
      Posted: 2020-05-17

      By conventional measure, weighing an NFL team's strength of schedule is simple and straightforward.

      The common approach is to collectively add-up each opponent's win-loss record from the previous season to help determine each opponent's potential win probability for the coming campaign.

      But that has little merit this season given each team’s personnel changes, coaching transformations and scheduling nuances.

      NFL True Strength Of Schedule Versus Opponent’s Season Win Totals
      A different approach that I developed a few years back was simply to assess each team and its opponent's season win totals by tallying the accumulative amount of projected wins for the season ahead.
      It's my contention that this represents a truer methodology. After all, which is more relevant: knowing how an opponent fared in last year's battles, or the expected degree of difficulty awaiting them this year?

      2020 Las Vegas Season Win Totals
      Let's take a look at the opening 2020 NFL season win totals posted by the Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas on May 7.
      Teams are ranked overall from top-to-bottom below based on each team's foes projected win totals for the 2020 season, from most difficult to easiest.

      Team
      Rank
      Team Win Total
      Foes Win Totals
      Vs. Division
      Vs. Non Division
      NYGN
      1
      6.5
      138
      50
      88
      ATLA
      2
      7.5
      137.5
      51
      86.5
      DENV
      3
      8
      136
      54
      82
      LASV
      4
      7.5
      136
      54.5
      81.5
      NYJT
      5
      7
      136
      48
      88
      CARO
      6
      5.5
      135.5
      55
      80.5
      HOUS
      7
      7.5
      134.5
      41
      93.5
      WASH
      8
      5.5
      134.5
      52
      82.5
      LARM
      9
      8.5
      134
      54
      80
      PHIL
      10
      9.5
      134
      44
      90
      NENG
      11
      9
      133
      44
      86
      BUFF
      12
      9
      132.5
      44
      88.5
      NORL
      13
      10.5
      132.5
      45
      87.5
      SFRN
      14
      10.5
      132
      50
      82
      CINC
      15
      5.5
      131.5
      59
      72.5
      JACK
      16
      4.5
      131.5
      50
      81.5
      SEAT
      17
      9
      131
      52
      79
      ARIZ
      18
      7.5
      130.5
      56
      74.5
      MIAM
      19
      6
      130.5
      50
      80.5
      DALL
      20
      10
      130
      43
      87
      GBYA
      21
      9
      129.5
      47
      82.5
      KCTY
      22
      11.5
      129.5
      46.5
      83
      TBAY
      23
      9.5
      129.5
      47
      82.5
      PITT
      24
      9.5
      129
      51
      78
      BALT
      25
      11.5
      128.5
      47
      81.5
      CLEV
      26
      8.5
      128.5
      53
      75.5
      MINN
      27
      9
      128.5
      47
      81.5
      LACH
      28
      8
      128
      46
      82
      DETR
      29
      6.5
      127.5
      52
      75.5
      CHIC
      30
      8
      126.5
      49
      77.5
      TENN
      31
      8.5
      126.5
      42
      84.5
      INDY
      32
      9
      123
      41
      82
      As you can see by this method, the New York Giants will take on the most difficult schedule with opponents’ projected season wins totaling 138, followed by the Atlanta Falcons, Denver Broncos, Las Vegas Raiders, and New York Jets. On the flip side, the Indianapolis Colts have the cushiest schedule in 2020, with the Tennessee Titans, Chicago Bears, Detroit Lions, and the Los Angeles Chargers also beneficiaries of a soft slate.
      In addition, the Houston Texans face the toughest non-division schedule with the Cincinnati Bengals going up against the easiest non-division foes. The bad news for the Bengals, though, is they will face the toughest division slate, while the Colts draw the easiest division pairings.
      Also note that many of the opening season-win totals carried extra "juice" or vigorish (i.e. Carolina 5.5 “over” -150, Indianapolis 9 “under” +130. For the purpose of this study the extra cost was removed from all season win totals.















      A

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      • #4
        Re: Weakest 2020 NFL Schedules

        The NFL is about to test it's popularity

        It's dead to me other than from a gambling standpoint

        One thing to look at is which teams have more internal problems than others. I know that might not be the easiest thing to find, but it can be figured out.

        I'll be on the Saints team total under for sure, those guys won't be focused on playing football

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        • #5
          Re: Weakest 2020 NFL Schedules

          That's a smart look above Darryl as many rankings use last years win totals to figure out sos which I look at but put much less faith in as Marc said above. I'd going to ask PLAYER how ML has done using those numbers, they're friends so I would expect some relevant info on the subject

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