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Got this from a friend at the database, good writeup from Ed Meyer over at MTI:
MTi’s Newsletter Side Play 4-STAR SAINTS -7.5 over Texans – The
Houston Texans are not going to have a good season in 2019 and their
misery starts here. Houston had a good regular season in 2018, going
11-5. However, they were exposed
as a fraud in the playoffs, losing 21-7 at home to the Colts as a small
favorite. We uncovered a system a few years ago involving teams that
are off bad playoff losses in the first round and it has not lost yet.
Specifically, week one underdogs by at least
two points are 0-16 ATS when they suffered a 12-plus point ATS loss in
their first playoff game last season. The SDQL text is: week = 1 and
line>=2 and Sum(playoffs@team,N=2) = 1 and Sum(ats margin@team,
N=1)<=-12 In the opening week of 2016, the Redskins
were off a 35-18 first round playoff defeat to the Packers as a small
home favorite and they were a 2.5 point dog to the Steelers. They were
beaten 38-16. In the opening week of 2017, the Giants were a four-point
home dog to the Cowboys after being eliminated
from the playoffs 38-13 by the Packers the previous season. They were
beaten 19-3. The Texans simply do not have the firepower to match the
Saints’ offensive machine. As evidence, Houston is 0-10 ATS the last
the last ten games in which the total was at
least 49 points. The SDQL is simply: team = Texans and total>=49
and season >= 2010 Finally, we like the prop of Bill O’Brien as the
first head coach fired at +2500. MTi’s FORCAST: SAINTS 34 Texans 10
MTi’s Newsletter Side Play 4-STAR SAINTS -7.5 over Texans – The
Houston Texans are not going to have a good season in 2019 and their
misery starts here. Houston had a good regular season in 2018, going
11-5. However, they were exposed
as a fraud in the playoffs, losing 21-7 at home to the Colts as a small
favorite. We uncovered a system a few years ago involving teams that
are off bad playoff losses in the first round and it has not lost yet.
Specifically, week one underdogs by at least
two points are 0-16 ATS when they suffered a 12-plus point ATS loss in
their first playoff game last season. The SDQL text is: week = 1 and
line>=2 and Sum(playoffs@team,N=2) = 1 and Sum(ats margin@team,
N=1)<=-12 In the opening week of 2016, the Redskins
were off a 35-18 first round playoff defeat to the Packers as a small
home favorite and they were a 2.5 point dog to the Steelers. They were
beaten 38-16. In the opening week of 2017, the Giants were a four-point
home dog to the Cowboys after being eliminated
from the playoffs 38-13 by the Packers the previous season. They were
beaten 19-3. The Texans simply do not have the firepower to match the
Saints’ offensive machine. As evidence, Houston is 0-10 ATS the last
the last ten games in which the total was at
least 49 points. The SDQL is simply: team = Texans and total>=49
and season >= 2010 Finally, we like the prop of Bill O’Brien as the
first head coach fired at +2500. MTi’s FORCAST: SAINTS 34 Texans 10
Good info
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