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wednesday afternoon *** ari/mia

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  • wednesday afternoon *** ari/mia

    month =9 and DAY and WP<=40 and p:AW and p:margin >=2 and LGS and 220 >=line >=-150 and o:STR


    september..
    day game..
    team win% <=40..
    previous away win >= 2 runs
    last game series..
    opposing starter a righty..
    line range: fav 150 to dog 220



    1-14 (+145) (-3.33)
    4-11 rl (+115) *

    * estimated odds (very close) .. not important


    fade miami



    arizona -150 /// risk .38 units
    arizona (-1.5) +135 // risk .20 units
    Last edited by bleeker; 09-18-2019, 01:43 PM.
    _______________________________________________
    ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

  • #2
    Re: wednesday afternoon *** ari/mia

    Comment


    • #3
      Re: wednesday afternoon *** ari/mia

      month =9 and WP <=35 and F and DIV and season >=2005 and (n:LGS or LGS)


      september..
      team win% <=35..
      favorite..
      division..
      next to last or last game of series..
      2005


      6-0 (-117) (2.83)


      bal -115 //// half unit
      _______________________________________________
      ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

      Comment


      • #4
        Re: wednesday afternoon *** ari/mia

        Comment


        • #5
          Re: wednesday afternoon *** ari/mia

          since 2004 teams who lead by 4 runs going to the 9th win 99.2 % of their games.. this was one of those .8% of the times


          _______________________________________________
          ( ) in football and baskets is avg ats or ou margin..baseball it's avg odds and run differential for sides and totals..winners and late scratches usually not recognized in the horse thread but on occasion will mention.. always double check race and horse # if you play .. I do lose a lot more races than I win.. playing in advance, late odds moves and high takeout very hard to overcome .. derby future opinion post 3713 on page 149 (horse plays)

          Comment

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