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  • super bowl

    nothing final but start posting some queries.. feel free to post for or against me in here


    super bowl..
    total >= 50..
    grass

    0-3 o/u (-21.00)


    also like the lowest line (last year) was the big under (39.5).. low scoring 1st halfs but also understand we're dealing with a sample of 3 games

    https://killersports.com/nfl/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
    Last edited by bleeker; 01-22-2020, 09:56 AM.
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

  • #2
    Re: super bowl

    About as simple as they come, just take the team with the lower win %...

    https://killersports.com/nfl/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++


    One of the 2 ATS losses would have to be considered an EPIC BAD BEAT as well.
    "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: super bowl

      Originally posted by jumperjack View Post
      About as simple as they come, just take the team with the lower win %...

      https://killersports.com/nfl/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++


      One of the 2 ATS losses would have to be considered an EPIC BAD BEAT as well.


      yeah it's amazing something so simple works that well and as you said could easily be 14-1
      _______________________________________________
      ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: super bowl

        super bowl..
        previous opponent interceptions (thrown) =2..
        opponents previous opponent not 2 interceptions(thrown)..
        favorite <12

        6-0 (16.83)


        1 game both teams opponents had 2 so that's eliminated with this query

        https://killersports.com/nfl/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++



        sf
        Last edited by bleeker; 01-23-2020, 01:14 PM.
        _______________________________________________
        ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: super bowl

          final play(s) will be in boldface
          _______________________________________________
          ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

          Comment


          • #6
            Re: super bowl

            sf +1 //// /// .88 units
            under 54 /// .38 units
            _______________________________________________
            ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

            Comment


            • #7
              Re: super bowl

              Teams off 10+ point home playoff wins are 21-3 O/U in the playoffs if they are facing teams that commit less than 1.25 turnovers per game. I love the turnover parameter because teams that turn the ball over in the wrong place can absolutely kill OVERS. As a confirmed UNDER player that parameter makes this a strong play.

              https://killersports.com/nfl/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

              Make it one week later in the playoffs and remove the date, all time database in Champ games or Super Bowls 15-1 O/U, the only under also one of the highest pointspread games involved.

              https://killersports.com/nfl/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
              "The sheer unpredictability of sports is what makes it predictable." Who the hell bets units? I bet money...

              Comment


              • #8
                Re: super bowl

                like the thought process..still sticking with mine but only a secondary play for me. .messed around with yours a bit and found something decent for the side..

                main switch was going the other way with turnovers,line limit and restricting it to the super bowl
                ..end up with a kc fade


                big avg margin also




                https://killersports.com/nfl/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++
                Last edited by bleeker; 01-28-2020, 10:07 AM.
                _______________________________________________
                ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                Comment


                • #9
                  Re: super bowl

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Re: super bowl

                    thanks chamblin


                    so teams that are worse than avg on turnovers per game commit half as many in thesuperbowlwhen the other criteria in the query apply.. these numbers appear in the readout
                    Last edited by bleeker; 01-28-2020, 03:19 PM.
                    _______________________________________________
                    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Re: super bowl

                      this one active again: http://www.customcappers.com/forum/showthread.php?78071-GB-SF-o45

                      23-0-1 (6.96, 100.0%) SF/KC over 54
                      https://killersports.com/nfl/query?s...+S+D+Q+L+%21++

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Re: super bowl

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